今天是热闹非凡的一天，一方面美国正举行陆军建军 250周年阅兵同时懂王79岁生日，另一方 面全美多地爆发反对特朗普政府移民、卫生、教育等方面政策的约2000场示威游行活动，活动 名为"不要国王"。川普的生日盛典和民众的No king怒吼交织一起，画面实在不要太美丽。 而更受关注的是中东伊以军事冲突继续升级，当地时间 6月13日凌晨，以色列对伊朗发动代号 为"狮子的力量"的大规模空袭。据伊朗方面消息，以色列此次袭击造成伊朗伊斯兰革命卫队总司 令萨拉米、武装部队总参谋长巴盖里死亡，此外还有10余名伊朗核科学家遇难。 当日晚间，伊朗发动 "真实诺言-3"行动对以色列进行报复，向以色列境内发射了200余枚导 弹，以色列方面表示，大部分导弹被拦截，但仍有部分导弹造成了人员伤亡和基础设施损毁。 随着双方冲突的爆发，地缘政治风险急剧升温，国际油价大幅跳涨，布伦特原油期货价格盘中一 度涨超 10%，突破92美元/桶，为去年10月以来新高；避险资产黄金价格也大幅拉升，纽约商 品交易所黄金期货市场交投最活跃的8月黄金期价13日比前一交易日上涨46.6美元，收于每盎司 3429.9美元，涨幅为1.38%。 所以若拼硬实力，以色列更 ...

投资策略 | 定期报告 当时不杂 ——策略周报 0615 研究结论 风险提示 报告发布日期 2025 年 06 月 15 日 | 张志鹏 | zhangzhipeng@orientsec.com.cn | | --- | --- | | 17 | 执业证书编号：S0860522020002 | | 张书铭 | 021-63325888*5152 | | | zhangshuming@orientsec.com.cn | | | 执业证书编号：S0860517080001 | | 纷扰于外，求诸于内：——策略周报 0607 | 2025-06-08 | | --- | --- | | 美国"薛定谔式"关税扰动金融市场：— | 2025-06-02 | | —策略周报 0531 | | | 进入政策观察期：——策略周报 0525 | 2025-05-25 | | 关税降级提振市场风险偏好：——策略周 | 2025-05-19 | | 报 0518 | | 有关分析师的申明，见本报告最后部分。其他重要信息披露见分析师申明之后部分，或请与您的投资代表联系。并请阅读本证券研究报告最后一页的免责申明。 ⚫ 本周（6/9- ...

Key Points Summary Focused Sectors - Rare Earth Permanent Magnet sector is currently in an upward phase, with potential buying opportunities expected when it retraces to the 5-day moving average [1] - Military Equipment sector shows an upward trend, with a significant rise on Friday and potential to challenge previous highs [1] Alternative Sectors - Port sector is in an upward phase similar to military equipment, with a need to wait for a pullback before entering [1] - Oil and gas sector has recently broken through 2022 highs, but a pullback is anticipated [1] Last Week's Focused Sectors - Communication Equipment sector is still in an upward phase, with critical support levels to watch [1] - Components sector is in an upward phase, with opportunities to exit after a pullback [1] - Digital Currency sector has shown five upward movements, with recommendations to reduce positions at highs [1] Other Popular Sectors - Autonomous Driving sector is currently not recommended due to poor performance [1] - Automotive Parts sector has limited opportunities following significant fluctuations [1] - Battery sector is in an upward trend, with attention needed for potential buying opportunities [1] - Cultural Media sector requires waiting for a pullback before entering [1] - Controlled Nuclear Fusion sector suggests reducing positions at highs, with potential for a second wave opportunity [1] - Medical Services sector is at a high, with recommendations to reduce positions and look for entry near the 20-day moving average [1] - Securities sector has shown unusual movements, with recommendations to reduce positions at highs [1] - Real Estate sector is in a downturn, not recommended for operations [1] - Baijiu sector has not yet bottomed out, requiring further observation [1] - Banking sector is at a high, with recommendations to reduce positions [1] - Semiconductor sector shows continuous declines, with no entry points currently [1] - Humanoid Robots sector requires waiting for key signals before considering entry [1] - Gaming sector is in a high pullback, with no short-term opportunities [1] - Power sector is underperforming, with previous recommendations to reduce positions [1] - Tourism sector requires a few days for digestion before observing pullback situations [1]

分析师：孟之绪 执业编号：S0300524080001 电话： 邮箱：mengzhixu@ykzq.com 证券研究报告 | 策略点评 2025 年 06 月 13 日 投资要点 行业涨跌情况：今日申万一级行业除石油石化、国防军工、公用事业等三个 行业上涨外，其余全部下跌，美容护理、传媒、食品饮料、轻工制造、医药 生物、汽车等行业领跌。 板块涨跌情况：今日涨幅居前概念板块为油气开采、天然气、航运精选、军 工信息化、航母、黄金珠宝、深海科技、中船系、商业航天、军民融合、大 飞机、通用航空、中航系、培育钻石、十大军工集团等板块。 投资策略研究 粤开市场日报-20250613 今日关注 指数涨跌情况：今日 A 股主要指数多数收跌。截止收盘，沪指跌 0.75%，收报 3477.00 点；深证成指跌 1.10%，收报 10122.11 点；科创 50 跌 0.51%，收报 972.94 点；创业板指跌 1.13%，收报 2043.82 点。总体上，全天个股跌多涨 少，Wind 数据显示，全市场 4474 只个股下跌，847 只个股上涨，92 只个股收 平。沪深两市今日成交额合计 14672 亿元，较上个交易日放量 19 ...

截至2025年6月10日 13:22，中证数字经济主题指数(931582)下跌1.99%。成分股方面，深信服(300454)领跌7.14%，用友网络(600588)下跌6.22%，金山办公 (688111)下跌5.22%，龙芯中科(688047)下跌4.98%，拓荆科技(688072)下跌4.59%。数字经济ETF(560800)下跌1.98%，最新报价0.74元。流动性方面，数字经 济ETF盘中换手2.74%，成交2143.73万元。（以上所列示股票为指数成份股，仅做示意不作为个股推荐。过往持仓情况不代表基金未来的投资方向，也不代 表具体的投资建议，投资方向、基金具体持仓可能发生变化。市场有风险，投资需谨慎。) 申万宏源指出，A股重回结构牛行情，大概率需要等待科技重磅产业催化兑现。国内AI、具身智能、国防军工都具备成为结构牛核心产业趋势的潜力。下半 年值得重点关注的产品包括：DeepSeekR2、GPT5和特斯拉Optimus量产版本。但在重磅产业催化前，科技也是震荡市，重点把握高性价比区域的反弹和主 题机会。鼓励并购重组和创投一级市场联动形成共振，第三次大的新经济一二级联动行情正徐徐展开。从一级市场创投融 ...

消息面上，据央视新闻，"枭龙"战机最新型号曝光。作为一款先进的轻型战斗机，"枭龙"瞄准21世纪作 战环境，能够挂载先进的超视距空对空导弹，近距高机动格斗导弹以及多种精确制导空面武器。"枭 龙"作为一款高性价比战斗机，成功出口到多个国家，堪称世界战斗机市场上的一颗"新星"。 航空航天ETF天弘（159241）紧密跟踪国证航天指数，按申万一级行业分类，该指数以超99%的国防军 工行业权重形成显著特征，进一步申万二级行业分类，航空装备与航天装备两大核心板块则占据73%权 重，深度聚焦大飞机研制、低空经济、商业航天等新兴领域航空航天装备产业链关键领域。 6月10日，军工板块早盘震荡调整。相关ETF中，航空航天ETF天弘（159241）截至发稿跌1.35%，换手 率达4.53%，盘中交投活跃。 成分股中，航天晨光涨超2%，振芯科技涨超1%。 （本文机构观点来自持牌证券机构，不构成任何投资建议，亦不代表平台观点，请投资人独立判断和决 策。） 东北证券表示，国防军工板块具备长期成长确定性。在当下时点，军工行业扰动因素已基本消除，下游 需求呈恢复性增长，同时2027年建设目标迫在眉睫，中长期目标也对行业发展提供明确指引。伴随 ...

Group 1 - The A500 index has shown a slight increase of 0.04% as of June 10, 2025, with notable gains from stocks such as Zhongke Shuguang (10.00%) and Putailai (6.75%) [1] - The A500 ETF fund has experienced a trading volume of 8.25 billion yuan, with a turnover rate of 5.2% [1] - The A500 ETF fund has achieved an average daily trading volume of 36.32 billion yuan over the past year, ranking first among comparable funds [1] Group 2 - Haiguang Information and Zhongke Shuguang announced a stock swap merger plan, with Haiguang Information set to absorb Zhongke Shuguang, which will cease to be listed after the merger [1] - Zhongke Shuguang is currently the largest shareholder of Haiguang Information, holding a 27.96% stake prior to the merger [1] Group 3 - According to Shenwan Hongyuan, the A-share market is returning to a structural bull market, with potential catalysts in technology sectors such as AI and defense [2] - The A500 ETF fund closely tracks the A500 index, which includes 500 large-cap, liquid stocks to reflect the overall performance of representative companies [2] - The latest scale of the A500 ETF fund has reached 15.872 billion yuan [2] Group 4 - As of May 30, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the A500 index account for 21.21% of the index, with Kweichow Moutai being the largest [3] - The top ten stocks include notable companies such as Ningde Times, China Ping An, and BYD, with varying weight percentages [5]

重要的消息有哪些 6月10日（周二）申购提示 新股方面，华之杰申购代码732400，发行价19.88元/股，申购上限0.80万股。 投资有风险，申购需谨慎。 1．当地时间6月9日，中共中央政治局委员、国务院副总理何立峰与美方在英国伦敦开始举行中美经贸磋商机制首次会议。 5．6月9日，国家统计局发布数据显示，5月份居民消费价格指数（CPI）环比下降0.2%，同比下降0.1%；工业生产者出厂价格指数（PPI）环比下降0.4%，降幅与上 月相同，同比下降3.3%，降幅比上月扩大0.6个百分点。 6．海关总署6月9日发布最新数据显示，今年前5个月，我国货物贸易进出口总值为17.94万亿元人民币，同比（下同）增长2.5%。其中，出口10.67万亿元，增长 7.2%；进口7.27万亿元，下降3.8%。 7．工业和信息化部办公厅、民政部办公厅发布关于开展智能养老服务机器人结对攻关与场景应用试点工作的通知，其中提出，完善标准及评价体系。鼓励产品研 制单位和应用试点单位联合开展智能养老服务机器人标准研究，聚焦场景需求和应用安全研制智能养老服务机器人产品和服务标准规范，聚焦安全性、可靠性、适 老化、经济性等研制智能养老服务机器人 ...

Core Viewpoint - Recent developments in China's military trade, including significant orders from Pakistan and potential purchases from Indonesia, indicate a growing international competitiveness of Chinese military products and a shift towards a more comprehensive combat system export model [1][4]. Military Trade Developments - Indonesia is considering the procurement of 10 J-10 fighter jets, while Pakistan has officially announced an order for 40 J-35 stealth fighters, along with other advanced military equipment [1][3]. - The recent military trade orders reflect a milestone for China's military exports, marking a transition to higher-end, higher-value products and opening new market opportunities [4]. Stock Market Reaction - Following the announcements, the A-share military sector experienced a significant surge, with stocks such as Xuguang Electronics and Lijun Shares hitting the daily limit up of 10% [1][2]. Export Scale and Trends - China's military export scale has significantly increased, with a total growth of 64.6% from 10,140 million TIVs in 2004-2013 to 16,690 million TIVs in 2014-2023 [6]. - Notable increases in specific categories include: - Aircraft exports rose from 3,195 million TIVs to 4,764 million TIVs, a 49.12% increase [6]. - Naval vessels saw a dramatic increase from 1,926 million TIVs to 4,314 million TIVs, a 124% increase [6]. - Air defense weaponry exports surged by 436.21%, from 243 million TIVs to 1,303 million TIVs [6]. Industry Outlook - Analysts predict a strong recovery in the military industry, with expectations of improved performance in the second half of the year compared to the first half [8]. - The military sector is expected to benefit from geopolitical tensions, such as the ongoing Russia-Ukraine conflict, which has heightened global military trade activity [4][8]. - The military industry is characterized by better asset quality, larger business scale, and a higher market ceiling, suggesting a potential revaluation of the sector [7].

6月9日午间涨停分析 智通财经6月9日电，今日午盘全市场共53股涨停，连板股总数11只，22股封板未遂，封板率为71%（不含ST股、退市股）。焦点股方面，共创草坪晋级6连 板，联化科技走出8天6板，创新药概念全线爆发，昂利康5天3板，常山药业、热景生物、诺诚健华、舒泰神等涨超10%。 | 股票名称 | 板数 | 涨跌幅 | 涨停时间 | 上涨逻辑 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 昂利康 | 5天3板 | 9.99% | 09:35 | 创新药 | | 002940 | | | | | | 众生药业 | 首板 | 9.99% | 09:30 | 创新药 | | 002317 | | | | | | 睿智医药 | 首板 | 19.98% | 09:41 | 食品饮料 | | 300149 | | | | +创新药 | | 罗欣药业 | 首板 | 10.04% | 09:46 | 创新药 | | 002793 | | | | | | 未名医药 | 首板 | 9.99% | 10:30 | 创新药 | | 002581 | | | | | | 常山药业 | | 19.97% | ...