其中，在建设金融稳定保障体系方面，强化金融机构的公司治理和风险管理，加强日常监管，筑牢防范金融 风险的"第一道防线"。加强宏观审慎管理、微观审慎监管、行为监管等协同配合，形成合力。强化具有硬约 束的金融风险早期纠正机制，加强存款保险专业化风险处置职能，发挥好行业保障基金、金融稳定保障基 金、中央银行最后贷款人作用，注重防范道德风险。强化金融稳定的法治保障，加快推动金融法、中国人民 银行法、金融稳定法等制定修订。 原文如下： 党的二十届四中全会通过的《中共中央关于制定国民经济和社会发展第十五个五年规划的建议》提出，构建 科学稳健的货币政策体系和覆盖全面的宏观审慎管理体系。这是"十五五"时期推动金融高质量发展、加快建 设金融强国的战略举措，为完善中央银行制度指明了方向。 一、构建科学稳健的货币政策体系和覆盖全面的宏观审慎管理体系的重要意义 12月4日，中国人民银行行长潘功胜在《人民日报》发表署名文章《构建科学稳健的货币政策体系和覆盖全面的宏 观审慎管理体系（学习贯彻党的二十届四中全会精神）》。 文章指出，构建科学稳健的货币政策体系需要从以下方面多维度推进：一是优化基础货币投放机制和货币政 策中间变量，保持金融总量 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint emphasizes the need to establish a scientific and robust monetary policy system and a comprehensive macro-prudential management system as strategic measures for promoting high-quality financial development and building a strong financial nation during the 15th Five-Year Plan period [1][2][3] Group 2 - The construction of a scientific and robust monetary policy system is essential for maintaining currency stability, economic growth, full employment, and balance of international payments [5][6] - The relationship between short-term and long-term economic needs must be balanced through various monetary policy tools to smooth economic fluctuations [6][7] - The importance of enhancing the efficiency of fund allocation and ensuring the health of financial institutions while supporting economic growth is highlighted [6][9] Group 3 - A comprehensive macro-prudential management system aims to observe, assess, and respond to financial risks from a macro and counter-cyclical perspective [9][10] - The need to strengthen monitoring and assessment of systemic financial risks, focusing on key areas such as cross-border capital flows and real estate markets, is emphasized [11][12] - The construction of a financial stability guarantee system is crucial for reinforcing risk management and governance within financial institutions [13]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint emphasizes the importance of establishing a scientific and robust monetary policy system and a comprehensive macro-prudential management system as strategic measures for promoting high-quality financial development and building a financial powerhouse during the 14th Five-Year Plan period [1][2][3]. Group 2 - The construction of a scientific and robust monetary policy system is essential for maintaining the stability of currency value and financial stability, which are the dual objectives of the central bank [2][3]. - The need for a high-level socialist market economy system requires further improvement of the dual pillar system to balance economic growth, structural adjustment, and systemic financial risk prevention [2][3]. - The transition from high-speed growth to high-quality development necessitates enhancing the robustness of financial institutions and markets, thereby improving the quality of financial services to the real economy [3][4]. Group 3 - The monetary policy system and macro-prudential management system are core components of the modern central bank system, which need to be mutually supportive and complementary [4]. - The 2008 financial crisis highlighted that price stability does not equate to financial stability, necessitating the construction of a macro-prudential management system to prevent systemic financial risks [4][5]. - The dual pillar system has been preliminarily established in China, with monetary policy being relatively mature while macro-prudential management requires further refinement [4][5]. Group 4 - The main tasks for constructing a scientific and robust monetary policy system include optimizing the mechanism for basic currency issuance and monetary supply regulation, enhancing the market-oriented interest rate formation and transmission mechanism, and improving the structural monetary policy tool system [7][8][9]. - The focus should be on maintaining reasonable growth of financial totals while ensuring the effective financing needs of the real economy are met [7][8]. - Continuous improvement of the RMB exchange rate formation mechanism is necessary to maintain exchange rate flexibility and prevent excessive fluctuations [9]. Group 5 - The comprehensive macro-prudential management system aims to observe, assess, and respond to financial risks from a macro and counter-cyclical perspective, preventing systemic financial risks that could destabilize the macroeconomic environment [11][12]. - The system should cover the interconnections between macroeconomic operations and financial risks, as well as the key areas of financial markets and activities [11][12]. - Strengthening the monitoring and assessment of systemic financial risks is crucial, focusing on key areas such as cross-border capital flows and the real estate market [13][14]. Group 6 - The construction of a financial stability guarantee system is essential, which includes enhancing corporate governance and risk management of financial institutions, and ensuring effective early warning mechanisms for financial risks [15]. - The financial security capabilities should align with the level of openness in the financial sector, ensuring the safety of critical financial institutions and foreign exchange reserves [15].

中国人民银行 党委 书记 、行长潘功胜在 人民日报 发表 署名文章《构建科学稳健的货币政策体系和覆盖全面的宏观审慎管理体系（学习贯 彻党的二十届四中全会精神）》。 以下为原文： 构建科学稳健的货币政策体系和覆盖全面的宏观审慎管理体系（学习贯彻党的二十届四中全会精神） 潘功胜 党的二十届四中全会 通过的《 中共 中央关 于制定国民经济和社会发展第十五个五年规划的建议》提出，构建科学稳健的货币政策体系和 覆盖全面的宏观审慎管理体系。这是"十五五"时期推动金融高质量发展、加快建设金融强国的战略举措，为完善中央银行制度指明了方向。 一、构建科学稳健的货币政策体系和覆盖全面的宏观审慎管理体系的重要意义 习近平 总 书记 指出，金融是"国之大者"，关系中国式现代化建设全局。中央银行以维护币值稳定和金融稳定为双目标，货币政策体系和宏 观审慎管理体系是中央银行实施宏观管理的两项基础性工具，是实现双目标的双支柱。构建科学稳健的货币政策体系和覆盖全面的宏观审慎 管理体系，有利于把维护币值稳定和金融稳定更好结合起来，对于支撑金融强国建设具有重要的意义。 二是稳增长与防风险的关系。随着经济结构转型和信贷结构变化，实体经济需要的货币信 ...

中国人民银行行长潘功胜在人民日报发表署名文章《构建科学稳健的货币政策体系和覆盖全面的宏观审 慎管理体系（学习贯彻党的二十届四中全会精神）》指出，不断完善人民币汇率形成机制。我国是大型 开放经济体，要坚持市场在汇率形成中的决定性作用，保持汇率弹性，发挥好汇率调节宏观经济和国际 收支自动稳定器功能，为自主、有效实施货币政策创造有利条件。同时，坚持底线思维，强化预期引 导，坚决防范汇率超调风险。 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint emphasizes the construction of a scientific and robust monetary policy system and a comprehensive macro-prudential management system as strategic measures for promoting high-quality financial development and accelerating the establishment of a financial power during the 15th Five-Year Plan period [1][15] Group 2 - The importance of constructing a scientific and robust monetary policy system and a comprehensive macro-prudential management system is highlighted as essential for maintaining currency stability and financial stability, which are the dual goals of the central bank [2][16] - This construction is necessary for accelerating the establishment of a high-level socialist market economy and addressing issues of unbalanced and insufficient development [2][16] - It is also crucial for promoting high-quality financial development and transitioning from extensive to intensive growth in the financial sector [3][17] Group 3 - The monetary policy system and macro-prudential management system are identified as core components of the modern central banking system, which need to be complementary and supportive of each other [4][18] - The 2008 financial crisis underscored that price stability does not equate to financial stability, necessitating a robust macro-prudential management framework [4][18] Group 4 - The construction of a scientific and robust monetary policy system aims to achieve a dynamic balance among currency stability, economic growth, full employment, and balance of international payments [5][19] - Key relationships to manage include the short-term versus long-term dynamics, growth versus risk prevention, and internal versus external economic conditions [6][20] Group 5 - The main tasks for constructing a scientific and robust monetary policy system include optimizing the basic currency issuance mechanism, improving the market-oriented interest rate formation and transmission mechanism, and enhancing the structural monetary policy tool system [7][21] - Continuous improvement of the RMB exchange rate formation mechanism and ensuring effective transmission of monetary policy are also emphasized [8][22] Group 6 - The comprehensive macro-prudential management system aims to prevent and mitigate systemic financial risks, observing and responding to financial risks from a macro and counter-cyclical perspective [9][23] - The system should cover the interconnections between macroeconomic operations and financial risks, as well as key areas in financial markets and activities [10][24] Group 7 - The tasks for building a comprehensive macro-prudential management system include strengthening the monitoring and assessment of systemic financial risks, implementing risk prevention measures in key areas, and enriching the policy toolbox for macro-prudential management [11][26] - Establishing a financial stability guarantee system and enhancing financial security capabilities in line with the level of openness are also critical [13][28]

Group 1: Macro Economic Insights - The current internal and external environment is increasingly complex and severe, necessitating counter-cyclical and cross-cyclical adjustments. The report aligns with the Fourth Plenary Session's assessment of the economic situation, highlighting the impact of trade issues on global economic growth and the need for a consumption-driven economic model in China [4][5]. - The report indicates improvements in price operations, with both CPI and PPI showing year-on-year increases in October. It emphasizes the need for coordinated macro policies to promote reasonable price recovery, including advancing the construction of a unified national market and boosting consumption [4]. Group 2: Monetary Policy Adjustments - The report outlines changes in the monetary policy framework, emphasizing the construction of a scientific and robust monetary policy system and a comprehensive macro-prudential management system. This indicates a future focus on systematic development in monetary policy [5][6]. - The importance of stabilizing growth has been elevated, with monetary policy expected to remain "moderately loose," including potential rate cuts and reserve requirement ratio reductions as necessary. The report suggests that the broad fiscal or social financing will be a major support in 2026, with a need for lower financing costs for residents and enterprises [6][7]. Group 3: Banking Sector Insights - Banks are accelerating the disposal of non-performing assets, particularly real estate, due to multiple considerations including capital consumption and market risks. This strategy aims to alleviate capital pressure and supplement profits amid rising retail risks [11][12]. - The report highlights significant disparities in the scale and impairment provisions of non-performing assets among listed banks, with state-owned banks accelerating asset disposals to release capital and enhance profitability [12][13]. Group 4: Agricultural Sector Insights - The pig farming sector is entering a destocking cycle driven by policy and market factors, with a recommendation to actively invest in leading companies like Wens Foodstuffs and Muyuan Foods due to the sector's defensive attributes amid low prices [17][18]. - The beef cattle sector is experiencing a favorable demand cycle, with expectations of continued profitability improvements through 2027. The report suggests investing in companies within the beef cattle industry chain [18]. Group 5: Pharmaceutical Sector Insights - The report discusses the promising results of DR10624 for treating severe hypertriglyceridemia, showing significant reductions in triglyceride levels and liver fat. The company maintains a "buy" rating based on projected net profits for 2025-2027 [30][31]. - The competitive landscape in the pharmaceutical sector is intensifying, with multiple multinational corporations targeting the FGF21 pathway, indicating a potential for differentiated market positioning for the company [31].

Core Viewpoint - The 20th Central Committee's Fourth Plenary Session approved the "Suggestions on Formulating the 15th Five-Year Plan for National Economic and Social Development," emphasizing a stable and continuous monetary policy framework that will guide financial market operations during the 15th Five-Year Plan period [1] Monetary Policy Framework - The "scientific and stable" monetary policy aims to balance short-term and long-term goals, economic growth and risk prevention, as well as internal and external factors [1] - The central bank's liquidity toolbox is well-stocked, with a reasonable distribution of terms, allowing for both short-term and long-term liquidity adjustments [2] Liquidity Tools and Mechanisms - The central bank has shifted its focus from quantity targets to interest rate levels, indicating a reduced emphasis on the monetary supply's direct control [2] - Different liquidity tools serve distinct purposes, with reserve requirement ratio (RRR) adjustments being used more cautiously compared to other tools [3] Interest Rate Mechanism - The central bank will adjust the timing of MLF operations to follow LPR announcements, reinforcing the significance of the 7-day reverse repurchase rate as a policy interest rate [3] - The transmission mechanism of monetary policy is structured as "economic growth - policy interest rate - market interest rate," with the 7-day reverse repurchase rate becoming a key determinant for 10-year government bond yields [5] Economic Indicators and Policy Signals - Historical data shows that each round of RRR cuts corresponds with a decline in government bond yields, indicating that RRR adjustments signal policy easing [4] - The frequency of interest rate cuts is lower than that of RRR cuts, suggesting a more cautious approach by the central bank regarding interest rate adjustments [6]

Core Viewpoint - The "14th Five-Year Plan" emphasizes the need to improve the central bank system, establish a robust monetary policy framework, and enhance macro-prudential management to support high-quality economic development [1][7]. Monetary Policy Framework - The People's Bank of China (PBOC) aims to create a scientific and robust monetary policy system to achieve a balance among price stability, economic growth, full employment, and international balance of payments [1][2]. - The PBOC will focus on optimizing the mechanism for basic currency issuance and monetary supply control, ensuring reasonable growth in total financial volume [2][3]. - The PBOC will avoid excessive liquidity injection and will utilize tools like reverse repos and Medium-term Lending Facility (MLF) to maintain liquidity based on economic conditions [2][3]. Macro-Prudential Management - A comprehensive macro-prudential management system is essential for preventing systemic financial risks and maintaining financial stability [4][5]. - The PBOC will enhance monitoring and assessment of systemic financial risks, improve risk prevention measures for key institutions and sectors, and expand the macro-prudential management toolbox [4][5]. - The management system will also include a focus on cross-market and cross-institutional risk monitoring and regulation of shadow banking [5]. Monetary Policy Transmission Mechanism - Improving the transmission mechanism of monetary policy is crucial for enhancing financial services to the real economy [6]. - The PBOC will promote interest rate marketization, strengthen the guiding role of policy rates, and optimize the transmission paths from financial institutions to the real economy [6]. - Transparency in monetary policy and effective communication of policy intentions will be key to ensuring market understanding and enhancing the effectiveness of policy implementation [6]. Future Outlook - The "14th Five-Year Plan" provides clear direction for the central bank's priorities over the next five years, with expectations for a stable monetary and financial environment to support high-quality economic development [7].

Group 1: Open Market Operations - The central bank conducted a 7-day reverse repurchase operation of 355.1 billion yuan at a fixed rate of 1.40% on October 31, with a net injection of 187.1 billion yuan for the day after accounting for 168 billion yuan in reverse repos maturing [1] - The total net injection for the week was 900.8 billion yuan, indicating a continued effort to maintain liquidity in the market [1] Group 2: Funding Conditions - The interbank market remains comfortable under the central bank's continuous net injection, with overnight repurchase rates stabilizing around 1.31% [3] - The central bank's actions, including reverse repos and MLF, have effectively smoothed out liquidity fluctuations for the month, with expectations of continued ample liquidity post-month-end [3] Group 3: Interbank Certificates of Deposit - The latest transaction rate for one-year interbank certificates of deposit is approximately 1.63%, showing a slight decrease from the previous day [5] Group 4: Government Bond Futures - The main contracts for government bond futures showed mixed results, with the 30-year contract up by 0.42% and the 10-year contract up by 0.04%, while the 5-year and 2-year contracts saw slight declines [9] Group 5: Economic Indicators - China's official manufacturing PMI for October was reported at 49, down from 49.8, indicating a decline in manufacturing activity [10] - The non-manufacturing PMI rose to 50.1, reflecting a slight expansion in the services sector [10] Group 6: Policy Insights - The People's Bank of China emphasized the need for a robust monetary policy framework and improved transmission mechanisms for interest rates, aiming to enhance the effectiveness of policy rates [10] - The Ministry of Finance highlighted plans to manage local government debt more effectively and optimize government investment strategies during the 14th Five-Year Plan period [11]