智通财经5月16日电，美国5月密歇根大学消费者信心指数初值为50.8，预期53.4，前值52.2。 ...

美国5月密歇根大学消费者信心指数初值 50.8，预期53.4，前值52.2。 ...

Group 1 - The University of Michigan's Consumer Confidence Index for May and the one-year inflation expectations will be released shortly [1]

Group 1 - Key Point 1: The Hang Seng Index Company will announce the results of the Hang Seng Index series review [1] - Key Point 2: France's ILO unemployment rate for Q1 will be released at 13:30 [1] - Key Point 3: The Eurozone's seasonally adjusted trade balance for March will be published at 17:00 [1] Group 2 - Key Point 1: The U.S. will report the annualized number of new housing starts for April at 20:30 [1] - Key Point 2: The total number of building permits in the U.S. for April will also be released at 20:30 [1] - Key Point 3: The U.S. import price index month-on-month for April will be reported at 20:30 [1] Group 3 - Key Point 1: The preliminary one-year inflation expectations for May in the U.S. will be available at 22:00 [1] - Key Point 2: The preliminary consumer confidence index from the University of Michigan for May will be released at 22:00 [1] - Key Point 3: The total number of oil rigs in the U.S. for the week ending May 16 will be reported at 01:00 the next day [1]

新华财经悉尼5月13日电（记者李晓渝）西太平洋银行（Westpac Bank）和墨尔本研究院（Melbourne Institute）13日发布的报告显示，受美国滥施关税及其引发的金融市场大跌影响，2025年5月澳大利亚西 太平洋银行／墨尔本研究院消费者信心指数（暨消费者情绪指数）回升2.2%至92.1点。分析人士据此预 测，澳大利亚央行即将再次降息。 西太平洋银行澳大利亚宏观经济预测主管马修·哈桑表示，受澳大利亚大选得出明确结果，以及全球金 融市场反弹影响，5月澳大利亚消费者信心指数有所回升，但仍然比3月水平低3.9%，说明消费者信心 仍然明显处于悲观状态。 具体来说，5月的消费者信心指数调查发现，预测未来一年经济状况的分项指标环比上升2.8%，至93 点。预测未来五年经济状况的分项指标环比上升0.2%，至98.6点。家庭相关指标方面，衡量未来一年家 庭财务状况的分项指标环比下降0.8%，至100.7点。反映家庭财务状况在过去一年中变化的分项指标环 比上升7%，至75.1点。决定购买主要家居用品时机的分项指标环比上升3.5%，至93.2点。 哈桑表示，决定购买主要家居用品时机的分项指标在5月同比上升21.9 ...

瑞士4月消费者信心指数 -43，预期-33，前值-34.8。 ...

瑞士4月消费者信心指数将于十分钟后公布。 ...

截至2025年4月30日当周，沪铜期货主力合约收于77220元/吨，周K线收阴，持仓量环比上周增持2621 手。 上周（4月28日-4月30日）市场上看，沪铜期货周内开盘报77510元/吨，最高触及77990元/吨，最低下探 至77010元/吨，周度下跌0.28%。 节前，铜价一度表现坚挺，小幅上行，周三晚间国内休市，海外出现大跌，LME铜大跌3.4%，之后两 交易日，LME铜有所反弹，但未能完全收复周三跌幅，至收盘报于9356美元，周度基本持平，微跌 0.04%。交易建议：短期铜价虽大概率仍能维持坚挺，甚至小幅上行，但7.8万上方风险加大，不建议继 续大幅看多铜价交易，上方风险较高，可转为博弈利空对铜价的影响，可考虑适量买入看跌期权。 国信期货：沪铜预计震荡运行 宏观方面，据消息，美国世界大型企业研究会29日发布数据显示，受预期恶化影响，美国4月消费者信 心指数连续第五个月下降，跌至新冠疫情以来的最低水平，反映出对未来的普遍悲观看法。基本面仍对 铜价有支撑，国内铜库存持续去化，且持续低于去年同期水平。另一方面，市场也存有未来5月需求转 弱的担忧。整体而言，沪铜预计震荡，持续关注国内利好政策以及宏观情绪的变化 ...

Core Viewpoint - Analysts predict that if the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) lowers interest rates, house prices may accelerate in the coming months, but factors such as affordability issues and slowing population growth will limit significant price increases [1][2][3]. Group 1: Economic Indicators - The adjusted average inflation rate has dropped to 2.9% over the past 12 months, marking the first time in three years it has fallen below 3% [3]. - Financial markets widely expect the RBA to announce a 0.25% rate cut after the meeting on May 20 [3]. Group 2: Housing Market Trends - In April, the annual growth rate of Australian house prices slowed to 3.2%, the smallest increase since August 2023 [5]. - Major cities like Sydney and Melbourne saw monthly price increases of 0.2%, while Brisbane, Perth, and Canberra increased by 0.4%, and Darwin by 1.1% [5][6]. - Despite anticipated interest rate cuts, house price growth is expected to remain in single digits due to a slowdown in immigration and increased housing supply [5]. Group 3: Affordability Issues - Over the past three years, housing affordability has worsened across all major Australian cities, with Sydney experiencing the most severe decline [6]. - In Sydney, house price growth is now 9.8 times the wage growth, requiring buyers to allocate 62% of their household income to mortgage repayments [7]. - Nationally, house price growth is 8 times the wage growth, with buyers needing to use 50.5% of their income for mortgage payments [7].

由于担心的关税政策对经济产生深远影响，美国的消费者信心指数已降至历史最低水平之一。根据密歇根大学最新发布的数据，四月份的消费者信心指数终 值为五十二点二，较上月下降百分之八。这一数字不仅显示出消费者情绪的急剧恶化，也是自一九七零年代末以来的第四低记录。 虽然四月份现况指标略有改善，美国消费者对个人财务及商业状况的整体看法却在继续下滑。尤其是预期指数的降幅显著，自今年一月以来已下降百分之三 十二，这是自一九九零年经济衰退以来的最大三个月降幅。这一变化在中等收入家庭中尤为明显，各年龄层、教育背景的消费者均表现出悲观情绪。 调查 显示，消费者普遍认为经济面临诸多风险，贸易政策的不确定性和可能的通胀加剧引发了广泛担忧。特别是在三月二十五日至四月二十一日的调查期间，美 国宣布了对多数贸易伙伴的关税措施，尽管此后又暂缓了九十天的实施，但这些政策仍对消费心理造成了重大冲击。 密歇根大学的消费者调查中心主任Joanne Hsu指出，劳动力市场的预期也显得暗淡，许多消费者预计未来一年内自我收入增长将放缓。特别是，短期内的通 胀预期从上月的百分之五大幅升至百分之六点五，创下一九八一年以来的最高水平，长期通胀预期也上升至百分之四点 ...