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美国服务业回暖但就业亮红灯 价格指数触及三年新高
智通财经网· 2025-11-05 15:42
Core Insights - The US services sector activity returned to expansion in October, with the ISM services PMI recorded at 52.4%, up from 50% in September, marking the eighth consecutive month above the threshold [1] - The business activity index rose significantly to 54.3%, a 4.4 percentage point increase from September's 49.9%, indicating a return to expansion [1] - The new orders index surged to 56.2%, a rise of 5.8 percentage points, reflecting improved demand in the services sector [1] Industry Performance - Eleven industries experienced growth in October, including accommodation and food services, retail, wholesale, real estate, healthcare, and transportation and warehousing [2] - Six industries faced contraction, including arts and entertainment, management services, finance and insurance, public administration, and construction [2] Employment and Inventory Trends - The employment index remained in contraction at 48.2%, indicating weak hiring intentions despite a slight improvement from September [1] - The inventory index recorded at 49.5%, still in contraction, as businesses generally reduced inventory levels to manage demand and cost uncertainties [2] Price and Supply Chain Dynamics - The prices index rose to 70%, the highest level since October 2022, indicating persistent inflationary pressures in the services sector, driven by tariffs affecting material and service costs [1] - The supplier deliveries index stood at 50.8%, indicating a continued slowdown in delivery speeds, which is typically associated with improved demand or supply chain constraints [1] Order Backlog and Economic Signals - The backlog of orders index dropped significantly to 40.8%, the second-lowest level since 2009, suggesting that businesses can manage current orders without significant delivery delays [2] - Feedback from industries indicated mixed economic signals, with some sectors experiencing seasonal demand improvements while others faced challenges from import restrictions and rising prices [2]
【环球财经】印尼三季度GDP同比增长5.04%
Xin Hua Cai Jing· 2025-11-05 07:14
Core Insights - Indonesia's GDP growth for Q3 2025 is reported at 5.04%, aligning closely with market expectations of 5% but slightly lower than the previous quarter's growth of 5.12% [1] - Key drivers of economic growth include exports and government spending, with exports of goods and services increasing by 9.91% year-on-year [1] - Fixed asset investment and private consumption growth have slowed, with fixed asset investment growing by 5.04% and household final consumption expenditure increasing by 4.89% [1] Economic Performance - The trade surplus for September reached $4.34 billion, marking 65 consecutive months of surplus since May 2020 [1] - The quarterly economic growth rate is 1.43%, with the electricity and gas sector showing the highest growth at 5.42% [1] - Other sectors such as construction and manufacturing also showed positive growth, while public administration and financial services experienced contraction [1] Government Outlook - The Indonesian government maintains its GDP growth target for the year at 5.2%, supported by sound fiscal policies and expectations of loose monetary policy [2] - The Finance Minister has set a target for Q4 growth to exceed 5.5% [2]
美国债首超38万亿美元!特朗普带领美国走向全球老二,G2成现实?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-30 04:39
Core Points - The article discusses the controversial announcement by former President Trump to build a $200 million ballroom at the White House amid a government shutdown and rising national debt, which has reached a record $38 trillion [1][6][11] - It highlights the growing skepticism regarding Trump's ability to lead the U.S. back to greatness, as his policies have led to increased national debt and a decline in global influence [3][9][22] - The article emphasizes the severe implications of the national debt, including the burden on every American citizen and the unsustainable fiscal policies that have resulted in a widening gap between government revenue and expenditure [11][13][14] Summary by Sections Trump's Announcement and Public Reaction - Trump's announcement of the ballroom construction during a government shutdown has sparked significant public backlash, with critics arguing that the White House should not be treated as a personal property [6][8] - Trump's claim of self-funding the project is viewed as a facade, with suspicions of political donations from business associates to support his initiatives [6][9] National Debt Crisis - The U.S. national debt has surged to $38 trillion, translating to a per capita debt of $111,000 for every American, including newborns [11] - The debt increased by $2 trillion in just two months, highlighting a rapid growth rate that outpaces average income growth [11][13] - The government's fiscal situation is dire, with mandatory spending on Social Security and Medicare expected to consume over one-third of the federal budget in the near future [11][14] Fiscal Policies and Economic Implications - Trump's tax cuts have resulted in a projected $4.5 trillion reduction in government revenue over the next decade, exacerbating the fiscal deficit [16][18] - Increased defense spending alongside reduced revenue has led to an unsustainable fiscal path, likened to a household maintaining luxury spending while losing income [18] - The Federal Reserve's shift towards accommodating fiscal policies to manage debt interest payments has created long-term risks for the economy [20] Global Influence and Trade Relations - Trump's "America First" policy has led to a decline in U.S. global influence, with withdrawal from international agreements and trade wars that have backfired, particularly in the context of U.S.-China relations [22][23] - The article suggests that the concept of a G2 world order, where the U.S. and China share global leadership, is becoming a reality due to a series of U.S. policy missteps [23]
严重违纪违法,孔萍被“双开”
中国基金报· 2025-10-25 14:21
Group 1 - The Chongqing Municipal Commission for Discipline Inspection and Supervision has initiated an investigation into Kong Ping, former deputy director of the Standing Committee of the People's Congress of Yongchuan District, for serious violations of discipline and law [1][3]. - Kong Ping is accused of losing her ideals and beliefs, resisting organizational review, and violating organizational principles by failing to report personal matters as required [3]. - She allegedly engaged in corrupt practices, including accepting gifts and money, participating in activities that could influence her official duties, and using her position to benefit relatives' business activities [3]. Group 2 - Kong Ping's violations include serious breaches of political, organizational, and integrity discipline, constituting severe job-related misconduct and suspected bribery [3]. - The Chongqing Municipal Commission has decided to expel Kong Ping from the Party and public office, confiscate her illegal gains, and transfer her case to the prosecution for legal review [3]. - Kong Ping has held various positions in the Yongchuan District, including deputy director of the Standing Committee of the People's Congress since January 2017, until her investigation [5].
【环球财经】美国国债首次突破38万亿美元
Xin Hua She· 2025-10-23 14:09
新华财经北京10月23日电(卜晓明)美国财政部22日数据显示,美国国债总额首次突破38万亿美元。 随着美国政府持续"停摆",美国债务规模不断攀升,数十万联邦雇员薪资中断,经济运行严重受扰。 这家基金会预计,美国债务利息支付金额将在今后10年激增至14万亿美元。这一数字在过去十年间为4 万亿美元。这将大幅挤占关键经济领域的公共与私人支出。 今年5月,信用评级机构穆迪将美国主权信用评级从最高级的Aaa下调至Aa1,这反映了投资者对美国政 府债务膨胀的担忧。 (文章来源:新华社) 美国哥伦比亚广播公司22日评论说,政府"停摆"的确会推高国家债务。此类事件推迟经济活动和财政决 策,又因联邦项目的暂停与重启产生额外成本。美国管理和预算办公室说,2013年美国政府"停摆"造成 的损失高达20亿美元。 美国彼得·彼得森基金会首席执行官迈克尔·彼得森说:"债务在政府'停摆'期间达到38万亿美元,这是议 员们未能履行基本财政职责的最新迹象,令人担忧。"仅仅两个月前,债务刚突破37万亿美元。 ...
前三季度GDP同比增长5.2%,国家统计局权威解读
Zheng Quan Shi Bao· 2025-10-20 04:20
Economic Growth - The GDP for the first three quarters reached 10,150.36 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 5.2% [1] - The GDP growth rate for the third quarter was 4.8%, a decrease of 0.4 percentage points from the second quarter [2] - The total economic output in the third quarter was 35.5 trillion yuan, surpassing the projected total for the world's third-largest economy in 2024 [1] Investment Trends - Fixed asset investment (excluding rural households) for the first three quarters was 3,715.35 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 0.5% [3] - Excluding real estate development, fixed asset investment grew by 3.0% [3] - Industrial investment increased by 6.4%, contributing 2.1 percentage points to overall investment growth [3] Employment and Income - The average urban survey unemployment rate for the first three quarters was 5.2%, with a slight decrease in September [5] - The per capita disposable income for residents was 32,509 yuan, reflecting a nominal growth of 5.1% year-on-year [6] - The growth rate of rural residents' income continued to outpace that of urban residents [6] Policy and Economic Support - The government has implemented supportive macroeconomic policies to stabilize economic performance [8] - New quality productivity is being cultivated, contributing to high-quality development and innovation [7] - Positive indicators, such as the manufacturing purchasing managers' index rebounding for two consecutive months, suggest accumulating favorable conditions for the economy [8]
国家统计局人口和就业统计司司长:前三季度就业形势总体稳定
Guo Jia Tong Ji Ju· 2025-10-20 02:44
Core Viewpoint - The national economy is operating smoothly with overall stable employment conditions, supported by enhanced macro policies and employment stabilization measures [1] Group 1: Employment Statistics - The national urban surveyed unemployment rate averaged 5.2% from January to September, with quarterly averages of 5.3%, 5.0%, and 5.2%, showing a slight increase of 0.1 percentage points in the first quarter compared to the previous year, while the second and third quarters remained stable [2] - In September, the unemployment rate decreased to 5.2%, down 0.1 percentage points from August, following seasonal adjustments [2] - The unemployment rate in 31 major cities averaged 5.1%, which is 0.1 percentage points lower than the national average, with similar quarterly trends observed [2] Group 2: Employment in Key Sectors - Employment in key service sectors such as transportation, accommodation, and cultural industries improved due to active summer tourism and enhanced employment support policies [3] - The unemployment rate for migrant agricultural workers averaged 4.8%, which is 0.4 percentage points lower than the national urban average, with a slight increase in July due to seasonal factors, followed by a decrease in August and September [3] - The unemployment rate for the 16-24 age group, excluding students, saw a seasonal rise in July and August but significantly decreased in September as graduates secured jobs [3] Group 3: Economic Outlook and Policy Recommendations - The overall economic operation is stable, with steady progress in transformation and upgrading, although structural employment challenges remain in certain regions and industries [3] - There is a need for continued macro policy adjustments to stabilize employment, businesses, markets, and expectations, with an emphasis on enhancing employment support measures [3]
王萍萍:前三季度就业形势总体稳定
Guo Jia Tong Ji Ju· 2025-10-20 02:17
Group 1 - The overall urban surveyed unemployment rate in China remained stable at an average of 5.2% from January to September, with slight fluctuations in the third quarter due to seasonal factors [2][3] - The unemployment rate in 31 major cities averaged 5.1%, slightly lower than the national level, indicating a relatively stable employment situation in urban areas [2] - The unemployment rate for migrant workers was 4.8%, which is 0.4 percentage points lower than the national urban average, showing resilience in this demographic [3] Group 2 - Employment in key service sectors such as transportation, accommodation, and cultural industries improved due to increased support for employment policies and active summer tourism [3] - The unemployment rate for the 16-24 age group saw a seasonal increase during July and August but showed a significant recovery in September as graduates secured jobs [3] - The overall economic operation is stable, with steady progress in transformation and upgrading, although structural employment challenges remain in certain regions and industries [3]
白宫停摆3周后,美联储暗示有大动作,贝森特:中国在对抗全世界
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-16 03:10
Group 1 - The ongoing government shutdown in the U.S. has entered its third week, primarily due to long-standing conflicts between the Democratic and Republican parties, with both sides attempting to leverage the shutdown to force budget compromises [1][3] - The focal point of the conflict is the subsidies under the Affordable Care Act, with Democrats advocating for their extension to protect millions from losing healthcare, while Republicans oppose it, accusing Democrats of using public welfare as a political tool [3] - The shutdown has resulted in over 800,000 federal employees being placed on unpaid leave, national parks closing, and significant flight delays due to insufficient air traffic control staff, exacerbating public welfare issues [3] Group 2 - The economic impact of the shutdown is significant, with an estimated loss of $15 billion in GDP for each week it continues, and projections indicate that over 40,000 jobs could be lost if the situation persists into November [3] - The Federal Reserve, led by Chairman Powell, is expected to implement a 0.25 percentage point interest rate cut by the end of October and will halt the withdrawal of funds from the market to maintain liquidity and encourage hiring and consumer spending [4] - The U.S. Treasury Secretary has shifted focus to China, claiming that China's control over rare earth exports is a global challenge, despite the fact that the U.S. has imposed multiple restrictions on Chinese high-tech products, indicating a potential misalignment in trade policy [4][5]
“精准充电”育尖兵 “青蓝相继”赴新程
Xin Hua Ri Bao· 2025-10-13 21:48
如皋将持续聚焦年轻干部培养,全方位加强思想淬炼、政治历练、实践锻炼、专业训练,焕发年轻干部 担当作为精气神,推动优秀年轻干部可堪大用能担重任,为高质量发展注入青春动能。王仲仲 "从'青蓝计划'的红色现场教学到'蔚蓝计划'的轮岗实践,每一次培训都像一场'精准充电',让我在基层 工作中更有底气,我将带着学到的本领沉到田间地头,当好基层政策宣传员、群众服务员、发展护航 员。"近日,如皋市江安镇年轻干部管慧宇在参加"赤岸菁锐"提能工程首期培训后感悟道。 近年来,如皋市以"淬火熔炼"培养选拔工程为抓手,鼓励各镇(区、街道)加大年轻干部培养力度,立足 自身实际,有针对性地完善年轻干部培养计划,形成了"一镇一品一特色"的生动格局。江安镇依托红色 资源,紧扣"建设高素质干部队伍"核心目标,推出年轻干部"赤岸菁锐"提能工程,以"一年全覆盖、能 力双提升"为目标,量身定制梯队培养计划,开展"星火领航.青苗成长"师徒结对,通过理论启蒙+能力 进阶+精英锻造,打造从入门筑基到精进善为到领航示范的全过程培养链条,以"青蓝相继"的培养节 奏、"精准滴灌"的培育方式,助力年轻干部在不同成长阶段"按需充电"。 ...