12月29日，中国海油盘中上涨2.01%，截至10:32，报28.88元/股，成交5.78亿元，换手率0.68%，总市值 13726.65亿元。 资金流向方面，主力资金净流入9065.45万元，特大单买入1.01亿元，占比17.56%，卖出4319.59万元， 占比7.48%；大单买入1.55亿元，占比26.80%，卖出1.22亿元，占比21.20%。 中国海油今年以来股价涨2.27%，近5个交易日涨4.45%，近20日涨1.40%，近60日涨11.79%。 中国海油所属申万行业为：石油石化-油气开采Ⅱ-油气开采Ⅲ。所属概念板块包括：天然气、油气勘 探、低市盈率、中特估、H股等。 截至9月30日，中国海油股东户数21.65万，较上期减少7.02%；人均流通股13922股，较上期增加 7.62%。2025年1月-9月，中国海油实现营业收入3125.03亿元，同比减少4.15%；归母净利润1019.71亿 元，同比减少12.59%。 分红方面，中国海油A股上市后累计派现2559.95亿元。近三年，累计派现1790.51亿元。 机构持仓方面，截止2025年9月30日，中国海油十大流通股东中，香港中央结算有限公司退出 ...

Core Viewpoint - The banking sector is expected to continue generating excess returns from the end of 2022 to mid-2025, driven by a dividend theme that promotes value reassessment, with a significant performance boost anticipated in 2024 across various banking sub-sectors [1][15]. Market Performance - The banking sector saw a 12.8% increase in 2025 (as of December 5), underperforming the CSI 300 index by 3.7 percentage points, ranking 20th among 30 primary industries [2][15]. - State-owned banks outperformed with an 18.8% increase, while joint-stock banks, city commercial banks, and rural commercial banks rose by 10.7%, 10.3%, and 12.0% respectively [2][15]. Market Dynamics - The banking sector experienced a significant rally in the first half of 2025, particularly after May, driven by factors such as public fund assessment reforms and improved profit expectations due to monetary easing [2][15]. - A notable correction occurred from mid-July to late September, with a 13.7% decline attributed to a shift in market risk appetite towards growth sectors like technology [3][16]. Fourth Quarter Outlook - The fourth quarter saw a market style shift, leading to a resurgence in the banking sector, with key state-owned banks reaching historical highs [4][17]. - Factors driving this recovery included a return to high dividend yields, early mid-term dividend distributions, and increased institutional investment [4][17]. Valuation Metrics - The price-to-book (PB) ratio for the banking sector rose from a low of 0.5 in 2022 to 0.71 by December 5, 2025, although it remains at a low percentile compared to the past decade [1][15]. Hong Kong Market Performance - H-shares of banks significantly outperformed A-shares, with a 37.3% increase in 2025, narrowing the premium/discount rate to 27% [5][18]. - Notable individual stock performances included Standard Chartered and Hang Seng Bank, with increases of 85% and 70% respectively [5][18]. Fund Flows - Southbound funds accelerated net purchases of H-share banks, with a cumulative net buy of over HKD 195 billion in 2025, highlighting the attractiveness of H-shares due to higher dividend yields and tax advantages [6][19]. - Insurance funds have been a major source of capital for banks, driven by a need for reallocation in a low-interest-rate environment [21]. Investment Strategies - Strategic allocation by insurance funds and asset management companies (AMCs) has increased, with significant investments in state-owned and joint-stock banks [22]. - Passive ETFs have played a crucial role in driving up bank stock prices, although their inflow has slowed in 2025 [23]. Future Projections - The banking sector is expected to maintain stable credit growth and optimize its structure into 2026, with a focus on high-quality growth [14].

Core Viewpoint - The bus industry represents China's automotive manufacturing sector becoming a global leader in technology output, with overseas market contributions expected to recreate a market equivalent to China within 3-5 years [4][15]. Group 1: Driving Factors for the Bus Industry Cycle - Timing: The bus sector aligns with the national strategy of "China's Special Valuation" and is a strong proponent of the "Belt and Road" initiative, having over a decade of overseas experience [4][15]. - Location: The technology and products of Chinese buses are at a world-class level, leading in new energy buses and competitive in traditional buses [4][15]. - People: The end of the domestic price war is expected to resonate positively, with demand recovering due to tourism and public transport renewal needs [4][15]. Group 2: Profitability Outlook - The absence of a price war domestically, an oligopolistic market structure, and better profit margins in overseas markets contribute to the potential for high profitability [5][16]. Group 3: Market Value Potential - The short-term goal is to challenge the market value peak from 2015-2017, while the long-term goal is to establish a new ceiling for the world's bus industry [6][16]. Group 4: Investment Recommendations - Yutong Bus is highlighted as a "model student" with high growth and dividend attributes, with projected net profits of 4.94 billion, 5.92 billion, and 7.03 billion yuan for 2025-2027, reflecting year-on-year growth of 20%, 20%, and 19% respectively [7][13]. - King Long Automobile is noted as the "fastest improving student," with significant profit elasticity, projected net profits of 440 million, 640 million, and 830 million yuan for 2025-2027, with year-on-year growth of 182%, 45%, and 28% respectively [8][13]. Group 5: Industry Performance Data - In November 2025, the overall bus production in China was 55,000 units, with a year-on-year increase of 14.90% and a month-on-month increase of 10.47% [19][21]. - The wholesale volume for the same month was 53,000 units, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 15.78% and a month-on-month increase of 7.28% [21]. - The terminal sales for buses reached 49,000 units, with a year-on-year increase of 7.91% and a month-on-month increase of 4.60% [22][21].

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the performance and financial metrics of China Gold Group Jewelry Co., Ltd., highlighting its recent stock price movement, market capitalization, and operational challenges. Group 1: Company Overview - China Gold Group Jewelry Co., Ltd. specializes in the sales and commissioned processing of gold jewelry products, with main products including gold and K-gold jewelry [2] - The company is ultimately controlled by the State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission of the State Council, categorizing it as a state-owned enterprise [3][4] - The company is recognized as a central enterprise in China's gold jewelry retail sector, with its main business revenue composition being 98.83% from gold products [8] Group 2: Financial Performance - As of September 30, 2025, China Gold reported operating revenue of 45.764 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 1.74%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 335 million yuan, down 55.08% year-on-year [8] - The company has distributed a total of 2.52 billion yuan in dividends since its A-share listing, with 1.848 billion yuan distributed over the past three years [9] Group 3: Market Activity - On December 24, the stock price of China Gold fell by 0.25%, with a trading volume of 106 million yuan and a turnover rate of 0.78%, leading to a total market capitalization of 13.608 billion yuan [1] - The stock has seen a net outflow of 1.1293 million yuan from major investors today, indicating a reduction in holdings for two consecutive days [5][6] Group 4: Technical Analysis - The average trading cost of the stock is 8.35 yuan, with the current price approaching a resistance level of 8.13 yuan, suggesting potential for a price correction if this level is not surpassed [7]

期货概念+2025中报预增+国企改革+中字头股票 来源：新浪证券-红岸工作室 12月23日，中金公司跌1.50%，成交额9.86亿元，换手率0.94%，总市值1715.12亿元。 异动分析 1、2023年年度报告：公司控股子公司中金期货有限公司，注册资本人民币3亿5千万，为公司的全资子 公司；主业务为商品期货经纪、金融期货经纪、期货投资咨询、资产管理。 2、公司预计2025-01-01到2025-06-30业绩：归属于母公司股东的净利润345300.00万元至396600.00万元, 增长幅度为55%至78%;上年同期业绩：归属于母公司股东的净利润222800.00万元,基本每股收益0.394元; 3、公司属于国有企业。公司的最终控制人为中央汇金投资有限责任公司。 4、公司为中字头股票，公司实控人为国资委或中央国有企业或中央国家机关。 (免责声明：分析内容来源于互联网，不构成投资建议，请投资者根据不同行情独立判断) 资金分析 今日主力净流入-9345.19万，占比0.09%，行业排名44/50，该股当前无连续增减仓现象，主力趋势不明 显；所属行业主力净流入-13.84亿，连续3日被主力资金减仓。 区间今日近3 ...

证券研究报告·行业研究·汽车与零部件 客车12月月报： 11月内外需同环比修复，期待年底翘尾行情 证券分析师 ：黄细里 执业证书编号：S0600520010001 联系邮箱：huangxl@dwzq.com.cn 联系电话：021-60199793 2025年12月23日 请务必阅读正文之后的免责声明部分 推荐客车板块，优选【宇通+金龙】 2 ◼ 客车这轮大周期驱动因素是什么？一句话总结：客车代表中国汽车制造业将成为【技术 输出】的世界龙头。这不是梦想而是会真真切切反应到报表层面。海外市场业绩贡献对 客车行业在3-5年会至少再造一个中国市场。背后支撑因素： （ ➢ 1）天时：符合国家【中特估】大方向，客车是【一带一路】的有力践行者，已有10余 年的出海经验，在新的国际形势变化下，将进一步跟紧国家战略，让中国优势制造业 【走出去】。 ➢ 2）地利：客车的技术与产品已经具备世界一流水平。新能源客车产品维度，中国客车 已领先海外竞争对手。传统客车维度，技术已不亚于海外且具备更好性价比及服务。 ➢ 3）人和：国内市场价格战结束不会成为拖累反而会共振。过去6-7年国内客车"高铁冲 击+新能源公交透支+三年疫情"三重因素 ...

3、公司最终控制人为国务院国有资产监督管理委员会 来源：新浪证券-红岸工作室 12月22日，中国稀土涨1.33%，成交额9.98亿元，换手率2.06%，总市值485.51亿元。 异动分析 稀土永磁+小金属概念+央企国企改革+中字头股票+国企改革 1、公司主要从事稀土氧化物等产品的生产运营，以及稀土技术研发、咨询服务。 2、公司主要从事稀土氧化物、稀土金属、稀土深加工产品经营及贸易，以及稀土技术研发、咨询服 务。公司主导产品包括高纯的单一稀土氧化物及稀土共沉物产品，其中80%以上的产品纯度大于 99.99%，高纯氧化镧、高纯氧化钇等部分稀土氧化物纯度可达99.9999%以上。 区间今日近3日近5日近10日近20日主力净流入2660.23万1.17亿-9015.88万-6.16亿-8.32亿 主力持仓 主力没有控盘，筹码分布非常分散，主力成交额4.70亿，占总成交额的9.7%。 技术面：筹码平均交易成本为49.82元 4、公司为中字头股票，公司实控人为国资委或中央国有企业或中央国家机关。 5、公司属于国有企业。公司的最终控制人为国务院国有资产监督管理委员会。 (免责声明：分析内容来源于互联网，不构成投资建议，请投 ...

智通财经12月22日讯（编辑 胡家荣） 2025年即将收官，港股市场交出了一份亮眼成绩单。在政策支持、流动性改善及结构性机会涌现等多重因素推动下， 三大指数共同创下五年来最佳年度表现。 注：恒生指数的全年表现 截至12月19日（上周五）收盘，恒生指数全年累计上涨33.25%，报收25690.53点；科技指数全年累计上涨25.74%，报收5479.04点；国企指数全年累计上涨 25.74%，报收5479.04点。 今年来，港股市场成交活跃度显著提升，南向资金成为主要增量来源，全年净流入超1.38万亿港元，创历史新高。南向资金成交额占比(12个月平均)从年初 的47%攀升至61%。 四大板块引领结构性行情 2025年港股市场呈现明显的板块轮动特征，全年可分为四个阶段： 第一阶段(1-3月)：流动性驱动市场修复 美联储年内完成三次降息共计75个基点，国内维持宽松货币政策，中美利差显著收窄。南向资金持续流入，一季度净买入达4,400亿港元，超过2024年全年 水平。恒生指数在此阶段上涨约20%，恒生科技指数涨幅接近15%，市场波动率维持高位。 第二阶段(4-6月)：外部冲击下的市场调整 特朗普政府援引《贸易法》第30 ...

中远海能所属申万行业为：交通运输-航运港口-航运。所属概念板块包括：沪自贸区、远洋运输、证金 汇金、央企改革、中特估等。 12月22日，中远海能盘中上涨2.07%，截至10:22，报11.85元/股，成交1.30亿元，换手率0.32%，总市值 647.63亿元。 资金流向方面，主力资金净流入232.42万元，特大单买入1137.77万元，占比8.77%，卖出637.04万元， 占比4.91%；大单买入2932.15万元，占比22.61%，卖出3200.46万元，占比24.68%。 中远海能今年以来股价涨4.04%，近5个交易日涨1.98%，近20日跌6.55%，近60日跌7.20%。 今年以来中远海能已经1次登上龙虎榜，最近一次登上龙虎榜为12月2日，当日龙虎榜净买入-2.55亿 元；买入总计1.50亿元 ，占总成交额比10.73%；卖出总计4.05亿元 ，占总成交额比29.05%。 资料显示，中远海运能源运输股份有限公司位于上海市虹口区东大名路670号，成立日期1996年7月26 日，上市日期2002年5月23日，公司主营业务涉及从事国际和中国沿海原油及成品油运输、国际液化天 然气(LNG)运输。主营业务收 ...

Core Viewpoint - China National Airlines' stock price has shown fluctuations, with a recent decline of 2.01% and a year-to-date increase of 11.13%, indicating a mixed performance in the market [1]. Group 1: Stock Performance - As of December 22, the stock price of China National Airlines was reported at 8.79 CNY per share, with a trading volume of 1.81 billion CNY and a turnover rate of 0.17%, leading to a total market capitalization of 153.37 billion CNY [1]. - The stock has increased by 5.02% over the last five trading days, 5.78% over the last twenty days, and 12.12% over the last sixty days [1]. Group 2: Financial Performance - For the period from January to September 2025, China National Airlines achieved an operating revenue of 129.83 billion CNY, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 1.31%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.87 billion CNY, which is a 37.31% increase compared to the previous year [2]. Group 3: Shareholder Information - As of September 30, 2025, the number of shareholders for China National Airlines was 129,100, showing a slight decrease of 0.12% from the previous period [2]. - The company has cumulatively distributed dividends amounting to 13.32 billion CNY since its A-share listing, with no dividends paid in the last three years [3]. - The top ten circulating shareholders include China Securities Finance Corporation, holding 311 million shares, and Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited, which reduced its holdings by 123 million shares [3].