市场避险情绪
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金荣中国:黄金短期延续多头看涨为主
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-02-24 06:19
所以,整体来说,金价又再度回到,地缘局势避险推动,关税政策担忧,以及降息政策前景等利好环境 中,那么年内金价将继续维持牛市行情,等待不断刷新高点。 展望今日周二(2月24日):国际黄金开盘仍偏强运行,虽然在地缘局势方面,特朗普释放美伊局势缓和 信号:更倾向协议而非战争。但美媒表示美军将领警告对伊朗动武风险极高,易陷长期冲突,这进一步 加剧了地缘局势的长期影响因素,也暗示地缘风险的缓解难以对金价产生趋势性压力。 另外,美媒还表示特朗普政府考虑对六大行业征收新的国家安全关税,特朗普也言论任何想"耍花招"的 国家将面临更高的关税。新一轮政策不确定性也将加剧市场避险情绪,推动资金涌入黄金; 货币政策方面,近期的公布的美国经济等数据也未实质性对降息预期产生明显影响,其美联储前理事沃 什即将于5月接替鲍威尔出任主席,而特朗普政府明显偏好低利率政策,这为中长期降息留下了想象空 间。 日内将可关注美国12月FHFA房价指数月率、美国12月S&P/CS20座大城市未季调房价指数年率、美国12 月批发销售月率、美国2月谘商会消费者信心指数、美国2月里奇蒙德联储制造业指数等数据; 另外,还有美联储理事沃勒发表讲话,根据之前讲话偏向 ...
海外有色金属整体表现强势,工业有色指数强势涨超3%
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-02-24 03:22
消息面上,春节假期期间海外有色金属价格普遍上涨,LME铜、镍、锌等主要工业金属价格环比分别 上涨0.64%、2.66%、1.35%,上期所黄金、白银亦分别上涨2.42%、3.21%。 宏观层面,2026年全球主要经济体有望延续流动性宽松态势,美联储降息预期升温,实际利率下行,推 动有色金属金融属性回归,贵金属、铜等品种价格弹性放大。同时,美国加征全球关税及地缘紧张局势 升级,显著推升市场避险情绪,叠加美国法院裁定其关税权限越权引发政策混乱预期,进一步强化有色 金属价格支撑逻辑。 华西证券指出,供应方面,全球铜矿供应端扰动呈现持续加剧、深度演化的态势。智利铜业委员会 (Cochilco)数据显示,12月Codelco铜产量同比增3.7%至18.14万吨,但铜矿品位下降已成趋势。2025 年以来,铜矿供应扰动频发,若延续至2026年,将进一步加剧市场担忧。 相关产品方面,天弘中证工业有色金属主题指数(A类:017192;C类:017193)紧密跟踪中证工业有色 金属主题指数,中证工业有色金属主题指数选取市值较大的30只业务涉及铜、铝、铅锌、稀土金属等行 业的上市公司证券作为指数样本,以反映工业有色金属主题上市公司 ...
贺博生:2.24黄金强势上涨何时下跌?原油今日行情走势分析及操作建议
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-02-24 02:16
技术重要,纪律重要,资金管理重要,系统重要,心态重要,这是一个成功操盘手必不可缺少的部分,专业的事情交给专业的人去做,而你只要做一个选 择。成功有二条路,一条是自我摸索,另一条是跟实战老师操作;第一条路自我摸索时间长,还不一定有成绩,贺博生不希望投资者拿着头破血流的结果说 这就是自我惨痛的教训,而真正有智慧的人会借力使力不费力,如果你还在亏损,如果你还没有办法让自己账户获利,如果你还在迷茫,刚好你需要,刚好 我们专业,合作就是这么爽快的事情。 黄金最新行情趋势分析: 原油技术面分析:原油目前在日线走势上开始慢慢走出个圆弧顶出来,K线开始慢慢承压短周期均线维持震荡偏弱一些走势,价格暂时在前期的支撑带附近 运行但是反弹的力度和延续度都不大,要注意日线上可能出现的小幅破位之后的延续下行走势。小时级别走势上目前的区间压缩的比较小,关注下短线的调 整修复情况。综合来看,原油今日操作思路上贺博生建议以回踩低多为主,反弹高空为辅,上方短期关注67.5-68.5一线阻力,下方短期关注65.0-64.0一线支 撑。 面临亏损你必须知道的事: 一:喜欢抄底/顶,每当行情处于历史低位/高位的价格,心里就乐开了花,一到低位/高位就开 ...
国际破高位,国内金饰逼近1600元,普通人该买还是该卖?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-02-23 21:18
Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the significant disparity between the raw material cost of gold and its retail price, emphasizing the added value from branding, craftsmanship, and market dynamics in the gold jewelry sector [1][3][4]. Price Disparity - The international spot gold price reached approximately $5149 per ounce, translating to about 370 RMB per gram, while retail prices for gold jewelry in major brands like Chow Tai Fook are around 1545 RMB per gram, indicating an 80% markup attributed to added value [1][3][4]. - The price for gold jewelry in major retail stores is significantly higher than the base price of raw gold, with a gap of nearly 450 RMB per gram between retail prices and the benchmark price [4][6]. Market Segmentation - The gold market is segmented into different tiers: high-end retail stores, wholesale markets, and banks, each with distinct pricing structures. Retail prices are inflated due to branding and craftsmanship, while wholesale prices are closer to the raw material cost [6][7][9]. - In the Shenzhen Luohu district's Water Bay International Jewelry Trading Center, the price for raw gold is around 1298 RMB per gram, significantly lower than retail prices, highlighting a preference for raw materials over branded products among some consumers [6][7]. Consumer Behavior - Consumers are increasingly aware of the cost structure in gold purchases, with many opting for lower-cost alternatives like bank gold bars or wholesale gold processing to avoid high brand premiums [15][18]. - The demand for gold remains strong post-Chinese New Year, driven by cultural practices such as weddings and gifting, which keeps retail prices elevated [15][18]. Regulatory Environment - Recent regulatory measures in Shenzhen aim to standardize gold market operations and prevent illegal trading practices, emphasizing the need for transparency and consumer protection [15][16][18]. - The regulations prohibit illegal activities such as unauthorized gold trading and misleading marketing practices, aiming to safeguard consumer interests in the gold market [16][18]. Market Dynamics - The rise in gold prices is influenced by various factors, including geopolitical tensions and changes in U.S. monetary policy, which have led to increased demand for gold as a safe-haven asset [12][13]. - Central banks globally are increasing their gold reserves, with China's central bank having added to its holdings for 14 consecutive months, indicating a structural support for gold prices [13][15]. Investment Strategies - Different investor strategies are emerging in response to high gold prices, with conservative investors favoring bank gold accumulation or gold ETFs for their lower costs and liquidity [18][22]. - Trend traders are focusing on technical analysis and market news, with significant price fluctuations observed in recent months, indicating a volatile trading environment [19][21]. Recovery Market - The gold recovery market operates on a standardized pricing model based solely on purity and weight, with little regard for the original purchase price or brand, reflecting a stark contrast to retail pricing [9][10]. - Consumers are advised to choose reputable recovery channels to avoid scams, with proper verification and monitoring recommended during transactions [21][22].
加图商场股价下跌3.86%,受大盘拖累及基本面疲软影响
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-02-23 17:36
2月23日成交额仅9.92万美元,换手率0.16%,低流动性放大了股价波动。 外部环境方面,智通财经2月23日报道指出,美国关税政策突变(税率上调至15%)引发全球贸易不确 定性,市场风险偏好受到压制。这一宏观冲击对零售等外向型行业影响显著。 公司基本面 根据2025财年数据,加图商场营业收入同比下滑8.23%,净利润为负(-1860.5万美元),资产负债率较 高(66.91%),自由现金流为负值。这些基本面因素可能影响投资者信心。 股价与资金表现 经济观察网 根据2026年2月23日的市场数据,加图商场(CATO.N)股价下跌3.86%至2.99美元,主要受 以下因素影响: 市场环境 当日美股主要指数普遍下跌,道琼斯指数跌1.44%,纳斯达克指数跌1.11%,标普500指数跌0.99%。加 图商场所属的服装零售板块整体下跌1.30%,市场避险情绪升温对个股形成压力。 以上内容基于公开资料整理,不构成投资建议。 ...
伊顿公司股价下跌3.58%,受市场疲软及业绩指引低于预期影响
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-02-23 17:12
业绩经营情况 尽管伊顿2025年第四季度营收达71亿美元(同比增长13%),全年营收274亿美元(同比增长10%), 且调整后每股收益创历史新高,但公司对2026年的业绩展望偏谨慎。其预计2026年第一季度调整后每股 收益为2.65–2.85美元,低于市场普遍预期的3.01美元;全年调整后每股收益指引为13.00–13.50美元,亦 低于市场预期的13.52美元。这一展望引发投资者对短期增长动能的担忧。 来源:经济观察网 经济观察网 根据截至2026年2月23日的公开信息,伊顿公司(ETN.N)股价当日下跌3.58%(收盘价 360.00美元),主要原因可归纳为以下几点: 市场环境 2026年2月23日,美股三大指数集体下跌,道琼斯指数下跌1.49%,纳斯达克指数下跌1.23%。伊顿所属 的商业设备服务板块当日下跌1.15%,市场避险情绪升温,对个股形成拖累。 特朗普政府于2026年2月宣布对全球进口商品加征15%的关税,贸易政策不确定性升温。伊顿作为全球 性工业企业,其供应链和成本结构可能受关税政策冲击,进一步压制市场情绪。 资金面与技术面 2026年2月23日,伊顿成交额达3.92亿美元,量比1.17显示 ...
阿梅雷斯克股价下跌受市场承压及流动性偏低影响
Jing Ji Guan Cha Wang· 2026-02-23 16:52
Industry Overview - On February 23, the stock price of AMRC (Amresk) fell by 2.99%, closing at $32.72, influenced by a collective decline in major U.S. stock indices: Dow Jones down 1.38%, Nasdaq down 1.09%, and S&P 500 down 0.96%. The technology and construction sectors, including Amresk, experienced an overall decline of 0.99%, indicating increased market risk aversion [1] Market Activity - On February 23, the trading volume was only 61,900 shares, with a transaction value of approximately $2.048 million, resulting in a turnover rate of 0.12% and a volume ratio of 0.46, reflecting low trading activity. In a low liquidity environment, small sell orders can significantly amplify price declines [2] Company Fundamentals - For the third quarter of fiscal year 2025, the company reported a year-over-year revenue growth of 5.01%. However, the gross margin was 15.91%, and the net margin was 3.52%. The debt-to-asset ratio reached 75.13%. The current price-to-earnings ratio (TTM) stands at 27.49, which is above the industry average, leading some investors to express concerns over high valuation and financial leverage [3]
黄力晨:中东局势动荡 避险买盘支撑黄金上涨
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-02-23 13:41
新浪合作大平台期货开户 安全快捷有保障 新浪声明:此消息系转载自新浪合作媒体,新浪网登载此文出于传递更多信息之目的,并不意味着赞同 其观点或证实其描述。文章内容仅供参考,不构成投资建议。投资者据此操作,风险自担。 2月23日,上周五我们认为,地缘紧张局势加剧,俄乌谈判无果而终,双方分歧巨大,美伊谈判进展有 限,且爆发战争的风险加大,这让市场避险情绪再度升温,支撑黄金价格反弹,短期技术面也显示,黄 金存在反弹需求,因此操作上建议大家,下方支撑关注5000美元,其次4980美元,上方压力关注5050美 元,其次5100美元。 从之后的走势看,上周五欧盘盘中,黄金回落5007美元企稳反弹,美盘开盘后继续上涨,至5063美元遇 阻,黄金短线跳水,急跌至4990美元企稳,此后金价继续震荡上涨,临近收盘时突破5100美元整数关 口,刷新日高至5107美元;本周一开盘,黄金回踩5102美元继续上涨,刷新本月新高至5176美元遇阻, 目前交投于5153美元。总体来看,黄金回落5000到4980美元支撑区域企稳上涨,基本符合我们的看涨预 期。 Wolfinance星级分析师认为,上周三黄金止跌反弹,此后金价连续震荡回升,至日内 ...
极光股价下跌5.18% 市场情绪与获利了结成主因
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-02-20 16:33
Stock Performance - Aurora's stock price dropped by 5.18% to $7.50 on February 20, 2026, primarily due to multiple negative factors affecting the broader market [1] - The Nasdaq index fell by 0.31%, with the software services sector showing only a slight increase of 0.41%, indicating a rise in market risk aversion [1] Market Conditions - The private credit industry's tightening liquidity and escalating concerns over the US-Iran situation contributed to the overall market downturn [1] - Following a strategic partnership announcement with PAG Pegasus Fund on February 11, which included the issuance of high-premium warrants, Aurora's stock had previously surged by 20.86% from February 5 to 11 [1] Trading Activity - Aurora's total market capitalization is approximately $0.45 billion, categorizing it as a small-cap stock [1] - On February 20, the trading volume was only $5,309, resulting in a turnover rate of 0.01%, which indicates that low liquidity can lead to significant price fluctuations from minimal trading activity [1] Company Fundamentals - Despite achieving a gross margin of 70.16% in Q3 2025 and reporting GAAP net profits for two consecutive quarters, the company's trailing twelve months (TTM) price-to-earnings ratio stands at -100.13, reflecting ongoing market concerns regarding the sustainability of its earnings [1]
杨华曌:市场避险情绪减缓 日内现货黄金价格涨跌走势分析操作建议
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-02-20 14:47
Core Viewpoint - Gold prices remain stable around $5000 as geopolitical tensions in the Middle East increase demand for safe-haven assets due to the U.S. President setting a 10-15 day negotiation deadline with Iran [1][3] Economic Indicators - Upcoming U.S. GDP, PCE, and PMI data are anticipated to influence the Federal Reserve's policy direction, with the market closely monitoring these indicators [1][3] Technical Analysis - The daily chart indicates that gold continues its upward trend, remaining above key moving averages, with an overall bullish structure intact [1][3] - Short-term moving averages are in a bullish arrangement, suggesting strong trend momentum [1][3] - MACD is above the zero line, with momentum bars expanding, while RSI is in the 60-70 range, indicating potential for further upward movement without being in overbought territory [1][3] - Key resistance levels are identified at $5025 and $5050; a breakout above these levels could open new upside potential [1][3] - Support levels are noted at $4970 and $4920 [1][3]