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非洲开发银行预测2025年非洲经济增速将达3.9%
Shang Wu Bu Wang Zhan· 2025-05-31 03:38
Core Insights - The African Development Bank's report predicts steady economic growth in Africa, increasing from 3.3% in 2024 to 3.9% in 2025, with a potential rise to 4% in 2026 [1] - 21 African countries are expected to have economic growth rates exceeding 5% in 2025, with Ethiopia, Niger, Rwanda, and Senegal projected to reach 7%, which is crucial for poverty reduction and inclusive growth [1] - Despite challenges such as high inflation averaging 18.7% in 2024 and rising debt levels, the report highlights the resilience of the African economy [1] Economic Challenges - 15 African countries are facing double-digit inflation, with interest payments as a percentage of government revenue increasing from 19% in 2019 to 27% currently, indicating growing fiscal pressure [1] - The continent is losing approximately $587 billion annually, with $90 billion attributed to illicit financial flows, $275 billion from profit shifting by multinational corporations, and $148 billion due to corruption [1] Recommendations for Improvement - The report suggests enhancing tax collection through digital means, broadening the tax base, and strengthening the social contract between governments and citizens to improve tax compliance [2] - It advocates for mandatory natural capital accounting and localized policies to ensure economic value retention [2] - The report also recommends leveraging institutional savings, developing local currency bond markets, and coordinating cross-border investment regulations to promote capital flow [2]