Core Viewpoint - The recent trend of decreasing interest rates for business loans from various banks, including China Merchants Bank, is aimed at reducing financing costs for small and micro enterprises, while also targeting quality customer segments [3][11][12]. Group 1: Interest Rate Trends - China Merchants Bank has introduced a promotional business mortgage loan with an annual interest rate as low as 2.7%, available until September 30 [4][5]. - Other major banks, such as Industrial and Commercial Bank of China and Jiangsu Bank, have also launched business loan products with interest rates reaching or falling below 3% [2][6][7]. - The competitive landscape has led to some banks offering business loans with interest rates as low as 2.2% for certain products [6]. Group 2: Loan Product Characteristics - The business mortgage loan from China Merchants Bank offers a maximum limit of 20 million, with a repayment period of up to 20 years [5]. - The approval process for these low-interest loans is more stringent compared to consumer loans, requiring businesses to meet specific criteria such as maintaining a good credit status and providing operational data [9][10]. Group 3: Market Dynamics and Policy Influence - The decline in business loan interest rates is influenced by both policy guidance aimed at lowering financing costs for the real economy and competitive market pressures [11][12]. - The current monetary policy remains accommodative, with measures like reserve requirement ratio cuts providing banks with lower funding costs, allowing for reduced loan pricing [11]. Group 4: Risks and Strategic Considerations - The trend towards lower interest rates may lead to increased credit risk as banks seek to expand their customer base, potentially impacting asset quality [15]. - Experts suggest that banks should innovate financial products and focus on effective market demand to balance business expansion with asset quality [17].

与传统的固定收益类型产品相比，分红险具备更灵活的"成本 调节机制"，因而在降低负债成本、缓释利差风险方面，展现 出明显优势。 作者： 姜鑫 封图：图虫创意 2025年6月28日下午，客户拎着包急匆匆离开座位要去接孩子放学，李玲望着手中的咖啡无奈地 笑了笑，这一单又有点悬。 李玲是一位保险代理人，她这次见面的客户是一位年轻妈妈。由于存款利率下降，银行理财、货币 基金收益也不达预期，客户考虑配置一些理财型的保险产品。 李玲说，从利率走低的明显趋势，到家庭财富保值增值的挑战增加，再到保险产品的刚兑和收益优 势，客户都能理解。但当提到分红险的平滑机制和不同产品的复杂的利益演示时，客户却皱起了眉 头。 分红险是指保险公司在每个会计年度结束后，将上一会计年度该类分红保险的可分配盈余，按一定 的比例、以现金红利或增值红利的方式，分配给客户的一种人寿保险。在目前市场上销售产品中有 分红型寿险、分红型养老险和分红型两全险等产品，也有保险公司推出了分红型重疾险。 李玲的感受是，与3.50%的预定利率产品切换时的市场热度相比，当下的客户比较冷静。 自去年下半年起，李玲所在的保险公司进行了产品调整，无论是可以享受税收优惠的个人养老金 ...

资金管理也是外汇交易技巧中的重要一环。投资者不应将全部资金集中投入某一笔交易或某一种货币 对。分散投资可以降低单一因素对投资组合造成的影响。可以根据不同货币对的风险收益特征，合理分 配资金，确保在市场出现不利波动时，整体投资组合不至于遭受毁灭性打击。 以上信息由金融界利用AI助手整理发布。金融界作为专业的金融媒体，始终致力于为广大投资者提供 全面、客观、准确的金融信息与知识。通过对各类金融领域知识的梳理与解读，帮助投资者提升金融素 养，更好地理解金融市场的运行机制和交易原理。金融界不断丰富内容形式，借助先进的技术手段，以 更高效、优质的方式将专业信息传递给受众，助力各界人士在金融领域做出更加明智的决策。 免责声明： 本文内容根据公开信息整理生成，不代表发布者及其关联方的官方立场或观点，亦不构成任何形式的投 资建议。请您对文中关键信息进行独立核实，自主决策并承担相应风险。 外汇交易是一个复杂且充满机遇的领域，吸引着众多投资者。要在外汇市场中进行有效的操作，掌握一 些实用的技巧至关重要。 首先，扎实的基础知识是前提。投资者需要深刻理解外汇交易的基本概念，如货币对的构成。不同国家 的货币相互组合形成货币对，汇率的波 ...

自2025年3月底征求意见稿发布，在经历了3个半月的征求意见之后，7号令正式出台。相比 征求意见稿， 7号令新增金融机构在推介、销售或者交易过程中的禁止"通过操纵业绩或者不 当展示等方式误导或者诱导客户购买有关产品"。 本次新规针对的金融产品主要是原银保监旗下监管的收益具有不确定性且可能导致本金损失的 投资型产品，总体可以划分为资管产品和其他金融产品。 以下文章来源于财联社FICC ，作者王蔚 财联社FICC . 财联社FICC团队倾力打造的固定收益投研平台，为广大投资者提供债市电报、独家新闻、精选资讯、 重大事件点评、深度报道、研究报告等。 昨日，国家金融监督管理总局正式出台《金融机构产品适当性管理办法》（国家金融监督管理总局 令2025年第7号公布，以下简称"7号令"）。 还有一些金融机构在产品推介过程中可能通过模糊产品性质、混淆产品类别、夸大产品优势、 选择性展示业绩数据等方式，诱导客户使其在不了解产品真实风险的情况下做出投资决策。 关于业绩展示规则，今年5月，国家金融监督管理总局发布《银行保险机构资产管理产品信息 披露管理办法（征求意见稿）》，其中具体明确了公募产品的过往业绩披露要求；还有此前中 银协 ...

Summary of Key Points Core Viewpoint - The company anticipates a negative net profit for the first half of 2025 due to intensified market competition and insufficient sales growth despite increased marketing efforts [2][3]. Performance Forecast - The performance forecast period is from January 1, 2025, to June 30, 2025, with an expected net profit in negative territory [2]. - The forecast has not been pre-audited by the accounting firm [2]. Reasons for Performance Changes - Increased competition in the local market has hindered the company's ability to boost beer sales, leading to anticipated losses [3]. - The company expects non-recurring gains from securities investments to be approximately 2.66 million yuan [4]. Risk Factors - The performance forecast is based on preliminary calculations by the finance department, with detailed financial data to be disclosed in the 2025 semi-annual report [5]. - The company’s 2024 annual financial data triggered a risk warning for delisting due to negative profit figures and revenue below 300 million yuan [5]. - The company will adhere to legal requirements for timely information disclosure [5]. Other Relevant Information - The company has designated information disclosure media, including "China Securities Journal," "Securities Times," and the website www.cninfo.com.cn, for all announcements [6].

从中期来看，原油市场供需格局调整将主导价格走势。EIA预测，2025年底布伦特原油价格或降至61美 元/桶，2026年进一步下探至59美元/桶，主要基于全球石油库存上升及OPEC+增产的压制。6月 OPEC+会议确认加速推进增产计划，预计9月前完成原定一年半的220万桶/日增产目标，供应宽松预期 持续强化。 需求端则呈现结构性分化。美国夏季出行旺季提振汽油及航空煤油消费，商业原油库存超预期去化；中 国则因汽柴油库存低位、高温及自驾游需求上升，支撑汽油消费稳中向好。然而，一德期货指出，全球 炼厂利润收缩及欧美汽柴油需求峰值已现，边际走弱风险逐渐显现。此外，美联储降息预期升温或短期 提振风险偏好，但难以扭转原油中长期过剩趋势。 综合来看，2025年三季度布伦特油价或围绕60美元/桶震荡，地缘风险反复与OPEC+增产节奏成为关键 变量。若中东局势彻底降温，旺季结束后油价中枢或进一步下探至60美元以下，回归基本面主导的偏空 逻辑。 来源:金融界 近期国际原油市场波动加剧，地缘政治风险与供需基本面博弈成为核心矛盾。2025年6月，中东局势动 荡主导油价先扬后抑，而机构普遍认为，随着伊以停火协议达成及OPEC+增产推进， ...

Core Viewpoint - The recent volatility in gold prices has raised concerns among investors, with predictions indicating a potential drop to 600 yuan per gram by 2025 [1][2]. Group 1: Price Movements and Predictions - The spot gold price in Shanghai has fallen from 834.6 yuan per gram in April to 765 yuan per gram, with brand gold jewelry prices dropping below 900 yuan per gram [1]. - On July 8, spot gold experienced a significant drop of 1.02%, reaching a low of 3298.7 USD per ounce (approximately 780 yuan per gram), marking a 6% decline from the April peak of 3509 USD [2]. - Analysts predict that if gold prices fall below 3300 USD, it could trigger automatic stop-loss orders worth 20 billion USD, leading to panic selling [2]. Group 2: Influencing Factors - The probability of a Federal Reserve rate cut in September decreased from 78% to 63%, reducing the market's demand for gold as a safe haven [2]. - Internal divisions within the Federal Reserve regarding monetary policy are increasing, with "dovish" members advocating for rate cuts to combat inflation, while "hawkish" members warn of potential inflation from tariff policies [3]. - Geopolitical events, such as the Middle East drone attacks and rumors of a ceasefire in Ukraine, have shown to significantly impact gold prices, with the latter causing an 8% flash crash [5]. Group 3: Market Sentiment and Demand - The demand for gold jewelry is being affected by Trump's tariff policies, which are raising inflation but simultaneously suppressing consumer spending [5]. - In the domestic market, while the People's Bank of China is expected to increase gold reserves by 219 tons in 2024, the pace of accumulation is anticipated to slow down in 2025 due to high prices [5]. - Current gold jewelry prices include over 30% in brand premiums and processing fees, indicating that even if the base gold price drops to 600 yuan per gram, jewelry prices may not fall below 800 yuan per gram [6]. Group 4: Investment Strategies and Market Outlook - Goldman Sachs has revised its gold price forecast for the end of 2025 from 3100 USD to 3000 USD, while UBS recommends gradual accumulation at 3250 USD (approximately 730 yuan per gram) [6]. - Zijin Mining is increasing overseas gold mine acquisitions, suggesting that a price range of 700-750 yuan per gram is currently seen as a bottom [6]. - Investors who purchased gold at higher prices are facing difficult decisions, while those who entered the market at lower prices are relatively calm [6].

旅途平安始于细节。请务必提高风险意识，做好充分准备，祝您在冰岛旅程顺利愉快！ 央视网消息：据中国驻冰岛大使馆微信公众号消息，近日，有中国游客在冰岛旅游期间遭遇租车高昂索 赔问题，为切实维护我公民合法权益，中国驻冰岛大使馆提醒赴冰旅游的中国公民注意以下事项： 租车务必审慎。建议选择冰岛正规租车公司及当地保险公司，签订合同前，务必仔细审阅所有条款，特 别是押金、保险范围及赔付政策、各类附加费用、油料政策、还车要求及例外条款等。选择保险种类 时，充分考虑车况、路况及目的地气候等多种因素。 用车遵守规则。冰岛路况特殊、天气多变。请严格遵守路况信息提示及交通规则，遇极端天气，应果断 放弃出行。请根据路况谨慎驾驶，严格按照路牌限速标志行驶，杜绝酒后驾驶、疲劳驾驶，收费区域停 车请及时缴纳停车费，超速、逾期缴费等均面临高额罚款。冰岛公路以外的野地不得驶入，严禁破坏自 然保护区，如果违反将面临严厉处罚。冰岛物价高昂，道路救援等收费较高。 还车注重细节。按照合同约定的时间和地点还车，确保车况、油箱状态等符合要求。还车时务必现场共 同验车，确认车辆状况无争议。如有分歧，立即指出并拍照录像留证。如遇不合理收费或权益受损，及 时保留 ...

央视网消息：持续高温天气也给健康带来了一定隐患。7月11日，国家疾病预防控制局举行新闻发布会，介绍了夏季高温天气对健康的影 响，尤其老人、孕妇、儿童、慢性病患者等重点人群的健康风险，并做出了服务提示。 近期，国家疾控局、中国气象局联合发布高温健康风险预警和健康提示，当处于黄色预警时，一般人群需要保持室内凉爽，减少户外剧烈 活动；当处于橙色预警时，重点人群要避免外出，如果确需外出应有人陪同；当处于红色预警时，户外工作人员要合理安排户外作业时间，以 及使用防暑降温用品，出现不适症状时应立即停止作业，严重时应及时就医。 一是做好出发前的准备工作，关注目的地天气变化情况，提前准备好个人防护用品和药品。如前往境外旅游，提前了解和咨询此次出行是 否有必要接种相应的疫苗。二是旅行期间严防"病从口入"。就餐前注意做好手卫生同时减少摄入生冷食物，避免饮用来源不明的水、吃过期和 变质食物。三是外出活动时做好个人防护。穿着舒适、透气、适合活动的衣物避免长时间暴露在阳光下，喷洒驱蚊液减少蚊虫叮咬。 气温不等于体感温度 高湿加剧闷热感 当高温遇到湿度，往往会加剧热的感觉。有些地方气温显示不到30℃，但却热得人汗流浃背，这就是因为体感温 ...

省药物警戒中心强化多方协同，借力数智化工具做好风险监测 当好"哨兵"，守护百姓用药安全 海南日报全媒体记者 李梦瑶 "手套破裂现象多次出现，可能与产品质量相关。"不久前，海南省药物警戒中心通过监测系统发 现，某哨点医院在短时间内集中上报多例疑似同一厂家相同(邻)批号的一次性使用灭菌橡胶外科手套的 不良事件。 一双医用手套，很可能就是守护生命的关键防线，根本马虎不得。调查分析，抽样检验，行政处 罚……在省药物警戒中心与药监部门的联合处置下，一个"产品质量不合格"的风险隐患被迅速消除。 处理类似事件是省药物警戒中心的工作日常。"除了类似的医疗器械不良事件，合格药品在正常用 法用量下，也可能出现与用药目的无关的有害反应。"该中心主任黄凌介绍，她和同事们的主要职责便 是对这些不良反应、不良事件进行监测评估，防范化解潜在安全风险。 换句话说，省药物警戒中心就像是保障公众用药安全的"哨兵"。 "该平台打破了各部门数据壁垒，建成之后，风险监测将更智慧化、便捷化。"黄凌说。 与兄弟省份相比，海南省药物警戒中心除了开展常规药品监测工作，还拥有独一无二的附加任务： 得益于国家给予海南先行先试的特许药械政策，许多已在国外上市、未在 ...