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菜百股份:2024&25Q1点评:业绩超预期,投资类产品表现亮眼-20250429
Xinda Securities· 2025-04-29 01:23
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is not explicitly stated in the provided documents, but the report indicates a positive outlook based on performance metrics and dividend yield [1][2]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 20.23 billion yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 22.24%, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 719 million yuan, up 1.73% [1]. - The performance of investment products has been strong, contributing 64% to total revenue in 2024, while sales of gold jewelry have faced challenges due to rising gold prices [3]. - The company maintains a high dividend payout ratio of 77.89%, with a cash dividend of 0.72 yuan per share planned for 2024 [2]. Financial Performance Summary - In Q4 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 4.89 billion yuan, a 17% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 165 million yuan, up 43% [1]. - For Q1 2025, revenue reached 8.22 billion yuan, a 30% increase, with a net profit of 320 million yuan, up 17% [1]. - The gross margin for Q1 2025 was 8.34%, down 1.67 percentage points year-on-year [1]. Product Performance Summary - In 2024, revenue from gold jewelry decreased by 11% to 5.47 billion yuan, while revenue from precious metal investment products increased by 45% to 12.91 billion yuan [3]. - The sales volume of gold jewelry fell by 26.42% due to consumer hesitation amid rising gold prices, while sales of precious metal investment products grew by 18.64% [3]. Channel Performance Summary - The company reported online sales of 4.82 billion yuan, accounting for 23.8% of total sales, with a significant growth of 60.26% in the e-commerce segment [4]. - The offline channel remains dominant, contributing 74.7% of total sales, with an average sales growth of 16.47% in Beijing [4]. Profit Forecast - Revenue projections for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 24.12 billion yuan, 27.21 billion yuan, and 29.84 billion yuan, respectively, with expected growth rates of 19%, 13%, and 10% [5]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders is forecasted to be 808 million yuan in 2025, 885 million yuan in 2026, and 949 million yuan in 2027 [5].
格力电器(000651):Q1超预期,分红率提升
HUAXI Securities· 2025-04-28 12:54
证券研究报告|公司点评报告 [Table_Date] 2025 年 04 月 28 日 [Table_Title] Q1 超预期,分红率提升 [Table_Title2] 格力电器(000651) [Table_Summary] 事件概述 公司发布 24 年年报&25 年一季报: 24 年:营业总收入 1900.38 亿元(YOY-7.31%),归母净利润 321.85 亿元(YOY+10.91%),扣非后归母净利润 301.00 亿元 (YOY+9.19%)。 24Q4:营业总收入 426.22 亿元(YOY-13.38%),归母净利润 102.24 亿元(YOY+14.55%),扣非后归母净利润 89.37 亿元 (YOY+7.02%)。 25Q1:营业总收入 416.39 亿元(YOY+13.78%),归母净利润 59.04 亿元(YOY+26.29%),扣非后归母净利润 57.17 亿元 (YOY+26.34%)。 分析判断 收入端:国补下 25Q1 空调实现较高增速。24 年全年消费电器/ 工业制品及绿色能源/智能装备/其他主营/其他业务分别同比- 4.29%/+0.80%/-36.68%/+122 ...
常熟银行(601128):万事俱备 只待东风
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-04-27 00:34
Core Viewpoint - Changshu Bank achieved double-digit growth in both revenue and profit in Q1 2025, despite a slight slowdown in scale growth due to weak credit demand. The recovery of the economy is expected to improve demand from small and micro enterprises, providing significant room for credit expansion. Although the net interest margin continues to narrow under asset-side pressure, the ongoing optimization of deposit costs is expected to support the margin. The bank is projected to maintain high single-digit revenue growth and double-digit profit release in 2025. The current low dividend rate has suppressed the bank's valuation, which does not align with its strong fundamentals, indicating substantial potential for valuation recovery if the dividend rate improves in the future [1][10][11]. Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, Changshu Bank reported operating revenue of 2.971 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 10%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.084 billion yuan, up 13.9% year-on-year. The non-performing loan ratio was 0.76%, down 1 basis point quarter-on-quarter, while the provision coverage ratio decreased by 11 percentage points to 489.6% [2][3][9]. Revenue Composition - The bank's net interest income grew by 0.9% year-on-year, reflecting stable growth despite weak credit demand, particularly in small and micro loans. Non-interest income surged by 495.2%, driven by significant growth in fees from insurance and precious metals. Other non-interest income increased by 48.8%, supported by a rise in foreign exchange gains [3][4][5]. Credit Demand and Loan Growth - Credit demand remains weak, leading to a slowdown in loan growth. In Q1 2025, the loan scale increased by 6.1% year-on-year, with corporate loans growing by 7.3% and retail loans by only 0.2%. The bank's strategy of focusing on small and scattered loans has allowed it to maintain a stable loan portfolio despite the challenging environment [5][6][8]. Deposit and Funding Strategy - Changshu Bank's deposits grew by 9% year-on-year, with a notable increase in demand deposits and a reduction in high-cost savings. The bank's proactive management of deposit structure has improved the cost of funding, which is expected to support the net interest margin [7][8]. Asset Quality and Risk Management - The bank's non-performing loan ratio remains low, and it has effectively managed retail asset quality through rigorous risk control and increased write-offs. The non-performing loan ratio is expected to remain stable, allowing for a gradual release of provisions to support profit growth [9][10]. Valuation and Investment Outlook - Despite strong fundamentals, Changshu Bank's current valuation is significantly undervalued at 0.68 times the 2025 PB ratio. The low dividend yield has constrained its valuation, but there is substantial potential for recovery if the dividend rate improves. The bank is expected to maintain high single-digit revenue growth and double-digit profit growth in the coming years [10][11].
股息率、分红率均高居有色行业第一,西部矿业去年营收首破500亿元大关,控股股东连年增持
2024年,西部矿业(601168)交出了一份令人瞩目的成绩单:全年实现营业收入500.26亿元,同比增长 17%;归属于上市公司股东的净利润为29.32亿元,同比增长5%;经营性现金流量净额82.46亿元,同比 增长32%。作为西部最大的有色金属矿业公司之一,西部矿业在2024年的表现不仅刷新了自身的历史纪 录,其分红方案也非常亮眼,股息率在有色金属行业中脱颖而出,成为资本市场关注的焦点。 营收首破500亿元大关 西部矿业在财报中表示,2024年公司紧紧围绕"十四五"发展战略,坚持稳中求进、以进促稳,完整准确 全面贯彻新发展理念,精益求精、追求卓越,不断增强公司核心竞争力。公司精准把握市场行情、全面 释放产线产能、夯实安全环保基础、提高项目建设质效、加快培育新质生产力、高质量发展实现重要突 破,经营指标创历史佳绩。全年实现营业收入500.26亿元,同比增长17%;实现利润总额59.92亿元,同 比增长27%;实现净利润52.94亿元,同比增长25%,其中归属于上市公司股东的净利润29.32亿元,同 比增长5%;经营性现金流量净额82.46亿元,同比增长32%;加权平均净资产收益率18.23%,同比增加 0. ...
首钢资源(00639):2024年年报点评:销售结构变化影响均售价,现金流保障持续高分红率
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Shougang Resources, with a target price of HKD 3.19, indicating an expected performance that exceeds the local market index by over 15% [7][8]. Core Views - The significant increase in the sales proportion of high-sulfur coking coal has impacted sales prices, but the pressure is expected to ease in the first half of 2025. The company is projected to maintain a 100% dividend payout ratio for 2024, supported by strong cash flow [2][8]. - The company experienced a decline in total revenue for 2024, amounting to HKD 5.057 billion, a decrease of 14% year-on-year, while net profit fell by 21% to HKD 1.494 billion. This decline is attributed to changes in sales structure, falling coking coal prices, and currency exchange rate impacts [8]. Financial Summary - Revenue and Profit Trends: - Revenue for 2021 was HKD 7,075.82 million, increasing to HKD 8,214.72 million in 2022, before dropping to HKD 5,891.07 million in 2023 and further to HKD 5,057 million in 2024, reflecting a 14.2% decrease [6]. - Net profit followed a similar trend, with HKD 2,538.50 million in 2021, HKD 2,715.37 million in 2022, HKD 1,889.25 million in 2023, and HKD 1,494.07 million in 2024, marking a 20.9% decline [6]. - Production and Sales: - The company anticipates a raw coking coal production of approximately 4.96 million tons in 2024, a decrease of 6%, while the production of premium coking coal is expected to be around 3.16 million tons, down 3% [8]. - The average selling price of premium coking coal is projected to be HKD 1,666 per ton in 2024, a decline of 14% year-on-year [8]. - Dividend and Cash Flow: - The company expects to distribute profits amounting to HKD 1.512 billion in cash for 2024, with a dividend payout ratio of 100%, an increase from 73% in 2023 [8].