1. Report Industry Investment Ratings No information about industry investment ratings is provided in the reports. 2. Core Views 2.1 Oils and Fats - Palm oil: Affected by the decline in crude oil futures, the crude palm oil futures may further decline to around 4,500 ringgit. In China, the Dalian palm oil futures will first test the support at around 9,700 yuan, and there is a risk of further decline after breaking the 9,500 - yuan support [1]. - Soybean oil: CBOT soybean oil has a requirement for a stagflation callback. In China, after the Tomb - Sweeping Festival, demand is expected to gradually increase, but with the arrival of Brazilian soybeans, the basis quote is expected to remain stable [1]. - Rapeseed oil: The Zhengzhou rapeseed oil 05 contract is under pressure at the 10,000 - yuan mark. The spot market traders are bearish on the far - month rapeseed oil basis, and the far - month basis quote has dropped by 20 yuan/ton [1]. 2.2 Sugar - ICE raw sugar futures are affected by energy prices. In the short term, raw sugar prices may fluctuate with oil prices. In China, the domestic sugar market has a situation of strong supply and weak demand, and sugar prices are expected to maintain a high - level volatile and weak pattern [3]. 2.3 Cotton - ICE cotton futures rose. The global cotton production in 2026/27 is expected to decline by 4% to 24.9 million tons, while consumption remains stable. In China, the upward space of domestic cotton prices is restricted by the external market. Although the industrial fundamentals are sound, the follow - up needs to focus on downstream orders, new - year planting area, and weather [5]. 2.4 Red Dates - The jujube market is in the off - season. The prices in the main sales areas are loose, and the consumption is weak. The futures prices are expected to maintain a low - level volatile operation in the short term [7]. 2.5 Apples - The inventory structure of apple main producing areas is differentiated. The prices of high - quality apples are firm, while those of ordinary apples in Shandong are under pressure. The market sentiment has weakened, and the short - term disk is expected to fluctuate and consolidate [9]. 2.6 Corn - The price of corn in the Northeast is stable and weak, and that in North China has rebounded locally. The marginal demand is decreasing, but the limited remaining grain and rigid demand support the price. Attention should be paid to subsequent policy releases [11][13]. 2.7 Meal - The USDA's report shows an increase in US soybean planting area. The domestic soybean meal market is pessimistic, and the future supply pressure will continue to increase [14]. 2.8 Pigs - Pig prices continue to decline. The capacity reduction is slow, and the short - term market may be boosted by second - fattening sentiment, but there is a possibility of further decline under capacity pressure [16]. 2.9 Eggs - The supply of eggs is stable, and the demand has slowed down. After a slight decline in egg prices, the local breeding end is reluctant to sell, and the prices are expected to maintain a low - level volatile trend [19]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs 3.1 Oils and Fats - **Spot and Futures Prices**: On April 1, the spot price of Jiangsu soybean oil was 9,000 yuan, down 100 yuan from March 31, a decrease of 1.11%; the futures price of Y2605 was 8,624 yuan, down 44 yuan, a decrease of 0.51%. The spot price of Guangdong 24 - degree palm oil was 8,520 yuan, up 130 yuan, an increase of 1.32%; the futures price of P2605 was 9,780 yuan, down 86 yuan, a decrease of 0.87%. The spot price of Jiangsu third - grade rapeseed oil was 10,122 yuan, down 160 yuan, a decrease of 1.56%; the futures price of OI2605 was 9,884 yuan, down 164 yuan, a decrease of 1.66% [1]. - **Basis and Spread**: The basis of Y2605 was 476 yuan, up 144 yuan, an increase of 43.37%; the basis of P2605 was 205 yuan, up 216 yuan, an increase of 1963.64%; the basis of OI2605 was 402 yuan, up 4 yuan, an increase of 1.01%. The soybean oil inter - period spread (05 - 09) was 40 yuan, unchanged; the palm oil inter - period spread (05 - 09) was - 44 yuan, down 22 yuan, a decrease of 100.00%; the rapeseed oil inter - period spread (05 - 09) was 17 yuan, down 16 yuan, a decrease of 17.20% [1]. 3.2 Sugar - **Futures and Spot Markets**: On April 1, the futures price of SR2605 was 5,356 yuan/ton, down 42 yuan, a decrease of 0.78%; the futures price of SR2609 was 5,380 yuan/ton, down 21 yuan, a decrease of 0.94%. The spot price in Nanning was 5,440 yuan/ton, down 10 yuan, a decrease of 0.18%; the spot price in Kunming was 5,290 yuan/ton, down 5 yuan, a decrease of 0.09% [3]. - **Industry Situation**: The cumulative national sugar production was 9.26 million tons, down 456,100 tons, a decrease of 4.69%; the cumulative national sugar sales were 3.45 million tons, down 1.3016 million tons, a decrease of 27.39%. The national sugar sales rate was 37.30%, down 11.60 percentage points, a decrease of 23.72% [3]. 3.3 Cotton - **Futures and Spot Prices**: On April 1, the futures price of CF2605 was 15,245 yuan/ton, down 140 yuan, a decrease of 0.91%; the futures price of CF2609 was 15,375 yuan/ton, down 140 yuan, a decrease of 0.90%. The Xinjiang arrival price of 3128B was 16,632 yuan/ton, down 59 yuan, a decrease of 0.35%; the CC Index of 3128B was 16,797 yuan/ton, down 53 yuan, a decrease of 0.31% [5]. - **Industry Situation**: The commercial inventory was 0 tons, down 547,700 tons, a decrease of 100.0%; the industrial inventory was 102,400 tons, up 13,000 tons, an increase of 14.5%. The import volume was 166,500 tons, down 39,100 tons, a decrease of 19.0% [5]. 3.4 Red Dates - **Futures and Spot Prices**: On April 1, the futures price of CJ2605 was 8,635 yuan/ton, down 115 yuan, a decrease of 1.31%; the futures price of CJ2607 was 8,835 yuan/ton, down 90 yuan, a decrease of 1.01%; the futures price of CJ2609 was 9,020 yuan/ton, down 90 yuan, a decrease of 0.99%. The Cangzhou special - grade spot price was 9,060 yuan/ton, unchanged [7]. - **Inventory**: As of April 1, the total of warehouse receipts and effective forecasts was 4,457, equivalent to 22,285 tons of red dates [7]. 3.5 Apples - **Futures and Spot Prices**: On April 1, the futures price of AP2605 was 9,860 yuan/ton, up 34 yuan, an increase of 0.35%; the futures price of AP2610 was 8,497 yuan/ton, down 246 yuan, a decrease of 2.81%. The basis was - 1,525 yuan/ton, down 91 yuan, a decrease of 6.35% [9]. - **Inventory and Market**: The national cold - storage inventory was 4.4179 million tons, down 266,400 tons, a decrease of 5.69%. The trading in the main producing areas was average, and the market sentiment has weakened [9]. 3.6 Corn - **Futures and Spot Prices**: On April 1, the futures price of C2605 was 2,350 yuan/ton, down 1 yuan, a decrease of 0.04%; the Jinzhou Port flat - hatch price was 2,385 yuan/ton, up 10 yuan, an increase of 0.42%. The basis was 35 yuan, up 11 yuan, an increase of 45.83% [11]. - **Industry Situation**: In the Northeast, the price of wet corn is stable and weak; in North China, the price has rebounded locally. The demand of downstream enterprises is decreasing, but the limited remaining grain and rigid demand support the price [11][13]. 3.7 Meal - **Futures and Spot Prices**: On April 1, the spot price of Jiangsu soybean meal was 3,180 yuan/ton, down 60 yuan, a decrease of 1.85%; the futures price of M2605 was 2,875 yuan/ton, down 40 yuan, a decrease of 1.37%. The spot price of Jiangsu rapeseed meal was 2,500 yuan/ton, down 20 yuan, a decrease of 0.79%; the futures price of RM2605 was 2,265 yuan/ton, down 34 yuan, a decrease of 1.48% [14]. - **Spreads and Profits**: The soybean meal inter - period spread (05 - 09) was - 87 yuan, down 14 yuan, a decrease of 19.18%; the rapeseed meal inter - period spread (05 - 09) was - 71 yuan, down 8 yuan, a decrease of 12.70%. The oil - meal ratio of the spot was 2.87, up 0.084, an increase of 3.02%; the oil - meal ratio of the main contract was 3.00, up 0.026, an increase of 0.88% [14]. 3.8 Pigs - **Futures and Spot Prices**: On April 1, the futures price of LH2605 was 9,610 yuan/ton, down 160 yuan, a decrease of 1.64%; the futures price of LH2607 was 10,605 yuan/ton, down 125 yuan, a decrease of 1.16%. The Henan spot price was 9,300 yuan/ton, down 50 yuan [16]. - **Industry Situation**: Pig prices continue to decline, the capacity reduction is slow, and the short - term market may be affected by second - fattening sentiment, but there is a risk of further decline [16]. 3.9 Eggs - **Futures and Spot Prices**: On April 1, the futures price of JD2605 was 3,440 yuan/500KG, down 25 yuan, a decrease of 0.73%; the futures price of JD2606 was 3,220 yuan/500KG, down 4 yuan, a decrease of 0.12%. The egg - producing area price was 3.31 yuan/jin, down 0.04 yuan, a decrease of 1.27% [19]. - **Industry Situation**: The supply of eggs is stable, and the demand has slowed down. After a decline in egg prices, the local breeding end is reluctant to sell, and the prices are expected to be volatile at a low level [19].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant information provided 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - No clear core viewpoints are presented in the given content 3. Summary by Related Catalogs 3.1 Basis and Spread - The Shandong basis (+80) (non - Jingbo) was -6 on 2/27, -177 on 3/20, -130 on 3/25, -183 on 3/26, -152 on 3/27, with a daily change of 31 [3] - The East China basis (Zhenjiang warehouse) was -66 on 2/27, -107 on 3/20, -180 on 3/25, -93 on 3/26, -82 on 3/27, with a daily change of 11 [3] - The South China basis (Foshan warehouse) was -146 on 2/27, -107 on 3/20, -210 on 3/25, -93 on 3/26, -82 on 3/27, with a daily change of 11 [3] - The 04 - 05 spread was -20 on 2/27, -10 on 3/20, 13 on 3/25, 11 on 3/26, -4 on 3/27, with a daily change of -15 [3] - The 04 - 06 spread was -26 on 2/27, -5 on 3/20, 15 on 3/25, 7 on 3/26, -4 on 3/27, with a daily change of -11 [3] - The 06 - 09 spread was 32 on 2/27, 277 on 3/20, 253 on 3/25, 273 on 3/26, 267 on 3/27, with a daily change of -6 [3] 3.2 Futures Contracts - The BU main contract price was 3346 on 2/27, 4457 on 3/20, 4410 on 3/25, 4543 on 3/26, 4532 on 3/27, with a daily change of -11 [3] - The trading volume was 224662 on 2/27, 1191491 on 3/20, 1073847 on 3/25, 1173067 on 3/26, 1165126 on 3/27, with a daily change of -7941 (-2) [3] - The open interest was 315006 on 2/27, 370977 on 3/20, 350606 on 3/25, 380087 on 3/26, 378989 on 3/27, with a daily change of -1098 (8) [3] - The warehouse receipt was 23510 on 2/27, 36100 from 3/20 to 3/26, and N/A on 3/27 [3] 3.3 Spot Market - Brent crude oil price was 70.8 on 2/27, 109.3 on 3/20, 100.8 on 3/25, 104.1 on 3/26, 107.9 on 3/27, with a daily change of 3.9 [3] - Jingbo asphalt price was 3290 on 2/27, 4220 on 3/20, 4250 on 3/25, 4300 on 3/26 and 3/27, with a daily change of 0 [3] - Shandong (non - Jingbo) asphalt price was 3260 on 2/27, 4200 on 3/20 and 3/25, 4280 on 3/26, 4300 on 3/27, with a daily change of 20 [3] - Zhenjiang warehouse asphalt price was 3280 on 2/27, 4350 on 3/20, 4230 on 3/25, 4450 on 3/26 and 3/27, with a daily change of 0 [3] - Foshan warehouse asphalt price was 3200 on 2/27, 4350 on 3/20, 4200 on 3/25, 4450 on 3/26 and 3/27, with a daily change of 0 [3] 3.4 Profit - The asphalt - Ma Rui profit was -661 on 3/20, -211 on 3/25, -315 on 3/26, and N/A on 3/27 [3]

Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided Group 2: Core Views of the Report - The rise in the Middle East situation, attacks on Iranian and Qatari gas fields, and compressor leaks have pushed up the PG futures market significantly. The current basis is weak, and the domestic market is in a contradiction between weak reality and strong expectations. The 4 - 5 month spread in the domestic market is in a delivery game and is expected to fluctuate greatly. In the future, there will likely be a shortage of goods in the second half of April in China, and if the Strait is interrupted for a longer time, the international market will face a more serious shortage, and the external market will remain strong [1] Group 3: Summary of Relevant Catalogs 1. Price Data - **Daily Price Changes**: From March 20 - 26, 2026, the prices of liquefied gas in South China, East China, and Shandong showed an overall upward trend. For example, the price of South China liquefied gas rose from 6300 on March 20 to 7220 on March 26 [1] - **Contract Data**: On March 26, the PG2605 contract closed at 6541 (-53) at 3 pm, with a 5 - 6 month spread of 199 (-43). The number of warrants was 1300 (-1800). The night session closed at 6550 (+9), with a 5 - 6 month spread of 14〈-11〉 [1] 2. Fundamental Data - **Inventory and Capacity Utilization**: Port inventory ratio is 35.84% (+0.79pct), enterprise storage capacity utilization is 26.05% (+1.11 pct), and PDH operating rate is 65.63% (+2.4pct) [1] - **Profit Situation**: Propylene spot profit has weakened slightly, and the paper - making profit of PDH to PP in East and South China has declined [1] 3. Spread and Basis Data - **Basis**: The latest basis is - 1057 (-736) [1] - **Month - to - Month Spread**: The 4 - 5 month spread is 64 (-68), and the FEI month - to - month spread is 112 US dollars (+28) [1] - **Price Difference**: The PG - FEI c1 is 35 (-15.5), the South China CP propane arrival discount is 501 (+108), and the FEI - MOPI price difference is - 76 (+52) [1]

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content 2. Core Viewpoints - The LPG market is in a contradiction between weak reality and strong expectations. Currently, the basis is weak (-1000), domestic refinery gas is sufficient in the short term, and there are intentions to deliver warehouse receipts from some warehouses. The 4 - 5 month spread on the domestic market is in a delivery game and is expected to fluctuate greatly. Looking ahead, a shortage of LPG in China in the second half of April is inevitable. If the Strait is interrupted for a longer time, the international market will face a more serious shortage, and the civil LPG demand gap will be difficult to make up, so the overseas market will remain strong [1]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Daily Data Changes - From March 19 - 25, 2026, prices of LPG in South China, East China, and Shandong showed an upward trend. For example, South China LPG increased from 6215 on March 19 to 7210 on March 25. Paper import profit increased from -3111 on March 19 to 1 on March 25, and the main basis changed from -392 to 120 [1]. - On March 25, the PG2605 contract closed at 6550 (-286) at 3 pm, with a 5 - 6 month spread of 242 (+47), and the number of warehouse receipts was 3100 (+0). The night - session closed at 6565 (-29), and the 5 - 6 month spread was 225 (-17) [1]. - Shandong civil LPG price was 6470 (-80), Shandong ether - post carbon four was 6470 (+0), Shandong propane was 6870 (-80), and Longkou Port propane was 7500 (+0) [1]. 3.2 Weekly Data Changes - Due to the escalation of the Middle East situation, attacks on gas fields in Iran and Qatar, and a compressor leak at Targe, the PG futures price rose significantly. The basis was -1057 (-736), and the 4 - 5 month spread was 64 (-68) [1]. - The number of warehouse receipts was 3100 (+8), with Wanhua increasing by 1300, Jingbo decreasing by 428, and Yunda decreasing by 880. The cheapest deliverable product was Shandong ether - post at 5950 (+520) [1]. - The FEI month spread was 112 US dollars (+28), the oil - gas price ratio decreased, and the domestic and international PG - FEI c1 dropped to 35 (-15.5) [1]. - The on - shore discount of South China CP propane was 501 (+108), and the FOB discounts of AFEI, US Gulf, and Middle East propane were 50 (-54.75), 273.5 (+72.9), and 0 (+0) respectively. The FEI - MOPJ spread was -76 (+52) [1]. - The spot profit of domestic PDH - made propylene weakened slightly, and the paper profit of PDH - made PP in East and South China decreased. The port inventory ratio was 35.84% (+0.79 pct), the enterprise storage capacity utilization was 26.05% (+1.11 pct), and the PDH operating rate was 65.63% (+2.4 pct) [1].

Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant information provided Core Viewpoints - Due to the escalation of the Middle East situation, attacks on gas fields in Iran and Qatar, and a compressor leak at Targe, the PG futures market has risen significantly [1] - The domestic PG market is in a contradiction between weak reality and strong expectations. The current basis is weak, and there is sufficient refinery gas in the short - term. The 4 - 5 month spread of the domestic market is in a delivery game and is expected to fluctuate greatly [1] - In the future, it is highly likely that there will be a shortage of goods in the second half of April in China. If the Strait is interrupted for a longer time, the international market will face a more serious shortage problem, and the civil gas demand gap will be difficult to make up, so the overseas market will still be strong [1] Summary by Relevant Catalogs Daily Data - On March 24, 2026, the closing price of the PG2605 contract at 3 pm was 6836 (-162), the 5 - 6 month spread was 195 (+0), the number of warehouse receipts was 3100 (+0), the night - session closing price was 6668 (-543), and the 5 - 6 month spread was 256 (+61) [1] - On Tuesday, the price of civil LPG in Shandong was 6550 (+0), the price of ether - after carbon four in Shandong was 6470 (-70), the price of propane in Shandong was 6950 (+27), and the price of propane at Longkou Port was 7500 (+0) [1] Weekly Data - The latest basis is -1057 (-736), the 4 - 5 month spread is 64 (-68), and the number of warehouse receipts is 3100 lots (+8) [1] - The cheapest deliverable is Shandong ether - after carbon four at 5950 (+520), Shandong civil LPG at 5990 (+440), East China civil LPG at 6189 (+30), and South China civil LPG at 6300 (+150) [1] - The FEI month spread is 112 US dollars (+28), the oil - gas price ratio has declined, the domestic PG - FEI c1 is 35 (-15.5) [1] - The CIF discount of South China CP propane is 501 (+108), and the FOB discounts of AFEI, US Gulf, and Middle East propane are 50 (-54.75), 273.5 (+72.9), and 0 (+0) respectively [1] - The FEI - MOPJ spread is -76 (+52) [1] - The spot profit of propylene production from domestic PDH has weakened slightly, and the paper profit of PP production from PDH in East and South China has declined [1] - The port inventory ratio is 35.84% (+0.79 pct), the enterprise storage capacity utilization rate is 26.05% (+1.11 pct), and the PDH operating rate is 65.63% (+2.4 pct) [1]

Group 1: Urea Price and Market Data - The mainstream market prices of urea in different regions on March 24, 2026: Hebei is 1870 yuan/ton, Henan is 1860 yuan/ton, Shandong is 1880 yuan/ton, Shanxi is 1750 yuan/ton, Jiangsu is 1880 yuan/ton, Anhui is 1870 yuan/ton, Heilongjiang is 1880 yuan/ton, and Inner Mongolia is 1910 yuan/ton [2] - The factory prices of some urea manufacturers on March 24, 2026: Hebei Dongguang is 1830 yuan/ton, Shandong Hualu is 1840 yuan/ton, Jiangsu Linggu is 1870 yuan/ton, and Anhui Haoyuan is 1800 yuan/ton [2] - The changes in urea prices: Shandong and Jiangsu increased by 10 yuan/ton compared with the previous value, while other regions remained unchanged [2] Group 2: Urea Basis and Spread Data - The basis data on March 24, 2026: Shandong 05 basis is 29 yuan/ton (up 8 yuan/ton), Shandong 01 basis is -24 yuan/ton (up 5 yuan/ton), Hebei 05 basis is 29 yuan/ton (up 18 yuan/ton), and Hebei 01 basis is -24 yuan/ton (up 15 yuan/ton) [2] - The spread data on March 24, 2026: 1 - 5 spread is -29 yuan/ton (down 4 yuan/ton), 5 - 9 spread is -53 yuan/ton (down 3 yuan/ton) [2] Group 3: Urea Warehouse Receipt and International Price Data - The total warehouse receipt quantity on March 24, 2026, is 8712, unchanged from the previous value [2] - The international FOB and CFR prices of urea on March 24, 2026: Middle East FOB is 679.5 dollars/ton, US Gulf FOB is 659 dollars/ton, Egypt FOB (large - particle) is 725 dollars/ton, Baltic FOB is 665 dollars/ton, and Brazil CFR is 700 dollars/ton, all unchanged from the previous value [2]

Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content Group 2: Core Viewpoints of the Report - Due to the escalation of the Middle East situation, attacks on gas fields in Iran and Qatar, and a compressor leak, the PG futures price has risen significantly. The domestic PG market is in a contradiction between weak reality and strong expectations. The current basis is weak, and there is sufficient refinery gas in the short - term in China. The 4 - 5 month spread of the domestic market is in a delivery game and is expected to fluctuate greatly. In the future, it is likely that there will be a shortage of goods in the second half of April in China. If the Strait is interrupted for a longer time, the international market will face a more serious shortage problem, and the civil gas demand gap will be difficult to make up, so the overseas market will still be strong [1] Group 3: Summary by Related Catalogs 1. Daily Data - On March 23, 2026, the PG2605 contract closed at 7244 (+717) at 3 pm, with a 5 - 6 month spread of 195 (+3) and 3100 (+0) warehouse receipts. The night - session closed at 6986 (-258), with a 5 - 6 month spread of 246 (+51). On Monday, the civil LPG price in Shandong was 6550 (+20), the post - ether price in Shandong was 6540 (+50), the propane price in Shandong was 6923 (+625), and the propane price at Longkou Port was 7500 (+300) [1] 2. Weekly Data - The latest basis is - 1057 (-736), the 4 - 5 month spread is 64 (-68), and there are 3100 (+8) warehouse receipts. The cheapest deliverable is Shandong post - ether at 5950 (+520). The civil LPG price in Shandong is 5990 (+440), in East China is 6189 (+30), and in South China is 6300 (+150). The FEI month spread is 112 US dollars (+28), and the oil - gas price ratio has declined. The PG - FEI c1 is 35 (-15.5). The CIF propane premium in South China is 501 (+108), and the FOB premiums of AFEI, US Gulf, and Middle East propane are 50 (-54.75), 273.5 (+72.9), and 0 (+0) respectively. The FEI - MOPJ spread is - 76 (+52). The spot profit of domestic PDH to propylene has weakened slightly, and the paper profit of PDH to PP in East and South China has declined. The port inventory ratio is 35.84% (+0.79 pct), the enterprise storage capacity ratio is 26.05% (+1.11 pct), and the PDH operating rate is 65.63% (+2.4 pct) [1]

Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the content Core Viewpoints - Last week, the futures price fluctuated greatly and the center moved up, mainly following the oil price. The basis fluctuated sharply, the 4 - 5 month spread was 132 (+5), and the number of warehouse receipts decreased by 1544 to 3108 lots. The cheapest deliverable was Shandong ether - post 5430 (+280). PDH spot profit strengthened significantly, port inventory ratio decreased by 5.5 pct to 35.05%, and the external supply of liquefied gas sample enterprises decreased by 1.8 to 54.4 tons. PDH operating rate decreased by 1.7 pct to 63.23. The subsequent core lies in when the Strait of Hormuz will resume passage, and short - term spot quotes mainly depend on international oil prices. There will probably be a shortage of goods in China in April, more serious in East and South China than in Shandong. The short - term futures price may still follow the oil price, and the month spread will run strongly [1] Summary by Relevant Catalogs Daily Quotes - On March 17, the PG2604 contract closed at 5849 (+10) at 3 pm, the 4 - 5 month spread was 113 (-27), and the number of warehouse receipts was 1800 (+0). The night session closed at 5848 (+21), and the 4 - 5 month spread was 83 (-30). Shandong civil gas was 5520 (+0), with a fair trading atmosphere. Shandong ether - post was 5450 (+30). Longkou Port propane was 7200 (+0), and Shandong propylene price was 8025 (+0). The East China market declined steadily, with the mainstream transaction price ranging from 5900 - 6280 yuan/ton, and the demand was average, with high - price refineries having difficulty in selling goods [1] Weekly Quotes - Last week, the futures price fluctuated greatly and the center moved up, mainly following the oil price. The basis was - 321 (+346), the 4 - 5 month spread was 132 (+5), and the number of warehouse receipts was 3108 (-1544). The cheapest deliverable was Shandong ether - post 5430 (+280). Shandong civil gas was 5550 (+610), and East China civil gas was 6159 (+1178). The FEI month spread was 84 US dollars (+27), the oil - gas price ratio declined oscillatingly. The internal and external PG - FEI c1 was 52.4 (-45). The CIF discount of South China CP propane was 402 (+30), and the FOB discounts of AFEI, US Gulf, and Middle East propane were 104.75 (+12.75), 200.6 (+41.7), and 0 (+0) respectively. The FEI - MOPJ spread was - 126 (-59). PDH spot profit strengthened significantly. The port inventory ratio was 35.05% (-5.5 pct), and the external supply of liquefied gas sample enterprises was 54.4 tons (-1.8). The PDH operating rate was 63.23 (-1.7 pct) [1]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Views Manganese Silicon - The overall view is bearish. After a sharp rally this week, the price is oscillating at a high level. Due to overseas geopolitical conflicts, oil prices have soared, leading to a significant increase in shipping costs. As manganese ore has a high degree of external dependence, some market participants are worried about the stability of its subsequent shipments. Fundamentally, silicon - manganese is still in a state of oversupply. High production keeps manganese ore prices relatively firm in the short term. After the Spring Festival, downstream steel mills have gradually entered the resumption cycle. The procurement time of some northern steel mills is undetermined. After the Two Sessions, the demand for dual - silicon is expected to gradually recover, but it is still difficult to alleviate the oversupply situation. It is recommended to short on rallies [3]. - The monthly spread is bearish. As of March 5, the 5 - 9 monthly spread of manganese silicon was - 46 yuan/ton, continuing to oscillate at a low level [3]. - The spot market is neutral. Factory quotes are cautious, downstream transactions are a bit slow, and the steel procurement in March has been slow to start, with a wait - and - see attitude. The 6517 is quoted in the range of 5800 - 5900 yuan/ton, the 6014 is quoted at around 5450 yuan/ton, and the high - silicon silicon - manganese is quoted in the range of 6600 - 6800 yuan/ton. 6517 factories mainly engage in hedging, and retail transactions are average [3]. - Steel production is neutral. As of March 6, the weekly demand of Mysteel sample enterprises was 111200 tons, and the weekly production of the five major steel products increased to 797240 tons. The proportion of rebar in the five major steel products in Mysteel sample data increased slightly month - on - month [3]. - Inventory is bearish. As of March 5, the total of manganese silicon warehouse receipts and valid forecasts was 249200 tons [3]. - Cost - profit is neutral. The manganese ore market remains firm, and the transaction center has gradually moved up. Comilog released its April offer at 5.25 US dollars/ton degree. Recently, the supply of South African manganese ore has been concentrated, and the market's sentiment of holding back supply and raising prices is prominent [3]. Ferrosilicon - The overall view is neutral. After a sharp rally this week, the price is oscillating at a high level. The supply and demand of ferrosilicon are in a tight balance. The cost of semi - coke has decreased, but the increase in electricity cost makes the overall production cost relatively firm. The production of magnesium metal is at a high level. Due to the significant increase in the price of 72 ferrosilicon, the price difference between 75 and 72 ferrosilicon has narrowed significantly. Steel mills have started the March tender, and attention should be paid to the pricing. In the short term, the market price of ferrosilicon is stable with a slight upward trend. In February, the ferrosilicon warehouse receipts were concentrated for cancellation, and attention should be paid to the recovery of new warehouse receipts. For unilateral trading, be cautious about chasing long positions after the rapid rally of the futures price, and consider taking profits gradually [4]. - The monthly spread is bearish. As of March 5, the 5 - 9 monthly spread of ferrosilicon was - 50 yuan/ton, showing a slight weakening month - on - month [4]. - The spot market is neutral. The 72 is priced at 5300 - 5400 yuan/ton, and the 75 is priced at 5800 - 6000 yuan/ton for cash natural lumps ex - factory. The price of 72 has increased by 50 - 100 yuan/ton [4]. - Steel and magnesium metal demand is neutral. The total consumption of ferrosilicon by Mysteel sample steel mills is 17800 tons. The production of magnesium metal remains at a high level, and the demand for 75 ferrosilicon is better than that for 72 [4]. - Inventory is bullish. As of March 5, the total of ferrosilicon warehouse receipts and valid forecasts was 39500 tons. After the concentrated cancellation of ferrosilicon warehouse receipts in February, attention should be paid to the recovery of subsequent warehouse receipts [4]. - Cost - profit is neutral. The price of semi - coke has decreased slightly, while the electricity cost has increased, making the overall production cost firm [4]. 3. Summary by Directory Manganese Silicon Manganese Ore Inventory - The total port inventory of manganese ore is 4.954 million tons, showing a significant month - on - month increase. Among them, the inventory at Tianjin Port has increased to 3.595 million tons, higher than the same period last year; the inventory at Qinzhou Port has increased significantly to 1.354 million tons, significantly higher than the same period last year [11]. - At Tianjin Port, the inventory of South African ore is 2.289 million tons, showing a significant month - on - month increase; the inventory of Gabon ore is 336000 tons, showing a significant month - on - month increase but still far lower than the same period last year; the inventory of Australian ore is 537000 tons, continuing to increase and significantly higher than the same period last year [16]. Manganese Ore Port Price - At Tianjin Port, the price of Gabon lumps is 43.8 yuan/ton degree, Australian lumps are 43 yuan/ton degree, and South African semi - carbonate is 38.7 yuan/ton degree. The manganese ore market remains firm, and the transaction center has gradually moved up. Recently, the supply of South African manganese ore has been concentrated, and the market's sentiment of holding back supply and raising prices is prominent. Comilog released its April offer at 5.25 US dollars/ton degree [19]. Manganese Silicon Production - As of March 6, the weekly production of silicon - manganese decreased to 195800 tons. The daily average production in Inner Mongolia increased slightly to 14820 tons/day; the daily average production in Ningxia remained flat at 6035 tons/day; the daily average production in Yunnan increased to 700 tons/day; the daily average production in Guizhou increased to 1830 tons/day; the daily average production in Guangxi decreased to 1685 tons/day [30]. Manganese Silicon Demand - As of March 6, the weekly demand of Mysteel sample enterprises was 111200 tons, and the weekly production of the five major steel products increased to 797240 tons. The proportion of rebar in the five major steel products in Mysteel sample data increased slightly month - on - month [35]. Manganese Silicon Price - The market price in Inner Mongolia is around 5850 yuan/ton, and in Tianjin, it is 5900 yuan/ton. A large steel group in Hebei had no silicon - manganese procurement plan in February due to recent maintenance and will resume normal procurement in March. In January, the factory purchased 17000 tons [43]. Chemical Coke Price - This week, the price of chemical coke remained stable. The ex - factory prices of 25 - 40mm chemical coke in Yinchuan, Ordos, and Alxa are 1190, 1140, and 1140 yuan/ton respectively. Hebei has a plan to lower the price of coke, and attention should be paid to the subsequent changes in the spot price [46]. Manganese Silicon Production Profit - The immediate profit of manganese silicon is low, and the point - to - point profit is in a loss [50]. Monthly Spread - As of March 6, the 5 - 9 monthly spread of manganese silicon was - 46 yuan/ton, continuing to oscillate at a low level [54]. Basis and Warehouse Receipts - The futures price is oscillating, and the basis has strengthened slightly. As of March 5, the total of manganese silicon warehouse receipts and valid forecasts was 249200 tons [57]. Ferrosilicon Ferrosilicon Production - As of March 6, the weekly production was 96500 tons, showing a slight month - on - month decrease. The daily average production in Inner Mongolia was 4685 tons, in Qinghai was 1415 tons, in Ningxia was 3620 tons, and in Shaanxi was 2500 tons [70]. Ferrosilicon Demand - **Steel Mills**: The total consumption of ferrosilicon by Mysteel sample steel mills was 17800 tons, lower than the same period last year [75]. - **Magnesium Metal**: The export price of magnesium metal at Tianjin Port is 2470 US dollars/ton; the market price is 16750 yuan/ton, showing a slight month - on - month increase. The weekly production of magnesium metal is 20741 tons, at a high level in the same historical period. The market of magnesium ingots is running smoothly; the factory quotes of magnesium ingots remain unchanged at 16800 yuan/ton ex - factory including tax, and the actual transaction price is 16700 yuan. The market transactions are tepid, and the transactions maintain just - in - time procurement [79]. Ferrosilicon Export - As of March 5, the overseas FOB price of 75 ferrosilicon is 1135 US dollars/ton, and that of 72 ferrosilicon is 1080 US dollars/ton, showing a slight month - on - month increase. In December, the import volume of ferrosilicon decreased slightly month - on - month, while the export volume increased month - on - month [87]. Ferrosilicon Raw Materials - As of March 5, the prices of mainstream semi - coke small materials decreased slightly. The current prices are 705 yuan/ton in Shaanxi, 805 yuan/ton in Ningxia, and 695 yuan/ton in Inner Mongolia. The price of oxidized iron scale is 750 yuan/ton [96]. Ferrosilicon Production Profit - As of March 5, the point - to - point profit loss of ferrosilicon has narrowed significantly. The production profits in Inner Mongolia, Ningxia, Shaanxi, and Qinghai are - 70, - 1, - 125, and - 449 yuan/ton respectively [108]. Monthly Spread - As of March 5, the 5 - 9 monthly spread of ferrosilicon was - 50 yuan/ton, showing a slight weakening month - on - month [110]. Basis and Warehouse Receipts - The futures price is oscillating, and the basis of ferrosilicon fluctuates slightly. As of March 5, the total of ferrosilicon warehouse receipts and valid forecasts was 39500 tons. After the concentrated cancellation of ferrosilicon warehouse receipts in February, attention should be paid to the recovery of subsequent warehouse receipts [114]. Balance Sheet Manganese Silicon - From July 2025 to June 2026, the total supply and demand of manganese silicon show different trends. There is an oversupply situation in most months, but the degree of oversupply varies. The production and consumption cumulative year - on - year growth rates also show different trends over time [116]. Ferrosilicon - From July 2025 to June 2026, the total supply and demand of ferrosilicon also show different trends. There are periods of oversupply and short supply. The production and consumption cumulative year - on - year growth rates also change over time [117].

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content 2. Core View of the Report - Last week, the futures price increased mainly due to geopolitical factors and a Saudi Arabian device failure. The basis was -342 (-76), and the April - May spread was 73 (-8). The number of warehouse receipts was 6679 lots (-83). The cheapest deliverable was Shanghai civilian LPG at 4200 (+50). The FEI monthly spread was 47.5 USD (+27.5), and the oil - gas price ratio decreased significantly. The March CP official price was lower than expected, with propane and butane at 545/540 (+0). The domestic and international markets were strong first and then weak, with PG - FEI c1 at 43.9 (-5.5). The CIF premium for propane in East China was 107 (+14); the FOB premiums for AFEI, US Gulf, and Middle East propane were 20 (-7), 78.15 (+13), and 0 (+0) respectively. The FEI - MOPJ spread was -22 (+20). The spot profit of PDH increased slightly, while the futures profit decreased significantly. The port inventory ratio was 33.12% (+2.77 pct). The production - sales rate of LPG sample enterprises was 100%, and the external supply was 57.27 tons (+1.74%). The PDH operating rate was 63.23% (-1.61 pct). Chemical demand was resilient, and combustion demand would gradually enter the off - season as the weather warmed. The impact of the Saudi Juaymah corridor facility failure on domestic imports might be relatively limited; the Iranian situation was the biggest risk factor. The domestic basis was weak, the April - May spread was moderately low, and with the escalation of geopolitical risks, the futures price was expected to be strong in the short term; the tight supply situation of overseas propane in April was difficult to ease, and the strategy of shorting the domestic - international spread could still be considered in the short term [1] 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Price and Market Data - From February 13 to February 27, 2026, the prices of LPG in South China, East China, and Shandong, as well as the CFR price of propane in South China, CIF price of propane in Japan, CP forecast contract price, price of ether - after carbon four in Shandong, and price of alkylated oil in Shandong showed certain changes. The daily changes were 5, -15, 20, -1, 7, 1, 10, 0 respectively, and the paper import profit changed by 1, and the basis of the main contract changed by 32 [1] Market Analysis - The futures price increase last week was affected by geopolitical factors and a Saudi Arabian device failure. The basis, month - spread, warehouse receipts, and other indicators changed. The FEI monthly spread increased, and the oil - gas price ratio decreased. The 3 - month CP official price was lower than expected. The domestic and international markets showed a trend of being strong first and then weak. The premiums of different regions also changed [1] Supply and Demand Analysis - The port inventory ratio increased by 2.77 pct to 33.12%. The production - sales rate of LPG sample enterprises was 100%, and the external supply increased by 1.74% to 57.27 tons. The PDH operating rate decreased by 1.61 pct to 63.23%. Chemical demand was resilient, and combustion demand would gradually enter the off - season as the weather warmed [1] Risk and Strategy - The impact of the Saudi Juaymah corridor facility failure on domestic imports might be relatively limited. The Iranian situation was the biggest risk factor, and the situation of Iranian docks, energy facilities, and the Strait of Hormuz needed to be continuously monitored. The domestic basis was weak, the April - May spread was moderately low, and with the escalation of geopolitical risks, the futures price was expected to be strong in the short term. The tight supply situation of overseas propane in April was difficult to ease, and the strategy of shorting the domestic - international spread could still be considered in the short term [1]