Core Viewpoint - The military industry is expected to experience a turning point in orders as the "centenary goal of military building" enters its second half, with new technologies and products driving market directions and potential growth [4]. Group 1: Market Performance - On July 15, the three major indices showed mixed results, with the Shanghai Composite Index down 0.42%, while the Shenzhen Component Index rose by 0.56% and the ChiNext Index increased by 1.73% [1]. - The aerospace sector experienced a short-term correction, with the National Aerospace Index declining by 0.70%, where 11 stocks rose and 39 fell [1]. - The Aviation and Aerospace ETF (159227) fell by 0.82%, closing at 1.091 yuan, with a trading volume of 99.83 million yuan and a total scale of 570 million yuan, ranking first among ETFs [1]. Group 2: Industry Events - The 12th Aviation Power and Gas Turbine Conference is scheduled to take place in Shanghai from July 16 to 18 [2]. - The Tianzhou-9 cargo spacecraft successfully completed its launch on July 15, marking a significant achievement in China's space endeavors [2]. - Uzbekistan is reportedly finalizing a deal to purchase the JF-17 "Thunder" fighter jets, which would make it the fourth export customer for this aircraft, enhancing China's military trade system [2]. - A space-themed park is set to be constructed in Shanghai, integrating aerospace technology with cultural tourism [2]. Group 3: Institutional Insights - Zhongyou Securities anticipates that the military industry will see a turning point in orders, driven by new technologies and market directions [4]. - Northeast Securities notes that the military industry is experiencing a recovery in downstream demand, with clear long-term goals set for 2035 and 2050, indicating a positive outlook for the defense sector [4]. Group 4: Related Products - The Aviation and Aerospace ETF (159227) closely tracks the National Aerospace Index, focusing on core military aerospace sectors, with a high concentration of 98.2% in the primary military industry [5]. - The ETF is considered an efficient tool for investing in leading "fighter jet stocks," with a significant weight of 66.5% in aerospace equipment within its constituent stocks [5].

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Outperform the Market" and is maintained [2] Core Viewpoints - A military parade will be held on September 3, showcasing both traditional main battle forces and new domain capabilities, reflecting the modernization of the military [12][13] - The military industry is expected to see a turning point in orders in 2025, driven by new technologies and products aimed at enhancing equipment performance and reducing costs [20] - Investment recommendations focus on two main lines: aerospace and "gap-filling" new focuses, and new technologies, products, and markets with greater elasticity [20] Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The closing index for the military industry is 1596.82, with a 52-week high of 1712.48 and a low of 1113.62 [2] Market Performance - The military sector index increased by 6.23%, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index, which rose by 1.91% [22] - The top ten performing stocks in the military sector this week include Changcheng Military Industry (+43.85%) and Zhongke Haixun (+34.89%) [24] Valuation Levels - As of June 27, 2025, the military sector's PE-TTM valuation is 110.98, with 81.19% of the time since January 1, 2014, the PE-TTM valuation has been lower than the current level [26][29] Investment Suggestions - Suggested stocks for the aerospace main line include Feilihua, Fenghuo Electronics, and AVIC Shenyang Aircraft [20] - New technology and market opportunities include companies like Aerospace Zhizao and Guangdong Hongda [20]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Increase" rating for the defense and military industry [6] Core Viewpoints - The grand military parade on September 3 will showcase new generation equipment and new combat forces, emphasizing the importance of unmanned intelligent systems, underwater operations, electronic warfare, and hypersonic technologies [9][22] - The appointment of Zhang Yujin as the new chairman of China Aviation Engine Group is expected to accelerate procurement and capital operations within the industry, indicating a turning point for the aviation engine sector [12][23] Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The defense and military industry consists of 143 listed companies with a total market value of 26,967.47 billion and a circulating market value of 22,823.81 billion [3] Market Performance - The defense and military index rose by 6.90%, outperforming other major indices, with a current PE(TTM) of 68.4 times [8][42][48] Key Developments - The establishment of a joint laboratory for key vacuum measurement devices in nuclear fusion aims to promote independent innovation in this field [14][31] - The revision of the civil aviation law focuses on the development of the low-altitude economy and passenger rights [15][32] - The successful test of the second-stage propulsion system of the LQ-2 liquid launch vehicle marks a significant step towards enhancing China's capabilities in commercial space [17][37] Recommendations - Suggested companies to watch include: - Military electronics: Zhenhua Technology, Hongyuan Electronics, Huada Electronics [26] - Missile industry chain: Tianqin Equipment, Zhimin Technology [26] - Domestic engines: Aero Engine Corporation of China, Aero Engine Control [27] - New domains: Satellite internet and low-altitude economy companies [28]

Market Performance - The military sector has shown strong performance for two consecutive days, with stocks like North Navigation, Guorui Technology, and Wanlima experiencing significant gains, including multiple stocks hitting the daily limit up [1][2] - Notable stocks include Changcheng Military Industry with a 9.99% increase, Wanlima with a 20.05% increase, and Hunan Tianyan with a 9.97% increase [3] Events - A major military parade is scheduled for September 3, showcasing domestically produced military equipment, including new-generation traditional weapons and advanced combat capabilities [4] - NATO has announced plans to increase military spending to 5% of GDP by 2035, indicating a significant shift in defense budgets [4] Institutional Insights - The upcoming military parade is seen as a strategic declaration of China's military capabilities and a driver for the military industry, emphasizing "domestication," "new quality," and "systematization" as key trends [4] - The military industry is expected to benefit from global military development changes and internal growth driven by strong planning, amidst increasing geopolitical tensions [4] - Historical trends indicate that significant market movements in the military sector have been driven by asset restructuring and large contracts, with expectations for continued restructuring in 2025 [4] - Global military spending is projected to reach $27.18 billion in 2024, marking a 9.4% increase from 2023, the largest annual growth since the Cold War [4][5]

Group 1 - The aerospace and defense industry index (CN5082) has seen a strong increase of 1.64% as of June 26, 2025, with notable stock performances including Beifang Navigation (600435) up by 10.01%, Construction Industry (002265) up by 10.00%, and Changcheng Military Industry (601606) up by 9.99% [1] - The Aerospace ETF Tianhong (159241) rose by 1.50%, with a latest price of 1.09 yuan and a trading volume of 5.4997 million yuan, indicating significant capital inflow of 13.4078 million yuan over the past five trading days [1] - A recent press conference announced a grand ceremony on September 3 to commemorate the 80th anniversary of the victory in the Chinese People's Anti-Japanese War and the World Anti-Fascist War, which includes a military parade [1] Group 2 - The military parade will showcase new-generation traditional weaponry alongside new combat forces such as unmanned systems, underwater operations, cyber warfare, and hypersonic capabilities, reflecting the military's adaptation to technological advancements and evolving warfare [2] - High-level leadership emphasized the importance of integrating new production capabilities with new combat capabilities, indicating a strategic direction for the military's capability building and the core driving force for the defense industry [2] - Key themes for understanding the current and future development trends of China's military industry include "domestication," "new quality," and "systematization," with a focus on "new domain new quality combat forces" as a priority for future defense research and equipment procurement [2] Group 3 - The Aerospace ETF Tianhong (159241) closely tracks the national aerospace index, with a high weight of 96% in the defense and military industry, making it one of the purest military-themed ETFs in the market [2] - The ETF's constituent stocks are heavily focused on aerospace capabilities, with over 80% representation in segments such as domestic large aircraft and drones [2] - A table of stock performance shows various companies in the aerospace sector, with notable increases in stock prices, such as Zhongbing Hongjian (000519) up by 7.34% [4]

Core Viewpoint - The defense and military industry ETF (512810) is experiencing strong upward momentum, driven by market speculation surrounding the upcoming military parade and the strategic importance of the "14th Five-Year Plan" [1][3][5]. Group 1: ETF Performance - The defense military ETF (512810) opened high and rose by 1.58%, marking a potential four-day winning streak with trading volume surpassing 40 million yuan [1]. - Over 60 out of 80 constituent stocks of the ETF are in the green, with notable performances from North Navigation, Construction Industry, and Great Wall Military, the latter achieving an impressive 7 out of 6 consecutive trading days of gains [1][5]. - The ETF has recently undergone a split to lower its net asset value, reducing the trading threshold from approximately 120 yuan to around 60 yuan, making it more accessible for investors [4]. Group 2: Market Trends and Drivers - The recent surge in the defense and military sector is attributed to the anticipation of the September 3 military parade, which historically has led to bullish trends in the sector [1][3]. - The military parade is expected to showcase domestic military capabilities and innovations, potentially enhancing China's military trade and positioning in the global market [3]. - The focus on new domains and quality in military capabilities is likely to drive future research and procurement in the defense sector, indicating a shift towards more advanced technologies [3]. Group 3: Investment Opportunities - The defense military ETF (512810) serves as an efficient tool for investors looking to gain exposure to both traditional and emerging military capabilities, while also being a financing and interconnectivity target [4]. - The influx of over 40 billion yuan in main funds within the first 20 minutes of trading indicates strong investor interest and confidence in the sector [5].

Market Overview - A-shares experienced a significant rally, with the ChiNext Index rising by 1.34%, driven by strong performances in the military and diversified financial sectors [1] - Northbound capital saw a substantial inflow of 8.1 billion yuan, indicating increased foreign interest in A-shares [1] External Market Influence - U.S. stock markets rose over 1%, with the Nasdaq China Golden Dragon Index increasing by 3.31%, positively impacting A-shares [3] - The easing of tensions in the Middle East and a 6% drop in international oil prices contributed to a more favorable market environment [3] Technical Analysis - The ChiNext Index broke through the critical resistance level of 2050 points, indicating a strong upward momentum [3] - The Shanghai Composite Index showed potential to challenge the 3450-point mark, contingent on volume support [3] Capital Flow - Northbound funds were actively purchasing, with over 4 billion yuan each in both the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock connects, reflecting foreign optimism towards A-shares [4] - Domestic capital showed a net outflow overall, but focused on military, financial, and solid-state battery sectors [4] Sector Performance - The military sector saw significant gains, with over ten stocks hitting the daily limit, supported by a 7.2% increase in defense budgets and geopolitical risk hedging [4] - The financial sector's surge was attributed to favorable policies announced at the Lujiazui Forum, including the establishment of a digital RMB international operation center in Shanghai [4] - The solid-state battery sector is gaining traction, with companies like Xiangtan Electrochemical achieving five consecutive trading limits, driven by advancements in technology and upcoming production milestones [5] Underperforming Sectors - The oil and gas extraction sector faced declines, with companies like Zhun Oil Co. hitting the daily limit down, linked to the drop in international oil prices [6] - The port shipping and film industry are also experiencing adjustments due to economic cycles and market capital flow [6] - The liquor sector remains sluggish, with prices for premium products like Moutai dropping significantly due to seasonal consumption declines and industry de-financialization [6] Investment Strategy - For long-term investors, the military and financial sectors present ongoing opportunities, particularly in military stocks supported by policy and earnings expectations [6] - Caution is advised in the solid-state battery sector due to high short-term volatility, emphasizing the need to identify companies with genuine technological breakthroughs [6] - The ChiNext Index's ability to maintain above 2100 points could lead to a challenge of 2200 points, with a focus on technology and new energy sectors [6]

Market Overview - The stock indices collectively adjusted this week, with a total net outflow of approximately 17 billion yuan from stock ETFs and cross-border ETFs in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets [1][6] - The total trading volume for the week reached 56.9 trillion yuan, with the Shanghai market accounting for 22.6 trillion yuan and the Shenzhen market for 34.3 trillion yuan [2] ETF Performance - Major ETFs such as the Sci-Tech 50 and the CSI 1000 saw declines exceeding 1% this week, with a total net outflow of 3.97 billion yuan from the top 10 index ETFs [5] - The CSI 300 ETF and the Shanghai 50 ETF experienced slight declines of 0.03% and 0.11%, respectively, with net outflows of 10.87 million and 7.95 million yuan [3][4] Sector Analysis - The military industry-related ETFs received significant inflows, with the Military Leader ETF, Military ETF, and National Defense ETF seeing net inflows of 9.86 billion, 7.54 billion, and 6.95 billion yuan, respectively [7][9] - Conversely, the pharmaceutical sector faced continued selling pressure, with the Medical ETF, Innovative Drug ETF, and Consumer ETF experiencing net outflows of 9.89 billion, 7.97 billion, and 3.17 billion yuan, respectively [8][11] Future Outlook - Analysts suggest that the military industry may see a turning point in orders by 2025, driven by new technologies and military trade opportunities [11] - The innovative drug sector is expected to transition from capital-driven to profit-driven growth, presenting potential investment opportunities as the industry matures [15]

Group 1 - The military industry sector is leading the A-share market, with the military ETF (512660) rising over 6% and achieving a trading volume exceeding 1.3 billion yuan within the first hour of trading [1] - The top ten holdings of the military ETF include companies like China Shipbuilding, AVIC Shenyang Aircraft, and China Heavy Industry, with gains exceeding 8% for some stocks [1] - The recent India-Pakistan conflict has catalyzed strong performance in the military sector, with increased media attention on military capabilities [1] Group 2 - The military ETF (512660) has seen a significant increase in scale, reaching 13.7 billion yuan, up 3.7 billion yuan from the end of last year [2] - The India-Pakistan conflict is expected to have a direct impact on military trade, enhancing global military trade logic and potentially increasing the defense market ceiling [2] - China's military trade is anticipated to grow in the short term due to improved product competitiveness and production capacity, alongside a shift in domestic production focus [2] Group 3 - A report indicates that 20 out of 62 military listed companies reported year-on-year growth in Q1 2025, suggesting a potential turning point for military orders [3] - The military industry is expected to benefit from new technologies and market directions, particularly in enhancing equipment performance and reducing costs [3] - The military ETF (512660) is positioned to capitalize on the anticipated growth in the military sector, with institutions optimistic about the upcoming order cycle [3]

Group 1 - Several fund companies have announced self-purchases, with Anxin Fund committing to invest no less than 20 million yuan, and fund managers contributing at least 5 million yuan for a new mixed fund [1] - Over 20 fund companies are expected to submit new floating fee rate products, indicating a trend towards innovative fund structures in the market [1] - A total of 51 funds have been scheduled for issuance this month, with equity products accounting for over 70% of the total [1] Group 2 - The ETF market saw a positive performance with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 0.8% and total trading volume reaching 1.47 trillion yuan, an increase of 132.1 billion yuan from the previous trading day [2] - Military stocks experienced a significant surge, with over 20 stocks hitting the daily limit, and military-related ETFs showing strong performance, with some rising by as much as 4.24% [3][6] Group 3 - The S&P Biotechnology ETF led the declines, dropping by 5.08%, while several Hong Kong innovation drug-related ETFs also experienced pullbacks [5] - The military industry is projected to see a turning point in orders by 2025, with new technologies and military trade potentially creating new market opportunities [6]