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美联储主席鲍威尔讲话要点一览
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-17 19:43
Group 1 - Recent inflation has risen and remains at relatively high levels, primarily driven by increases in commodity prices, while the overall impact of tariffs on inflation is still under observation [1] - The labor market faces downside risks, with a noticeable slowdown in demand, low hiring rates, and low layoff rates indicating a weakening labor market, particularly affecting vulnerable groups [1] - There is no broad support for a rapid adjustment of interest rates, with the idea of a 50 basis point rate cut not widely endorsed [1] Group 2 - The Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) is working to address factors behind employment data revisions, with annual employment data adjustments aligning closely with expectations, and the Federal Reserve's reliance on BLS data remains sufficient for its needs [1] - The committee welcomes new members and remains committed to fulfilling its dual mandate while maintaining the independence of the Federal Reserve [1] - Among 19 policymakers, 10 anticipate two or more rate cuts in the remaining months of the year, while the other 10 expect fewer cuts [1]
Fed cuts rates by 25 basis points, plus why signals for future rate cuts are 'conflicting'
Youtube· 2025-09-17 19:18
Core Points - The Federal Reserve has lowered its benchmark interest rate by 25 basis points to a range of 4% to 4.25%, with indications of two more rate cuts expected this year [1] - The decision was not unanimous, with dissent from newly appointed Fed Governor Steven Myron, who preferred a 50 basis point cut [2] - The Fed's economic outlook has improved, projecting GDP growth of 1.6% this year and 1.8% next year, while inflation is expected to remain at 3.1% this year and decrease to 2.6% next year [3][4] Rate Projections - Nine Fed officials anticipate three rate cuts this year, while six expect only one cut, and one official, presumably Myron, predicts six cuts [2] - For next year, the median expectation is for just one additional rate cut [3] Labor Market Insights - The unemployment rate is projected to remain at 4.5% this year, with a slight decrease to 4.4% next year, reflecting concerns about labor market weakness [4] - Fed officials acknowledged a slowdown in job gains and a slight increase in the unemployment rate, indicating a shift from previous assessments of a solid job market [4][5] Economic Conditions - The Fed is concerned about the softening labor market and its impact on consumer spending, with mixed signals regarding economic activity [7][8] - There are conflicting signals in retail sales, with nominal growth suggesting strong consumer spending, but volume declines in certain sectors indicate underlying weaknesses [16][17] Future Considerations - The Fed's approach to rate cuts is characterized by a careful assessment of incoming data and evolving economic conditions, particularly regarding labor market risks [5][26] - The potential for tax refunds and corporate incentives next year could boost consumption and growth, despite current inflationary pressures [12][21]
Fed’s 25bp Rate Cut Nudges Liquidity Back—Bitcoin, Risk Assets on Watch
Yahoo Finance· 2025-09-17 18:29
The U.S. central bank delivered an expected 0.25% rate cut at its September meeting. | Credit: Credit: Alex Wong/Getty Images Key Takeaways The Federal Reserve cut rates by 25 basis points to 4.00–4.25%, the first reduction since December. The move reflects the Fed’s balancing act between a slowing labor market and still-elevated inflation. Bitcoin and other assets moved slightly down after the announcement. On Wednesday, the Federal Reserve delivered its first rate cut since December, trimming th ...
Fed lowers rates by a quarter point
Youtube· 2025-09-17 18:24
Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by a quarter point as expected to a new range of four to four and a quarter percent. New Fed governor and former CEO current CE chair uh Steven Byron dissenting in favor of 50 basis point cut. The median Fed official looking for two more rate cuts this year but just barely.I'll get you details on that in a second. The statement importantly says the balance of risks have shifted. Downside risk to employment has risen.Job gains have slowed. Unemployment has edged up and ...
Federal Reserve Cuts Interest Rates by a Quarter Point, Expects More Reductions This Year
Youtube· 2025-09-17 18:16
With your Fed decision. Here is my make. The answer to your question, John, is a quarter percentage point cut as expected.But Fed officials also see two more cuts this year in October and December, according to the new DOT plot. There was one dissent, and that is from Stephen Myron, the Trump representative on the board who wanted no cuts. This he wanted rather, to cuts this time 50 basis points next year.The committee sees only one cut so far, but the dispersion is very wide and the very bottom for next ye ...
Fed Cuts Rates by Quarter Point and Signals More Are Likely
WSJ· 2025-09-17 18:01
Core Viewpoint - The Federal Reserve has implemented a quarter-point interest rate cut, marking the first reduction in nine months, as officials believe that recent labor-market softness is more significant than inflation setbacks [1] Group 1 - The interest rate cut is a response to recent labor-market conditions, indicating a shift in monetary policy focus [1] - This decision reflects the Federal Reserve's assessment that economic indicators related to employment are currently more pressing than inflation concerns [1] - The quarter-point reduction may influence borrowing costs and economic activity moving forward [1]
Fed Cuts Interest Rates by a Quarter Point, as Expected
Barrons· 2025-09-17 18:00
CONCLUDED Fed Cuts Rates by a Quarter Point, as Expected, and Sees 2 More Cuts This Year Last Updated: 4 hours ago Customer Service Fed Cuts Interest Rates by a Quarter Point, as Expected By Megan Leonhardt The Federal Reserve lowered interest rates for the first time in nine months on Wednesday, but the central bank struck a cautious approach by cutting by a quarter of a percentage point. At the conclusion of a two-day policy meeting, the Federal Open Market Committee voted to lower its target for the fede ...
The Fed announced its first interest rate cut of the year
Business Insider· 2025-09-17 18:00
America is getting a highly-anticipated interest rate change — the first cut of the year. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell announced Wednesday that the central bank will slice rates by a quarter percentage point. The call aligns with expectations: CME FedWatch projected a near-100% chance of a September policy shift in the days before the meeting.The Federal Open Market Committee cited slowing job growth as a key reason for the cut, despite inflation heating up once more. The Fed's goal is to keep emplo ...
Former NEC director Gary Cohn: There's a chance markets will be disappointed in Fed dot plot
Youtube· 2025-09-17 17:06
Fed expected to cut rates for the first time this year later this afternoon. Here with us now at Post 9 is former Goldman Sachs president, current IBM vice chair Gary Conn. Gary also served as the director of the National Economic Council during President Trump's first term.Welcome back. >> Thanks for having >> great to have you, especially on a day like today. Is there scope for the market to be disappointed if if Powell isn't dovish enough to meet all their great expectations of more cuts.>> Look, there's ...
Fed Signals More Cuts, But Powell Says Don't Be Too Sure (Live Coverage)
Investors· 2025-09-17 20:59
SPECIAL REPORT: Here's The Most Trusted Credit Card Company — Once Again The Federal Reserve is set to deliver its first interest-rate cut after a nine-month pause, and markets have little doubt that it will be a quarter-point move. Any surprise is likely to come from the rate cut's packaging — from the number of dissenting votes, to future interest-rate projections to the outlook Fed Chairman Jerome Powell offers at his post-meeting news conference. The Fed's policy-setting panel, the Federal Open Market C ...