7月29日，国家发展改革委发布消息称，自2025年7月15日国内成品油价格调整以来，国际市场油价小幅 波动，按现行国内成品油价格机制测算，7月29日的前10个工作日平均价格与7月15日前10个工作日平均 价格相比，调价金额每吨不足50元。根据《石油价格管理办法》第七条规定，本次汽、柴油价格不作调 整，未调金额纳入下次调价时累加或冲抵。 《证券日报》记者梳理发现，这是今年成品油零售价的第十五次调价窗口，也是成品油零售价迎来的第 三次搁浅。待本次调价过后，今年成品油调价将呈现"六涨六跌三搁浅"的格局。 "总的来看，本轮计价周期内，多数时间原油市场缺乏核心驱动因素，基本围绕前期众多消息发酵。"卓 创资讯（301299）成品油分析师王雪琴在接受《证券日报》记者采访时表示，短期内，在宏观情绪转暖 的背景下，原油价格受到提振，预计延续偏强行情。 国家发展改革委价格监测中心表示，虽然夏季出行旺季为石油市场提供支撑，但美国关税政策的不确定 性将加剧国际油价波动，预计短期国际油价将维持区间震荡走势。 国家发展改革委价格监测中心有关负责人告诉《证券日报》记者，本轮调价周期内，受美国关税谈判进 展、美欧对俄油制裁、"欧佩克+"增产 ...

Core Viewpoint - The National Development and Reform Commission announced that there will be no adjustment to domestic refined oil prices as of July 29, 2025, due to minimal fluctuations in international oil prices, with the adjustment amount being less than 50 yuan per ton [1] Group 1: Price Adjustment Overview - Domestic refined oil prices have undergone fifteen rounds of adjustments, resulting in a pattern of "six increases, six decreases, and three stabilities" [1] - After accounting for the increases and decreases, the overall prices of gasoline and diesel have decreased by 225 yuan/ton and 215 yuan/ton respectively compared to the end of 2024 [1] Group 2: Future Price Expectations - The next price adjustment window will open on August 12, 2025, at 24:00 [1] - Analysts from Longzhong Information predict a higher probability of price increases in the next round due to potential supply risks from new U.S. sanctions on Russia and ongoing traditional fuel consumption peaks in the U.S. [1] - Analyst Wang Xueqin from Zhaocai Information also anticipates a bullish trend in oil prices, with an expected initial increase of 55 yuan/ton based on current international oil price levels [1]

Core Viewpoint - The upcoming oil price adjustment on July 29, 2025, is expected to result in a price freeze, with the current trend indicating that the price reduction will not meet the standard threshold of 50 yuan per ton [1][5][7]. Price Adjustment History - In the previous adjustment (the 14th of 2025), gasoline and diesel prices decreased by 130 yuan and 125 yuan per ton, respectively, leading to a price drop of 0.1-0.12 yuan per liter [3]. - The last four price adjustments have shown a pattern of "3 increases and 1 decrease," with significant price increases observed from early June to early July, where gasoline and diesel prices rose by 560 yuan and 540 yuan per ton [3][5]. Current Market Analysis - As of July 25, 2025, the average price of crude oil is at 67.75 USD per barrel, with a change rate of -0.73%, indicating a decrease of 25 yuan per ton for gasoline and diesel [5][7]. - Recent trends in the crude oil market show a slight increase, with WTI crude oil rising by 1.2% to 66.03 USD per barrel and Brent crude oil increasing by 0.98% to 69.18 USD per barrel [5][7]. Future Predictions - The oil price adjustment mechanism suggests that the upcoming adjustment may not exceed a reduction of 50 yuan per ton, with the likelihood of a price freeze being high [5][7]. - The market remains cautious about the potential for further increases in crude oil prices, which could limit the extent of any price reductions in the upcoming adjustment [7].

Group 1 - Domestic oil prices have stopped rising after a significant increase of 560 yuan/ton for gasoline, with the latest adjustment resulting in a decrease of 130 yuan/ton for gasoline and 125 yuan/ton for diesel [2][4] - The current pricing cycle for oil runs from July 16 to July 29, with the first two days showing a decrease of 45 yuan/ton, but the decline has since reduced to 25 yuan/ton due to rising international oil prices [2][4] - As of July 18, international oil prices have increased, with WTI crude at 68.74 USD/barrel and Brent crude at 70.57 USD/barrel, raising concerns about potential price increases for domestic gasoline and diesel in the upcoming adjustment [4] Group 2 - The latest price adjustments for gasoline and diesel across various regions show a decrease of 130 yuan/ton, with specific prices for 92 gasoline in Beijing at 7.26 yuan/liter [5] - The price variations across different provinces indicate a range of prices for gasoline and diesel, reflecting regional market conditions [5]

Core Viewpoint - Domestic fuel prices in China have been reduced after three consecutive increases, with gasoline and diesel prices decreasing by 130 yuan and 125 yuan per ton, respectively, effective from July 15, 2025 [2][3] Price Adjustment Details - The National Development and Reform Commission announced the price adjustments based on recent international oil price fluctuations, with the average reference crude oil price at 68.25 USD per barrel and a change rate of -3.34% [3] - Specific price reductions include a decrease of 0.1 yuan per liter for 89 and 92 octane gasoline, 0.11 yuan per liter for 95 octane gasoline, and 0.11 yuan per liter for diesel [3][4] - This adjustment marks the 14th price change in 2025, with a pattern of "six increases, six decreases, and two pauses" observed so far this year [3] Impact on Consumers - For a typical family car with a 50L fuel tank, filling up with 92 octane gasoline will save approximately 5 yuan [4] - For a small private car with a monthly mileage of 2000 km and fuel consumption of 8L per 100 km, the cost savings will be around 7 yuan at the next price adjustment [4] - In the logistics sector, a heavy truck running 10,000 km monthly with a fuel consumption of 38L per 100 km will see a reduction in fuel costs by about 195 yuan [4] International Oil Price Trends - The international oil price has experienced fluctuations due to various factors, including high travel demand during the U.S. Independence Day holiday and geopolitical tensions affecting energy transport security [5][6] - OPEC+ has announced a significant increase in oil production by 548,000 barrels per day starting in August, which may exert downward pressure on oil prices [6] Future Price Adjustment Outlook - There are differing opinions among industry analysts regarding the next round of domestic fuel price adjustments, with some predicting a likelihood of price stabilization while others foresee potential increases [8] - Analysts note that the ongoing U.S. fuel consumption peak and the impact of OPEC+ production increases will play crucial roles in determining future price movements [7][8]

Core Viewpoint - The retail price of refined oil in China is expected to decrease due to fluctuations in international oil prices and domestic supply-demand dynamics [2][3] Group 1: Price Adjustments - The retail price of gasoline and diesel is predicted to be lowered by 130 yuan and 125 yuan per ton respectively, translating to a decrease of 0.10 yuan for 92-octane gasoline, 0.11 yuan for 95-octane gasoline, and 0.11 yuan for 0-octane diesel [2] - After this adjustment, the national standard price for 92-octane gasoline in Zibo will drop to approximately 7.23 yuan per liter, while 95-octane gasoline will decrease to around 7.75 yuan per liter [3] Group 2: Year-to-Date Adjustments - Following this price change, the year-to-date adjustments for refined oil will reflect a pattern of "6 increases, 6 decreases, and 2 stasis," with cumulative reductions of 225 yuan per ton for gasoline and 215 yuan per ton for diesel [3] Group 3: Cost Savings for Consumers - For a household car with a 50L fuel tank, filling up with 92-octane gasoline will save approximately 5 yuan, while a small private car running 2,000 kilometers monthly will see a reduction of about 7 yuan in fuel costs before the next price adjustment [3] - A heavy-duty truck running 10,000 kilometers monthly will experience a decrease of around 195 yuan in fuel costs before the next price adjustment [3] Group 4: Market Outlook - Analysts indicate that while OPEC+ is likely to maintain significant production increases in August and September, potential supply risks may arise from new U.S. sanctions on Russia [4] - The traditional peak season for fuel demand in the U.S. continues, supporting the market, although there are uncertainties regarding the next price adjustment due to fluctuating oil prices [4]

折合升价后，92#汽油、95#汽油、0#柴油分别下调0.10元/升、0.11元/升、0.11元/升。如按油箱容量为 50升计算，加满一箱92#汽油将少花5元。虽然金额不大，但也相当于省下了一个"小鸡腿"的钱。开油车 的车主朋友们，可以等过了今晚再去加油。 （原标题：刷屏了！刚刚宣布，下调！） 【导读】国内成品油价格按机制调整，汽、柴油每吨分别降低130元、125元 中国基金报记者 晨曦 好消息！油价又要降了！ 7月15日，国家发展改革委发布消息称，根据近期国际市场油价变化情况，按照现行成品油价格形成机 制，自2025年7月15日24时起，国内汽、柴油价格（标准品，下同）每吨分别降低130元、125元。 校对：王玥 制作：舰长 审核：许闻 版权声明 就油耗来看，以月跑2000公里、百公里油耗8L的小型私家车为例，到下次调价窗口开启（7月29日24 时）之前的时间内，消费者用油成本将减少7元左右。物流行业方面，以月跑10000公里、百公里油耗 38L的重型卡车为例，在下次调价窗口开启前，单辆车的燃油成本将减少195元左右。 在前期"三连涨"后，本轮油价调整方向终于转为下调。今年以来，国内油价已历经14轮调整，分别 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights a reduction in domestic fuel prices in China, with gasoline and diesel prices decreasing by 130 yuan and 125 yuan per ton, respectively, effective from July 15, 2025 [2]. Price Adjustment Summary - The price adjustments translate to a decrease of 0.10 yuan per liter for 92 gasoline, 0.11 yuan per liter for 95 gasoline, and 0.11 yuan per liter for 0 diesel. Filling a 50-liter tank with 92 gasoline will save approximately 5 yuan [5]. - For a small private car with a monthly distance of 2000 kilometers and a fuel consumption of 8 liters per 100 kilometers, the cost savings will be around 7 yuan before the next price adjustment window on July 29 [5]. - In the logistics sector, a heavy truck running 10,000 kilometers monthly with a fuel consumption of 38 liters per 100 kilometers will see a reduction of about 195 yuan in fuel costs before the next adjustment [5]. - Year-to-date, there have been 14 rounds of price adjustments, resulting in a net decrease of 225 yuan per ton for gasoline and 215 yuan per ton for diesel compared to the beginning of the year [5]. International Oil Market Insights - The international oil market has experienced volatility, with overall trends showing a potential rebound. The U.S. Independence Day holiday saw record numbers of travelers, raising optimistic expectations for energy demand during peak seasons [7]. - Geopolitical tensions, particularly in the Red Sea region due to attacks by Houthi forces, have increased uncertainty in energy supply, providing some support for oil prices [7]. - OPEC has revised its global oil demand forecasts downward for 2025 and 2026, which may impact oil price trends [7]. - Goldman Sachs has indicated that rising recession risks and increased OPEC+ oil supply may lead to declining oil prices by the end of this year and into next year, with projected Brent crude prices around $59 per barrel in Q4 of this year and $56 per barrel in 2026 [8].

Group 1 - The core point of the article is the announcement of a new round of fuel price adjustments in China, effective from July 15, 2023, at 24:00 [1] - The price of gasoline and diesel will be reduced by 130 yuan and 125 yuan per ton, respectively [1] - The average price reduction for 92-octane gasoline is 0.10 yuan per liter, while 95-octane gasoline and 0-diesel will see a reduction of 0.11 yuan per liter [1] Group 2 - Consumers filling a 50-liter tank with 92-octane gasoline will save approximately 5 yuan [1]

Core Viewpoint - The recent fluctuations in domestic fuel prices indicate a significant drop, with the latest adjustment expected to result in a decrease of approximately 245 yuan per ton, marking the sixth decline of the year in 2025 [1][3][5] Price History Review - Domestic fuel prices have experienced a "roller coaster" effect, with a cumulative decrease of 1,065 yuan per ton from January to May, erasing earlier gains [1] - After a brief period where 92-octane gasoline fell below 6 yuan per liter, prices surged again in June, with three consecutive increases leading to a rise of 560 yuan and 540 yuan per ton for gasoline and diesel respectively [1] - Current prices for 92-octane gasoline are reported as follows: Shanghai at 7.33 yuan/liter, Beijing at 7.36 yuan/liter, Shandong at 7.33 yuan/liter, and Guangdong at 7.38 yuan/liter [1] Price Cycle Changes - In early July, fuel prices saw a "three consecutive increases" trend, with gasoline and diesel rising by 235 yuan and 225 yuan per ton respectively, but subsequently, the high point of the cycle saw a drop of over 375 yuan per ton [3] - As of July 15, the average price of crude oil was reported at 68.25 USD per barrel, with a decrease in gasoline and diesel prices of 130 yuan and 125 yuan per ton respectively, translating to a reduction of 0.1 to 0.12 yuan per liter for 92/95-octane gasoline [3] Future Outlook - If the current price drop is realized, it is estimated that filling a 50-liter tank will save around 5 yuan [5] - The next price adjustment is anticipated to occur on July 29, with expectations of a potential increase in fuel prices as the crude oil market may shift towards a positive change [5]