Group 1 - National Bureau of Statistics will hold a press conference to introduce the national economic operation situation for the first half of 2025 [2] - The housing price data for 70 major cities in June will be released [4] - Domestic refined oil prices are expected to see their sixth decrease of the year, with a total adjustment pattern of "six increases, five decreases, and two pauses" so far this year [5] Group 2 - New regulations for individual business registration management will take effect, allowing individual businesses to transition to enterprises while retaining their social credit codes and other identifiers [6] - A total of 3.17 billion shares worth 4.246 billion yuan will be unlocked today, with several companies seeing significant share unlocks [7][8] - 20 companies have disclosed stock repurchase progress, with several companies announcing significant repurchase amounts [9]

Economic Data Release - The National Bureau of Statistics will announce key economic data including industrial added value, fixed asset investment, and retail sales of consumer goods on July 15 [1] - The press conference will provide insights into the national economic performance for the first half of 2025 [2] Import and Export Data - A press conference will be held on July 14 to discuss the import and export situation for the first half of 2025 [3] Oil Price Adjustment - A new round of fuel price adjustments will take effect from July 15, with 13 price adjustment windows occurring this year, resulting in six increases, five decreases, and two unchanged [5] Real Estate Market - The National Bureau of Statistics will release the June 2025 residential property price index report on July 15, indicating a month-on-month decline in property prices across 70 major cities, with a narrowing year-on-year decline [6] Industry Conferences - Multiple industry summits will take place from July 16 to 20, including the third China International Supply Chain Promotion Expo and the 12th World Chemical Engineering Conference [7] Stock Market Unlocking - A total of 42 companies will have their restricted shares unlocked next week, with a total market value exceeding 26 billion yuan based on the closing price on July 11 [8] - The top three companies by unlocking market value are Tianyue Advanced (7.487 billion yuan), Maiwei Biological (5.420 billion yuan), and Baoli Food (3.010 billion yuan) [8] New Stock Opportunities - Two new stocks are set to be issued next week, with a total of approximately 9.073 million shares and expected fundraising of 1.236 billion yuan [11] - The stocks include Jiyuan Group with an issue price of 10.88 yuan and Shanda Electric Power at 14.66 yuan, both available for subscription on July 14 [12]

Economic Overview - The national economy maintained stable operation in May, supported by more proactive macro policies, with stable production demand and overall employment situation [1] Industrial Performance - The industrial added value above designated size increased by 5.8% year-on-year in May, with a month-on-month growth of 0.61% [2] - The equipment manufacturing industry saw a 9.0% year-on-year increase, while high-tech manufacturing grew by 8.6%, outperforming the overall industrial growth by 3.2 and 2.8 percentage points respectively [2] - Key products such as 3D printing equipment, industrial robots, and new energy vehicles experienced significant production growth of 40.0%, 35.5%, and 31.7% year-on-year [3] - From January to May, the industrial added value increased by 6.3% year-on-year [3] Service Sector - The service production index rose by 6.2% year-on-year in May, accelerating by 0.2 percentage points compared to the previous month [4] - The service sector's business activity index was at 50.2 in May, up by 0.1 percentage points from the previous month, while the business activity expectation index rose to 56.5 [5] - From January to May, the service production index increased by 5.9% year-on-year [5] Consumer Spending - The total retail sales of consumer goods reached 41,326 billion yuan in May, marking a 6.4% year-on-year increase, which is 1.3 percentage points higher than the previous month [6] - Online retail sales amounted to 60,402 billion yuan, growing by 8.5% year-on-year, with physical goods online retail sales at 49,878 billion yuan, a 6.3% increase [6] Investment Trends - Fixed asset investment (excluding rural households) totaled 191,947 billion yuan from January to May, with a year-on-year growth of 3.7% [8] - Infrastructure investment grew by 5.6%, while manufacturing investment increased by 8.5%. However, real estate development investment declined by 10.7% [9] Trade Performance - The total value of goods imports and exports reached 38,098 billion yuan in May, with a year-on-year growth of 2.7% [10] - Exports were 22,767 billion yuan, up by 6.3%, while imports decreased by 2.1% [10] Employment Situation - The urban surveyed unemployment rate was 5.0% in May, a decrease of 0.1 percentage points from the previous month [11][12] - The average urban surveyed unemployment rate from January to May was 5.2% [12] Price Trends - The Consumer Price Index (CPI) fell by 0.1% year-on-year in May, while the core CPI, excluding food and energy, rose by 0.6% [13] - The Producer Price Index (PPI) decreased by 3.3% year-on-year in May [13]

Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided Core View of the Report - On June 16, all four major stock index futures contracts for the current month rose. The trading enthusiasm of investors cooled down as the total trading volume of stock index futures declined. The total positions of all four major stock index futures also decreased [1][2]. Summary by Relevant Catalogs [Periodic Index and Spot Data Tracking] - **Index Futures Price Changes**: On June 16, IF rose 0.38%, IH rose 0.48%, IC rose 0.46%, and IM rose 0.72%. The closing prices, price - to - spot basis, trading volumes, and open interest of each contract of the four major index futures are presented in detail [1]. - **Trading Volume Changes**: The total trading volume of index futures decreased, with IF increasing by 1520 lots, IH decreasing by 3940 lots, IC decreasing by 1262 lots, and IM decreasing by 25196 lots [2]. - **Open Interest Changes**: The total open interest of index futures decreased, with IF decreasing by 13714 lots, IH decreasing by 5088 lots, IC decreasing by 2937 lots, and IM decreasing by 12803 lots [2]. [Trend Intensity] - The trend intensity of IF and IH is 1, and the trend intensity of IC and IM is 1. The trend intensity ranges from - 2 to 2, with - 2 being the most bearish and 2 being the most bullish [6]. [Important Drivers] - In May, the national economy showed overall stable and progressive development. The year - on - year growth rate of industrial added value above designated size was 5.8%, the total retail sales of consumer goods increased by 6.4% year - on - year, and the national urban survey unemployment rate was 5.0% [6]. [Stock Market Performance] - On June 16, the Shanghai Composite Index rose 0.35%, the Shenzhen Component Index rose 0.41%, the ChiNext Index rose 0.66%, the Beijing Stock Exchange 50 rose 1.84%, the Science and Technology Innovation 50 fell 0.21%, the Wind All - A Index rose 0.54%, the Wind A500 rose 0.31%, and the CSI A500 rose 0.25%. The A - share trading volume was 1.24 trillion yuan, down from 1.5 trillion yuan the previous day [7]. [Top 20 Member Position Changes in Index Futures] - The position changes of long and short positions of the top 20 members in each contract of IF, IH, IC, and IM are presented, with some data not disclosed [5].

Economic Overview - In May, the national economy showed overall stability and progress under pressure, with key indicators reflecting positive growth [3][6]. - The industrial added value for large-scale enterprises increased by 5.8% year-on-year [3]. - The service production index rose by 6.2% year-on-year [3]. - Retail sales of consumer goods grew by 6.4% year-on-year [3]. Investment and Trade - From January to May, fixed asset investment (excluding rural households) increased by 3.7% year-on-year [3]. - The total retail sales of consumer goods reached 20,317.1 billion yuan, marking a 5% year-on-year increase [3]. - The total import and export value rose by 2.5% year-on-year [3].

Domestic News - The National Bureau of Statistics reported that the industrial added value above designated size increased by 6.1% year-on-year in April [3] - The urban surveyed unemployment rate nationwide stands at 5.1% [3] - The total retail sales of consumer goods increased by 5.1% year-on-year [3] - In 70 large and medium-sized cities, the sales prices of commercial residential properties remained stable or slightly decreased month-on-month, with the year-on-year decline continuing to narrow [3] International News - The EU will propose to G7 finance ministers to lower the price cap on Russian seaborne oil, potentially setting it at $50 per barrel [5] - The Federal Reserve officials expressed a preference for only one interest rate cut this year, with recent economic data being described as very good [5] - The U.S. Treasury yields have shown a V-shaped recovery after the 30-year Treasury yield broke above 5% and then declined [7]

央视网消息：中国国家统计局5月19日发布2025年4月份中国国民经济运行数据。数据显示4月份，面对外部冲击影响加大、内 部困难挑战叠加的复杂局面，国民经济顶住压力稳定增长，延续向新向好发展态势。 4月份，货物进出口总额38391亿元，同比增长5.6%。全国城镇调查失业率为5.1%，比上月下降0.1个百分点。此外，全国居民 消费价格（CPI）同比下降0.1%，环比上涨0.1%。 国家统计局新闻发言人、国民经济综合统计司司长 付凌晖：总的来看，4月份，外部冲击影响加大，但宏观政策协同发力， 主要指标平稳较快增长，国民经济延续向新向好态势。也要看到，外部不稳定不确定因素仍然较多，国民经济持续回升向好基础 还需进一步稳固。 总台央视记者 梁爽：国家统计局相关负责人表示，下阶段，将坚定不移扩大高水平对外开放，着力稳就业、稳企业、稳市 场、稳预期，扎实推进高质量发展，推动经济持续回升向好。 4月份，中国规模以上工业增加值同比增长6.1%。装备制造业增加值同比增长9.8%，高技术制造业增加值增长10.0%，分别快 于全部规模以上工业增加值3.7和3.9个百分点。 国家统计局新闻发言人、国民经济综合统计司司长 付凌晖：4月份 ...

4、100.89亿元市值限售股今日解禁 （原标题：今日看点｜国新办将举行2025年4月份国民经济运行情况新闻发布会；国内油价预计将迎年 内第五降） 经济观察网讯 5月19日重点关注的财经要闻与资本市场大事： 1、国新办将举行2025年4月份国民经济运行情况新闻发布会 5月19日上午10时，国新办将举行新闻发布会，国家统计局新闻发言人、国民经济综合统计司司长付凌 晖介绍2025年4月份国民经济运行情况，并答记者问。 2、4月70城房价数据将公布 5月19日，国家统计局将发布2025年4月份70个大中城市商品住宅销售价格变动情况。 3、国内油价预计将迎年内第五降 国内成品油新一轮调价窗口将于5月19日24时开启。综合机构观点，国内成品油价或将出现年内第五次 下跌。今年以来，国内油价已经历九轮调价窗口，分别为"三涨四跌两搁浅"。涨跌互抵后，国内汽、柴 油价格每吨较去年底分别下调425元、410元。若本轮调整落地，2025年调价格局将变为"三涨五跌两搁 浅"。 5月19日，共有12家公司限售股解禁，合计解禁量为3.51亿股，按最新收盘价计算，合计解禁市值为 100.89亿元。 从解禁量来看，5家公司解禁股数超千万股。 ...

Economic Overview - The overall trend of China's economy remains positive, with recent financial data indicating sustained growth in monetary aggregates and support for the real economy [3][4]. - As of the end of April, the M2 (broad money) balance grew by 8% year-on-year, reflecting a 1 percentage point increase from the previous month, influenced by low base effects from last year and effective counter-cyclical adjustments by the central bank [3]. Financial Indicators - In the first four months of the year, the social financing scale stock, broad money M2, and RMB loan growth rates were 8.7%, 8%, and 7.2% respectively, all exceeding the nominal GDP growth rate, indicating strong financial support for the real economy [3]. - The Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose by 0.1% month-on-month in April, while year-on-year it decreased by 0.1%. The Producer Price Index (PPI) fell by 0.4% month-on-month and decreased by 2.7% year-on-year [3]. Industrial Performance - In the first quarter, profits of industrial enterprises above designated size turned from a year-on-year decline of 3.3% to a growth of 0.8%, driven by the continued release of policy effects [4]. - The equipment manufacturing and high-tech manufacturing sectors showed significant profit support, contributing to the overall improvement in industrial economic quality and efficiency [4].

Economic Overview - In the first quarter of 2025, China's GDP reached 31.8758 trillion yuan, showing a year-on-year growth of 5.4% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 1.2% [3] - The primary industry added value was 1.1713 trillion yuan, growing by 3.5% year-on-year; the secondary industry added value was 11.1903 trillion yuan, increasing by 5.9%; and the tertiary industry added value was 19.5142 trillion yuan, with a growth of 5.3% [3] Financial Data - As of April 2025, the M2 money supply grew by 8% year-on-year, reflecting a 1 percentage point increase from the previous month, indicating effective monetary policy and financial support for the economy [4] - The social financing scale, M2, and RMB loan growth rates were 8.7%, 8%, and 7.2% respectively, all exceeding nominal GDP growth, demonstrating strong financial support for the real economy [4] Price Indices - In April 2025, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose by 0.1% month-on-month but fell by 0.1% year-on-year, while the Producer Price Index (PPI) decreased by 0.4% month-on-month and 2.7% year-on-year [4] - The core CPI showed stable growth, and some industrial prices continued to improve year-on-year, indicating a gradual recovery in market demand [4] Industrial Profit - In the first quarter of 2025, profits of industrial enterprises above designated size turned from a 3.3% decline in the previous year to a 0.8% increase, driven by policy effects and significant contributions from equipment manufacturing and high-tech manufacturing sectors [5]