丨证券研究报告丨 [Table_Author] SAC：S0490516080003 SAC：S0490519030001 SAC：S0490517070008 SAC：S0490522090003 SAC：S0490524120007 SFC：BUT918 SFC：BUY139 肖勇 赵超 叶如祯 庄越 韦思宇 公司研究丨点评报告丨新集能源（601918.SH） [Table_Title] 新集能源 2025H1 点评：控本降费缓解价减压 力，业绩底部改善可期 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 公司发布 2025 年半年报：2025 上半年实现归母净利润 9.20 亿元，同比下降 21.7%；单二季 度实现归母净利润 3.89 亿元，同比下降 32.8%，环比下降 26.9%。整体来看，煤炭业务方面， 煤价下行拖累业绩，成本管控&热值提升减缓降幅；电力业务方面，电价下行&度电成本抬升为 电力业绩偏低主因。展望未来，随着旺季电价回升&度电成本有望回归正常化，公司业绩有望底 部改善，长期成长性突出。 分析师及联系人 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 %% %% %% %% research.95579.co ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [4] Core Views - The company is expected to benefit from the integration of coal and electricity sectors, with significant growth potential in the future [5][6][8] - The company's coal production and sales have recovered, although profit margins have been impacted by market conditions [5] - The electricity segment has shown remarkable performance, with substantial increases in power generation and operational capacity [5][6] Financial Performance Summary - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved operating revenue of 5.152 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 27.34%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was a loss of 0.05 billion yuan, down 113.67% year-on-year [1] - The company's cash flow from operating activities was 0.308 billion yuan, up 184.55% year-on-year [1] - For Q2 2025, the company reported a single-quarter operating revenue of 2.670 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 27.35% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 7.58% [2] Coal Production and Sales - The company produced 5.1537 million tons of coal in the first half of 2025, an increase of 15.27% compared to 4.471 million tons in the same period of 2024 [5] - Coal sales reached 5.1011 million tons, a year-on-year increase of 13.32% [5] - The average selling price of coal decreased by 22% year-on-year to 649 yuan per ton [5] Electricity Generation - The company has accelerated the development of its electricity segment, with a total installed capacity of 2.64 million kilowatts from thermal power plants [5] - The total power generation in the first half of 2025 reached 713,117 million kilowatt-hours, a year-on-year increase of 380.01% [5] - The electricity business's gross profit margin increased significantly from approximately 18% in the first half of 2024 to 44% in the first half of 2025 [5] Future Outlook - The company plans to expand its coal production capacity significantly, with existing capacity at 22.2 million tons per year and additional projects under development [5][6] - The company is positioned as a leading player in the Southwest coal market, with substantial potential for asset injections from its parent company [6][8] - Profit forecasts for the company indicate a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.24 billion yuan, 4.36 billion yuan, and 6.17 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [8]

Core Viewpoint - In the first half of 2025, the company reported a decline in both revenue and net profit, indicating challenges in the coal and power generation sectors despite some operational improvements [1][2][3]. Financial Performance - The company achieved operating revenue of 5.811 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 2.91% [1]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 920 million yuan, down 21.72% year-on-year [1]. - The return on equity (ROE) was 5.76%, a decrease of 2.66 percentage points year-on-year [2]. Coal Business - In the first half of 2025, the company saw a 6.2% increase in coal production, reaching 9.94 million tons, and a 3.6% increase in coal sales, totaling 9.43 million tons [3]. - The average coal price was 529 yuan per ton, down 6% year-on-year, while the cost per ton was 327 yuan, a decrease of 3.5% [3]. - The gross profit per ton of coal was 201 yuan, down 10.6%, with a gross profit margin of 38% [3]. Power Generation Business - The company reported a 45% increase in electricity generation, with a total of 6.7 billion kWh produced in the first half of 2025 [5]. - The average on-grid electricity price was 0.3716 yuan per kWh, down 9.7% year-on-year [5]. - In the second quarter of 2025, electricity generation was 3.04 billion kWh, a decrease of 16% quarter-on-quarter but an increase of 41.7% year-on-year [5]. Construction and Development - The company is actively developing its coal-electricity integration strategy, with several power plants under construction, including the Banji Power Plant and the Lixin Wind Power Project [6]. - The Banji Power Plant's second phase is expected to be operational by 2026, contributing to the company's capacity of 7.98 million kW [6]. Future Outlook - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 12.2 billion, 13.4 billion, and 16.1 billion yuan, with net profits expected to be 1.9 billion, 2.2 billion, and 2.7 billion yuan respectively [7]. - The company maintains a "buy" rating, anticipating support from improved coal quality and increased power generation despite current coal price fluctuations [7].

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a decline in revenue and net profit for the first half of 2025, primarily due to falling coal prices and increased operational costs in the coal and electricity sectors [1][2][5]. Group 1: Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved operating revenue of 5.811 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 2.91% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 920 million yuan, down 21.72% year-on-year [1] - The basic earnings per share were 0.36 yuan, reflecting a 20.00% decrease compared to the previous year [1] - For Q2 2025, the operating revenue was 2.901 billion yuan, a decrease of 0.89% year-on-year and 0.29% quarter-on-quarter [1] Group 2: Coal Business Performance - The company's coal production in the first half of 2025 was 9.9372 million tons, an increase of 6.16% year-on-year [2] - The average selling price of coal in the first half of 2025 was 689 yuan per ton, down 21.45% year-on-year [3] - The cost of coal per ton was 327 yuan, a decrease of 3.51% year-on-year [3] - The coal business faced pressure with a selling price of 498 yuan per ton in Q2 2025, down 10.00% year-on-year [4] Group 3: Electricity Business Performance - The electricity generation in the first half of 2025 was 6.666 billion kWh, an increase of 44.60% year-on-year [5] - The average on-grid electricity price was 0.37 yuan per kWh, a decrease of 9.70% year-on-year [5] - The average electricity cost was 0.22 yuan per kWh, significantly down 30.66% year-on-year [5] - The unit gross profit for the electricity business was 0.15 yuan per kWh, a substantial increase of 66.60% year-on-year [5] Group 4: Future Outlook - The company is advancing its coal-electricity integration strategy with new power plants expected to be operational by 2026 [6] - The company aims to counteract the downward pressure on electricity prices through scale expansion and increased electricity generation [6] - Revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 have been adjusted to 12.790 billion, 15.598 billion, and 18.362 billion yuan, respectively [7]

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a decline in net profit and revenue for the first half of 2025, primarily due to falling coal prices and increased operational costs [1][2][4]. Group 1: Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company achieved revenue of 5.81 billion yuan, a decrease of 2.9% year-on-year, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 920 million yuan, down 21.7% year-on-year [1]. - The company's Q2 2025 revenue was 2.9 billion yuan, with a quarter-on-quarter decline of 0.3%, and a net profit of 390 million yuan, down 26.9% quarter-on-quarter [1]. - The adjusted net profit after excluding non-recurring items for H1 2025 was 930 million yuan, a decrease of 17.9% year-on-year [1]. Group 2: Coal Production and Sales - The company's raw coal production in H1 2025 was 11.197 million tons, an increase of 7.9% year-on-year, while Q2 production was 5.657 million tons, up 2.1% quarter-on-quarter [2]. - In H1 2025, the company produced and sold 9.937 million tons and 9.434 million tons of commercial coal, respectively, representing increases of 6.2% and 3.6% year-on-year [2]. - The average selling price of commercial coal in H1 2025 was 528.5 yuan per ton, down 6.3% year-on-year [2]. Group 3: Power Generation - The company’s power generation and grid-connected power generation in H1 2025 were 6.67 billion kWh and 6.28 billion kWh, respectively, reflecting increases of 44.6% and 44.2% year-on-year [3]. - The average grid-connected electricity price in H1 2025 was 0.3716 yuan per kWh, a decrease of 9.7% year-on-year [3]. Group 4: Profit Forecast and Valuation - Due to the decline in coal and electricity prices, the company has revised its profit forecasts for 2025-2026, now expecting net profits of 2 billion yuan, 2.27 billion yuan, and 2.4 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively [4]. - The expected earnings per share (EPS) for 2025-2027 are 0.77 yuan, 0.88 yuan, and 0.93 yuan, with corresponding price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 8.4, 7.4, and 7.0 times [4].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Xinji Energy (601918.SH) [1][6] Core Views - The report highlights that the decline in coal prices and electricity generation prices has negatively impacted the company's performance in the first half of 2025, but there is an expectation for significant improvement in the second half of the year [1][2][3] - The coal sector experienced a drop in prices despite an increase in production, with Q2 coal sales price averaging 477.60 RMB/ton, down 12.58% year-on-year [2][3] - The electricity sector saw a substantial increase in sales volume, with a 44.22% year-on-year growth in electricity generation in the first half of 2025, although there was a 16.75% decline in generation volume quarter-on-quarter in Q2 [3][4] Financial Performance Summary - In H1 2025, Xinji Energy reported operating revenue of 5.811 billion RMB, a decrease of 2.91% year-on-year, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 920 million RMB, down 21.72% year-on-year [1][2] - The company’s coal production in H1 2025 reached 11.1965 million tons, an increase of 7.88% year-on-year, while coal sales volume was 9.4337 million tons, up 3.63% year-on-year [2] - The average coal sales price in H1 2025 was 528.53 RMB/ton, reflecting a decrease of 6.32% year-on-year [2] Future Outlook - The report anticipates that the coal market will see improved supply and demand dynamics in Q3 2025, driven by increased electricity consumption due to rising temperatures and government initiatives to stabilize coal supply [2][3] - The company is expected to benefit from the commissioning of new power plants, which will enhance its electricity generation capacity and profitability in the medium term [4][6] - The projected net profit for 2025-2027 is adjusted to 2.069 billion RMB, 2.592 billion RMB, and 2.615 billion RMB respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 8.06, 6.44, and 6.38 [6]

Core Viewpoint - Huaihe Energy Group's recent response to the Shanghai Stock Exchange's inquiry highlights the necessity of the asset acquisition and its potential benefits in enhancing business scale and asset quality, while also addressing concerns regarding industry competition and related transactions [1][2]. Group 1: Transaction Necessity - The transaction aims to enhance the company's business scale and asset quality, thereby improving core competitiveness and reducing industry competition [2]. - Post-transaction, the company and the target power group will achieve synergies in coal-electricity integration, management, regional influence, and technology application [2]. - Although related transactions will increase, they are deemed commercially reasonable and fair, with no significant adverse impact on competition or independence [2]. Group 2: Power Group Business - The power group operates three thermal power plants and 22 photovoltaic projects, with plans for four additional thermal and five photovoltaic projects [3]. - The group's power generation metrics are competitive compared to regional peers, aligning with energy-saving and carbon reduction policies [3]. - Despite rapid growth in renewable energy capacity, thermal power is expected to maintain high utilization hours, supporting electricity consumption in Anhui province [3]. - The group plans to enhance coal-electricity operations and establish an integrated transition model post-acquisition [3]. - The projected increase in carbon emission rights purchases in 2024 is attributed to prior year allocations, with no significant adverse impact expected on operations [3].

Core Viewpoint - Huaihe Energy Group Co., Ltd. is undergoing a significant acquisition of 89.30% equity in a power group, which is expected to enhance its scale, reduce industry competition, and strengthen its core competitiveness [1] Group 1: Transaction Necessity and Synergy - The transaction is deemed necessary due to significant business synergy, as both the listed company and the target company primarily engage in thermal power generation, which will lead to enhanced operational efficiency [2] - The acquisition will help resolve industry competition issues by incorporating Huaihe Coal Power and Huaihe Electric Power into the listed company, thereby enhancing its core competitiveness [2] - The financial company within the group will provide various supports to the power group and its subsidiaries, aligning with the main business operations [2] Group 2: Business Operations and Competitiveness - The power group operates multiple thermal and photovoltaic power projects, demonstrating competitive advantages in power generation metrics compared to regional peers [3] - Despite rapid growth in renewable energy capacity, thermal power is expected to maintain high utilization hours, indicating low consumption risk for the power group [3] - The acquisition is projected to improve the operational quality of coal power business and facilitate the development of clean energy projects [3] Group 3: Asset Evaluation and Investor Protection - The asset-based valuation method was chosen as it aligns closely with the results from the income approach, which is considered reasonable and in line with industry practices [4] - The performance commitment scope of the transaction is comprehensive and complies with regulatory requirements, which is beneficial for protecting the rights of minority investors [4] - The overall assessment and arrangements related to the acquisition are deemed reasonable and supportive of the long-term development of the listed company [4]

中信证券股份有限公司 关于 上海证券交易所 《关于淮河能源（集团）股份有限公司发行股份 及支付现金购买资产暨关联交易申请的审核问询 函》 之回复报告 之专项核查意见 独立财务顾问 二〇二五年八月 上海证券交易所： 淮河能源（集团）股份有限公司（以下简称"淮河能源"、"上市公司"或 "公司"）于 2025 年 6 月 6 日收到贵所下发的《关于淮河能源（集团）股份有 限公司发行股份及支付现金购买资产暨关联交易申请的审核问询函》（上证上审 （并购重组）[2025]37 号，以下简称"《问询函》"）。中信证券股份有限公司 （以下简称"中信证券"或"独立财务顾问"）作为淮河能源的独立财务顾问， 会同上市公司及其他中介机构根据问询函的相关要求，就问询函所列问题进行 了认真核查和逐项落实，现就问询函相关内容作如下回复说明，并根据问询函 对有关问题进行了进一步说明和披露。 如无特殊说明，本回复中出现的简称均与《重组报告书》中的释义内容相 同。 | 审核问询函所列问题 | 黑体 | | --- | --- | | 审核问询函所列问题的回复 | 宋体 | | 对《重组报告书》的引用 | 宋体 | 本文涉及数字均按照四舍五入保留 ...

北京市金杜律师事务所 关于淮河能源（集团）股份有限公司 发行股份及支付现金购买资产暨关联交易 的补充法律意见书 致：淮河能源（集团）股份有限公司 根据《中华人民共和国公司法》（以下简称《公司法》）、《中华人民共和国 证券法》（以下简称《证券法》）、《上市公司重大资产重组管理办法》（以下简 称《重组办法》）等法律、行政法规、部门规章及其他规范性文件（以下简称法律 法规）的有关规定，北京市金杜律师事务所（以下简称本所）接受委托，担任淮河 能源（集团）股份有限公司（以下简称淮河能源或上市公司）发行股份及支付现金 购买淮南矿业（集团）有限责任公司（以下简称淮南矿业）持有的淮河能源电力集 团有限责任公司（以下简称电力集团或标的公司）89.30%股权暨关联交易项目（以 下简称本次交易或本次重组）的专项法律顾问。 本所已出具《北京市金杜律师事务所关于淮河能源（集团）股份有限公司发行 股份及支付现金购买资产暨关联交易的法律意见书》（以下简称《法律意见书》）。 现本所根据上海证券交易所（以下简称上交所）《关于淮河能源（集团）股份有限 公司发行股份及支付现金购买资产暨关联交易申请的审核问询函》（上证上审（并 购重组）[2025] ...