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7月31日股指期货套利监测日报
news flash· 2025-07-31 07:10
Group 1 - The basis for the CSI 300 IF2508 contract is at a discount of 5.19, while the SSE 50 IH2508 contract is at a premium of 0.61. The CSI 500 IC2508 contract is at a discount of 39.74, and the CSI 1000 IM2508 contract is at a discount of 48.19 [1] - The month difference for the CSI 300 IF2508-2509 is 12.2, while the SSE 50 IH2508-2509 shows a difference of -0.4. The CSI 500 IC2508-2509 has a difference of 61.8, and the CSI 1000 IM2508-2509 has a difference of 75.0 [1]
永安期货沥青早报-20250731
Yong An Qi Huo· 2025-07-31 01:11
Group 1: Futures Contract Information - BU main contract price on 7/30 was 3650, with a daily change of 31 and a weekly change of 41 [4][20] - BU06 price on 7/30 was 3438, with a daily change of 22 and a weekly change of 53 [4][20] - BU09 price on 7/30 was 3650, with a daily change of 31 and a weekly change of 41 [4][20] - BU12 price on 7/30 was 3555, with a daily change of 40 and a weekly change of 72 [4][20] - BU03 price on 7/30 was 3469, with a daily change of 25 and a weekly change of 79 [4][20] Group 2: Trading Volume and Open Interest - Trading volume on 7/30 was 350130, with a daily change of 23001 and a weekly change of 4870 [4][20] - Open interest on 7/30 was 480556, with a daily change of 35507 and a weekly change of 19993 [4][20] Group 3: Market Low - end Prices - Shandong market low - end price on 7/30 was 3600, with a daily change of 20 and a weekly change of - 20 [4][20] - East China market low - end price on 7/30 was 3670, with no daily or weekly change [4][20] - South China market low - end price on 7/30 was 3550, with no daily or weekly change [4][20] - North China market low - end price on 7/30 was 3720, with a daily change of 10 and a weekly change of - 10 [4][20] - Northeast market low - end price on 7/30 was 3850, with no daily change and a weekly change of - 50 [4][20] Group 4: Spot Prices - Jingbo (Haiyun) spot price on 7/30 was 3710, with a daily change of 20 and no weekly change [4][20] - Mismo spot price on 7/30 was 3700, with a daily change of 40 and a weekly change of - 10 [4][20] - Xinhai (Xin Bohai) spot price on 7/30 was 3720, with a daily change of 10 and a weekly change of - 10 [4][20] Group 5: Basis and Monthly Spread - Shandong - East China basis on 7/30 was - 70, with a daily change of 20 and a weekly change of - 20 [4][20] - Shandong - Northeast basis on 7/30 was - 250, with a daily change of 20 and a weekly change of 30 [4][20] - East China - South China basis on 7/30 was 120, with no daily or weekly change [4][20] - Shandong basis on 7/30 was - 50, with a daily change of - 11 and a weekly change of - 61 [4][20] - East China basis on 7/30 was 20, with a daily change of - 31 and a weekly change of - 41 [4][20] - South China basis on 7/30 was - 100, with a daily change of - 31 and a weekly change of - 41 [4][20] - 03 - 06 spread on 7/30 was 31, with a daily change of 3 and a weekly change of 26 [4][20] - 06 - 09 spread on 7/30 was - 212, with a daily change of - 9 and a weekly change of 12 [4][20] - 09 - 12 spread on 7/30 was 125, with a daily change of - 9 and a weekly change of - 31 [4][20] - 12 - 03 spread on 7/30 was 56, with a daily change of 15 and a weekly change of - 7 [4][20] - Continuous first - continuous second spread on 7/30 was 14, with a daily change of - 7 and a weekly change of - 27 [4][20] Group 6: Crack Spread and Profit - Asphalt Brent crack spread on 7/30 was - 199, with a daily change of - 109 and a weekly change of - 230 [4][20] - Asphalt MRE profit on 7/30 was - 249, with a daily change of - 99 and a weekly change of - 208 [4][20] - Ordinary refinery comprehensive profit on 7/30 was 314, with a daily change of - 79 and a weekly change of - 132 [4][20] - MRE - type refinery comprehensive profit on 7/30 was - 90, with a daily change of - 84 and a weekly change of - 162 [4][20] - Import profit (South Korea - East China) on 7/30 was - 153, with no daily or weekly change [4][20] - Import profit (Singapore - South China) on 7/30 was - 1005, with a daily change of 1 and a weekly change of - 1 [4][20] Group 7: Related Prices - Shandong gasoline market price on 7/30 was 7851 [21] - Shandong diesel market price on 7/30 was 6731 [21] - Shandong residue oil market price on 7/30 was 3640 [21]
燃料油早报-20250730
Yong An Qi Huo· 2025-07-30 04:06
Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content provided Group 2: Core Viewpoints of the Report - This week, the high - sulfur cracking fluctuated, the near - month spread declined and returned to the historical low for the same period. EW continued to weaken and rebounded on Friday. The 380 9 - 10 spread weakened to around $2, the 380 basis continued to weaken to -$7.25/ton, and the FU09 internal - external spread rebounded and then fluctuated [5]. - The Singapore 0.5 cracking fluctuated downward, the 9 - 10 spread weakened to around $2.75, the LU internal - external spread weakened, and the 09 internal - external spread dropped to $0.7 [6]. - This week, Singapore's on - land inventory increased slightly, floating storage decreased, the near - month spread was under pressure, Saudi Arabia's shipments increased month - on - month, imports from Saudi Arabia also increased, and the UAE's shipments decreased significantly month - on - month. Egypt's net imports decreased slightly month - on - month but remained at a seasonal high [6]. - High - sulfur supply and demand are still in the peak season. After the 380 cracking declined, it fluctuated. Currently, the EW arbitrage window is theoretically open, and the internal - external spread repaired and then fluctuated [6]. - This week, the hi - 5 spread fluctuated after a slight decline. The domestic LU internal - external spread decline was realized, and the FU - LU internal - external valuation was partially realized. Attention should be paid to whether there is support for the 380 near - month contract [6]. Group 3: Summary According to Data Rotterdam Market - From July 23 to July 29, 2025, the price of Rotterdam 3.5% HSF O swap M1 increased by $6.61, Rotterdam 0.5% VLS FO swap M1 increased by $5.21, Rotterdam HSFO - Brent M1 decreased by $0.07, Rotterdam 10ppm Gasoil swap M1 increased by $1.78, Rotterdam VLSFO - GO M1 increased by $3.43, LGO - Brent M1 decreased by $2.03, and Rotterdam VLSFO - HSFO M1 decreased by $1.40 [4]. Singapore Market - For Singapore fuel oil swaps from July 23 to July 29, 2025, Singapore 380cst M1 had a certain price change, Singapore 180cst M1 also changed, Singapore VLSFO M1 changed, and Singapore GO M1 changed. The Singapore 380cst - Brent M1 and Singapore VLSFO - GO M1 also had corresponding changes [4]. - For Singapore fuel oil spot, from July 23 to July 29, 2025, FOB 380cst increased by $5.89, FOB VLSFO increased by $8.44, and the 380 basis decreased by $0.05 [4]. Domestic Market - For domestic FU from July 23 to July 29, 2025, FU 01 increased by 40, FU 05 increased by 35, FU 09 increased by 48, FU 01 - 05 increased by 5, FU 05 - 09 decreased by 13, and FU 09 - 01 increased by 8 [4]. - For domestic LU from July 23 to July 29, 2025, LU 01 increased by 69, LU 05 increased by 48, LU 09 increased by 88, LU 01 - 05 increased by 21, LU 05 - 09 decreased by 40, and LU 09 - 01 increased by 19 [5].
沥青早报-20250730
Yong An Qi Huo· 2025-07-30 04:06
Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided. 2. Core Viewpoints No information provided. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Futures Contracts - The closing prices of BU main contract, BU09, and BU12 on July 29 were 3619, 3619, and 3485 respectively, with daily changes of 50, 50, and 44, and interval changes of -38, -38, and 0 [4]. - The closing prices of BU06 and BU03 on July 29 were 3416 and 3444 respectively, with daily changes of 38 and 16, and interval changes of 10 and 16 [4]. Trading Volume and Open Interest - The trading volume on July 29 was 327,129, a daily decrease of 16,850 and an interval increase of 117,100 [4]. - The open interest on July 29 was 445,049, a daily increase of 8 and an interval decrease of 34,604 [4]. Spot Prices - The low - end prices in Shandong, East China, South China, North China, and Northeast markets on July 29 were 3580, 3670, 3550, 3710, and 3850 respectively, with daily changes of 0, 0, 0, 10, and 0, and interval changes of -60, 0, -10, -30, and -50 [4]. - The prices of Jingbo (Haiyun), Runo, and Xinhai (Xin Bohai) on July 29 were 3690, 3660, and 3710 respectively, with daily changes of 0, -10, and 10, and interval changes of -30, -50, and -30 [4]. Basis and Monthly Spread - The basis of Shandong, East China, and South China on July 29 were -39, 51, and -69 respectively, with daily changes of -50, -50, and -50, and interval changes of -22, 38, and 28 [4]. - The monthly spreads of 03 - 06, 06 - 09, 09 - 12, and 12 - 03 on July 29 were 28, -203, 134, and 41 respectively, with daily changes of 21, -12, 6, and -15, and interval changes of 6, 48, -38, and -16 [4]. Crack Spread and Profit - The asphalt Brent crack spread on July 29 was -90, a daily decrease of 89 and an interval decrease of 137 [4]. - The asphalt Ma Rui profit on July 29 was -150, a daily decrease of 80 and an interval decrease of 122 [4]. - The comprehensive profit of ordinary refineries and Ma Rui - type refineries on July 29 were 393 and -6 respectively, with daily changes of -56 and -82, and interval changes of -66 and -92 [4]. - The import profits of South Korea - East China and Singapore - South China on July 29 were -153 and -1006 respectively, with daily changes of -5 and -6, and interval changes of -1 and -10 [4]. Related Prices - The price of Brent crude oil on July 29 was 70.0, a daily increase of 1.6 and an interval increase of 1.5 [4]. - The market prices of gasoline, diesel, and residue oil in Shandong on July 29 were 7795, 6675, and 3650 respectively, with daily changes of 39, 37, and 0, and interval changes of -43, -13, and 0 [4].
LPG早报-20250730
Yong An Qi Huo· 2025-07-30 04:05
1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant information provided 2. Core View of the Report - The domestic LPG market is expected to continue its narrow - range oscillatory trend. International LPG prices are weak, and the increase in domestic chemical demand is offset by the low combustion demand [1] 3. Summary by Relevant Catalog 3.1 Price Data - On July 29, 2025, the prices of South China LPG, East China LPG, Shandong LPG, Shandong ether - after carbon four, and Shandong alkylated oil were 4480, 4413, 4413, 4600, and 550 respectively. The daily changes were 0, 0, 0, - 20, and 1 respectively [1] 3.2 Market Conditions - The PG futures market is oscillating. The international LPG price is weak, and the significant increase in warehouse receipts suppresses the market. The domestic chemical demand is increasing, but the low combustion demand restricts the upward movement. The cheapest deliverable is East China civil gas at 4413 yuan/ton [1] 3.3 Spread and Arbitrage - The basis has weakened to 370 (- 63). The inter - month reverse spread continues to strengthen. The 08 - 09 spread is 2, and the 08 - 10 spread is - 398. The US - to - Far - East arbitrage window is closed [1] 3.4 Production Profit - FEI and CP have risen, PP has risen significantly, and the production profit of PP made from FEI and CP has deteriorated. The CP production cost is lower than that of FEI. PDH profit has improved, and MTBE export profit has declined [1] 3.5 Inventory and Supply - The arrival volume has decreased significantly. Due to typhoons, ships in South China are delayed, and port inventories have decreased. Factory inventories have slightly increased. The commodity volume has decreased by 0.53% [1] 3.6 Demand - Chemical demand is strong. PDH operating rate has increased significantly to 73.13% (+ 2.01 pct). Alkylation operating rate has increased, and MTBE operating load has risen [1]
7月29日股指期货套利监测日报
news flash· 2025-07-29 07:11
Group 1 - The basis for the CSI 300 IF2508 contract is at a discount of 0.62, while the SSE 50 IH2508 contract is at a premium of 4.01. The CSI 500 IC2508 contract is at a discount of 37.13, and the CSI 1000 IM2508 contract is at a discount of 42.88 [1] - The month difference for the CSI 300 IF2508-2509 price spread is 9.2, while the SSE 50 IH2508-2509 price spread is -1.2. The CSI 500 IC2508-2509 price spread is 56.0, and the CSI 1000 IM2508-2509 price spread is 68.8 [1]
LPG早报-20250729
Yong An Qi Huo· 2025-07-29 02:15
Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided Core View - The domestic LPG market is expected to continue a narrow - range oscillating trend. International LPG prices are weak, with a significant increase in warehouse receipts suppressing the market. Although domestic chemical demand is increasing, weak combustion demand restricts upward movement [1]. Summary by Relevant Content Price and Market Data - On Monday, the cheapest deliverable was East China civil LPG at 4413 yuan/ton. FEI and CP prices dropped, PP prices declined sharply, and the production profit of FEI and CP for PP worsened, with CP having a lower production cost than FEI. The PG market weakened, with the 08 - 09 spread at - 7 and the 08 - 10 spread at - 411. The US - to - Far East arbitrage window closed [1]. - The PG market oscillated. The basis weakened to 370 (-63), and the inter - month reverse spread continued to strengthen. Warehouse receipt registrations reached 9804 lots (+1000), with Qingdao Yunda adding 1000 lots. External market prices continued to weaken, and the oil - gas ratio declined [1]. Regional and Spread Data - In terms of regional spreads, PG - CP reached 43 (+18), FEI - MB was 155 (-6), FEI - CP was 4.5 (+4.5), and the US - Asia arbitrage window closed. FEI propane discount continued to fall, and the CP arrival discount oscillated. FEI - MOPJ changed little, at - 47.5 (-3.75) [1]. Profit and Demand Data - PDH profit improved, while MTBE export profit declined. The arrival volume decreased significantly. Chemical demand was strong; PDH operating rate increased significantly to 73.13% (+2.01 pct), and next week, Liaoning Jinfa plans to resume operation. Alkylation operating rate increased, and Henan Chengxin's alkylation unit has a restart plan. MTBE operating load increased, with manufacturers focusing on exports and overall stable operation. Combustion demand was weak [1].
LPG早报-20250728
Yong An Qi Huo· 2025-07-28 05:51
Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided Core View of the Report - The PG futures market is expected to continue its narrow - range oscillation. International LPG prices are weak, and the increase in warehouse receipts suppresses the market. Domestic chemical demand is rising, but weak combustion demand restricts upward movement. The cheapest deliverable is East China civil LPG. There are changes in regional spreads, and the US - Asia arbitrage window is closed. [1] Summary by Related Catalog Price Data and Changes - **Daily Changes**: From 2025/07/23 to 2025/07/24, there were daily changes in various LPG - related prices. For example, South China LPG decreased by 90, East China LPG decreased by 30, and propane CFR South China increased by 3. The paper import profit decreased by 122, and the main basis decreased by 67. [1] - **Weekly Changes**: From 2025/07/24 to 2025/07/25, South China LPG decreased from 4590 to 4500, East China LPG decreased from 4443 to 4413. The paper import profit changed from 89 to - 33, and the basis weakened to 370 (-63). [1] Market Conditions - **Futures Market**: The PG futures market is weakening, and the monthly spread continues to decline. The 08 - 09 spread is - 10, and the 08 - 10 spread is - 431. The US - Asia arbitrage window is closed. [1] - **Regional Spreads**: PG - CP reaches 43 (+18), FEI - MB is 155 (-6), FEI - CP is 4.5 (+4.5). FEI propane discount continues to fall, and CP arrival discount fluctuates. FEI - MOPJ changes little, with the latest at - 47.5 (-3.75). [1] - **Production Profits**: FEI and CP - based PP production profits improve slightly. PDH profits improve, while MTBE export profits decline. [1] Supply and Demand - **Supply**: Warehouse receipt registration volume is 9804 lots (+1000), with Qingdao Yunda adding 1000 lots. The arrival volume drops significantly. The commodity volume decreases by 0.53%. The factory inventory increases slightly. [1] - **Demand**: Chemical demand is strong. PDH operating rate rises significantly to 73.13% (+2.01 pct), and next week, Liaoning Jinfa plans to resume operation. The alkylation operating rate increases, and the MTBE operating load rises. However, combustion demand is weak. [1]
沥青早报-20250728
Yong An Qi Huo· 2025-07-27 23:56
Group 1: Information on Futures Contracts - BU main contract price on July 25 was 3615, with a daily change of 13 and a weekly change of -13 [4] - BU06 price on July 25 was 3421, with a daily change of 37 and a weekly change of 37 [4] - BU09 price on July 25 was 3615, with a daily change of 13 and a weekly change of -13 [4] - BU12 price on July 25 was 3484, with a daily change of 25 and a weekly change of 34 [4] - BU03 price on July 25 was 3430, with a daily change of 38 and a weekly change of 21 [4] - Futures trading volume on July 25 was 322134, with a daily change of 63915 and a weekly change of 66996 [4] - Futures open interest on July 25 was 450652, with a daily change of -3106 and a weekly change of -23396 [4] - Warehouse receipts remained at 42950 from July 17 - 25, with no daily or weekly change [4] Group 2: Spot Market Prices - Shandong market low - end price on July 25 was 3590, with a daily change of -10 and a weekly change of 20 [4] - East China market low - end price remained at 3670 from July 21 - 25, with no daily or weekly change [4] - South China market low - end price remained at 3550 from July 23 - 25, with no daily change and a weekly change of -30 [4] - North China market low - end price remained at 3710 on July 24 - 25, with no daily change and a weekly change of -40 [4] - Northeast market low - end price remained at 3900 from July 17 - 25, with no daily or weekly change [4] - Jingbo (Haiyun) spot price on July 25 was 3700, with a daily change of 10 and no weekly change [4] - 54 Hai spot price on July 25 was 3700, with a daily change of 10 and a weekly change of -10 [4] - Mu Hai (Lu Bohai) spot price remained at 3710 on July 24 - 25, with no daily change and a weekly change of -40 [4] Group 3: Basis and Spread - Shandong basis on July 25 was -25, with a daily change of -23 and a weekly change of 33 [4] - East China basis on July 25 was 55, with a daily change of -13 and a weekly change of 13 [4] - South China basis on July 25 was -57, with a daily change of -13 and a weekly change of -17 [4] - 03 - 06 spread on July 25 was 9, with a daily change of 7 and a weekly change of -16 [4] - 06 - 09 spread on July 25 was -194, with a daily change of 24 and a weekly change of 50 [4] - 09 - 12 spread on July 25 was 131, with a daily change of -12 and a weekly change of -47 [4] - 12 - 03 spread on July 25 was 54, with a daily change of -13 and a weekly change of 13 [4] - Consecutive - one to consecutive - two spread on July 25 was 24, with a daily change of -4 and a weekly change of -32 [4] Group 4: Crack Spread and Profit - Asphalt Brent crack spread on July 25 was -27, with a daily change of -49 and a weekly change of 33 [4] - Asphalt Marrow profit on July 25 was -94, with a daily change of -44 and a weekly change of 30 [4] - Ordinary refinery comprehensive profit on July 25 was 438, with a daily change of -14 and a weekly change of 20 [4] - Marrow - type refinery comprehensive profit on July 25 was 45, with a daily change of -26 and a weekly change of 24 [4] - Import profit (South Korea - East China) on July 25 was -146, with a daily change of -4 and a weekly change of 8 [4] - Import profit (Singapore - South China) on July 25 was -997, with a daily change of -5 and a weekly change of -17 [4] Group 5: Related Prices - Brent crude oil price on July 25 was 69.2, with a daily change of 0.7 and a weekly change of -0.1 [4] - Shandong gasoline market price on July 25 was 7822, with a daily change of 27 and a weekly change of 17 [4] - Shandong diesel market price on July 25 was 6693, with a daily change of 48 and a weekly change of -3 [4] - Shandong residue oil market price remained at 3650 from July 23 - 25, with no daily change and a weekly change of -50 [4]
生猪周报:关注月差波动-20250726
Wu Kuang Qi Huo· 2025-07-26 13:08
Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant information provided Group 2: Core Viewpoints of the Report - The market is trading the policy intervention in capacity reduction, reconstructing the original oversupply logic, and significantly increasing the valuation of each contract on the futures market, especially for the far - end contracts [12][14] - For near - end contracts, although the theoretical supply in the fourth quarter increases, after the current active weight reduction to relieve pressure in advance and considering the possibility of active weight gain due to a large fat - standard price difference, the possibility of significant inventory reduction in the early fourth quarter decreases, and the monthly spread may move towards a positive spread structure [12][14] - For far - end contracts, the long - term policy regulation of sow capacity cannot be falsified for now, and the monthly spread tends to be in a reverse spread [12][14] - The industrial structure is being reconstructed, the uncertainty of unilateral trading increases, and more attention should be paid to monthly spread opportunities [12][14] Group 3: Summary by Directory 3.1 Weekly Assessment and Strategy Recommendation - **Spot Market**: Last week, the spot pig price continued to decline. Due to enterprises reducing weight, the slaughter volume remained high, the weight mainly decreased, the demand was average, and the price trend was weak. The fat - standard price difference decreased month - on - month but was higher year - on - year. The average price in Henan decreased by 0.26 yuan to 14.2 yuan/kg, in Sichuan by 0.16 yuan to 13.6 yuan/kg, and in Guangdong increased by 0.08 yuan to 15.58 yuan/kg. Affected by policies, the market's enthusiasm for slaughter remained high, but the supply may narrow near the end of the month. With the decline in pig prices, low prices may attract second - round fattening. It is expected that the pig price will first decline and then slightly increase next week [12][23] - **Supply Side**: In June, the official sow inventory was 40.43 million heads, a slight increase month - on - month, still 3.7% more than the normal level. Since last year, the sow production capacity has continued to increase, which may lead to a weaker fundamental situation in 2025 than in 2024. However, the current expectation of policy - forced capacity reduction is strong, which may improve the supply next year. From the piglet data, the theoretical supply in July and August is relatively stable, but there will be a significant increase in the basic supply from September to the end of the year. Currently, there is a pre - supply volume that can partially offset the pressure. In the short - term, the slaughter volume increased slightly month - on - month, and the weight decreased, indicating active market supply [12] - **Demand Side**: The overall consumption environment is weak, and changes in consumption habits are unfavorable for pork consumption. Pork consumption has been decreasing year - on - year, but the impact of festival consumption on pig prices should be noted month - on - month [12][60] - **Trading Strategy**: For unilateral trading, there is no recommendation for now. For arbitrage, a 3 - 5 reverse spread or an 11 - 01 positive spread is recommended, with a profit - loss ratio of 2:1, a recommended cycle of 2 months, and the core driving logic including policies, weight, basic supply, and fat - standard price difference [15] 3.2 Futures and Spot Market - **Spot Price Trend**: The spot price continued to decline last week, with different price changes in different regions. It is expected to first decline and then slightly increase next week. Although the current trend is weak, there is still an expectation of a price increase in August [23][26] - **Basis and Spread Trend**: The spot price trend is weak, but there is an expectation of a price increase in August [26] - **Prices of Piglets and Sows**: Relevant price trend charts are provided, but no specific textual analysis is given in the text [28] - **Prices of Back - up and Culled Sows**: Relevant price and ratio trend charts are provided, but no specific textual analysis is given in the text [30] 3.3 Supply Side - **Reproductive Sows and Changes**: In June, the official sow inventory was 40.43 million heads, a slight increase month - on - month, still 3.7% more than the normal level. The policy - forced capacity reduction expectation is strong, and the implementation of policies in the next few months needs attention [35] - **Inventory and Slaughter**: Relevant inventory and slaughter volume trend charts are provided, but no specific textual analysis is given in the text [37] - **Sow Culling and Sales**: Relevant culling and sales volume trend charts are provided, but no specific textual analysis is given in the text [40] - **Theoretical Slaughter Volume**: From the piglet data, the theoretical supply in July and August is relatively stable, but there will be a significant increase in the basic supply from September to the end of the year. Currently, there is a pre - supply volume that can partially offset the pressure [44] - **Proportion of Small and Large Pigs in Slaughter**: The proportion of small pigs in slaughter is low, indicating low epidemic pressure; the proportion of large pigs has slightly increased, indicating that the proportion of large pigs gradually increases as the weight increases [47] - **Trading and Average Carcass Weight**: In the short - term, the slaughter volume increased slightly month - on - month, and the weight decreased, indicating active market supply [51] - **Import and Pig Feed Ratio**: Relevant import volume and feed ratio trend charts are provided, but no specific textual analysis is given in the text [53] - **Second - Round Fattening and Barn Utilization**: Relevant ratio and utilization rate trend charts are provided, but no specific textual analysis is given in the text [55] 3.4 Demand Side - **Slaughter Volume**: The overall consumption environment is weak, and changes in consumption habits are unfavorable for pork consumption. Pork consumption has been decreasing year - on - year, but the impact of festival consumption on pig prices should be noted month - on - month [60] - **Slaughtering Rate and Gross Margin**: Relevant rate and margin trend charts are provided, but no specific textual analysis is given in the text [62] - **Spread and Price - Volume Relationship**: Relevant spread and price - volume relationship trend charts are provided, but no specific textual analysis is given in the text [64] - **Fresh - Frozen Spread and Fresh Sales Rate**: Relevant spread and sales rate trend charts are provided, but no specific textual analysis is given in the text [66] 3.5 Cost and Profit - The cost bottomed out and then slightly rebounded, remaining relatively low year - on - year. Affected by the lag effect of low costs, although the pig price is weak, the breeding profit is the highest in recent years [71] 3.6 Inventory Side - The frozen product inventory is moderately low but is in a slow recovery state [76]