少子化

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全球平均生育率大降!为什么不生?联合国报告这么说→
第一财经· 2025-06-12 12:41
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the declining birth rates in Japan, South Korea, and globally, highlighting the economic and social factors contributing to this trend, and suggests measures to create a more supportive environment for families [1][2][4]. Group 1: Declining Birth Rates - Japan's newborns in 2024 are projected to be approximately 686,000, a decrease of 41,200 from 2023, marking the first time since 1899 that the number falls below 700,000, 14 years earlier than expected [1] - South Korea has declared a "population emergency" due to its own declining birth rates, reflecting a broader trend across many countries [2] - The UNFPA reports that the global average fertility rate has dropped from 3.31 children per woman in 1990 to 2.3 in 2024, with 55% of countries below the replacement level of 2.1 children [2] Group 2: Economic Factors Influencing Birth Rates - Economic constraints are a significant factor in declining birth rates, with 39% of surveyed individuals citing "financial limitations" as the primary reason for having fewer children than desired [5] - In South Korea, 58% of respondents identified financial constraints as a key reason for their reluctance to have more children [5] - Other economic concerns include job security (21%), housing issues (19%), and lack of quality childcare services (12%) [5] Group 3: Recommendations for Supporting Families - The report emphasizes the need to alleviate economic burdens to enhance fertility intentions, suggesting measures such as paid parental leave, affordable healthcare, and supportive partnerships [7] - Sweden's new law allowing grandparents to receive compensation for childcare is highlighted as an innovative approach to reduce the burden on young parents [7] - The article advocates for equitable parental leave policies to encourage shared parenting responsibilities, which can improve women's workforce participation and men's involvement in childcare [7] Group 4: Government Initiatives - Japan's government aims to increase the male parental leave rate from 30.1% in 2023 to 50% by 2025 and potentially 80% by 2030, with new benefits for immediate paternity leave [8] - South Korea has seen positive changes in birth rates due to government policies such as extended leave, tax reductions, and housing support, with a notable increase in monthly births for nine consecutive months [9] - The report calls for governments to transform into "fertility enablers" to create an environment where individuals can realize their family planning desires [9]
日本2024年新生儿数量与总和生育率均创历史新低
Zhong Guo Xin Wen Wang· 2025-06-04 13:51
Group 1 - Japan's newborn population for 2024 is projected at 686,061, marking a decrease of 41,227 from the previous year and the first time it has fallen below 700,000 since 1899 [1][2] - The total fertility rate for Japan in 2024 is 1.15, a decline of 0.05 from the previous year, representing the lowest level since statistics began in 1947 [1][2] - The highest fertility rate is in Okinawa at 1.54, while Tokyo has the lowest at 0.96 [1] Group 2 - The number of deaths in Japan for 2024 is recorded at 1,605,298, the highest in history, leading to a natural population decrease of 919,237, also a record high [1] - The number of marriage registrations in 2024 is 485,063, an increase of 10,322 from the previous year, while divorce registrations rose by 2,081 to 185,895 [1] - The trend of declining birth rates is attributed to factors such as a decreasing young population and the increasing trend of late marriage and childbearing [2]
日本2024年出生人数首次跌破70万人
日经中文网· 2025-06-04 06:40
2024年在日本出生的日本儿童人数同比减少5.7%,降至68万6061人,自有统计数据以来首次 跌破70万人。总和生育率降至1.15,连续3年创新低。远远低于维持人口所需的约2.07…… 日本2024年的总和生育率(显示一名女性一生生育孩子的数量)为1.15。较上年(1.20)下降0.05个百 分点,连续3年创历史最低。远远低于维持人口所需的"约2.07"。以2005年的1.26为底部,2015年恢复到 1.45,2016年以后持续减少。 在日本,未婚生育的人很少,非婚生子的比例仅为2.5%(2023年)。未婚和事实婚姻难以生育和育儿 的社会规范根深蒂固,婚姻数的减少将直接导致出生人数下降。 2024年日本的死亡人数增加1.9%,增至160万5298人,人口自然减少(出生人数与死亡人数之差)为91 万9237人,均创出历史新高。人口自然减少的幅度比上年扩大了7万人。1年内减少了与香川县人口(91 万6000人)相同的规模。 人口急剧减少给日本经济的前景投下阴影。 随着劳动年龄人口(15~64岁)的减少,日本劳动力不足的问题日益严重。迄今为止,通过促进女性和 老年人就业,劳动力人口稳步增长,但日趋无法弥补少子化 ...
东吴证券研报:20-39岁消费下降严重,60以上老人对消费贡献最大
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-30 12:30
Group 1 - The report from Dongwu Securities indicates that the consumption growth rate among the 20-39 age group has significantly declined, contributing to approximately 44% of the overall consumption decrease from 2018 to 2022, compared to a 30.3% increase from 2010 to 2018 [1][5] - The consumption decline is most pronounced in the 20-30 age group, where their contribution to consumption growth plummeted from 13.8% (2010-2018) to just 0.8% (2018-2022) [5][24] - The elderly population (60 years and older) has become the largest contributor to consumption growth, particularly in food and healthcare sectors, contrasting sharply with the declining consumption in entertainment categories like KTV and bars [7][24] Group 2 - The average age in China has reached a median of 40 years, indicating a demographic shift where the primary consumer base will transition from those under 40 to those over 40 in the next decade [10][40] - The report highlights a concerning trend of increasing youth unemployment, which is linked to the decline in consumption among younger demographics, creating a chain reaction affecting overall consumption [5][17] - The elderly population, while contributing significantly to consumption growth, faces challenges as their income and average consumption levels have not kept pace with the rapid aging of the population [29][30] Group 3 - The consumption tendency among the youth has dropped dramatically, with a decline of 46.1 percentage points for the 20-39 age group since 2020, indicating a shift towards more conservative spending behaviors [34][35] - The report suggests that as the population ages and the youth demographic shrinks, businesses will increasingly target consumers aged 40 and above, who tend to be more rational and less impulsive in their spending [27][28] - The overall consumer landscape is changing, with brands likely to shift focus from younger consumers to older demographics, reflecting the broader societal changes in consumption patterns [39][40]
日本一季度新生儿数同比减少4.6%
news flash· 2025-05-28 06:57
智通财经5月28日电,日本厚生劳动省27日公布的人口动态统计(初值,包含外国人)显示,2025年1至 3月新生儿数(出生人数)为162,955人,较上年同期减少4.6%。少子化趋势未能得到遏制,但较2024年 同期6.4%的降幅(170,804人)有所收窄。2024全年新生儿数创下720,988人的历史新低。厚劳省计划6 月公布仅以日本人为对象的人口动态统计"概数"的2024年新生儿数,有可能首次跌破70万大关。2025年 1至3月婚姻登记数为131,332对,减少3.9%;死亡人数达466,672人,增加5.7%,减去出生人数的人口自 然减少为303,717人。 日本一季度新生儿数同比减少4.6% ...
非正常家庭出身的日本女性,如何看原生家庭与亲密关系?
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2025-05-20 04:32
Core Viewpoint - The book "Can We Still Be Family?" by two Japanese women from "non-traditional families" explores themes of family, intimate relationships, love, marriage, and female growth through their candid dialogues [1][3]. Group 1: Authors and Background - The book features conversations between actress and writer Yayako Uchida and neuroscientist Nobuko Nakano, who share their unique and challenging family backgrounds [1][3]. - Yayako Uchida, daughter of the late actress Kiki Kirin, grew up in a celebrity family marked by her parents' separation before her birth and her father's tumultuous lifestyle [1][4]. - Nobuko Nakano experienced a cold and communicative relationship with her parents, leading to her early independence [1][3]. Group 2: Themes of Relationships - The dialogues reflect on their experiences with family and marriage, revealing the complexities of their relationships and the impact of their upbringing [3][4]. - Uchida married at 19 and had three children, but faced significant differences with her husband, while Nakano's marriage involved a "weekend couple" and child-free lifestyle [3][4]. - The book emphasizes the importance of communication in relationships, contrasting it with the silence that can lead to deeper issues [11]. Group 3: Insights on Parenting and Family Dynamics - The authors discuss the challenges of parenting, highlighting the potential for becoming "toxic parents" due to immaturity and lack of preparation [10][12]. - Nakano notes that the separation between parents and children is a painful yet necessary part of growth, while Uchida reflects on the void left by her parents' passing [9][10]. - The book predicts that by 2024, half of the Japanese population may choose not to marry, reflecting changing societal norms around family and relationships [10][13]. Group 4: Cultural Reflections - The book has resonated with readers in Japan, who find common ground in the authors' experiences, suggesting that non-traditional family backgrounds do not preclude a fulfilling life [13]. - The discussions also touch on societal expectations and the evolving nature of marriage, with younger generations approaching relationships with caution [12][13].
日本儿童人数已连续44年减少 少子化问题越发严重
news flash· 2025-05-05 03:31
智通财经5月5日电,日本总务省5月4日发布的数据显示,日本儿童人数已连续44年减少。截至4月1日, 包括外国人在内的15岁以下儿童为1366万人,较上年减少了35万。根据《联合早报》报道,这项在5月5 日日本儿童节前夕发布的数据显示,日本儿童占总人口的比率下降了0.2个百分点至11.1%,人数和占比 均创下有可比数据的1950年以来的新低。共同社指出,日本出生人数下滑势头未能遏制,凸显出少子化 程度越发严重。 日本儿童人数已连续44年减少 少子化问题越发严重 ...
日本儿童人数连续44年减少,少子化程度加剧
news flash· 2025-05-04 09:17
Core Insights - The number of children under 15 years old in Japan, including foreigners, has decreased for 44 consecutive years, reaching a record low of 13.66 million as of April 1 [1] - The child population has declined by 350,000 from the previous year, resulting in a decrease in the proportion of children to 11.1% of the total population, a drop of 0.2 percentage points [1] - The ongoing decline in birth rates highlights the increasingly severe issue of low birth rates in Japan [1]
首次!第二强省,人口零增长了
城市财经· 2025-03-17 03:41
当前市场环境下,应采取低吸潜伏的策略,或参与最强势的方向以寻求趋势性机会。当前A股市场处于震荡行情,交易难度极大,关键在于生存技能的比 拼。 股市交易本质上是对预期的博弈,需具备先手优势,避免在盘中追涨。追涨并非长久之计,盘中的价格波动往往是先手出货的机会,后手应以低吸潜伏为 主。 近期,我结识了一位在龙虎榜上颇具声望的大佬,他的投资风格偏向于低吸,专注于市场中最强板块。这些板块通常具备领军特质,涨幅显著。他倾向于在 强势股回调至5日和10日均线附近时进行低吸,以博弈反弹行情。 他的操盘流程展现了其敏锐的投资能力。 实力可以说是抓妖的缔造者!想在市场抄作业躺赢的或者是亏损较多着急回血的朋友可以去关注一下这位大佬的实 盘公众号,关注及时的朋友都或许能同步跟着踩准节奏。 关注下方公众号回复168 文 | 余飞 01 江苏,常住人口零增长 这是江苏省新世纪以来,常住人口首次出现零增长。 3月15日,江苏省公布了2024年统计公报,其中关于人口数据显示: 年末全省常住人口 8526 万人,与上年末持平。 也就是常住人口零增长。 对于这一结果,我们早就有心理准备,只是没想到,作为经济第二强省的江苏,人口临界点会来得这么 ...