Economic Performance Summary - The industrial added value of enterprises above designated size increased by 5.2% year-on-year in August [3] - The service production index rose by 5.6% year-on-year in August [3] - The total retail sales of consumer goods grew by 3.4% year-on-year in August [3] - Overall, the national economy is operating steadily with progress [3]

Economic Overview - In August, China's economy showed overall stability with a solid push towards high-quality development, supported by more proactive macro policies [1] - The industrial output maintained a rapid growth rate, with the industrial added value for large-scale enterprises increasing by 5.2% year-on-year [1] - The manufacturing sector performed well, with a 5.7% increase in manufacturing added value, outpacing the overall industrial growth [1] Sector Performance - In agriculture, early rice production saw a slight increase, and the planting area for autumn grain showed a stable slight rise, with overall growth conditions being normal [1] - The service sector also demonstrated strong performance, with the service production index rising by 5.6% year-on-year, surpassing industrial growth [1] Domestic Demand - Domestic demand continued to expand, with social retail sales of consumer goods increasing by 3.4% year-on-year in August, supported by a strong performance in trade-in related goods [4] - For the first eight months, service retail sales grew by 5.1%, outpacing the growth rate of goods retail sales [4] - Fixed asset investment for January to August saw a 0.5% year-on-year increase, with manufacturing investment growing by 5.1%, significantly higher than the overall investment growth [4] Stability in Key Indicators - Key production and demand indicators remained stable, with industrial added value, service production index, social retail sales, and import-export growth rates consistent with the previous months [8] Innovation and Upgrading - The transformation and upgrading of industries continued, with significant growth in smart vehicle equipment manufacturing and electronic components, which saw increases of 17.7% and 13.1% respectively [11] - The added value of equipment manufacturing and high-tech manufacturing increased by 8.1% and 9.3% year-on-year, both significantly outpacing the overall industrial growth [11]

Economic Overview - In August, the national economy operated smoothly with macro policies working in coordination, and high-quality development achieved new results [1] - The industrial added value of large-scale industries increased by 5.2% year-on-year in August [1] Industrial Performance - The added value of the equipment manufacturing industry grew by 8.1%, and the high-tech manufacturing industry increased by 9.3%, both exceeding the overall industrial growth by 2.9 and 4.1 percentage points respectively [3] Service Sector Growth - The service production index rose by 5.6% year-on-year in August, with positive developments in modern service sectors such as information transmission, software, IT services, and finance [5] Consumer Market - The total retail sales of consumer goods reached 39,668 billion yuan in August, marking a year-on-year growth of 3.4% [7] - Retail sales in cultural, sports, leisure services, tourism consulting, and transportation services experienced rapid growth [7] Real Estate Market - The year-on-year decline in commodity housing sales prices across various city tiers continued to narrow in August, with first, second, and third-tier cities seeing reductions of 0.2, 0.4, and 0.5 percentage points respectively [8] Fixed Asset Investment - In the first eight months, fixed asset investment totaled 326,111 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 0.5%, particularly in the manufacturing sector [9] - National railway fixed asset investment exceeded 504.1 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 5.6% [11] Agricultural Sector - Over 100 million tons of summer grain have been purchased, with the market expected to become more active as traditional consumption peaks approach [15] Service Trade Conference - The 2025 China International Service Trade Fair concluded with over 900 outcomes achieved across various sectors, including construction, IT, and finance [16][18] - The event featured 13 thematic forums and 81 specialized forums, attracting 11.6 million professional attendees, a 12% increase from the previous year [16]

央视网消息：国务院新闻办公室9月15日上午举行新闻发布会，国家统计局介绍今年8月份国民经济 运行情况。 数据显示：8月份国民经济保持总体平稳、稳中有进发展态势。全国规模以上工业增加值同比增长 5.2%，装备制造业和高技术制造业增势较好。从服务业看，8月份，全国服务业生产指数同比增长 5.6%，保持较快增长。从消费看，市场销售平稳增长，服务零售增长较快。8月份，社会消费品零售总 额同比增长3.4%，保持平稳增长态势。从投资看，固定资产投资保持增长，制造业投资增长较快。 ...

Economic Overview - In August, the industrial added value of large-scale enterprises increased by 5.2% year-on-year, with a month-on-month growth of 0.37% [1][3] - The total retail sales of consumer goods reached 39,668 billion yuan in August, growing by 3.4% year-on-year [1][5] - Fixed asset investment (excluding rural households) amounted to 326,111 billion yuan from January to August, with a year-on-year increase of 0.5% [1][7] - The real estate development investment from January to August was 60,309 billion yuan, showing a decline of 12.9% [1][7] Industrial Production - The manufacturing sector saw a year-on-year growth of 5.7%, while the equipment manufacturing and high-tech manufacturing sectors grew by 8.1% and 9.3% respectively [3] - The production index for the service industry increased by 5.6% in August, with significant growth in information transmission, software, and financial services [4] Consumer Market - The online retail sales reached 99,828 billion yuan from January to August, with a year-on-year growth of 9.6% [5] - The retail sales of essential and upgraded consumer goods showed positive growth, with furniture and home appliances retail sales increasing by 18.6% and 14.3% respectively [5] Investment Trends - Manufacturing investment grew by 5.1%, while real estate investment saw a decline of 12.9% [7] - Infrastructure investment increased by 2.0%, indicating a focus on enhancing public facilities [7] Trade Performance - The total import and export value in August was 38,744 billion yuan, with exports growing by 4.8% [8] - Private enterprises accounted for 57.1% of total imports and exports, reflecting their increasing role in the economy [8] Employment and Prices - The urban unemployment rate was stable at 5.3% in August, with a slight seasonal increase [9] - The Consumer Price Index (CPI) decreased by 0.4% year-on-year, while the core CPI rose by 0.9% [10]

新华社权威快报 2025年8月 全国服务业生产指数同比增长5.6% 社会消费品零售总额同比增长3.4% 国民经济运行 益荫晋篇、扁中有地 新华社国内部出品 国家统计局9月15日发布数据显示 8月份 全国规模以上工业增加值同比增长5.2% 全国规模以上工业增加值 同比增长5.2% 全国服务业生产指数 同比增长5.6% 社会消费品零售总额 同比增长3.4% 国民经济运行总体平稳、稳中有进 记者：王雨萧 海报制作：贾稀荃 新华社国内部出品 ...

国家统计局9月15日发布数据显示 8月份 新华社权威快报 2025年8月 全国规模以上工业增加值 同比增长5.2% 全国服务业生产指数 同比增长5.6% 社会消费品零售总额 同比增长3.4% 国民经济运行 益荫晋篇、扁中有地 新华社国内部出品 新华社国内部出品 【纠错】 【责任编辑:焦鹏】 全国规模以上工业增加值同比增长5.2% 全国服务业生产指数同比增长5.6% 社会消费品零售总额同比增长3.4% 国民经济运行总体平稳、稳中有进 记者：王雨萧 海报制作：贾稀荃 ...

Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the content Core Viewpoints - On August 15, 2025, the main contracts of stock index futures IF2509, IH2509, IC2509, and IM2509 opened slightly lower. After the opening, IF2509 and IH2509 first declined and then rose, fluctuating upward; IC2509 and IM2509 also first declined and then rose, fluctuating upward and reaching new highs in nearly 3 years, with significantly larger increases than IF2509 and IH2509 [2]. - Through macro - fundamental and technical analysis, the market trend of the main futures contracts on this day is expected to be as follows: IF2509 will likely fluctuate strongly and attack resistance levels at 4200 and 4213 points; IH2509 will likely fluctuate strongly with resistance levels at 2838 and 2859 points; IC2509 will likely fluctuate strongly and attack resistance levels at 6530 and 6560 points; IM2509 will likely fluctuate strongly and attack resistance levels at 7050 and 7100 points [2][9][10][11]. - For the whole of August 2025, the IF, IH, IC, and IM main contracts of stock index futures are expected to fluctuate strongly and attack corresponding resistance levels [12]. Summary by Related Catalogs Market Outlook Points - On August 15, the main contracts of stock index futures opened slightly lower. After the opening, IF2509 and IH2509 first declined and then rose, fluctuating upward; IC2509 and IM2509 also first declined and then rose, fluctuating upward and reaching new highs in nearly 3 years, with significantly larger increases than IF2509 and IH2509 [2]. - The expected intraday trends and resistance and support levels of IF2509, IH2509, IC2509, and IM2509 are provided [2]. Macroeconomic and Stock Market News - In July 2025, affected by multiple factors, some economic indicators fluctuated, but the cumulative growth rates of major indicators remained generally stable, employment and prices were generally stable, and the economy maintained a steady - and - progressive development trend. The national industrial added value above designated size increased by 5.7% year - on - year and 0.38% month - on - month in July, and 6.3% year - on - year from January to July [3]. - In July, the national service production index increased by 5.8% year - on - year, and 5.9% year - on - year from January to July [3]. - In July, the total retail sales of consumer goods were 387.8 billion yuan, a year - on - year increase of 3.7% and a month - on - month decrease of 0.14%. From January to July, the total retail sales of consumer goods were 2.84238 trillion yuan, a year - on - year increase of 4.8%. The national online retail sales were 868.35 billion yuan, a year - on - year increase of 9.2% [4]. - From January to July, the service retail sales increased by 5.2% year - on - year [4]. - From January to July, the national fixed - asset investment (excluding rural households) was 2.88229 trillion yuan, a year - on - year increase of 1.6%. Excluding real estate development investment, the national fixed - asset investment increased by 5.3%. In July, the fixed - asset investment (excluding rural households) decreased by 0.63% month - on - month [4]. - In July, the total volume of goods imports and exports was 391.02 billion yuan, a year - on - year increase of 6.7%. Among them, exports were 230.77 billion yuan, an increase of 8.0%; imports were 160.26 billion yuan, an increase of 4.8%. From January to July, the total volume of goods imports and exports was 2.56969 trillion yuan, a year - on - year increase of 3.5%. Among them, exports were 1.53048 trillion yuan, an increase of 7.3%; imports were 1.03922 trillion yuan, a decrease of 1.6% [6]. - From January to July, the average monthly surveyed urban unemployment rate nationwide was 5.2%. In July, the surveyed urban unemployment rate nationwide was 5.2%, an increase of 0.2 percentage points from the previous month and the same as the same month last year [6]. - In July, the national consumer price (CPI) was flat year - on - year and increased by 0.4% month - on - month. From January to July, the national consumer price decreased by 0.1% year - on - year [6]. - In July, the ex - factory prices of industrial producers nationwide decreased by 3.6% year - on - year and 0.2% month - on - month; the purchase prices of industrial producers nationwide decreased by 4.5% year - on - year and 0.3% month - on - month. From January to July, the ex - factory prices and purchase prices of industrial producers nationwide decreased by 2.9% and 3.2% year - on - year respectively [6]. - The central bank announced on August 15 that it would conduct a 500 - billion - yuan outright reverse - repurchase operation with a term of 6 months. Together with the 700 - billion - yuan 3 - month outright reverse - repurchase on August 8, the central bank has cumulatively over - renewed 30 billion yuan of outright reverse - repurchases this month, effectively injecting medium - term liquidity. The market expects that after the maturity of 300 billion yuan of MLF this month, the central bank may also over - renew it [7]. - In July, among 70 large and medium - sized cities in China, 6 cities saw a month - on - month increase in the prices of newly built commercial housing, compared with 14 cities in June. In terms of month - on - month changes, Urumqi and Shanghai led with a 0.3% increase, while Beijing remained flat, and Guangzhou and Shenzhen decreased by 0.3% and 0.6% respectively [7]. - On August 13, the number of investors participating in margin trading reached 523,400, a new high this year, exceeding the 521,400 on February 21. Compared with the previous trading day, the number of investors increased by 46,100, a month - on - month increase of 9.67%. As of August 13, the number of individual margin - trading investors was 7.5568 million, the number of institutional investors was 50,004, and the number of investors with margin - trading liabilities was 1.7218 million [7]. Technical Analysis and Market Outlook - Through macro - fundamental and technical analysis, the expected intraday and August trends of the main contracts of stock index futures IF2509, IH2509, IC2509, and IM2509 are provided, including opening trends, price movements, and resistance and support levels [8][9][10][11][12].

Group 1: Economic Performance in July - The media is highly focused on the overall economic performance of China in July, following the positive trends reported in the first half of the year [1] - There is significant interest in whether the economic growth momentum will continue in July, as highlighted by the recent meeting of the Central Political Bureau which discussed the current economic situation and future work [1] Group 2: Consumer Market Changes - The media is keen to understand the new highlights and changes in the domestic consumer market in July, particularly the effectiveness of policies aimed at boosting consumption [2] - There is a focus on how the government plans to expand consumer demand while ensuring the improvement of living standards [3] Group 3: Key Areas of Interest - The media will also concentrate on critical topics such as real estate and employment, which are essential for understanding the broader economic landscape [4]

国家统计局6月16日发布数据显示 5月份 全国规模以上工业增加值同比增长5.8% 全国服务业生产指数同比增长6.2% 社会消费品零售总额同比增长6.4% 货物进出口总额同比增长2.5% 国民经济顶住压力平稳运行 高质量发展向优向新 记者：潘洁、张晓洁 海报制作：胡戈 新华社国内部出品 【纠错】 【责任编辑:王頔】 1至5月份 全国固定资产投资（不含农户）同比增长3.7% 社会消费品零售总额203171亿元，同比增长5% ...