Group 1 - Semiconductor company SMIC (00981) continued its upward trend, reaching HKD 48.75 with a 3.17% increase [1] - Technical indicators show that the stock price has successfully broken through MA10 (HKD 46.23) and MA30 (HKD 43.51), with a MACD golden cross indicating strong short-term upward momentum [1] - The stock price is approaching a key resistance level at HKD 50.4, with potential for a challenge to HKD 53.4 if this level is surpassed [1] Group 2 - Immediate support is identified at HKD 45.2, with a potential drop to HKD 42.5 if this support is breached [1] - The current market activity is robust, with a 9.6% five-day volatility indicating active trading in the semiconductor sector [1] - Derivative tools show significant leverage effects, with notable increases in related warrants and certificates during recent price movements [2][5] Group 3 - For bullish strategies, options such as Guojun call warrant (exercise price HKD 48.05, 2.8x leverage) and HSBC call warrant (exercise price HKD 48, 2.7x leverage) are highlighted as providing solid leverage [5] - Bearish strategies include options like Societe Generale bear certificate (redemption price HKD 52, 12.4x leverage) and Citigroup bear certificate (redemption price HKD 52.4, 11.6x leverage) for risk hedging [8] - The market is observing a potential short-term volatility increase due to conflicting technical indicators, suggesting a cautious approach may be warranted [1]

Core Viewpoint - Semiconductor company SMIC (中芯国际) shows positive technical indicators, with a current stock price of HKD 48.8, reflecting a 0.51% increase. The stock is above its 10-day and 30-day moving averages, indicating a favorable medium-term trend, although it is approaching overbought territory [1]. Technical Analysis - The stock price is currently supported at HKD 45.1, with a potential drop to HKD 42.4 if this support is broken. The key resistance level is at HKD 50.3, and a breakthrough could lead to testing HKD 53.3 [1]. - The MACD indicator shows a golden cross, while the Bollinger Bands indicate an upward trend. However, the RSI is at 68, nearing the overbought zone, suggesting a possible need for consolidation before testing the resistance at HKD 50.3 [1]. - Investors are optimistic about breaking the resistance at HKD 49, with some targeting HKD 53. The overall technical signals are summarized as "buy" [1]. Derivative Instruments - Recent performance of derivative products linked to SMIC shows significant leverage effects. For instance, a specific warrant from Societe Generale increased by 32% following a 3.08% rise in SMIC's stock price [4]. - Various warrants are available in the market, with Citigroup's warrant offering 5.5x leverage at an exercise price of HKD 52.55, and UBS's warrant providing 4.2x leverage at HKD 52.05 [7]. - Bear certificates are also available, with one from Societe Generale offering 12.4x leverage and a redemption price of HKD 52 [10]. Market Sentiment - The current market sentiment indicates active trading, with a 9.6% five-day volatility suggesting robust market engagement. The mixed signals from momentum oscillators indicate potential short-term fluctuations [1]. - Investors are considering whether to wait for a pullback to support levels or to follow through on potential breakouts, reflecting varying risk appetites in the semiconductor sector [13].

上日（21日）港交所（00388）全日收市報 431.2 元，單日上升 0.28%，成交額達 15.02 億元。最新消息顯示，港交所近日宣佈優化港股通交易機制，將進一 步縮短結算周期，預計可提升市場流動性，同時上半年新上市公司數量同比增長15%，帶動手續費收入增長，市場對其業績反應正面。 從技術分析來看，多個技術指標綜合總結信號為「強力買入」，強度高達 16。多條移動平均線同樣呈現「強力買入」信號，顯示中長期走勢相當堅挺。不 過，多個震盪指標信號處於「中立」狀態，RSI 指標值為 69，接近超買區域，部分指標發出賣出信號，反映短期或有獲利回吐壓力。 支持位與阻力位方面，港交所第一支持位在 419 元，更深層次的支持位則在 403 元；阻力位上，首個阻力位為 439 元，更高的阻力位則在 448 元。目前股價 正處於向首個阻力位推進的階段，上升概率為 54%，近 5 日振幅達 2.5%，雖然波動不算特別大，但短線仍有一定投機空間。 回顧之前的產品表現，在 2025 年 7 月 17 日提及的港交所相關窩輪和牛熊證中，花旗認購證（16680）2 日後升幅達 11%，瑞銀認購證（16698）升 8%，法 興牛證（6 ...

Cryptocurrency Exchange Platforms - Bybit is highlighted as a preferred platform for technical analysis [1] - Binance is noted as the largest global exchange, offering a 40% fee reduction [1] - OKX is mentioned as an established platform with commission waivers [1] Resources and Community - Registration and deposit (or reactivation of old accounts) provide a free one-month membership experience [1] - Customer support is available via Discord community (@tiahelper) [1] - Information channels include Twitter (https://x.com/tiabitcoin), a course website (https://www.tiabtc.com), and a Telegram channel (https://t.me/tiaalert) [1] Cryptocurrency and Trading Topics - The content references various cryptocurrencies including Bitcoin, Ethereum, Dogecoin, Solana, ADA, BNB, XRP, DOT, AVAX, LUNA, and UNI [1] - Trading strategies and theories mentioned are technical analysis, Dow Theory, Elliott Wave Theory, Fibonacci, Harmonic Patterns, Natural Trading Theory, Gann Theory [1] - Trading-related terms include "抄底 (buying the dip)", "做多 (going long)", "做空 (going short)", and "套保 (hedging)" [1] Bitcoin-Specific Information - Topics covered include Bitcoin contracts, options, ETFs, analysis, what it is, trends, mining, the 2024 halving, crashes, and news [1] - Mentions of "比特币今日分析 (Bitcoin analysis today)" and "比特币每日分析 (Bitcoin analysis daily)" [1]

Group 1 - The market has shown a strong upward trend, with the index rising from 19,600 to 25,130 points, indicating a "buy" signal with resistance levels at 25,194 and 25,961 points [1] - HSBC Holdings has reached a significant price point of 100 HKD, with a closing price of 99.7 HKD, and a strong buy signal is indicated with resistance levels at 101 HKD and 106 HKD [3] - BYD's stock price closed at 134.2 HKD, breaking through the upper Bollinger Band, with a buy signal and short-term resistance levels at 140 HKD and 144.8 HKD [5] - Zijin Mining has seen a three-day rise, closing above both daily and weekly chart tops, with a strong buy signal and short-term resistance levels at 23.4 HKD and 24.4 HKD [8] - SMIC has a buy signal with resistance levels at 50.4 HKD and 53.4 HKD, as investors anticipate a breakout above 49 HKD [11] - China Shenhua has also shown a strong upward trend, with a buy signal and resistance levels at 36.1 HKD and 37.9 HKD, suggesting investors should consider closer-to-the-money products [14]

匯豐(00005)今日(7月18日)午後延續升勢，截至13:25股價報98.1元，上漲0.46%。從技術面觀察，股價已成功突破所有重要均線，MA10(96.96元)與 MA30(94.68元)形成多頭排列，配合MA60(92.35元)的強力支撐，構築出穩健的上升通道。值得注意的是，RSI指標72已進入超買區域，但2.7%的5日振幅顯 示市場波動相對溫和，投資者情緒保持穩定。 關鍵位分析方面，下方95元構成即時支撐，若失守則可能下探91.7元；上方99元為短期重要心理關口，突破後將挑戰104.7元。技術指標呈現矛盾信號，雖然 MACD和保力加通道維持買入觀點，但動量指標出現頂背離，這種分歧往往預示著短期可能出現技術性調整。當前上升概率為53%，配合溫和放大的成交 量，顯示資金正有序流入這只金融龍頭股。 | 信號總結 | 賣出信號 中立信號 買入信號 | | --- | --- | | 賞) | | 衍生工具表現回顧 在7月16日的市場表現中，匯豐相關衍生工具展現出穩健的槓桿效應。摩通牛證56622和瑞銀牛證56446在正股上漲1.03%的背景下，兩日內均錄得9%的漲 幅，表現最為亮眼；瑞銀認購證13631和中銀 ...

中國神華(01088)今日(7月18日)呈現溫和上漲，截止15點49分，股價報32.25元，漲幅1.25%。從技術面觀察，股價在MA10(31.54元)上方運行，但仍在 MA30(32.71元)和MA60(32.22元)附近徘徊，呈現震盪整理格局。RSI指標53處於中性區域，配合5.3%的5日振幅，顯示市場交投相對謹慎，投資者觀望情緒 濃厚。 關鍵位分析方面，下方31.1元構成即時支撐，若失守則可能下探30.6元；上方33.6元為短期重要阻力，突破後將挑戰34.7元關口。技術指標呈現分歧信號，雖 然MACD發出買入訊號，但動量震盪指標顯示賣出信號，這種矛盾往往預示著市場方向選擇在即。當前上升概率為54%，牛熊力量指標轉為買入，為後市帶 來一線希望。 U.ZYU +U.U10 +1.94% U.JUS +0.020 +6.90% 耳双 TIL 4X 耳双 TLG 成交量 3.00萬股 成交額 9250.00 有效植桿 成交量 688.00萬股 成交額 4.52 街貨比 1 街貨比 1 溢 價 22.72% 引申波幅 48.882 0.40% 溢 價 -- 街貨量 換股價 街貨量 換股價 3.100 換股比率 1 ...

朋友們 2025年7月18日華爾街午盤時間 我們來更新比特幣的行情 這個是比特幣的日線圖 從日線級別來看 我們發現比特幣這幾天都在這邊盤整 那麼為什麼別的幣種都漲的那麼的多 但是比特幣好像要在這邊 有點漲不動的感覺呢 因為在這個地方資金費率是非常的高 表明著說很多人這個時候認為 比特幣既然已經創出了新高 接下來要去到更高的地方 所以他會考慮在這邊去做多 那麼這不是一個很好的決定 那麼就導致這邊車子有那麼一點點重 那麼如果說 沒有把這樣的一些 晚到的多頭給他弄下車 我是覺得要上漲是有一點困難的 可以說甚至很有一點困難好吧 這個是比特幣的日線 我們可以看到的是 在這邊成交量也是比較的多 但是這麼多的成交量 這麼多的陽線買盤 卻把價格打不到更高的地方 那是為什麼呢 我們看到更小的4小時級別 這個是比特幣的4小時級別 那麼昨天的時候它有一個慢慢的往上漲 漲到這樣一個地方 實際上很多人在想說 你原來不是說它會下來的嗎 怎麼還在往上面漲呢 但是昨天這個時候 我發現它其實是在0.618% 0.66%這樣的一個位置 那麼來到這樣一個位置 同時也重疊了什麼呢 你可以看一下 如果說把這個拿掉你會非常的清晰 那麼原先在這邊沖 然後 ...

Core Viewpoint - Tencent Holdings is currently experiencing a tug-of-war around the 500 HKD mark, with the stock price at 507 HKD, indicating a technical stalemate [1] Technical Analysis - The stock is barely above the MA10 at 499.91 HKD but is constrained by the MA30 at 506.84 HKD, showing mixed indicator performance [1] - The overall technical indicators suggest a "sell" signal with a strength of only 9 points, while the bullish-bearish strength indicator shows a "buy" signal [1] - The RSI is at 51, indicating a neutral zone, and a 2.8% five-day volatility reflects a strong market wait-and-see atmosphere [1] Key Support and Resistance Levels - Key support is at 487 HKD, with a strong support zone at 470 HKD; resistance is at 518 HKD, and a breakthrough could challenge 535 HKD [3] - The current probability of an upward movement is 54%, indicating a balance between bullish and bearish forces [3] Product Performance - UBS bull certificate (69944) has performed well, surging 49% in two days with the underlying stock up 1.19%, showcasing high leverage characteristics [3] - HSBC bull certificate (69321) also performed strongly, increasing by 44% [3] - For call options, Bank of China call certificates (13873 and 29579) recorded increases of 16% and 12%, respectively [3] Investment Options - Investors with a bullish outlook can consider Bank of China call certificate 29579, which offers a leverage of 14.8 times with the lowest premium among similar products [6] - For those expecting significant upward movement, Bank of China call certificate 13873 provides a leverage of 17.8 times, although its premium is slightly higher but still reasonable [6] - For investors preferring bull certificates, UBS bull certificate 69944 offers an actual leverage of 18.4 times with a low premium [6] Hedging Options - For cautious investors, Citibank put certificate 15235 offers a leverage of 22.3 times with a relatively low premium, making it a primary choice for bearish outlooks [10] - For expectations of significant downturns, Societe Generale bear certificate 60438 provides a high leverage of 30.6 times with a recovery price set at 522 HKD [10] - UBS bear certificate 61324 also features a leverage of 30.6 times, with a recovery price of 520 HKD, providing a good risk-return ratio [10]

Group 1 - Ctrip's stock price has shown a strong trend, currently at 485.6 HKD, with a recent drop of 0.7% and a 5-day volatility of 7.6%, indicating robust market momentum [1] - The stock has surpassed key moving averages (MA10 at 470.64, MA30 at 472.79, and MA60 at 475.69), with multiple moving averages signaling a "strong buy" [1] - The RSI indicator is at 58, nearing the overbought zone, while MACD and Bollinger Bands continue to provide buy signals, although short-term overbought correction signals are present [1] Group 2 - Recent data indicates support levels at 466 HKD (previous neckline) and 448 HKD (medium-term uptrend line), with potential for capital inflow if the stock retraces to these levels [2] - The primary resistance level is at 503 HKD, and breaking this level could open up a path to 529 HKD, with a 54% probability of upward movement reflecting a slight bullish advantage [2] Group 3 - Ctrip's stock performance has led to significant gains in related leveraged products, with a 2.01% increase in the stock price resulting in a 13% rise in the Morgan Stanley bull certificate and a 12% rise in the UBS bull certificate over two trading days [4] - The stock's strong performance has attracted attention to various call and put options, with notable leverage ratios and strike prices indicating potential trading strategies [7][10] Group 4 - The market is currently observing a bullish sentiment towards Ctrip, with discussions on whether the stock can break through the 503 HKD level during the summer travel peak or if it will consolidate within the 466-503 HKD range [14]