Core Viewpoint - The Federal Reserve's Barr stated that tariffs could potentially lead to economic slowdown and increased unemployment, indicating that monetary policy is currently in a favorable position while the Fed observes economic developments [1] Group 1 - Tariffs may contribute to economic slowdown [1] - Potential rise in unemployment due to tariffs [1] - Federal Reserve is in a favorable position regarding monetary policy [1]

Core Viewpoint - The Swiss National Bank indicates that the unemployment rate may continue to rise slightly in the near future [1] Group 1 - The Swiss National Bank's assessment suggests a potential upward trend in unemployment, reflecting broader economic conditions [1]

Core Insights - The Swiss National Bank is prepared to intervene in the foreign exchange market if necessary [1] - GDP growth is projected to be between 1% and 1.5% for both 2025 and 2026 [1] - The unemployment rate may continue to rise slightly [1]

Core Viewpoint - The "Bond King" Gundlach suggests that if unemployment rises, the Federal Reserve is more likely to implement multiple interest rate cuts [1] Group 1 - The Federal Reserve Chairman Powell has been dealing with data discrepancies in recent years [1] - Understanding Powell's cautious approach to policy decisions is essential [1] - It is evident that the Federal Reserve anticipates that the next policy action will be a rate cut [1]

Core Viewpoint - The "Bond King" Jeffrey Gundlach suggests that if the unemployment rate rises, the Federal Reserve is more likely to cut interest rates [1] Group 1 - Gundlach's commentary highlights the relationship between unemployment rates and Federal Reserve monetary policy decisions [1] - The potential for interest rate cuts is linked to economic indicators, particularly the labor market [1] - The statement reflects concerns about economic growth and its impact on monetary policy [1]

Core Insights - The Federal Reserve's FOMC has indicated a slowdown in economic growth, with a slight increase in the unemployment rate and inflation rates slightly above the expectations set in March [1] Economic Growth - Economic growth is projected to decelerate, reflecting broader economic trends [1] Unemployment Rate - The unemployment rate is expected to rise slightly, indicating potential challenges in the labor market [1] Inflation Rate - Inflation rates are anticipated to be marginally higher than the forecasts made in March, suggesting ongoing inflationary pressures [1]

摩根大通CEO戴蒙：如果出现经济下行，信贷压力将超出预期。如果失业率上升，消费者端可能会面临 更大的压力。 ...

金十数据6月10日讯，英格兰和威尔士特许会计师协会的分析师苏伦•蒂鲁在一份报告中写道，英国就业 市场出现问题的迹象可能不足以促使英国央行本月再次降息。周二公布的数据显示，英国失业率已升至 近四年来的最高水平，为4.6%，而工资增长也在放缓。"英国的劳动力市场正处于一个痛苦的时期，高 得惊人的商业成本可能意味着今年会有更多的失业，"蒂鲁说。但他补充道，由于通胀仍高于英国央行 的目标，英国央行的政策制定者不会受到影响，不会在本月晚些时候召开的政策会议中降息。 分析师：尽管失业率上升，英国央行仍可能按兵不动 ...

美联储哈克：缓慢的通胀降温本身就足以证明美联储维持利率稳定是合理的。美联储可能同时面临通胀 上升和失业率上升的局面，这完全是可能的。在不确定性中，美联储必须等待观察下一步的政策措施 ...

至关重要的货币政策不受外部因素的干扰。 美国经济仍然具有韧性，但也看到一些紧张性刺激。 美国费城联储主席哈克（2026年FOMC票委）：美联储可能会面临价格上涨和失业率上升，但不确定一 定会发生这样的情况。 ...