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由降转涨!4月CPI环比上涨0.1%
新华网财经· 2025-05-10 09:40
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the changes in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) and Producer Price Index (PPI) in April, highlighting a shift in CPI from a decline to an increase, while PPI remains stable in its decline. The analysis indicates that various factors, including food prices and international commodity prices, are influencing these trends. CPI Analysis - In April, the CPI changed from a decrease of 0.4% in the previous month to an increase of 0.1%, with a year-on-year decrease of 0.1% remaining unchanged from the previous month [1][2] - The core CPI increased by 0.2% month-on-month and rose by 0.5% year-on-year, maintaining stability [1][3] - Food prices rose by 0.2% month-on-month, exceeding seasonal levels by 1.4 percentage points, with beef prices increasing by 3.9% due to reduced imports [5] - Travel service prices saw significant increases, with airfares up by 13.5% and hotel prices up by 4.5%, contributing approximately 0.10 percentage points to the CPI increase [5][3] - Year-on-year, energy prices fell by 4.8%, with gasoline prices down by 10.4%, significantly impacting the CPI [5] PPI Analysis - The PPI decreased by 0.4% month-on-month, with the decline rate consistent with the previous month [6][7] - The decline in PPI is attributed to international factors affecting domestic prices, particularly in the oil and gas extraction sector, which saw a 3.1% decrease [9] - Seasonal declines in energy prices, particularly in coal mining, also contributed to the PPI decrease, with coal prices down by 3.3% [9] - Some industries are experiencing improved supply-demand relationships, leading to a narrowing of price declines, such as in the black metal smelting and non-metal mineral products sectors [10] Industry Trends - High-tech industries are driving price increases in related sectors, with wearable smart device manufacturing prices rising by 3.0% year-on-year [10][11] - Policies promoting consumption and equipment upgrades are showing effects, with prices in consumer goods and equipment manufacturing sectors experiencing reduced declines [10] - The diversification of trade is expanding markets, leading to price increases or reduced declines in certain export industries, such as integrated circuit packaging [11]
4月CPI同比下降0.1%,环比上涨0.1% 专家:核心CPI涨幅保持稳定,体现经济的内在韧性
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-05-10 08:33
每经记者|张宏 每经编辑|陈星 5月10日,国家统计局公布4月份居民消费价格指数(CPI)和工业生产者出厂价格指数(PPI)。 4月份,全国居民消费价格同比下降0.1%,环比上涨0.1%。全国工业生产者出厂价格同比下降2.7%,环比下降0.4%。 记者注意到,4月CPI环比由降转涨,同比略有下降,核心CPI涨幅稳定;PPI环比降幅与上月相同。 民生银行首席经济学家温彬在接受《每日经济新闻》记者微信采访时表示,更能反映供求关系的核心CPI涨幅保持稳定,体现了经济的内在韧性。4月PPI同 比-2.7%,主要因为在关税政策影响下,国际大宗商品价格迅速下行,导致国内相关行业价格下降。 东方金诚研究发展部总监冯琳在接受《每日经济新闻》记者微信采访时表示,CPI同比连续两个月保持-0.1%,基本符合市场预期。主要是受关税政策影响, 国际原油价格下跌向国内能源价格传导,抵消了当月食品价格同比降幅的收窄。当月扣除波动较大的能源和食品价格后,更能反映基本物价水平的核心CPI 同比为0.5%,保持稳定。 分项来看,食品价格同比下降0.2%,降幅比上月收窄1.2个百分点。能源价格同比下降4.8%,降幅比上月扩大2.2个百分点。 温 ...
重磅数据发布!现多项积极信号→
证券时报· 2025-05-10 04:19
Core Insights - The Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by 0.1% month-on-month in April, while year-on-year it decreased by 0.1%. The Producer Price Index (PPI) decreased by 0.4% month-on-month and by 2.7% year-on-year [1][2]. CPI Analysis - The month-on-month CPI change shifted from decline to increase, with a core CPI increase of 0.2% month-on-month and a stable year-on-year increase of 0.5%. This reflects the resilience of the economy [2][4]. - Food prices rose by 0.2%, and service prices increased by 0.3%, driven by seasonal factors and demand recovery during the holiday period [3][4]. PPI Analysis - The PPI's month-on-month decline of 0.4% was consistent with the previous month, influenced by international factors and seasonal declines in energy prices [8][10]. - Certain industrial sectors showed signs of price recovery, with reduced year-on-year declines in sectors such as black metal smelting and non-metallic mineral products [5][6]. Sector Performance - High-tech industries and construction activities contributed to a positive trend in some industrial prices, with specific sectors like wearable smart devices and aircraft manufacturing showing price increases [5][6]. - The international oil price decline negatively impacted domestic oil-related industries, leading to price drops in sectors such as petroleum extraction and refining [10]. Economic Outlook - The People's Bank of China anticipates that policies aimed at expanding domestic demand will support a moderate recovery in price levels [2][11]. - Recent monetary policies, including interest rate cuts and structural tools, are expected to stimulate domestic demand and support price stability [11].
2025年4月份居民消费价格同比下降0.1%
Guo Jia Tong Ji Ju· 2025-05-10 01:31
Core Points - In April 2025, the national consumer price index (CPI) decreased by 0.1% year-on-year, with urban prices remaining stable and rural prices declining by 0.3% [1] - The average CPI from January to April 2025 also showed a year-on-year decrease of 0.1% [1] Price Changes Year-on-Year - In April, food and tobacco prices increased by 0.3%, contributing approximately 0.07 percentage points to the CPI [3] - Fresh fruit prices rose by 5.2%, impacting the CPI by about 0.11 percentage points, while fresh vegetable prices fell by 5.0%, reducing the CPI by approximately 0.10 percentage points [3] - Among the eight major categories, seven saw price increases, with other goods and services, clothing, and education and cultural entertainment rising by 6.6%, 1.3%, and 0.7% respectively [3] Price Changes Month-on-Month - In April, food and tobacco prices increased by 0.2% month-on-month, contributing about 0.05 percentage points to the CPI [5] - Fresh fruit prices rose by 2.2%, impacting the CPI by approximately 0.05 percentage points, while fresh vegetable prices decreased by 1.8%, reducing the CPI by about 0.04 percentage points [5] - Other categories showed mixed results, with other goods and services, education and cultural entertainment, and healthcare prices increasing by 2.4%, 0.4%, and 0.2% respectively [5] Detailed Price Movements - The CPI for food and tobacco increased by 0.2% month-on-month and 0.3% year-on-year, while grain prices fell by 1.4% year-on-year [7] - Pork prices increased by 5.0% year-on-year, while beef prices decreased by 4.9% [7] - Transportation and communication prices decreased by 3.9% year-on-year, indicating a significant decline in this category [7] Statistical Overview - The CPI is a measure of the price level of a basket of consumer goods and services, reflecting changes in the cost of living [9] - The statistical survey covers a wide range of categories, including food, clothing, housing, and healthcare, among others [10]
业内预计:4月份CPI或温和波动 服务价格持续复苏
Zheng Quan Ri Bao· 2025-05-07 16:12
5月7日,《证券日报》记者采访了多位业内人士,前瞻4月份居民消费价格指数(CPI)与工业生产者出厂 价格指数(PPI)走势。受访专家普遍认为,基于已公布的4月份各项商品的高频数据来看,4月份CPI同比 有望温和波动;受外部不确定因素影响,大宗商品价格承压,4月份PPI同比跌幅或有所扩大。 在CPI方面,中信证券首席经济学家明明对《证券日报》记者表示,预计4月份CPI同比增长0.25%,环 比涨幅为0.46%。中金研报显示,4月份CPI同比或从-0.1%温和回升至0.1%。但西部证券(002673)首 席宏观分析师边泉水与民生银行首席经济学家温彬持相对谨慎态度,前者预计4月份CPI同比下降 0.2%,跌幅较3月份扩大0.1个百分点,后者则预测4月份CPI环比下降0.2%,同比下降0.3%。 能源与耐用品价格承压,服务消费成亮点。中金研报认为,以旧换新政策持续发力或将支撑非食品消费 品价格,服务价格或持续温和复苏。 温彬表示,综合影响下,能源价格跌幅扩大。受国际因素影响,国内成品油价格呈现"大起大落"走势。 其他能源方面,煤炭价格持续走低,天然气价格微降。4月份耐用消费品价格承压。一方面,新车集中 上市带动技术升 ...
3月广东CPI同比、环比降幅均收窄 八大类商品(服务)价格同比“4涨4降”
Core Insights - In March, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) in Guangdong showed a year-on-year decline of 0.5%, with the decrease narrowing by 0.6 percentage points compared to February [2] - The Industrial Producer Price Index (PPI) in Guangdong decreased by 1.3% year-on-year, with the decline expanding by 0.6 percentage points from February [3] CPI Analysis - The CPI for March indicated a year-on-year drop of 0.5%, with food prices down by 0.9% and non-food prices down by 0.4%. The prices of consumer goods fell by 0.6%, while service prices decreased by 0.3% [2] - On a month-on-month basis, the CPI fell by 0.4%, with food prices decreasing by 0.9% and non-food prices by 0.3%. The prices of consumer goods and services both declined by 0.4% [2] - Among the eight categories of goods and services, four saw price increases, including other goods and services (up 3.4%) and clothing (up 0.9%), while transportation and communication prices fell by 3.0% [2] PPI Analysis - The PPI for March recorded a year-on-year decline of 1.3%, with a month-on-month decrease of 0.4%. The producer price for raw materials fell by 2.0%, contributing significantly to the overall index decline [3] - The prices of production materials decreased by 2.0%, with mining industry prices down by 4.5% and processing industry prices down by 1.9% [3] - In terms of purchasing prices, the index for industrial producers showed a year-on-year decline of 2.2%, with notable increases in prices for non-ferrous metals and electrical wires (up 9.6%) [3]
2025年3月份居民消费价格同比下降0.1%
Guo Jia Tong Ji Ju· 2025-04-10 01:31
一、各类商品及服务价格同比变动情况 3月份,食品烟酒类价格同比下降0.6%,影响CPI(居民消费价格指数)下降约0.17个百分点。食品中,鲜菜价格下降6.8%,影响CPI下降约0.15个百分点; 蛋类价格下降1.6%,影响CPI下降约0.01个百分点;粮食价格下降1.5%,影响CPI下降约0.03个百分点;猪肉价格上涨6.7%,影响CPI上涨约0.08个百分点; 鲜果价格上涨0.9%,影响CPI上涨约0.02个百分点。 其他七大类价格同比六涨一降。其中,其他用品及服务、衣着价格分别上涨6.2%和1.3%,教育文化娱乐、生活用品及服务价格分别上涨0.8%和0.6%,居 住、医疗保健价格均上涨0.1%;交通通信价格下降2.6%。 二、各类商品及服务价格环比变动情况 3月份,食品烟酒类价格环比下降0.9%,影响CPI下降约0.24个百分点。食品中,鲜菜价格下降5.1%,影响CPI下降约0.11个百分点;蛋类价格下降2.7%,影 响CPI下降约0.02个百分点;畜肉类价格下降2.2%,影响CPI下降约0.07个百分点,其中猪肉价格下降4.4%,影响CPI下降约0.06个百分点;鲜果价格下降 1.6%,影响CPI下降约 ...
【宏观经济】一周要闻回顾(2025年3月5日-3月11日)
乘联分会· 2025-03-12 08:36
Trade Data Summary - In the first two months of the year, China's total goods trade value reached 6.54 trillion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 1.2%. Exports amounted to 3.88 trillion yuan, marking a historical high for the same period, with a year-on-year increase of 3.4%. Imports were 2.66 trillion yuan, down 7.3% year-on-year [2][3] - The overall foreign trade operation in China remained stable, with a 1.7% increase in imports and exports after adjusting for fewer working days compared to last year [3] - Exports of mechanical and electrical products reached 2.33 trillion yuan, growing by 5.4% year-on-year, accounting for 60% of total exports, an increase of 1.1 percentage points from the previous year [3] - Private enterprises showed continued innovation strength, with a total import and export value of 3.69 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 2%, representing 56.4% of China's total foreign trade [3] - ASEAN maintained its position as China's largest trading partner, with trade value of 1.03 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 4%, accounting for 15.8% of total trade [3] Consumer Price Index (CPI) Summary - In February 2025, the national consumer price index (CPI) decreased by 0.7% year-on-year, with urban and rural areas both experiencing a decline of 0.7%. Food prices fell by 3.3%, while non-food prices decreased by 0.1% [4][5] - The average CPI for January and February was down 0.1% compared to the same period last year [5] - Month-on-month, the CPI fell by 0.2% in February, with urban areas down 0.2% and rural areas down 0.1% [5] - The price of food and tobacco decreased by 1.9% year-on-year, contributing approximately 0.54 percentage points to the CPI decline [6] - Among food items, fresh vegetable prices dropped by 12.6%, impacting the CPI by about 0.31 percentage points [6]
哪吒2冲上全球第6!马斯克发现美政府数千亿美元假合同!住宅层高标准将调为不低于3米!2月份居民消费价格同比下降0.7%!
新浪财经· 2025-03-10 00:41
Group 1 - The global box office of "Ne Zha" has surpassed "Avengers: Infinity War," ranking it sixth in the global box office chart [3] - The U.S. government is facing scrutiny over potentially fraudulent contracts worth hundreds of billions, as highlighted by Elon Musk [5] - President Trump emphasized the need for significant government layoffs, suggesting a reduction of 50% to 70% in certain areas, while also addressing fraud in social security and healthcare [6] Group 2 - The Ministry of Housing and Urban-Rural Development plans to raise residential ceiling height standards to no less than 3 meters to meet high-quality living needs [9] - The ministry will focus on three main areas: establishing standards, promoting technology, and driving project implementation for better housing [10][11] - In February, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) decreased by 0.7% year-on-year, influenced by various factors including the timing of the Spring Festival and fluctuations in international commodity prices [12][13]
重磅数据出炉:同比由涨转降
21世纪经济报道· 2025-03-09 04:29
Core Viewpoint - The Consumer Price Index (CPI) in February showed a month-on-month decrease of 0.2% and a year-on-year decrease of 0.7%, influenced by factors such as the timing of the Spring Festival and fluctuations in international commodity prices [1][2]. Group 1: CPI Analysis - The CPI's year-on-year decline in February is attributed to a high comparison base from the previous year due to the Spring Festival, which caused significant price increases in food and services [1]. - The CPI's year-on-year change of -0.7% includes a lagged impact from last year's price changes of approximately -1.2 percentage points, while this year's new price changes contributed about 0.5 percentage points [2]. - Food prices decreased by 3.3% year-on-year, accounting for over 80% of the total decline in CPI, with significant impacts from airfare and tourism prices, which fell by 22.6% and 9.6% respectively [2]. Group 2: Contributing Factors - Favorable weather conditions in February facilitated the growth and transportation of fresh vegetables, leading to a year-on-year price drop of 12.6%, which contributed approximately -0.31 percentage points to the CPI decline [2]. - Promotional price reductions in automobiles, with fuel and new energy vehicles seeing year-on-year price drops of 5.0% and 6.0% respectively, also contributed to the CPI's decrease by about -0.16 percentage points [2].