Group 1 - A rocket was recently discovered in the northern Gaza Strip, landing in an open area in the Be'er Sheva region with no casualties reported [1]

Core Viewpoint - Morgan Stanley indicates that in extreme conflict scenarios, including the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, oil prices could surge to between $120 and $130 per barrel [1] Group 1 - The potential for oil price escalation is linked to geopolitical tensions in the region [1] - The Strait of Hormuz is a critical chokepoint for global oil supply, making it a focal point for price volatility [1]

据伊朗塔斯尼姆通讯社：伊朗军事指挥官Khatam Al-Anbiya警告美国，美国任何直接介入行动都将扩大 地区冲突并造成无法逆转的打击。 ...

Group 1: G7 Summit Outcomes - The G7 summit concluded without a joint communiqué, highlighting significant disagreements among leaders on various issues [1] - Canadian Prime Minister Carney acknowledged the efforts to find common solutions despite the differences [1] Group 2: Trade Negotiations - The U.S. government's "reciprocal tariffs" negotiation window is set to close on July 9, with no significant progress made during the summit [3] - Trump expressed dissatisfaction with the current trade negotiations, stating that a fair agreement has not been proposed by the EU [3] - Japan's Prime Minister Ishiba noted ongoing cognitive differences in trade discussions with the U.S., but both sides agreed to continue negotiations [3] Group 3: Bilateral Meetings - Carney and Trump held a one-hour meeting discussing trade pressures and priorities, with both leaders acknowledging differing views on trade policy [4] - The U.S. and UK signed the "Economic Prosperity Agreement," which primarily addresses tariff reductions on automotive and aerospace products, while steel and pharmaceutical tariffs remain unresolved [5] Group 4: Regional Conflicts and Relations - The summit addressed the escalating conflict between Israel and Iran, calling for a resolution and emphasizing the need for energy market stability [6] - Carney's meeting with Indian Prime Minister Modi marked a diplomatic recovery following tensions over a recent incident involving a Sikh leader in Canada [6] - The EU is set to sign a defense procurement agreement with Canada, indicating strengthening ties between the two regions [6]

据中东和欧洲官员称，伊朗一直在紧急发出信号，表示寻求结束敌对行动并恢复其核计划谈判，并通过阿拉伯中间人向以色列和美国传递信息。 这一消息公布后，黄金短线大跌超20美元，现有所回升。 获得喘息机会可以给伊朗重组的空间，并为国际社会向以色列施压提供时间。如果能阻止美国将其"地堡炸弹"的军事能力投入战斗，对德黑兰来说也将是一 场胜利。 与伊朗人交谈过的阿拉伯外交官表示，德黑兰似乎在押注以色列无法承受陷入消耗战的代价，最终将不得不寻求外交解决方案。伊朗官员表示，他们认为以 色列缺乏明确的退出策略，并且需要美国的帮助才能对诸如深埋在山下的福尔道铀浓缩设施等目标造成有意义的损害。 一位阿拉伯官员说："伊朗人知道美国在防御上支持以色列，并且他们确信美国在后勤上也在支持以色列。但他们想要美国不参与攻击的保证。" 伊朗已告知阿拉伯官员，如果恢复与美国谈判的前景渺茫，它可能会加速其核计划并扩大至战争范围。 阿拉伯中间人表示，没有迹象表明伊朗准备在核谈判中做出新的让步。由特朗普政府领导的外交努力因伊朗拒绝在谈判开始前停止铀浓缩而陷入僵局，而上 周以色列的袭击则直接中断了这些谈判。 在以色列猛烈的空袭行动中，德黑兰已告知阿拉伯官员， ...

以色列特拉维夫股指开盘上涨0.3%，以色列-伊朗袭击持续进行。 ...

6月15日，伊朗伊斯兰革命卫队前总司令、伊朗确定国家利益委员会秘书雷扎伊重申，伊朗当前无意寻 求拥有核武器，但将来会发生什么并不确定。穆赫辛.雷扎伊还表示，支持以色列的国家一旦卷入战 火，战争的规模可能会超乎想象，伊朗正为此准备。他强调，伊朗不会成为冲突的发起者，但将成为终 结者。(央视新闻) ...

Core Viewpoint - The French Foreign Minister, Jean-Yves Le Drian, stated that France has not mobilized military resources to assist Israel in intercepting Iranian missiles, emphasizing the need for restraint among all parties involved [1] Group 1 - France does not support or participate in Israel's military strikes against Iran, highlighting a neutral stance in the ongoing conflict [1] - The Iranian nuclear program is viewed as a threat to the security of both Europe and Israel, indicating concerns over regional stability [1]

以色列军方官员：伊朗故意针对以色列平民，这些并非误击。 ...

联合海事信息中心：过去24小时内的事件已大大增加了地区冲突的可能性。 ...