Core Viewpoint - The economic performance in July 2025 demonstrates resilience and vitality despite external pressures and adverse weather conditions, with steady growth in production, consumption, and investment, alongside stable employment and prices [7][10][20]. Economic Performance Overview - The industrial output in July showed a year-on-year increase of 5.7%, with the equipment manufacturing sector growing by 8.4%, indicating strong industrial growth [7][51]. - The service sector also performed well, with a production index growth of 5.8% in July, driven by increased tourism and related services [7][15]. - Social retail sales increased by 3.7% year-on-year in July, with a notable 4% growth in goods retail [8][14]. - Fixed asset investment grew by 1.6% from January to July, with significant contributions from equipment updates and manufacturing investments [8][45]. Trade and Employment - The total import and export volume increased by 6.7% year-on-year in July, reflecting the resilience of foreign trade despite a complex international environment [8][31]. - The urban unemployment rate remained stable at 5.2%, indicating a steady employment situation [9][20]. New Growth Drivers - High-tech manufacturing saw a 9.3% increase in output, with significant growth in sectors like integrated circuits and new energy vehicles [10][38]. - The digital economy is rapidly developing, with a 8.4% increase in digital product manufacturing in July [10][38]. Consumer Trends - Consumer demand is being stimulated by policies such as the "old for new" consumption initiative, leading to increased sales in home appliances and cultural products [8][14]. - The service sector is experiencing growth, particularly in tourism and digital services, with a notable increase in transportation and cultural service indices [15][56]. Investment Landscape - Investment in manufacturing is growing, with a 6.2% increase in manufacturing investment from January to July, particularly in textiles and automotive sectors [45][46]. - Infrastructure investment is also on the rise, with water management and information transmission sectors seeing significant growth [46][47]. Policy Impact - The implementation of proactive macroeconomic policies is supporting production and investment growth, with a focus on stabilizing employment and market expectations [10][23]. - The government's commitment to deepening reform and opening up is enhancing the resilience and vitality of the economy [21][32].

Market Overview - As of August 15, the Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.83%, the Shenzhen Component increased by 1.6%, and the ChiNext Index surged by 2.61%[3] - On August 15, net inflows into the Shanghai Stock Exchange reached 47.42 billion yuan, while the Shenzhen Stock Exchange saw net inflows of 40.22 billion yuan[4] Economic Indicators - In July, the industrial added value of enterprises above designated size grew by 5.7% year-on-year, with a month-on-month increase of 0.38%[5] - From January to July, the industrial added value increased by 6.3% year-on-year[5] Monetary Policy - The People's Bank of China conducted a 500 billion yuan reverse repurchase operation to maintain liquidity, resulting in a net injection of 300 billion yuan for the month[6] - The central bank's reverse repurchase operations will continue for three consecutive months, indicating ongoing support for market liquidity[6] Sector Performance - The banking sector experienced a decline, while the insurance and securities sectors showed signs of recovery, indicating a market rotation[1] - The report suggests that investors should look for opportunities in sectors supported by national policies during the current market adjustments[1] Investment Trends - The global physical gold ETF inflows reached 3.2 billion USD in July, with North America contributing approximately 1.4 billion USD and Europe 1.8 billion USD[12] - The bond ETF market saw a net inflow of 300.3 billion yuan year-to-date, with a total scale surpassing 536.34 billion yuan, reflecting a 3.55% increase since early August[14]

Economic Overview - In July, the national economy maintained a steady and progressive development trend, with consumer prices turning from decline to increase, driven by rising service and industrial consumer goods prices [1] - The core Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by 0.8% year-on-year, marking the third consecutive month of expanding growth [1] Consumer Market - The implementation of special actions to boost consumption has effectively released the potential for goods and services consumption, enhancing price support [3] - The demand for service consumption continues to expand, contributing to a stable increase in service prices [3] Foreign Trade - In July, China's total goods import and export volume grew by 6.7% year-on-year, accelerating by 1.5 percentage points compared to the previous month [5] - From January to July, the export value of electromechanical products increased by 9.3%, while high-tech product exports rose by 7.2% [5] - The ongoing high-level opening-up strategy and the complete industrial system are significant advantages for foreign trade stability [5] Emerging Industries - The digital economy is rapidly developing, with the added value of the digital product manufacturing industry growing by 8.4% year-on-year in July [7] - The manufacturing of intelligent unmanned aerial vehicles and intelligent vehicle-mounted equipment saw remarkable growth, with increases of 80.8% and 21% respectively [7]

Economic Overview - In July, major economic indicators maintained overall stability, with new growth drivers emerging, supporting steady economic development despite existing risks and challenges [1] - The macroeconomic policies are showing effectiveness, leading to expanded market demand and enhanced market vitality [1] New Quality Productivity - The added value of high-tech manufacturing above designated size increased by 9.3% year-on-year in July, outpacing the overall industrial growth by 3.6 percentage points [2] - The digital economy is rapidly developing, with the added value of digital product manufacturing increasing by 8.4% year-on-year in July [2] - Production of green low-carbon products is also on the rise, with new energy vehicles, lithium-ion batteries, and wind turbine generators seeing production increases of 17.1%, 29.4%, and 19.3% respectively [2] Foreign Trade - In July, the total value of goods imports and exports grew by 6.7% year-on-year, with exports increasing by 8% and imports by 4.8% [3] - The diversification of trade is evident, with exports to ASEAN, the EU, and Belt and Road countries growing by 14.8%, 8.2%, and 11.7% respectively from January to July [3] - The export of integrated circuits surged by 21.8%, reflecting enhanced international competitiveness due to improved R&D capabilities [3] Consumption - Retail sales of consumer goods increased by 3.7% year-on-year in July, with service retail sales growing by 5.2% from January to July [4] - The "old-for-new" policy has positively impacted sales, with significant growth in retail sales of home appliances, furniture, and communication equipment [4] - Tourism and leisure-related consumption saw rapid growth during the summer, with double-digit increases in retail sales for travel services and recreational activities [5] Investment - Fixed asset investment grew by 1.6% year-on-year from January to July, with actual growth (adjusted for price factors) estimated between 4% and 5% [6] - Manufacturing investment rose by 6.2%, significantly outpacing overall investment growth [6] - Investment in high-tech industries, particularly in aerospace and information services, saw substantial increases of 33.9% and 32.8% respectively [6] Price Trends - In July, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) showed positive changes, with a month-on-month increase of 0.4% [7] - The core CPI, excluding food and energy, rose by 0.8% year-on-year, indicating a strengthening market demand [7] - The Producer Price Index (PPI) saw a month-on-month decline of 0.2%, but the rate of decline has narrowed, marking the first reduction in the decline since March [7]

Economic Overview - The national economy showed a steady and progressive development in July, with continuous growth in production and demand, stable employment and prices, and significant progress in high-quality development [3][4] - Industrial production and service sectors experienced rapid growth, with industrial added value increasing by 5.7% year-on-year and service production index rising by 5.8% [3][4] Demand and Investment - Market sales continued to grow, with social retail sales increasing by 3.7% year-on-year in July; fixed asset investment also expanded, with a 1.6% year-on-year growth from January to July [3][4] - Despite challenges such as extreme weather and project delays, the investment scale continued to expand [3] Trade Performance - The total value of goods imports and exports increased by 6.7% year-on-year in July, with exports growing by 8%, indicating strong resilience and vitality in trade [3][4] Employment and Prices - The urban unemployment rate remained stable at 5.2%, and the Consumer Price Index (CPI) was flat year-on-year, with core CPI rising by 0.8% [4] New Growth Drivers - New economic drivers are steadily growing, with high-tech manufacturing value added increasing by 9.5% year-on-year from January to July; significant growth was noted in integrated circuit manufacturing and electronic materials [5][6] - The digital product manufacturing sector also saw an 8.4% year-on-year increase, with smart drone and vehicle equipment manufacturing growing by 80.8% and 21% respectively [6] Consumer Trends - New consumption patterns are emerging, with online and instant retail gaining popularity; the silver economy and first-time economy are rapidly developing [7] Economic Outlook - The economic outlook for the second half of the year appears stable, supported by effective macro policies and expanding market demand; consumption of home appliances and communication equipment saw significant growth [8] - The International Monetary Fund has raised its growth forecast for China's economy by 0.8 percentage points, reflecting confidence in the long-term stability and potential of the economy [9]

Economic Overview - The national economy is maintaining a steady and progressive development trend, with July's economic indicators showing some fluctuations due to multiple factors, but new growth drivers are emerging under innovation, and high-quality development is being solidly advanced [1] - In July, the industrial added value above designated size grew by 5.7% year-on-year, and the total retail sales of consumer goods increased by 3.7% year-on-year, both down by 1.1 percentage points from June [1] - From January to July, fixed asset investment increased by 1.6% year-on-year, a decrease of 1.2 percentage points compared to the first half of the year [1] Sector Performance - High-tech industries with higher technical content and added value are experiencing rapid growth, with the added value of integrated circuit manufacturing and electronic special materials manufacturing increasing by 26.9% and 21.7% year-on-year in July, respectively [2] - The added value of the digital product manufacturing industry grew by 8.4% year-on-year in July, driven by the increasing application of digital technology across various sectors [2] - Production of smart unmanned aerial vehicles and smart vehicle-mounted equipment surged by 80.8% and 21% year-on-year, respectively, while industrial robots and civilian drones saw production increases of 24% and 18.9% [2] Green Economy - The production of new energy products such as new energy vehicles and lithium-ion batteries increased by 17.1% and 29.4% year-on-year in July, respectively [2] - The production of green materials like carbon fiber and bio-based chemical fibers rose by 43.8% and 19.8% year-on-year [2] - The comprehensive utilization of waste resources saw an added value growth of 11.7% year-on-year in July, indicating a positive trend in green circular industry development [2] Future Economic Outlook - Despite facing risks and challenges, the foundation of the economy remains stable, with strong advantages and potential, supporting a long-term positive trend [3] - The macroeconomic policies are effective, and market demand is expanding, which will support stable economic operation and gradual improvement in development quality [3] - The annual economic growth target of around 5% is expected to be achievable, with further consolidation of high-quality development momentum [3]

Core Insights - China's new quality productivity is steadily growing, contributing to high-quality development and injecting new momentum into the economy [1][5] Group 1: Technological Advancements - In 2024, China's R&D expenditure is expected to exceed 3.6 trillion yuan, with an intensity of 2.68%, surpassing the EU and approaching OECD averages [1] - High-tech industries are experiencing rapid growth, with the value added in the integrated circuit manufacturing and electronic materials sectors increasing by 26.9% and 21.7% year-on-year in July [2] - The digital economy is expanding quickly, with the value added in the digital product manufacturing sector growing by 8.4% year-on-year in July [3] Group 2: Green Development - In July, the production of new energy vehicles and lithium-ion batteries increased by 17.1% and 29.4% year-on-year, respectively [4] - The production of green materials such as carbon fiber and bio-based chemical fibers grew by 43.8% and 19.8% year-on-year [4] - The comprehensive utilization of waste resources saw a year-on-year increase of 11.7% in July [5] Group 3: Investment Trends - Investment in aerospace and equipment manufacturing increased by 33.9% year-on-year from January to July, while investment in computer and office equipment manufacturing grew by 16% [6] - The service sector, particularly in information services and R&D, is also experiencing significant growth, with double-digit revenue increases reported [8] Group 4: Economic Resilience - From January to July, the total retail sales of consumer goods grew by 4.8% year-on-year, indicating stable consumer demand [8] - Despite challenges, China's foreign trade remains resilient, with a 7.3% increase in goods exports during the same period [8][12] - The contribution rate of final consumption expenditure to economic growth reached 52% in the first half of the year, an increase of 7.5 percentage points compared to the previous year [11] Group 5: Policy Impact - The implementation of proactive macroeconomic policies has effectively stimulated production demand and supported stable economic growth [13][14] - The construction of a unified national market and the promotion of integrated domestic and international trade are expected to enhance economic vitality [12]

Economic Performance - China's economy showed resilience in the first half of the year, with GDP growth of 5.3%, an increase of 0.3 percentage points compared to the same period last year [2] - Domestic demand contributed 68.8% to economic growth, highlighting its role as the main driver [2] - Exports grew by 7.2%, with total import and export volume exceeding 20 trillion yuan [2] New Growth Drivers - Emerging industries such as artificial intelligence, domestic processors, and innovative pharmaceuticals are rapidly developing [2] - New sectors like smart drones and integrated circuits are thriving, showcasing strong innovation capabilities [2] Consumption Trends - Retail sales of consumer goods increased by 5% in the first half of the year, with notable growth in household appliances and new energy vehicles [7] - The government is implementing various policies to boost consumption and enhance consumer capacity [7] National Market Development - The establishment of a unified national market is progressing, with inter-provincial trade sales accounting for 40.4% of total sales, up 0.6 percentage points year-on-year [4] - Cross-provincial electricity trading volume increased by 18.2%, indicating reduced market transaction costs [4] Policy Implementation - The National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC) plans to strengthen economic monitoring and timely policy adjustments to stabilize employment and market expectations [3] - A total of 800 billion yuan for "two重" construction projects has been allocated, with further funding planned to support consumption [8]

Economic Performance - China's GDP grew by 5.3% year-on-year in the first half of the year, an increase of 0.3 percentage points compared to the same period last year and the entire previous year [2] - Domestic demand contributed 68.8% to economic growth, continuing to be the main driving force [2] - Exports increased by 7.2%, with total import and export scale reaching 20 trillion yuan [2] Consumer Market - Retail sales of consumer goods increased by 5% in the first half of the year, with growth accelerating by 0.4 percentage points compared to the first quarter [7] - Notable growth in specific sectors: retail sales of home appliances and communication equipment rose by 30.7% and 24.1% respectively, while new energy vehicle sales surged by 40.3% [7] - Various departments have implemented significant policies and activities to boost consumption [7] National Market Development - The construction of a unified national market has made positive progress, with inter-provincial trade sales accounting for 40.4% of total sales revenue, an increase of 0.6 percentage points year-on-year [4] - The volume of cross-regional electricity transactions increased by 18.2% year-on-year, with market-based transaction volume rising by 2.6 percentage points [4] Policy Measures - The National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC) plans to enhance economic monitoring and policy research, focusing on stabilizing employment, businesses, and market expectations [3] - The NDRC has allocated 800 billion yuan for "two heavy" construction projects and 735 billion yuan for central budget investments, with plans for further funding to support consumption [8]

Economic Performance - In the first half of the year, China's GDP grew by 5.3% year-on-year, an increase of 0.3 percentage points compared to the same period last year and the entire previous year [1] - Domestic demand contributed 68.8% to economic growth, continuing to be the main driving force [1] - The import and export scale reached 20 trillion yuan, demonstrating strong resilience in foreign trade [1] New Economic Drivers - New economic drivers such as artificial intelligence, domestic processors, and innovative pharmaceuticals are rapidly developing [2] - Emerging industries like smart drones, smart vehicle equipment, and integrated circuit manufacturing are thriving, showcasing strong creativity [2] Consumption Trends - Social retail sales of consumer goods increased by 5% in the first half of the year, with a growth rate 0.4 percentage points higher than the first quarter [5] - Notable growth in retail sales of home appliances and communication equipment, with increases of 30.7% and 24.1% respectively [5] - New energy vehicle sales surged by 40.3% year-on-year [5] Policy Measures - The National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC) has fully allocated an 800 billion yuan project list for "two heavy" construction projects [6] - A total of 735 billion yuan in central budget investment has been largely disbursed, with plans for further funding to support consumption [6][7] - The NDRC aims to enhance consumer capacity and promote steady income growth through various measures [5]