活动过程中，密云区总工会慰问组一行先后走进北京新能源汽车股份有限公司北京分公司、汉拿万都 （北京）汽车部件有限公司等辖区重点企业，向企业职工表示问候，并向为区域发展作出贡献的企业管 理层和企业家们致以敬意。慰问组一行充分肯定了辖区企业为密云经济增长、税收贡献、就业保障等方 面作出的贡献，彰显了龙头企业的责任与担当。同时鼓励广大一线职工坚守初心与使命，立足岗位不断 创新进取，在实干笃行中锤炼过硬本领，在精益求精中续写辉煌篇章，为密云区经济社会高质量发展贡 献更多智慧与力量。 （来源：劳动午报） 慰问期间，密云区总工会与企业相关负责人开展座谈交流，进一步倾听企业诉求，精准对接服务需求， 为后续政企协同发力、推动高质量发展奠定坚实基础。 转自：劳动午报 本报讯（记者 王路曼） 近日，密云区总工会开展"情系企业职工 赋能高质量发展"专项慰问活动，陆续 走进辖区多个重点行业、重点企业，慰问坚守岗位的一线职工。此次活动覆盖4000余人。 企业是区域经济的 "顶梁柱"，职工是发展路上的"主力军"。密云区总工会相关负责人表示，此次慰问 不仅带来物资关怀，更传递精神鼓舞。未来，区总工会将充分发挥桥梁纽带作用，用情用心当好职工 ...

Group 1 - The core focus of Jiepai Town is on high-quality development, implementing municipal government decisions, and promoting modernization practices [2] - Economic indicators show significant growth, with public budget revenue and industrial sales achieving double-digit increases, with public budget revenue growth ranking first in the city [2] - A total of 13 key industrial projects are being advanced, with 8 signed projects totaling 1.652 billion yuan and 12 projects in reserve for next year with a total investment of 2.11 billion yuan [2] Group 2 - Environmental initiatives include maintaining water quality standards for three consecutive years and shutting down 10 polluting enterprises [3] - Traffic safety projects have been completed with an investment of 2.2 million yuan, and a temporary parking lot has been established on a vacant school site [3] - A comprehensive waste management campaign has been conducted, resulting in the closure of 15 recycling businesses and the improvement of 20 others [3] Group 3 - The town has introduced a three-year action plan for grassroots governance led by the Party, focusing on safety production for 2025 [4] - A digital platform is being utilized to monitor 2,759 enterprises, enhancing safety management [4] - A total of 67 illegal advertisements have been removed as part of a special action to improve urban governance [4] Group 4 - Community welfare initiatives include the launch of six key livelihood projects and the construction of sewage systems, with a total of 522,500 yuan in assistance provided to 130 low-income families [6] - Administrative reforms have streamlined processes, reducing average processing times by over 70% for frequently used services [6] - Legal aid services have resolved 153 disputes, contributing to community stability [6] Group 5 - Jiepai Town aims to address key areas and improve living conditions, focusing on collective efforts to create a better future [7]

来源：经济学家圈 尹艳林："十五五"时期我国实现年均5%左右增长是完全有可能的 很高兴应邀参加腾讯财经愿景思享年会。今天的主题是"智变之时"。在世界百年变局和智能科技重塑经济的时代潮流中，中国经济发展面临巨 大机遇和新挑战。特别是"十五五"时期成为实现2035年远景目标乃至第二个百年奋斗目标的关键阶段。从中长期来看，中国经济的转型升级还 有哪些难点，哪些领域的改革亟待重点突破，如何推进下一阶段的改革发展，这个是大家很关心的问题。下面我想就这些问题跟大家做一些分 享。 但是我们必须看到，"十五五"时期我国发展环境面临深刻复杂变化，战略机遇和风险挑战并存，特别是国内发展不平衡不充分问题仍然突出， 有效需求不足，国内大循环存在卡点堵点，超大规模市场优势的发挥遇到障碍；新旧动能转换任务艰巨，制造业中传统产业仍占80%，先进制 造业和新兴产业占比还不高，原始创新能力不强，重点领域关键核心技术仍有待攻关突破，企业创新能力有待加强；农业农村现代化相对滞 本 后，城乡基本公共服务水平差距仍然较大，农业转移人口进城落户面临体制性障碍；就业和居民收入增长压力较大，居民财产性收入增长渠道 不畅，养老、医疗、教育、住房等民生保障存在 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article emphasizes the importance of achieving reasonable price recovery as a key policy goal in China's economic strategy, particularly highlighted in the Central Economic Work Conference [2][51] - The current cycle of price stagnation began in 2012, with China's Producer Price Index (PPI) entering negative territory and remaining there for extended periods, indicating structural issues in the economy [3][12] - The article discusses the significant increase in China's manufacturing value added as a percentage of global totals, which rose from 8.6% in 2004 to 22.3% in 2012, reflecting a shift in supply dynamics [4][3] Group 2 - Local governments have increased their leverage from 16.3% at the end of 2011 to 23.9% by the end of 2015, driven by the need to stimulate economic growth through investment [6] - The supply-side structural reform initiated in 2015 aimed to address the oversupply in various sectors, particularly in steel and coal, as a response to the prolonged low PPI [6][9] - The article notes that from 2012 to 2025, China experienced approximately 8.5 years of negative PPI, primarily due to structural oversupply issues [9][12] Group 3 - The article highlights the challenges of increasing consumer demand to support price recovery, citing low wage growth and a stagnant income distribution structure as key factors [34][40] - It points out that the current economic environment is characterized by a shrinking balance sheet for households, which negatively impacts consumption and price levels [48][51] - The need for a balanced approach to fiscal policy is emphasized, suggesting that both investment and consumption must be addressed to avoid the pitfalls of overcapacity and ensure sustainable economic growth [29][51]

Economic Growth - In November, the domestic GDP growth rate was approximately 4.1%, a decrease of 0.2 percentage points from October, continuing the trend of moderation[1] - To achieve the annual growth target of around 5%, the GDP growth in December needs to rebound to above 5.0%, which is unlikely given the current policy focus on quality improvement rather than short-term growth[1] - The expected GDP growth rate for Q4 2025 is about 4.3%, further declining from Q3, with an annual growth estimate of approximately 4.9%, remaining within the target range[1] Sector Performance - The main drag on economic growth in November came from the service sector, with the service production index's year-on-year growth rate falling by 0.4 percentage points[2] - The financial sector saw a year-on-year decline of 0.5 percentage points, while the real estate sector's investment and sales figures also worsened, contributing to the pressure on services[2] - Emerging sectors like leasing and business services showed resilience, with growth accelerating by 0.2 percentage points compared to the previous month[2] Consumption and Trade - Consumer activity showed signs of weakening, with logistics delivery volume experiencing its first negative year-on-year growth of -1.3% this year[12] - The average daily box office for movies was approximately 100.4 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 186%, driven by the release of popular films[18] - Export container freight rates slightly increased to 1124.73, indicating stable shipping supply and demand relationships[22] Real Estate Market - The price decline in the real estate market continued to expand, with the price index for 70 large and medium-sized cities showing increased year-on-year declines for both new and second-hand homes[48] - Despite seasonal increases in transaction volumes, the absolute levels remain low, marking the worst performance for the same period in recent years[48] - The inventory turnover pressure remains significant, with the sales-to-inventory ratio recorded at 89.1, the highest for the same period since 2019[48]

2025年，在外部压力加大、内部困难较多的复杂局面下，中国经济顶压前行、向新向优发展，经济社会 发展主要目标将顺利完成，展现出强大韧性与活力。"十五五"时期是基本实现社会主义现代化夯实基 础、全面发力的关键时期，中央经济工作会议在部署明年经济工作时明确指出，要"在质的有效提升上 取得更大突破"，为"十五五"开好局、起好步提供了重要指引。 当今世界动荡变革加剧，新一轮科技革命和产业变革加速突破，外部环境变化影响加深，同时，国内供 强需弱矛盾仍然突出。要在激烈国际竞争中赢得战略主动，要解决好发展中、转型中的问题，就必须在 转变发展方式、优化经济结构、转换增长动力方面下更大功夫，全力推动经济发展实现质的有效提升， 以高质量发展的确定性应对各种不确定性。我国经济基础稳、优势多、韧性强、潜能大，长期向好的支 撑条件和基本趋势没有变，中国特色社会主义制度优势、超大规模市场优势、完整产业体系优势、丰富 人才资源优势更加彰显，完全有条件、有能力在质的提升上取得更大突破。 推动高质量发展，要加快高水平科技自立自强，积极发展新质生产力，在推动科技创新、加快培育新动 能、促进经济结构优化升级上取得实质性、突破性进展。产业是经济发展 ...

树立和践行正确政绩观，必须完整准确全面贯彻新发展理念，坚定不移推动经济社会高质量发展。政绩 观既体现在抓发展上，也体现在惠民生、保稳定上；既体现在即期见效的显绩上，也体现在打基础、增 后劲、利长远的潜绩上；既体现在解决现实矛盾上，也体现在解决历史遗留问题上。做好明年经济工 作，要坚持稳中求进、提质增效，坚持积极务实的目标导向，着力解决存在的困难问题，在质的有效提 升上取得更大突破，增强居民和企业的获得感。 政绩观是对政绩的根本观点和总的看法，是世界观、人生观、价值观在从政行为中的具体体现。树立和 践行正确政绩观，事关党和国家事业发展大局、事关人民群众切身利益、事关中国式现代化建设进程。 党的十八大以来，习近平总书记高度重视领导干部的政绩观问题，深刻指出"为民造福是最大政绩"，强 调"坚持高质量发展要成为领导干部政绩观的重要内容"，鲜明提出"业绩都是干出来的，真干才能真出 业绩、出真业绩"，要求"各级领导干部要有功成不必在我、功成必定有我的境界"……习近平总书记的 一系列重要论述，深刻回答了"政绩为谁而树、树什么样的政绩、靠什么树政绩"的问题，为广大党员干 部履职尽责、干事创业提供了根本遵循和行动指南。 政绩观 ...

Core Viewpoint - The Central Economic Work Conference emphasizes the importance of practical actions and a correct performance view, focusing on achieving tangible results for the people and fostering a new phase of Chinese-style modernization [1] Group 1: Economic Work Strategies - The conference outlines the urgent need to refine and implement economic work strategies for the coming year, emphasizing meticulous execution and tangible benefits for the public [1] - Local governments are encouraged to adopt a persistent and detailed approach to their work, ensuring that both immediate and long-term benefits are realized [1] Group 2: Green Development - The conference highlights the necessity of integrating ecological development into economic strategies, aiming for a significant improvement in air quality, with a target of 87.2% of days in 2024 being classified as good air quality [1] - A focus on building the world's largest and fastest-growing renewable energy system is emphasized, alongside the commitment to carbon peak and carbon neutrality goals [1] Group 3: Social Welfare and Public Services - The economic work for the coming year will prioritize high-quality development and address pressing social issues, particularly in education and childcare [3] - Initiatives such as increasing the number of childcare slots to 5.737 million and achieving a 98.5% coverage rate for childcare services at the county level are set to enhance public welfare [3] - The government aims to alleviate the burden on families by providing annual childcare subsidies of 3,600 yuan per child until the age of three and promoting free preschool education [3]

政绩观是检验干部党性与作风的试金石。树立和践行正确政绩观，起决定性作用的是党性。只有党 性坚强、摒弃私心杂念，才能保证政绩观不出偏差。要坚持用习近平新时代中国特色社会主义思想凝心 铸魂，坚定理想信念，铸牢对党忠诚，厚植为民情怀，牢记中国共产党是什么、要干什么这个根本问 题，坚持党和人民的利益高于一切。凡是有利于党和人民的事，就要事不避难、义不逃责，大胆地干、 坚决地干，努力创造经得起实践、人民、历史检验的业绩。 习近平总书记强调："我们共产党人干事业、创政绩，为的是造福人民，不是为了个人升迁得 失。"树立和践行正确政绩观，必须坚持为人民出政绩。党员干部谋划推进工作，要始终坚持全心全意 为人民服务的根本宗旨，坚持以人民为中心的发展思想，坚持发展为了人民、发展依靠人民、发展成果 由人民共享，自觉从人民利益出发想问题、作决策、办事情，用心用情用力解决好人民群众的急难愁盼 问题，把好事实事做到群众心坎上，把丰碑立在人民心中。人民是阅卷人。业绩好不好，要看群众实际 感受，由群众来评判。 树立和践行正确政绩观，必须完整准确全面贯彻新发展理念，坚定不移推动经济社会高质量发展。 政绩观既体现在抓发展上，也体现在惠民生、保稳定 ...

树立和践行正确政绩观，必须完整准确全面贯彻新发展理念，坚定不移推动经济社会高质量发展。政绩 观既体现在抓发展上，也体现在惠民生、保稳定上；既体现在即期见效的显绩上，也体现在打基础、增 后劲、利长远的潜绩上；既体现在解决现实矛盾上，也体现在解决历史遗留问题上。做好明年经济工 作，要坚持稳中求进、提质增效，坚持积极务实的目标导向，着力解决存在的困难问题，在质的有效提 升上取得更大突破，增强居民和企业的获得感。 树立和践行正确政绩观，必须自觉按规律办事，坚持以实干出政绩。习近平总书记深刻指出："脚要踩 在大地上。我们干任何事情都有内在规律。"推动经济社会高质量发展，要自觉按规律办事，尊重经济 规律、社会规律、自然规律，尊重客观实际和群众需求，强化系统思维和科学谋划。要因地制宜、因时 制宜，紧密结合各自实际，创造性开展工作。因地制宜，本质就是实事求是。要坚持求真务实、真抓实 干，务实功、出实招、求实效，力戒形式主义、官僚主义，不在追求政绩上搞急功近利、弄虚作假、盲 目蛮干那一套，杜绝新官不理旧账和形象工程、政绩工程。要完善差异化考核评价体系，以正确用人导 向引领干事创业导向，更好激发广大干部的积极性、主动性、创造性， ...