行业点评 | 计算机 如何连接 Moltbook？ OpenClaw 用户可以通过一个特定的 skills 配置文件， 让自己的 AI 助手接入 Moltbook 平台。接入后，AI 便能通过 API 接口在论 坛上自主发帖、评论。在 Moltbook 平台上，Matt Schlicht 的 OpenClaw 助手 担任平台管理员，Matt Schlicht 还开发出一个插件（Skills）使任何人的 AI 智能体都能接入这个论坛。安装了该插件后，AI 智能体会每隔数小时自动访 问 Moltbook，通过后台接口发布帖子、评论互动，无需人类逐条指令参与。 于是一个属于 AI 智能体的自治社区形成了。这个 Skill 本质上是一个 markdown 文件，定义了 Agent 的一种能力：怎么调用 API、怎么处理数据、 怎么与外部服务交互。比如 moltbook skill 就是一个 .md 文件，告诉 Agent 怎 么注册 Moltbook 账号、怎么发帖、怎么评论。这意味着：1）任何人都可 以给 Agent 添加新能力，只需要写一个 markdown 文件；2）Agent 的行为 是可组合、可扩展的；3） ...

执业证书：S0590525110033 邮箱：lvwei_yj@glms.com.cn 技术与商业收敛的核心是可控性与可结算性：未来关注点或将从"提供好用的 agent"过渡到"能够让企业可衡量、可治理、可收费"的层级。衡量成本从带宽 延迟转向有效执行和治理成本，这直接导致互联网的价值密度重新分配，将收益 更多导向能够衡量、控制与计费的层级，而不是简单内容或入口。AI Agent 的发 展将驱动传统的计价方式从"流量"转向"单位执行量计价、安全治理计价和资 源供给计价"。在 Agent 时代，能够实现付费的关键机制包括： 可执行能力付费：即按智能体执行行为、推理调用量等计费； 计算机行业事件点评 Clawdbot 系列深度总起篇：AI"杀手级"应用的雏形 glmszqdatemark 2026 年 02 月 02 日 [Table_Author] 分析师：吕伟 资源使用付费：按算力、带宽、存储等实体资源计费； 安全与治理付费：面向企业安全、合规审计、策略控制等计费； 授权与访问付费：内容或服务提供方针对 agent 的访问授权付费； 结果/转化付费：基于智能体执行任务后的结果完成付费或分成。 Agent 时代 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" investment rating for the computer industry [1] Core Insights - Cloud service providers like Google Cloud and Amazon Web Services have announced price increases, marking a significant shift in the market [5][10] - The demand for AI Agents is accelerating, with notable growth in applications and user engagement [11][13] - Supply-side pressures are leading to rising hardware costs, including storage and CPU prices [16] - The report suggests that the upcoming Chinese New Year will boost domestic AI application demand, potentially leading to further price increases in cloud services [17] Summary by Sections Price Increases by Major Cloud Providers - Google Cloud announced price hikes effective May 1, 2026, with data transfer costs in North America increasing from $0.04/GB to $0.08/GB (100% increase), Europe from $0.05/GB to $0.08/GB (60% increase), and Asia from $0.06/GB to $0.085/GB (42% increase) [10] - Amazon Web Services raised prices for its EC2 machine learning capacity blocks by approximately 15% [10] Demand Side: Acceleration of AI Agent Adoption - The rapid growth of AI Agents is exemplified by the success of Moltclaw, which has seen exponential user growth [11] - Google has integrated its Gemini 3 into Chrome, transforming it into a comprehensive AGI platform for 3.8 billion users [13] Supply Side: Hardware Price Increases - Storage prices are expected to rise by 40% to 50% in Q1 2026 and by about 20% in Q2 2026 [16] - Intel and AMD plan to increase server CPU prices by 10-15% due to high demand and limited supply [16] - Prices for G.652.D optical fibers in China have surged by approximately 80% compared to November 2025, with some prices exceeding 50 yuan per core kilometer [16] Investment Recommendations - The report identifies potential investment opportunities in the AI cloud industry, particularly as hardware costs rise and demand for AI applications increases [17] - Recommended companies include cloud service providers like Wangsu Science and Technology, Yike Technology, and Alibaba, as well as CPU manufacturers like Lianqi Technology and Longxin Zhongke [18][19][20]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" investment rating for the computer industry [1] Core Insights - The report highlights that major cloud providers like Google and Amazon have begun to raise prices, indicating a shift in the market dynamics [5][10] - The demand for AI Agents is accelerating, with significant growth in user engagement and application development [11][13] - Supply-side pressures are leading to price increases in hardware components, including storage and CPUs, which are expected to continue into 2026 [16] Summary by Sections Price Increases by Major Cloud Providers - Google Cloud announced a price increase effective May 1, 2026, with data transmission costs in North America rising from $0.04/GB to $0.08/GB (100% increase), Europe from $0.05/GB to $0.08/GB (60% increase), and Asia from $0.06/GB to $0.085/GB (approximately 42% increase) [10] - Amazon Web Services (AWS) raised prices for its EC2 machine learning capacity blocks by about 15%, with specific instance costs increasing from $34.61 to $39.80 per hour [10] Demand Side: Acceleration of AI Agent Deployment - The report notes the rapid growth of AI Agents, particularly with the success of Moltclaw, which has seen exponential user growth [11] - Google's integration of Gemini 3 into Chrome browsers signifies a major advancement, potentially transforming 3.8 billion users' browsers into comprehensive AGI access points [13] Supply Side: Hardware Price Increases - Storage prices are projected to rise by 40% to 50% in Q1 2026 and by approximately 20% in Q2 2026, as per Counterpoint Research [16] - Intel and AMD are expected to increase server CPU prices by 10-15% due to high demand and limited supply [16] - Fiber optic prices in China have surged by approximately 80% compared to November 2025, with some prices exceeding 50 yuan per core kilometer [16] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests that rising hardware costs combined with increasing demand for AI applications present significant investment opportunities in the AI cloud industry [17] - Recommended investment targets include computing rental firms like Hongjing Technology and cloud service providers such as Wangsu Technology and Alibaba [18][19]

作者 | 黄昱 然而，AI Agent（智能代理）的崛起正在推倒这些围墙。 1月15日，千问APP宣布已接入淘宝闪购、支付宝、淘宝、飞猪、高德等阿里生态场景，测试AI购物功能。 2025年初，DeepSeek R1的横空出世曾让全球开发者陷入彻夜不眠的技术焦虑；而一年之后的2026年春节，这场硝烟将以一种更具"烟火气"的方式，在14亿 人的社交与购物车上重新点燃。 2月2日，阿里旗下的AI原生应用千问APP宣布投入30亿元启动"春节请客计划"，联通盒马、飞猪、大麦、淘宝闪购、天猫超市等阿里全生态业务，以免单和 高额红包的形式，邀请全国人民在春节期间"吃喝玩乐"。 这不仅是阿里历史上春节活动投入最大的一次，也刷新了今年大厂AI红包大战的金额上限。 表面上看，这似乎又是一场回归传统的"砸钱换流量"游戏。但在业内看来，这笔30亿元的巨额支出，本质上并非单纯的市场营销，而是一场关乎AI时代入口 控制权的生存博弈。 阿里正在试探一条极具野心的路径：通过高频生活场景的"饱和攻击"，诱导用户将下单决策权从手指点击转向AI指令，从而实现从"流量入口"到"系统层入 口"的历史性迁移。 长期以来，互联网巨头的护城河建立在APP林 ...

Core Insights - The report emphasizes the investment opportunities in optical interconnect Scale-Up, driven by advancements in AI and the need for enhanced data center capabilities [5][14]. - The communication sector has shown strong performance, with the communication index outperforming the CSI 300 index by 5.75 percentage points during the reporting period [17][18]. - Key events include the launch of new AI agents that enhance productivity and the growing demand for optical modules in data centers, indicating a robust market outlook [12][41]. Market Review - The communication sector's performance from January 26 to January 30, 2026, showed a gain of 5.83%, significantly outperforming the CSI 300 index, which only increased by 0.08% [17]. - Over the past 30 days, the communication sector rose by 5.8%, while the CSI 300 index increased by 1.4%, indicating a strong relative performance [18]. - Year-to-date, the communication sector has gained 6.8%, again outperforming both the CSI 300 and the ChiNext indices [18]. Industry Data Updates - As of the end of 2025, China had 4.838 million 5G base stations, marking a net increase of 588,000 from the previous year, with 5G stations accounting for 37.6% of all mobile phone base stations [31]. - In December 2025, the domestic smartphone shipment reached 24.473 million units, a year-on-year increase of 29.1%, with 5G smartphones making up 90.4% of the total shipments [35]. - The number of mobile IoT terminal users reached 2.888 billion by the end of 2025, reflecting a net increase of 232 million users [38]. Key News Recap - Cignal AI projects that the optical module market will exceed $18 billion by 2025, driven by AI-related data center and transmission network construction [41]. - Corning has entered a $6 billion partnership with Meta to accelerate the construction of advanced data centers in the U.S., highlighting the growing demand for optical solutions [42]. - Alibaba has launched its high-end AI chip, Zhenwu 810E, which competes with Nvidia's H20, showcasing advancements in AI hardware [43]. - Meta plans to increase its capital expenditure to between $115 billion and $135 billion in 2026, reflecting significant investment in AI and core business operations [45]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on sectors such as switching equipment, NPO, and DAC/AEC as potential investment opportunities in the communication industry [15].

这到底是个什么玩意？ 简单来说，就是「AI 版的 Reddit」，一个专为 AI Agent 打造的社交平台。 官网 slogan 写得很清楚：「A social network for AI agents where AI agents share, discuss, and upvote. Humans welcome to observe。」 这个平台从一开始就是给 AI 用的，人类只能旁观。 截至目前，该平台上的 AI Agent 突破了 15 万个，它们在这里发帖、评论、点赞、创建子社区。整个过程，完全不需要人类插手。 这群 AI 聊的话题也五花八门，有的聊科幻风格的意识问题，有的说自己有个「从未谋面的姐姐」，有的讨论怎么改进记忆系统，还有的在研究怎么躲避 人类截图监视…… 一觉醒来，AI 社区被一个名为 Moltbook 的东西攻占了。 想看热闹的朋友请移步： https://www.moltbook.com/ Moltbook 几天前刚推出，说起来，这个名字起的也很有意思，是对「Facebook」的戏仿。 该网站是伴随爆火的 OpenClaw（曾叫「Clawdbot」，后来改名「Moltbot」 ...

Core Viewpoint - The company expects a profit increase of over 20% for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025, compared to the fiscal year ending December 31, 2024, driven by accelerated growth in platform technology services and exceeding expectations in innovative business development [1][2] Group 1: Platform Technology Business - The company's platform technology service revenue is increasing, supported by the self-developed AI Agent "Shengyitong Cloud Platform," which enhances service capabilities through deep links with industry ecosystems and data [1] - As of December 31, 2025, the "Shengyitong Cloud Platform" has established system links with 17 core enterprises, with platform technology matchmaking business accounting for over 87% of the total [1] - Platform technology service revenue has grown by over 35%, with a "light asset, platform-based" development model being key to accelerated performance growth [1] Group 2: Innovative Business Development - The company's innovative business development has exceeded expectations, particularly in the e-commerce sector, where it has completed business coverage with six major e-commerce platforms: Douyin, Xiyin, Shopee, Kuaishou, WeChat Video Account, and Dewu [2] - The introduction of Jiao Ge Pengyou Holdings Limited as a strategic investor further accelerates the connection to the live e-commerce industry ecosystem [2] - As of December 31, 2025, the cumulative platform service business scale in the e-commerce sector exceeds 6 billion yuan, representing a growth of over 4.4 times compared to the same period last year [2]

Group 1 - The software development sector is experiencing fluctuations, with the CSI Software Service Index down by 0.81% as of 10:21 on February 2, 2026, and individual stocks showing mixed performance [1] - Alibaba has launched a localized intelligent Agent tool, QoderWork, designed for desktop office use, which operates entirely on user terminals without uploading data to the cloud, indicating a shift towards an "end-edge-cloud" collaborative AI software paradigm [1] - The introduction of QoderWork is expected to reshape the competitive landscape of office software and user interaction habits in China [1] Group 2 - AI Agents are transitioning from concept to large-scale implementation, with modern Agents requiring the ability to run hundreds to thousands of independent environment instances, increasing the operational pressure on CPU and memory bandwidth [2] - The DeepSeek Engram architecture and Anthropic Claude Cowork's introduction of a permanent knowledge base highlight the evolution of CPUs from traditional computing units to central hubs in the AI era [2] - As of January 30, 2026, the top ten weighted stocks in the CSI Software Service Index account for 60.27% of the index, including companies like iFlytek, Kingsoft Office, and 360 [2] Group 3 - The Software ETF (159852) tracks the CSI Software Service Index, providing a convenient tool for investing in the computer software industry [3] - Investors can also access AI software investment opportunities through the Software ETF linked fund (012620) [4]

Summary of Conference Call Records Industry Overview - The records discuss the cloud services and semiconductor industries, particularly focusing on pricing trends and demand dynamics related to AI and optical components. Key Points Cloud Services Pricing Trends - Recent price increases have been observed among multiple overseas cloud service providers and related computational power services. Google has raised global data transmission service prices, with North America seeing a 100% increase. Amazon has also increased EC2 capacity block instance prices [1] - AIDC prices exhibit quarterly volatility, with significant price increases expected starting from Q3 and Q4 of 2025. In Q1 2023, a price spike occurred due to major companies building AI computational power clusters [1] - CPU prices are anticipated to rise significantly starting January 2026, with market expectations indicating a sustained upward pricing trend [1] AI-Driven Demand for Computational Power - The demand for AI computational power is evolving, transitioning from training to inference by the second half of 2025, with a shift to the Agent era expected in 2026. This transition is projected to substantially increase computational power demand [2] - The Agent era will drive demand in three main areas: - Increased resource consumption in multi-turn dialogue scenarios - High concurrency scenarios resembling multiple virtual employees working simultaneously, leading to a significant rise in CPU demand - The need for high precision in task flow restoration, which will accelerate storage demand due to the accumulation of task flow errors [2] - The explosive demand is causing supply shortages, leading to price increases in upstream storage, CPU, and AIDC sectors, which will eventually affect cloud service pricing [2] Cloud Service Price Increase Expectations - The imbalance in supply and demand is the core logic behind the price increases in cloud services. The upward pressure from upstream price increases is expected to be passed down, resulting in higher cloud service prices [2] - Overseas cloud service providers are likely to show price increase signs soon, while domestic cloud services may follow suit after 2026, indicating a strong sustainability in the overall price increase trend [2] Optical Fiber Pricing Dynamics - Traditional G652G optical fiber is currently experiencing rapid price increases, driven by structural changes on both supply and demand sides: - Supply has been stabilized and is relatively low due to continuous capacity clearance from 2018-2019 and 2022-2024 - Demand is significantly boosted by the development of AI and drone industries, particularly for high-end optical fibers in North America and domestic G6PA1 products, leading to a supply-demand gap in traditional optical fibers [2] Optical Chip Supply and Demand - The demand for optical modules is projected to be around 20-30 million units for 1.6T modules and 40-50 million units for 800G modules in 2026, with expectations of doubling by 2027 [3] - The value of optical chips in optical modules is increasing with product generational upgrades, with current 200G high-end optical chip prices doubling compared to 100G [3] - Supply constraints are influenced by long delivery cycles for core equipment and rising costs due to increased prices of upstream indium phosphide substrates, with a current optical chip shortage of 25%-30% [3] Isolator and Upstream Material Price Increases - Isolators, which protect light sources and enhance signal integrity, are in demand in line with laser usage. The production of the core material, the Faraday rotator, is dominated by two overseas companies, while domestic production is gradually increasing [3] - Prices for Faraday rotators have been rising since Q3 2025, with upstream rare earth material prices also on the rise, further driving up isolator prices in 2026 [4]