Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the trend of "anti-involution" in various industries as reflected in the capital expenditure to depreciation ratio, indicating a shift towards more conservative investment strategies in response to market conditions [1]. Group 1: Lithium Battery Industry - The lithium battery industry has seen a significant reduction in the capital expenditure to depreciation ratio, dropping from 5.17 in 2022 to 2.37 in 2023, and further to a historical low of 1.77 in 2024, indicating a controlled expansion of capacity [1][2]. - In Q1 2025, major companies like CATL reported a 6.19% revenue growth, while EVE Energy experienced a 37.34% increase, confirming the industry's recovery [2]. Group 2: Silicon Material and Wafer Industry - The silicon material and wafer industry has drastically reduced its capital expenditure to depreciation ratio from 4.1 in 2023 to 1.94 in 2024, marking a historical low due to significant losses [4][5]. - Leading company Tongwei Co. reported an 18.58% revenue decline in Q1 2025, with a negative gross margin of -2.88%, indicating ongoing challenges in the industry [5]. Group 3: Special Steel Industry - The special steel industry saw its capital expenditure to depreciation ratio decrease from 0.93 in 2023 to 0.57 in 2024, suggesting a contraction in capacity but still maintaining profitability among major players [7]. - In 2024, China imported 2.555 million tons of special steel, valued at $5.248 billion, highlighting ongoing demand in high-end steel products [7]. Group 4: Organic Silicon Industry - The organic silicon industry experienced a decline in its capital expenditure to depreciation ratio from 6.98 in 2023 to 1.76 in 2024, indicating a slowdown in capacity expansion [10]. - In Q1 2025, leading company Hoshine Silicon reported a gross margin drop to 14.62%, the lowest in its history, reflecting the industry's ongoing struggles [10]. Group 5: Titanium Dioxide Industry - The titanium dioxide industry faced low prices in 2024, with a capital expenditure to depreciation ratio of 0.78, indicating a contraction in capacity [12]. - Leading company Longbai Group showed signs of stabilization in Q1 2025, with a slight recovery in gross margin, although demand remains uncertain due to external factors [12]. Group 6: Coking Industry - The coking industry is experiencing significant challenges, with a capital expenditure to depreciation ratio of 1.18 in 2024, despite being at a historical low price point [16]. - Leading company Shanxi Coking has reported negative gross margins for ten consecutive quarters, indicating persistent difficulties in the sector [16]. Group 7: Glass Fiber Industry - The glass fiber industry reported a capital expenditure to depreciation ratio of 1.45 in 2024, down from 2.3 in the previous year, suggesting a nearing of historical lows [17]. - Major player China Jushi saw a substantial increase in revenue and net profit in Q1 2025, indicating a clear recovery trend [17]. Group 8: Inorganic Salt Industry - The inorganic salt industry faced continuous price declines, with a capital expenditure to depreciation ratio of 1.06 in 2024, indicating a contraction in capacity [21]. - Leading company Sinochem International reported a gross margin of 9.48% in Q1 2025, the lowest since its listing, reflecting ongoing challenges [21]. Group 9: Inverter Industry - The inverter industry has seen a significant drop in its capital expenditure to depreciation ratio from previous years, now at 4.43 in 2024, indicating a slowdown in expansion [23]. - The industry is experiencing a divergence, with leading companies like Sungrow continuing to perform well, while smaller firms face losses [23].

Group 1 - The company achieved a revenue of 645 million yuan in 2024, representing an 18.65% year-on-year increase, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 124 million yuan, down 19.38% [1] - In Q4 2024, the company reported a single-quarter revenue of 182 million yuan, up 38.50%, and a net profit of 40.34 million yuan, an increase of 58.63% [1] - For Q1 2025, the revenue was 186 million yuan, reflecting a 27.73% increase, with a net profit of 40.58 million yuan, up 32.31% [1] Group 2 - After excluding the impact of COVID-19, the company's revenue for 2024 was 620 million yuan, a 24% increase, with domestic revenue at 216 million yuan (+16.8%) and international revenue at 429 million yuan (+19.6%) [2] - The company maintained a gross margin above 90%, with a sales expense ratio of 32.1% (+1.3 percentage points) due to increased overseas market expansion and a research and development expense ratio of 25.63% (+2.7 percentage points) [2] - In Q1 2025, the company expects to see the benefits of scale, with a total expense ratio of 62.7% (-1.0 percentage points) and a sales expense ratio of 28.7% (-3.7 percentage points) [2] Group 3 - The company is enhancing its product diversity, with over 5,000 products available in 2024, and has successfully developed nearly 50 GMP-grade products [3] - The overseas business grew by 25% in 2024, accounting for 66% of total revenue, with the establishment of multiple overseas subsidiaries and four global warehousing centers [3] - The company plans to further develop overseas production bases to improve global supply chain resilience, anticipating significant growth potential in international markets [3] Group 4 - Revenue forecasts for 2025-2026 have been adjusted to 801 million yuan and 970 million yuan, respectively, while net profit estimates have been revised down to 161 million yuan and 216 million yuan [4] - The company is projected to achieve revenues and net profits of 1.159 billion yuan and 264 million yuan by 2027, with current stock prices reflecting P/E ratios of 36, 27, and 22 for 2025-2027 [4]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 12.64 CNY [5][2] Core Views - The industry is at a bottom and is expected to recover, with the company showing resilience despite recent challenges [1][10] - The company has adjusted its earnings per share (EPS) forecast for 2025 to 0.31 CNY, down from the previous estimate of 1.02 CNY, with projections for 2026 and 2027 at 0.39 CNY and 0.49 CNY respectively [2] - The report highlights the company's ongoing development projects, including new production facilities that are expected to drive future growth [10] Financial Summary - Revenue for 2023 is reported at 325,112 million CNY, with a projected increase to 326,475 million CNY in 2024, and further growth to 355,946 million CNY in 2025 [4] - The company's net profit attributable to the parent company is forecasted to decline from 1,158 million CNY in 2023 to 724 million CNY in 2024, before rebounding to 3,131 million CNY in 2025 [4] - The gross margin is expected to improve from 11.5% in 2023 to 12.9% in 2025, while the net margin is projected to rise from 0.4% to 0.9% over the same period [4] - The report indicates a significant increase in operating profit from 1,560 million CNY in 2023 to 9,141 million CNY in 2025, reflecting a growth rate of 356.1% [4]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 12.64 CNY, based on historical valuation methods and adjusted earnings forecasts [2][5]. Core Insights - The industry is at a bottom and is expected to recover, with the company showing resilience despite a challenging environment [1][10]. - The company’s earnings per share (EPS) forecast for 2025 has been adjusted to 0.31 CNY, down from a previous estimate of 1.02 CNY, with projections for 2026 and 2027 set at 0.39 CNY and 0.49 CNY respectively [2]. - The report highlights the impact of fluctuating oil prices and the company's strategic projects aimed at enhancing profitability and market position [10]. Financial Performance Summary - **Revenue Forecast**: The company is projected to achieve revenues of 326,475 million CNY in 2024, with a slight growth of 0.4% year-on-year, and is expected to reach 355,946 million CNY in 2025, reflecting a 9.0% increase [4]. - **Net Profit**: The net profit attributable to the parent company is forecasted to decline to 724 million CNY in 2024, a decrease of 37.4%, but is expected to rebound significantly to 3,131 million CNY in 2025, marking a growth of 332.1% [4]. - **Profit Margins**: The gross margin is expected to improve from 11.5% in 2024 to 14.0% by 2027, indicating a positive trend in profitability [4]. - **Return on Equity (ROE)**: The ROE is projected to increase from 1.6% in 2024 to 8.9% by 2027, reflecting improved efficiency and profitability [4]. Industry Outlook - The refining industry is anticipated to see a recovery due to regulatory changes and improved operational efficiencies, particularly in the domestic market [10]. - The company is actively pursuing strategic projects in new materials and refining, which are expected to drive future growth and enhance its competitive edge [10].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company has achieved a significant breakthrough in its globalization efforts, with high-end models signed in nearly 300 units across over 40 countries [7] - The domestic market share has further increased despite an overall slowdown in the industry, with a strong product mix enhancing competitive advantages [7] - The company's revenue for 2024 is projected to be 10.3 billion yuan, a decrease of 9.73% year-on-year, while the net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to be 1.262 billion yuan, down 36.08% year-on-year [7] - The first quarter of 2025 shows signs of recovery, with a revenue of 2.478 billion yuan, an increase of 5.42% year-on-year, and a net profit of 370 million yuan, up 1.87% year-on-year [7] - The company maintains a strong competitive position with high product barriers and is expected to benefit from a recovery in the domestic industry [7] Financial Summary - Total revenue for 2023 is 11.411 billion yuan, with a projected decline to 10.3 billion yuan in 2024, followed by a recovery to 11.599 billion yuan in 2025 [1][8] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is forecasted to decrease from 1.974 billion yuan in 2023 to 1.262 billion yuan in 2024, before increasing to 1.587 billion yuan in 2025 [1][8] - The earnings per share (EPS) is expected to decline from 2.40 yuan in 2023 to 1.53 yuan in 2024, with a recovery to 1.93 yuan in 2025 [1][8] - The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is projected to be 86.80 for 2024, decreasing to 69.03 in 2025 and further to 51.20 in 2026 [1][8]

如果您希望可以时常见面，欢迎标星收藏哦~ 来源：内容编译自彭博 ，谢谢。 由于工业和汽车零部件需求改善，最大的模拟半导体制造商德州仪器公司对当前时期的预测好于预 期。 该公司周三在一份声明中表示，第二季度营收预计在41.7亿美元至45.3亿美元之间。这一数字远超 华尔街平均预期的41.2亿美元，推动其股价在尾盘交易中上涨约5%。 这份报告是科技行业首批财报之一，对芯片行业来说是一个利好消息。德州仪器拥有半导体领域最 广泛的产品线和最大的客户群，这使得其盈利状况成为衡量从工厂设备到家用电子产品等所有产品 需求信心的指标。 这家总部位于达拉斯的公司正努力摆脱其主要行业（尤其是汽车和工业市场）需求下滑的影响。该 公司还在努力维持来自中国客户的销售额，中国客户在第一季度贡献了约20%的收入。德州仪器面 临来自美国和中国的关税威胁，这给这家芯片制造商带来了难题。 该公司在美国境外拥有四家工厂，其中一家位于中国。由于正在将生产转移到德克萨斯州总部附近 的全新、更大的工厂，这些工厂的产能一直不足。但首席财务官拉斐尔·利扎尔迪表示，该国际网 络现在可以"快速扩张"。他表示，在一个地区生产的芯片可以轻松地在其他地区进行测试和封 ...

业绩简评 2025 年 4 月 21 日，公司发布 2024 年年报及 2025 年一季报。2024 全年公司实现营业收入 91.98 亿元，同比+45.94%；实现归母净利 润 12.73 亿元，同比+1.36%；2025 年一季度实现营业收入 15.34 亿元，同比-21.90%，实现归母净利润 1.41 亿元，同比-57.56%， 业绩略低于预期 经营分析 行业阶段性供需失衡局面下盈利短期承压，多方面布局助力穿越 周期：截至 2024 年 12 月 31 日，公司在手订单 118.31 亿元（含 税），同比-10.4%；新签订单 101.49 亿元（含税），同比-22.5%； 25Q1 在手订单 112.71 亿元，同比-21.5%，主要系行业大面积亏损 导致下游客户扩产放缓。公司 2024 年减值共计 6.2 亿元，其中资 产减值 4.2 亿元，大部分来源于存货减值，公司出于审慎的原则， 对合同履约成本减值损失计提。同样由于行业景气度低迷，光伏各 产品毛利率均有小幅下降。然而从年报披露中，我们可以看到公司 多方面布局，充分做好穿越行业周期的准备：研发方面，公司 2024 年研发费用率 4.3 亿元，同 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the strong performance of leading electric vehicle manufacturers in February, indicating a positive trend in the electric vehicle industry despite ongoing cyclical adjustments and price pressures [1][4]. Group 1: Sales Performance - In February, major electric vehicle manufacturers reported significant sales figures, with BYD selling 322,846 units (up 161.4% year-on-year, up 8.9% month-on-month), Xpeng delivering 30,453 units (up 570% year-on-year, up 0.3% month-on-month), Li Auto with 26,263 units (up 29.7% year-on-year, down 12.2% month-on-month), Leap Motor at 25,287 units (up 285.1% year-on-year, up 0.5% month-on-month), and Aion with 20,863 units (up 25.1% year-on-year, up 45% month-on-month) [2]. - The overall sales growth in January and February is notable, contrasting with previous years where the electric vehicle industry typically underperformed during this period due to the Spring Festival and market off-season [2]. Group 2: Industry Dynamics - The market is showing a clear trend of differentiation, with leading companies maintaining their strong positions. The growth in the electric vehicle industry is increasingly favoring top-tier companies, which have shown more robust performance during both industry pressures and recoveries [3]. - The strong sales in the downstream automotive market are positively impacting the upstream battery and materials sectors, leading to an upward revision in production and shipment forecasts for battery and material manufacturers [3]. Group 3: Price and Competitive Landscape - Despite the positive sales trends, the industry has not fully escaped the cyclical adjustment challenges, with limited room for price increases in the supply chain. Some equipment manufacturers are still facing significant pricing pressures in competitive bidding [5]. - The ongoing price war in the industry is creating difficulties for companies, particularly smaller lithium battery firms, leading to challenges in profitability and operational efficiency. The article suggests that technological and product strengths are essential for companies to escape low-end and homogeneous competition [5].