Core Insights - North Beihai is leveraging its abundant quartz sand resources to develop a silicon-based new materials industry, significantly contributing to the local and regional industrial economy [1][4][5] - In 2024, the photovoltaic materials industry in Beihai is projected to achieve an output value of 11.28 billion yuan, highlighting its growing importance [2] Resource Advantages - Beihai is one of the three major high-quality quartz sand bases in China, with proven reserves exceeding 2.5 billion tons and potential reserves over 4 billion tons, featuring a silicon dioxide content of over 99.5% [3] - The local quartz sand is characterized by high silicon content and low iron content, making it suitable for photovoltaic glass production, which reduces production costs by approximately 100 yuan per ton compared to other regions [3] Strategic Planning - The Guangxi government is actively supporting the development of the silicon-based new materials industry in Beihai, aligning with national policies to promote local resource processing and industrial transformation [4] - Beihai has established a comprehensive industrial chain from quartz sand processing to photovoltaic glass and components, recognized as a national characteristic industrial cluster [5] Technological Innovation - Beihai is enhancing its research and development capabilities by collaborating with institutions like Wuhan University of Technology to establish a technology research center focused on silicon materials [7] - The introduction of advanced production technologies and automated production lines is ensuring high-quality output and energy efficiency in the silicon-based new materials industry [7][8] Market Positioning - Beihai's strategic location as a key node in the "Belt and Road" initiative, along with its favorable logistics and business environment, positions it well for the growth of the silicon-based new materials sector [9] - The establishment of a silicon-based materials research institute aims to support national strategies in semiconductor and renewable energy industries, enhancing technological competitiveness [8][9]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the company [1] Core Views - The company's performance in 2024 and Q1 2025 is under pressure due to the decline in prices of industrial silicon and other products [1] - The company achieved a revenue of 26,692 million yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 0.41%, but the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 33.64% to 1,740 million yuan [5] - The report highlights significant growth in industrial silicon production and sales, with a production increase of 38.1% to 1,870,000 tons in 2024 [6] - The company is focusing on optimizing production costs and expanding into high-value-added areas such as organic silicon deep processing and silicon-based new materials [9] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company reported a revenue of 266.92 billion yuan and a net profit of 17.40 billion yuan, with a significant decline in profitability due to lower product prices [5][9] - For Q1 2025, the company recorded a revenue of 52.28 billion yuan, a decrease of 3.47% year-on-year, and a net profit of 2.60 billion yuan, down 50.81% year-on-year [5][7] Production and Sales - The company’s industrial silicon revenue reached 138 billion yuan in 2024, a growth of 1.10%, while organic silicon revenue was 122 billion yuan, a decrease of 1.1% [6] - The production of industrial silicon in Q1 2025 was 36.2 million tons, a decrease of 17.1%, but sales volume increased by 53.2% [7] Cost and Margin Analysis - The overall gross margin for Q1 2025 was 14.6%, a decline of 8.3 percentage points year-on-year, primarily due to falling product prices [7] - The average selling price of industrial silicon in Q1 2025 was 9,342 yuan per ton, down 29.8% year-on-year [7] Future Outlook - The company is expected to face continued pressure on earnings due to declining prices of industrial silicon and organic silicon products, leading to revised profit forecasts for 2025-2027 [9][10] - The projected net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 1,897 million yuan, 2,600 million yuan, and 3,368 million yuan, respectively [10]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" investment rating for the company [3][7]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 26.692 billion yuan in 2024, a slight increase of 0.41% year-on-year, but the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 33.64% to 1.740 billion yuan [1][7]. - The first quarter of 2025 saw a revenue of 5.228 billion yuan, down 3.47% year-on-year, with a net profit of 260 million yuan, reflecting a significant decline of 50.81% [1][7]. - The overall market for industrial silicon and organic silicon remains weak, impacting the company's performance, but it continues to enhance capacity and reduce costs, maintaining a relatively stable gross margin [7]. Financial Data and Valuation - The company’s total revenue for 2023 was 26.584 billion yuan, with a projected decrease to 26.160 billion yuan in 2025E, followed by a recovery to 31.690 billion yuan in 2026E and 38.608 billion yuan in 2027E [2][13]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to recover from 1.847 billion yuan in 2025E to 2.676 billion yuan in 2026E and 3.408 billion yuan in 2027E [8][14]. - The current price-to-earnings (PE) ratio is projected to be 34, 23, and 18 for the years 2025E, 2026E, and 2027E respectively [7][8]. Industry Position and Developments - The company holds a leading position in the industrial silicon and organic silicon markets, with an industrial silicon capacity of 1.22 million tons per year and organic silicon monomer capacity of 1.73 million tons per year [7]. - The company is expanding into silicon-based new materials, with significant projects in the photovoltaic sector, including a 200,000-ton high-purity polysilicon project and a 20GW photovoltaic module project [7]. - The company has successfully overcome technical barriers in silicon carbide production, with 6-inch substrates in full production and 8-inch substrates in small batch production [7].