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政治局会议点评:稳中求进,厚积薄发
Bank of China Securities· 2025-07-31 06:02
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report emphasizes a shift from incremental expectations to the implementation and refinement of existing policies, highlighting the need for a stable and flexible macroeconomic policy framework [2][3] - The report notes that the recent meeting acknowledged the positive performance of the domestic economy since the beginning of the year, while also recognizing ongoing risks and challenges [2] - The macro policy tone has shifted to "sustained efforts and timely enhancements," focusing on the need for more proactive fiscal policies and moderately loose monetary policies to achieve annual economic and social development goals [2][3] Group 2 - The report identifies key policy directions, including boosting consumption to unleash domestic demand potential, fostering new growth points in service consumption, and accelerating the development of internationally competitive emerging industries [2] - It also mentions the need to regulate disorderly competition among enterprises and manage capacity in key industries, indicating a more market-oriented approach to "anti-involution" policies [2] - The report anticipates that enhancing the attractiveness and inclusiveness of the domestic capital market will be a primary focus, aiming to attract more incremental funds and promote the listing of innovative enterprises [2] Group 3 - Overall, the report presents a positive evaluation of the domestic economy and capital market performance, emphasizing the importance of policy implementation and timing [2] - The focus on service consumption, project implementation, and capacity management in key industries will be the main directions for macro policy in the second half of the year [2] - The report suggests that while the market may face short-term risks of expectation adjustments, the underlying support from the funding environment and weak recovery in fundamentals keeps the downside risks manageable [2]
中央政治局会议释放八大信号!权威解读→
Shang Hai Zheng Quan Bao· 2025-07-30 14:53
要实现"十四五"圆满收官,做好下半年经济工作至关重要。 中共中央政治局7月30日召开会议,分析研究当前经济形势,部署下半年经济工作。会议继续将稳就 业、稳企业、稳市场、稳预期作为着力点,强调"保持政策连续性稳定性,增强灵活性预见性""努力完 成全年经济社会发展目标任务",并作出一系列重要部署,释放了多重信号。 中国财政学会绩效专委会副主任委员张依群说,财政政策会继续保持更加积极状态,从加速、加力两个 方面推动经济增长、民生保障、"四稳"落实。 今年以来,积极财政政策靠前发力。新增地方政府债券额度4月底已全部下达地方。截至6月底,2025年 超长期特别国债资金预算已下达6583亿元。 张依群分析,下半年加速重点在加快新增政府债券发行和政策性金融工具使用,加大投资增量的实物转 化,持续巩固当前经济企稳良好态势,保证经济增长的稳定性和连续性;加力主要表现在提高财政资金 使用效益,坚决兜牢基层"三保"底线,加大化解隐性债务力度,维护社会和谐稳定。 宏观政策要持续发力、适时加力 宏观政策是经济保持平稳运行的重要推动力。会议强调,宏观政策要持续发力、适时加力。要落实落细 更加积极的财政政策和适度宽松的货币政策,充分释放政 ...
中共中央政治局:坚持以科技创新引领新质生产力发展,加快培育具有国际竞争力的新兴支柱产业,推动科技创新和产业创新深度融合发展。
news flash· 2025-07-30 06:10
中共中央政治局:坚持以科技创新引领新质生产力发展,加快培育具有国际竞争力的新兴支柱产业,推 动科技创新和产业创新深度融合发展。 ...
汇百川基金:政治局会议宏观政策加码发力,财政货币双宽或已临近
Cai Fu Zai Xian· 2025-04-27 22:28
Group 1 - The meeting of the Central Political Bureau emphasizes the implementation of proactive macroeconomic policies to address external uncertainties and stabilize economic growth [1][2] - The combination of fiscal and monetary policies is expected to be strengthened, with measures such as accelerating the issuance of local government special bonds and potential interest rate cuts [2] - The focus on service consumption as a new direction for economic growth highlights the potential in sectors like elderly care, healthcare, tourism, and dining, which could significantly boost economic activity and employment [3] Group 2 - The meeting indicates a commitment to supporting the real economy and technological innovation, aiming to cultivate new industries and enhance competitiveness [4] - Capital markets are expected to play a crucial role in financing technology-driven enterprises, particularly in strategic emerging industries such as semiconductors, artificial intelligence, and renewable energy [4] - The urgency for counter-cyclical adjustments is underscored by increasing external trade frictions and global economic recession risks, suggesting a potential for rapid policy implementation in the coming months [4]