Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the implementation of a capacity pricing mechanism for power generation in Gansu Province, which aims to enhance the economic viability of coal power and energy storage systems while promoting marketization in the electricity sector [3][4][5]. Summary by Sections Capacity Pricing Mechanism - The Gansu Provincial Development and Reform Commission released a draft notification outlining the capacity pricing standards and implementation scope, focusing on compliant coal power units and new energy storage systems [3][4]. - The initial capacity price for coal power units and energy storage is set at 330 yuan per kilowatt per year for a duration of two years, with adjustments based on market conditions thereafter [4]. Market Pricing Boundaries - The notification establishes price boundaries for the spot market, with a lower limit of 0.04 yuan per kilowatt-hour and an upper limit of 0.5 yuan per kilowatt-hour for bidding prices, while the clearing price limits are set at 0.04 yuan and 1 yuan per kilowatt-hour respectively [4]. Economic Impact on Coal Power - With the increase in capacity subsidies to 330 yuan per kilowatt per year, the compensation for coal power in Gansu is projected to rise to 0.080 yuan per kilowatt-hour, an increase of 0.056 yuan compared to the previous subsidy level [5]. - The article suggests that the profitability of coal power generation will not be overly concerning due to its regulatory capabilities amidst the rise of renewable energy installations [5]. Enhancement of Energy Storage Viability - The implementation of this notification is expected to significantly improve the economic feasibility of energy storage stations, with broader application and stronger compensation measures compared to previous policies in other provinces [6]. - Gansu's status as a major renewable energy province adds to the significance of this policy, potentially serving as a model for other regions [6].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the power equipment and renewable energy sector, indicating an expected investment return exceeding 15% over the next 6-12 months compared to the market benchmark index [5][8]. Core Insights - The Gansu Province's recent proposal to establish a capacity price mechanism for power generation aims to ensure the profitability of regulating power sources, particularly coal-fired power plants and new energy storage systems [1][2]. - The capacity price is set at 330 RMB per kilowatt per year for a two-year period, which is a significant increase from the previous level of 100 RMB per kilowatt per year, enhancing the economic viability of energy storage projects [2][3]. - The report highlights that the implementation of this capacity price mechanism will benefit the entire coal-fired power sector across the country, especially in regions with high wind and solar installations [3]. Summary by Sections Section 1: Capacity Price Mechanism - Gansu's capacity price standard includes compliance for operational public coal power units and grid-side new energy storage, excluding direct current supporting power sources [1]. - The capacity fee calculation is based on declared capacity multiplied by the capacity price and a supply-demand coefficient [1]. Section 2: Market Dynamics - The report notes that the establishment of a capacity market is a step towards marketization in the power sector, transitioning the business model from generation to providing ancillary services, which could lead to valuation increases [2]. - The average settlement price in the real-time market from January to May ranged from 0.211 to 0.349 RMB per kilowatt-hour, with set price boundaries for market transactions [1]. Section 3: Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies such as Gansu Energy, Guotou Power, and Baoneng New Energy in the coal power sector, and companies like Haibo Sichuang and Shenghong Co. in the energy storage sector, which are positioned to benefit from the new policies [3].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the thermal power sector, indicating a potential improvement in performance due to market-oriented electricity pricing and a long-term favorable profitability trend [2][5]. Core Insights - In April-May 2025, the power and heating industry achieved a pre-tax profit of RMB 114.8 billion, representing a year-on-year increase of 6.6% [5]. - The report anticipates that the second half of 2025 may end the trend of declines seen in the power sector over the past two years, with thermal power expected to benefit from a narrowing electricity price decline and a larger drop in coal prices [2][5]. - The performance of hydropower companies may diverge slightly due to water inflow shortages, while new energy installations are expected to increase significantly [5]. Summary by Sections Thermal Power - The average electricity price in Guangdong for Q2 2025 was RMB 0.374/kWh, down RMB 0.046/kWh year-on-year, while the average coal price was RMB 633/ton, down RMB 214/ton year-on-year [2][5]. - National electricity generation for April and May was 449.1 billion kWh and 461.5 billion kWh, respectively, with thermal power growth returning to positive in May [2][5]. Hydropower - The Three Gorges outflow and inflow were 1.2 and 1.0 million cubic meters per second, down 12.6% and 17.1% year-on-year, respectively [2][5]. - National hydropower generation for April and May was 78.6 billion kWh and 99.1 billion kWh, down 6.5% and 14.3% year-on-year [2][5]. New Energy - New installations for wind and solar power reached 32.12 million kW and 138.13 million kW, respectively, representing year-on-year increases of 277.2% and 1072.0% [2][5]. - Wind power utilization hours were 374 hours, down 6 hours year-on-year, while solar power utilization hours were 234 hours, down 37 hours year-on-year [2][5]. Nuclear Power - In April 2025, the State Council approved 10 new nuclear units, maintaining a normalized approval process [2][5]. - Nuclear power generation for Q2 2025 was 50.4 billion kWh, up 10.8% year-on-year, primarily due to a low maintenance base in the previous year [2][5].

Group 1 - The concept of "green electricity direct supply" is gaining attention in China, aiming to address specific issues within the context of power policy adjustments [1][6] - The emergence of direct supply models reflects the industry's urgent need for a more flexible electricity supply mechanism, requiring close cooperation between major electricity consumers and green electricity suppliers [1][4] - Direct supply of electricity is not a new phenomenon, as self-built power plants have been common in energy-intensive industries like electrolytic aluminum, providing cheaper electricity and showcasing market competitiveness [1][3] Group 2 - Understanding green electricity direct supply requires knowledge of China's complex power grid, dominated by state-owned enterprises across various energy types, including coal, hydro, nuclear, and renewables [3][6] - The electricity market in China faces monopolistic issues, with limited user choice due to strict control by grid companies, making the direct supply model a potential solution to promote market openness and competition [3][6] - The core challenge of green electricity direct supply lies in addressing the instability of green electricity supply due to the intermittent nature of solar and wind energy, necessitating advancements in storage technology [4][6] Group 3 - The National Development and Reform Commission and the National Energy Administration have issued guidelines to promote green electricity direct supply, providing institutional support for renewable energy consumption and user-side energy structure transformation [6] - Green electricity direct supply is seen as an effective way to tackle issues of electricity surplus and saturation of green electricity supply, offering stable supply to excellent electricity consumers and new market opportunities for suppliers [6] - Despite challenges, the gradual improvement of policies and continuous technological innovation may position green electricity direct supply as a key direction for reform in China's electricity market [6]

Investment Rating - The report rates the industry as "Outperform" [1] Core Insights - The power sector is experiencing low attention, with thermal power growth turning positive in May, indicating a potential for long-term opportunities [1][4] - The report highlights that the thermal power sector is expected to maintain high growth rates despite low valuations, suggesting that it remains promising even if short-term declines occur due to coal price rebounds [4] Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The power sector has seen adjustments recently, with specific companies showing varied performance: Huaneng Power International +1.1%, Huadian Power International -2.9%, China Yangtze Power -0.7%, and China Longyuan Power Group H -0.9% during the week of June 16-20 [4] - The electricity price in Jiangsu for June was set at 313 RMB/MWh, reflecting a year-over-year decrease of 23.7% [4] Power Generation Data - In May, the national industrial power generation was 737.8 billion kWh, a year-over-year increase of 0.5%, while the social electricity consumption grew by 4.4% [5] - The year-over-year changes for different power sources in May were as follows: thermal power +1.2%, hydropower -14.3%, nuclear power +6.7%, wind power +11.0%, and photovoltaic +7.3% [5] Emergency Dispatch Pricing - The emergency dispatch pricing structure allocates 80% of net income to users in the exporting province and 20% to power plants, with losses borne entirely by users in the importing province [6] Regional Developments - The Xinjiang Tianshan Gobi wind and solar base, with a total capacity of 14.2 million kW, is expected to transmit 36 billion kWh annually to Chongqing, meeting nearly a quarter of its electricity demand [7] - Shandong province is promoting electric vehicle storage solutions to manage peak demand, with recent pilot programs showing significant participation and energy discharge [8]

证券研究报告 | 行业周报 gszqdatemark 2025 06 22 年 月 日 电力 火电出力由降转增，1-5 月绿电交易电量增长近 50% 本周行情回顾：本周（6.16-6.20）上证指数报收 3359.90 点，下跌 0.51%，沪深 300 指数 报收 3846.64 点，下跌 0.45%。中信电力及公用事业指数报收 2913.94 点，下跌 1.14%， 跑输沪深 300 指数 0.68pct，位列 30 个中信一级板块涨跌幅榜第 11 位。 本周行业观点： ➢ 5 月火电发电增速由负转正，水电降幅扩大。根据国家统计局发布数据，5 月份全国 规上发电量 7378 亿千瓦时，同比增长 0.5%，增速比 4 月份放缓 0.4pct；日均发电 238.0 亿千瓦时。1—5 月份，工业发电量 37266 亿千瓦时，同比增长 0.3%，扣除天 数原因，日均发电量同比增长 1.0%。 分品种看，5 月单月，规上工业火电由降转增，水电降幅扩大，核电、风电、太阳能 发电增速放缓。其中，规上工业火电同比增长 1.2%，4 月份为下降 2.3%；规上工业 水电下降 14.3%，降幅比 4 月份扩大 7.8 个百分 ...

绿色电力消费电量也在持续增长。2025年1~5月，中国绿电交易电量达到2209.45亿千瓦时，同比 增长49.2%。2024年，全国绿电交易总量突破2300亿千瓦时，达到2349亿千瓦时，同比增长 237.9%，有效满足了经济社会绿色电力消费需求，能源低碳转型的活力充分释放。 中国电力企业联合会常务副理事长杨昆表示，加快全国统一电力市场建设，常态化开展跨省跨区绿 电交易，进一步推动了电力资源在全国范围的优化配置。今年6月，北京电力交易中心、广州电力 交易中心、内蒙古电力交易公司联合组织蒙西、甘肃等地区送广东跨经营区绿电交易，首次实现跨 三个经营区绿电交易的历史性突破。 与此同时，多元主体有序参与的市场格局已基本形成，持续激发电力市场内生动力。目前中国电力 经营主体已经突破80万家，较2016年增长了近20倍，售电公司达到4000余家，超60万家零售用 户通过零售市场购电，电力市场活跃程度大幅提高，独立储能、虚拟电厂、负荷聚合商等新型主体 蓬勃发展，多元主体友好互动的新型商业模式不断涌现。 （廖睿灵） 前5月绿电交易量超过2200亿千瓦时 同比增长近50% 记者从18日举办的2025年电力市场发展论坛上获悉，今 ...

股票研究/[Table_Date] 2025.06.19 [Table_Invest] 评级： 增持 股 票 研 究 全球局势不稳，国内稳定溢价 [Table_Industry] 公用事业 [table_Authors] 吴杰(分析师) 021-38676666 登记编号 S0880525040109 本报告导读： 近期南方梅雨开始，预计水电出力或增加，下周水电或受益，可以关注。 投资要点： 行 业 双 周 报 证 券 研 究 报 告 请务必阅读正文之后的免责条款部分 [Table_Summary] 梅雨到来，需求增加，水电火电皆可看好。如我们上周所说"5 月 长源电力和龙源电力的发电数据均较前 5 月好转，近期南方梅雨或 开始，预计水电出力或增加，夏季的火电和煤炭需求仍需观察"。截 止 6 月 13 日 Q2 现货电价广东同比-1.4%，山东山西-15/-14%，预计 是广东梅雨用电需求大增。 要求分布式光伏自用高比例，实质是将消纳责任"内部化"：（1）浙 江、安徽、江苏、广东等地明确年自发自用电量占发电量的比例暂 不强制要求；山西、辽宁、山东、广西、海南等省（区）余电上网 模式的年自发自用比例需 50%以 ...

证券研究报告 | 行业周报 gszqdatemark 2025 06 15 年 月 日 电力 跨省跨区电力应急调度新规出台，" 疆电入渝"首批电源项目投产 本周行情回顾：本周（6.9-6.13）上证指数报收 3377.00 点，下跌 0.25%，沪深 300 指数报收 3864.18 点，下跌 0.25%。中信电力及公用事业指数报收 2947.49 点，上涨 0.29%，跑赢沪深 300 指数 0.54pct，位列 30 个中信一级板块涨跌幅榜 第 10 位。 本周行业观点： ➢ 跨省跨区电力应急调度新规出台，优先市场化，应急保供托底。6 月 13 日， 国家发改委发布公告，就《跨省跨区电力应急调度管理办法（征求意见稿）》 向社会公开征求意见。提出当电力运行中存在安全风险、电力电量平衡缺口 时，优先通过跨省跨区电力中长期交易、现货交易等市场化手段配置资源和 形成价格。当市场化手段不能完全解决问题时，电力调度机构方可在日前、 日内阶段组织实施应急调度。 应急调度电价结算规则： 投资建议：迎峰度夏已至，煤价持续下降，建议关注季度业绩具备弹性的火电板 块。随着电力市场化不断加深，辅助服务需求有望进一步提升，建议重视 ...

Summary of Langxin Group Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Langxin Group - **Industry**: Energy and Electric Power Key Points and Arguments Business Growth and Strategy - Langxin Group's mature businesses, such as grid digitalization and utility payment platforms, are experiencing stable growth, benefiting from the construction of new power systems and electricity market reforms [2][3] - The aggregation charging business is entering a high-quality development phase, with expectations to reach 48 million platform users and 17 billion kWh of charging volume by 2027, and profitability anticipated next year [2][4] - The company is actively positioning itself in electricity market transactions, aiming for an annual transaction volume exceeding 100 billion kWh by 2027, with platform-based trading becoming a primary growth engine [2][5] Energy Internet Platform - Langxin Group's energy internet platform connects a vast number of users and power assets, accumulating over 500 million meter data users, providing a foundation for electricity trading [2][6] - The company focuses on private car charging needs and utilizes financial empowerment to support the expansion of public charging networks, enhancing urban network share [2][7] Market Opportunities and Challenges - The entry of new energy into the market and price fluctuations will impact small and micro enterprises, with the company’s platform offering electricity sales services at more favorable prices [2][10] - The company has three core advantages in platform-based electronic trading: scene advantage, data advantage, and AI model capability, enhancing trading competitiveness [2][11] Future Projections - By 2027, the company expects to achieve a charging volume of 17 billion kWh and 48 million platform users, with current platform users at 22 million and 1.9 million charging piles connected [2][4] - The company aims to increase its annual electricity trading volume from 6 billion kWh in 2025 to 100 billion kWh by 2027, with a growth rate of approximately 3 to 4 times per year [12][21] Digitalization and Innovation - Langxin Group has established a solid digital foundation through partnerships, accumulating data from over 3000 charging pile operators and 190,000 charging piles [15] - The company is exploring blockchain technology for asset tokenization, enhancing transparency and security in transactions [13][14] Collaboration and Ecosystem Development - The collaboration with Ant Group focuses on enhancing the energy internet strategy, targeting private car charging markets and creating shared value through ecosystem synergies [27] - The company is also working with BYD on fast charging projects and expanding financial services for charging pile expansion needs [29] Risk Management and Financial Services - The company employs risk management strategies by leveraging the dispersed nature of small and micro enterprises, reducing risks associated with large clients [28] - Innovative financial services are being developed to support the growth of new energy assets, with a focus on expanding market opportunities [29] Conclusion - Langxin Group is strategically positioned to capitalize on the growing electricity market and the transition to new energy systems, with a robust plan for growth, digitalization, and innovation in the energy sector [18][26]