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国际金价首破4000美元 记者实探:国内金饰克价破1160元 柜员称有人花33万买婚庆三金|封面头条
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-08 09:50
封面新闻记者 朱珠 10月8日,COMEX黄金期货价格最高触及4061.2美元/盎司,年内大涨逾50%。伦敦现货黄金价格也首次站上4000美元整数关口,再创历史新高。受此影 响,港股黄金股涨幅扩大,截至收盘,赤峰黄金涨逾13%,山东黄金涨近8%,招金矿业涨逾4%。 伴随着国际金价"狂飙",国内消费端的金饰品价格也水涨船高。10月8日,记者注意到,部分品牌足金首饰价格突破了1160元/克,周大福、六福珠宝、周 大生饰品报1162元/克,周生生足金饰品最高报1165元/克,以此计算,国庆假期8天国内金饰克价上涨了近40元。 有消费者花数十万元买婚庆三金 婚庆三金饰品。 现货黄金首次站上4000美元关口 国际金价年内大涨超50% 2025年以来,全球地区冲突不断升级,避险情绪利好黄金,国际黄金价格大幅上扬,接连突破3000美元、3500美元、3800美元关口,不断刷新历史高位。 据中国黄金协会统计数据,今年上半年,伦敦现货黄金均价3066.59美元/盎司,较上一年同期上涨39.21%。经过几个月横盘整理,7月黄金价格走势跌宕 起伏,而后8月开始震荡上行。 特别是9月底,金价开始狂飙。据央视财经报道,10月7日国际金 ...
金饰克价首次站上1100元
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-23 17:55
来源:四川在线-华西都市报 再创历史新高 综合新华社、中国证券报 新闻分析 金价还会涨吗? 今年以来,国际现货黄金涨幅已近43%,以人民币计价的现货黄金价格累计上涨超36%。 "美联储如期降息后,市场关注点转向年内后续降息路径。"东方金诚分析师瞿瑞认为,美联储降息将直 接降低持有无息黄金的机会成本,同时打压美元指数,此外地缘冲突仍然频发,这些因素均对金价构成 支撑。 贺利氏贵金属中国区交易总监陆伟佳表示,8月份,上海黄金交易所黄金实物出库量出现逆季节性下 滑,高金价对亚洲地区黄金实物消费的抑制逐渐显现。从当月黄金ETF来看,尽管全球黄金ETF保持净 流入,但亚洲地区的投资者反而减持4.8吨,这导致亚洲交易时段黄金涨势相对乏力。 9月22日,记者对北京地区多家品牌珠宝店进行实地走访发现,临近国庆、中秋假期,不少品牌珠宝店 推出优惠活动,但优惠力度整体较小。 "最近几天,金价一直在涨。目前金价属于历史高位。国庆、中秋节假日期间会有一些额外的优惠活 动,但如果按照目前的金价计算,预计优惠完每克的价格也要在千元左右。"北京一家周大生门店销售 人员说。 从现场销售情况看,受金价高企影响,销售量整体较为平淡。"目前,每个 ...
黄金还要长多久?央行连续17个月狂买黄金,到底是机会还是陷阱
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-21 23:28
Core Insights - The global gold market is experiencing significant changes, with central banks and investors increasingly turning to gold as a safe-haven asset amid economic and geopolitical uncertainties [1][3][11] Group 1: Central Bank Activities - Central banks worldwide, including the People's Bank of China, have been increasing their gold reserves, with China adding gold for 17 consecutive months [1] - Global central bank purchases of gold are exceeding one-quarter of the total global production annually, indicating a strong demand for gold as a reserve asset [1][11] Group 2: Economic Factors Influencing Gold Prices - The anticipated interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, driven by weak U.S. employment data and rising unemployment rates, are contributing to a weaker dollar and higher gold prices [3] - The relationship between economic weakness, Fed rate cuts, dollar depreciation, and rising gold prices forms a closed loop that enhances gold's appeal [3] Group 3: Geopolitical Tensions - Ongoing geopolitical tensions, such as military conflicts in the Middle East and trade policy uncertainties from the U.S., are increasing the demand for gold as a hedge against risk [3][11] Group 4: Regional Investment Trends - In contrast to the aggressive gold accumulation by central banks and Western investors, Asian markets, particularly China, show a more cautious approach, with a reduction of nearly 4.8 tons in gold ETFs since August [4] - Despite a strong performance in the A-share market and a rising yuan, some investors in Asia still view gold as an important part of their asset allocation, albeit with a more cautious stance [4] Group 5: Market Dynamics - The gold market is exhibiting a "two extremes" phenomenon, where high gold prices have led to a decline in demand for gold jewelry, while investment gold bars are experiencing shortages [5][7] - The demand for gold ETFs is expected to see significant growth, with an increase of 879 billion yuan in China alone, indicating a strong interest in gold investments despite high prices [7] Group 6: Future Price Predictions - Major financial institutions like Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley are optimistic about gold prices, predicting potential highs of $4,000 to $5,000 per ounce by mid-2026 [9] - The shift in global reserve dynamics, with gold surpassing the euro as the second-largest reserve asset, reflects a broader transformation in the global financial landscape [11]
金价再创历史!金饰品涨至
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-18 06:47
Group 1 - International gold prices continue to rise, with spot gold nearing $3690 and COMEX gold futures reaching a historical high of $3728 [1] - As of the latest report, spot gold is priced at $3679.460 per ounce, up 0.01%, while COMEX gold futures are at $3719.8 per ounce, up 0.02% [1] - Domestic gold jewelry brands have also seen price increases, with some reaching their highest levels of the year [3] Group 2 - On September 16, the price of Chow Sang Sang gold jewelry reached 1091 RMB per gram, marking a year-to-date high, an increase of 17 RMB from the previous day [3] - Other brands such as Lao Miao and Lao Feng Xiang also reported year-high prices of 1087 RMB and 1086 RMB per gram, respectively, with daily increases of 13 RMB and 12 RMB [3] - The price of platinum jewelry is reported at 564 RMB per gram, while gold bars are priced at 1043 RMB per gram [7] Group 3 - The rapid increase in gold prices is driven by multiple factors, including market expectations of an upcoming Federal Reserve interest rate cut, rising global geopolitical uncertainties, continued central bank gold purchases, and expanded inflows into gold ETFs [8] - Several institutions have recently raised their gold price forecasts, with Goldman Sachs predicting a potential rise to $4000 per ounce by mid-2026 under baseline scenarios [8] - In a "tail risk scenario," gold prices could reach $4500 per ounce, and if just 1% of U.S. private sector Treasury holdings were to flow into gold, prices could approach $5000 per ounce [8]
一路狂飙,黄金价格再度刷新纪录?
Hu Xiu· 2025-09-17 00:11
黄金价格又创新高,首次突破3560美元/盎司,年内涨幅超35%。金饰品水涨船高,1050元/克。今年结 婚,恐怕金镯子都得细一圈! ...
一夜猛涨17元,金饰克价涨到1091元
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-16 02:40
Group 1 - The core point of the news is the significant increase in gold prices, both in the jewelry market and international futures, driven by various economic factors [1][2][3] Group 2 - On September 9, the price per gram of gold jewelry from major brands rose, with Chow Sang Sang at 1091 RMB (up 17 RMB), Lao Miao at 1087 RMB (up 11 RMB), and Chow Tai Fook at 1087 RMB (up 13 RMB) [1] - As of September 15, the COMEX gold futures price reached a record high of 3724.9 USD/ounce, closing at 3719.5 USD/ounce, marking a 1.05% increase [2] - The international gold price has surged over 40% this year, influenced by expectations of an upcoming interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve, rising global geopolitical uncertainties, continued central bank gold purchases, and increased inflows into gold ETFs [2]
中国2025年8月经济数据图景:8月生产改善,投资放缓
Hua Tai Qi Huo· 2025-09-16 02:40
Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core Viewpoints - In August, industrial production improved with the national above - scale industrial added value growing 5.2% year - on - year and 0.37% month - on - month, and 6.2% year - on - year from January to August. The decline of PPI narrowed, and CPI decreased year - on - year but was flat month - on - month. Core CPI increased for four consecutive months. Domestic consumption is expected to continue to recover in Q3 [3]. - From January to August, national fixed - asset investment (excluding rural households) was 326111 billion yuan, with a year - on - year growth of 0.5%, and a month - on - month decline of 0.20% in August. The third - industry investment was dragged down by real estate, but the investment structure continued to optimize [4]. - From January to August, the total retail sales of consumer goods was 323906 billion yuan, with a year - on - year growth of 4.6%, and 39668 billion yuan in August, with a year - on - year growth of 3.4%. The consumer market is recovering, but the demand foundation needs to be consolidated. In the real estate market, both investment and sales were under pressure from January to August [5]. Summary by Directory Growth: Steady Uptick - In August, the national above - scale industrial added value grew 5.2% year - on - year and 0.37% month - on - month, and 6.2% year - on - year from January to August. The equipment and high - tech manufacturing industries outperformed the overall level. Some product outputs increased significantly. However, external uncertainties remain [11]. Inflation: Month - on - Month Recovery - In August 2025, the national PPI decreased 2.9% year - on - year, with the decline narrowing. The pressure on energy and raw material supply and demand eased marginally, some external - demand industries improved, and new - quality productivity industries and consumption - upgrade demand supported price increases. However, factors such as weak downstream demand and international input still restrict the full recovery of PPI, which is expected to continue a mild recovery [21]. - In August, CPI decreased 0.4% year - on - year and was flat month - on - month. Core CPI increased 0.9% year - on - year, with the increase expanding for four consecutive months. Food prices were the main drag, while non - food prices and service consumption showed positive trends. Domestic consumption is expected to continue to recover in Q3 [45]. Investment: Marginal Slowdown - From January to August 2025, national fixed - asset investment (excluding rural households) was 326111 billion yuan, with a year - on - year growth of 0.5%, and a month - on - month decline of 0.20% in August. The second - industry investment grew rapidly, while the third - industry investment was dragged down by real estate. Investment growth varied by region. Overall, the investment structure is optimizing, but the real estate market still drags down the overall investment [59]. Production: Continued Growth - From January to August 2025, the national above - scale industrial added value grew 6.2% year - on - year, with a 5.2% year - on - year and 0.37% month - on - month growth in August. The manufacturing industry maintained growth, and high - tech manufacturing outperformed. New kinetic energy products grew rapidly, and foreign trade also increased. However, the foundation for the continuous recovery of the industrial economy needs to be consolidated [63]. Consumption: Slowing Growth - From January to August 2025, the total retail sales of consumer goods was 323906 billion yuan, with a year - on - year growth of 4.6%, and 39668 billion yuan in August, with a year - on - year growth of 3.4%. The consumer market showed the characteristics of stable growth in commodity consumption and resilience in service consumption. Online consumption grew rapidly. Overall, the consumer market is recovering, but the demand foundation needs to be consolidated [74]. Real Estate: Both Investment and Demand Under Pressure - From January to August, national real estate development investment was 60309 billion yuan, with a year - on - year decline of 12.9%. The funds in place for real estate development enterprises decreased, and sales were weak. The real estate market still faced downward pressure, but inventory reduction policies had some effects. The demand - side confidence needs to be restored [86]. Appendix - In August, the national economy maintained a stable and progressive development trend. Industrial production, services, market sales, fixed - asset investment, foreign trade, etc. all showed certain growth, and employment and prices were generally stable. However, there were still many external uncertainties, and the economy faced challenges [103].
中金:物价的三个关注点——2025年8月通胀数据点评
中金点睛· 2025-09-12 00:07
Core Viewpoint - The August CPI turned negative at -0.4% year-on-year, primarily driven by a decline in food prices, influenced by high base effects from the previous year [2][3] - Core CPI continues to improve, reaching 0.9% year-on-year, supported by rising prices of gold and platinum jewelry, as well as services [4][5] CPI Analysis - The food price index fell by 4.3% year-on-year, with fresh vegetables, fruits, and pork contributing significantly to the decline [3][4] - The drop in vegetable and pork prices may not be sustained due to high base effects from last year, where prices surged due to extreme weather conditions [3][4] - The core CPI's increase is attributed to a 37.1% rise in gold jewelry prices and a 27.3% rise in platinum jewelry prices, contributing 0.31 percentage points to the core CPI [5][6] PPI Analysis - The PPI ended its downward trend, remaining flat month-on-month, with a year-on-year decline of 2.9%, a narrowing of the drop by 0.7 percentage points from the previous month [8][9] - The "anti-involution" effect is beginning to show, but its impact on prices is limited, with various industries experiencing reduced price declines [8][9] - Predictions indicate that the PPI may have reached its bottom in July, with future declines expected to narrow, although a positive trend in the next year remains challenging [9][10] Consumer Goods and Services - Prices of durable goods are showing improvement, with household appliances increasing by 4.6% year-on-year and communication tools by 0.8% [6][7] - The automotive sector is experiencing a reduction in price declines due to improved competition management, with fuel vehicle prices decreasing by 2.3% year-on-year [6][7] - Despite the rise in consumer prices for certain goods, the PPI for related industries has not improved, indicating a potential slowdown in demand [6][7]
薛鹤翔、唐广华:8月物价数据显暖意 消费与工业双轮驱动经济向好
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-11 16:31
Group 1 - The national consumer price index (CPI) decreased by 0.4% year-on-year in August 2025, while the core CPI, excluding food and energy, increased by 0.9%, marking four consecutive months of expansion [1][4] - The producer price index (PPI) fell by 2.9% year-on-year, but the decline narrowed by 0.7 percentage points compared to the previous month, indicating a shift from decline to stability on a month-on-month basis [1][4] - The divergence in price indicators reflects a differentiated recovery in the domestic consumption market and industrial sector [1] Group 2 - Food prices were the main drag on the CPI, with significant declines in pork, fresh vegetables, and eggs, while non-food prices rose by 0.5%, particularly in services [3] - The PPI showed positive signals as it ended an eight-month decline, with prices in upstream industries like coal processing and black metal smelting turning from decline to increase [3] - Emerging industries such as integrated circuit packaging and shipbuilding saw price recoveries, indicating positive effects from industrial structure adjustments [3][4] Group 3 - Analysts noted that the current price trend exhibits characteristics of "core stability and structural improvement," with the core CPI reflecting a gradual recovery in domestic demand [4] - The narrowing PPI decline suggests improvements in industry capacity governance and stability in supply chains, particularly in key industries [4] - The recovery in emerging industry prices injects new momentum into the industrial economy, indicating that the recovery process in the industrial sector may be faster than expected [4] Group 4 - Experts anticipate that the recovery momentum in the consumption market will continue to be released, with service prices likely to remain high due to the normalization of peak seasons for tourism and accommodation [6] - The construction of a unified national market is expected to optimize industry competition, while macro policies will continue to drive structural adjustments in industries [6] - However, fluctuations in international commodity prices may pose input-related impacts, and the issue of insufficient domestic effective demand requires ongoing policy support [6]
2025年8月物价数据点评:物价数据步入改善过程
Ping An Securities· 2025-09-11 04:48
Group 1: CPI Analysis - In August 2025, the CPI year-on-year decreased by 0.4%, while the PPI year-on-year decreased by 2.9%[2] - The core CPI, excluding food and energy, increased by 0.9%, marking a continuous expansion for four months[3] - The food component of CPI fell by 4.3%, contributing approximately 0.51 percentage points to the overall CPI decline[3] Group 2: PPI Insights - The year-on-year decline in PPI narrowed by 0.7 percentage points, the first contraction since March 2025[3] - PPI remained flat month-on-month after a decline of 0.2% in the previous month, indicating a potential stabilization[3] - The prices of production materials increased by 0.3% month-on-month, while living materials saw a slight recovery[3] Group 3: Market Outlook - The overall price data indicates an improvement, with core CPI steadily rising and PPI showing signs of stabilization[3] - The supply pressure from pork prices is expected to persist into the first quarter of next year, impacting CPI[3] - Continued improvement in price data may influence asset reallocation strategies in equity and bond markets[3]