当地时间5月13日，美国商务部工业和安全局(BIS)宣布，启动撤销拜登政府的《人工智能扩散规则》 (Intelligence Diffusion Rule)，同时宣布采取额外的措施加强全球半导体出口管制。今年1月13日，在卸 任前一周，拜登发布了名为《人工智能扩散规则》的规定，首次将限制范围扩展至全球。该规则根据不 同标准将全球划分为三个层级(Tier1、Tier2、Tier3)，其中Tier1包括17个国家及中国台湾地区，可获得 无限制的芯片；Tier2约120个国家，获得芯片数量受到限制；Tier3包括中国大陆(含港澳)、伊朗、俄罗 斯和朝鲜等国，被完全禁止进口美国的先进AI芯片。该规则原定于2025年5月15日生效。(证券时报) ...

国芯网[原:中国半导体论坛] 振兴国产半导体产业！ 不拘中国、 放眼世界 ！ 关注 世界半导体论坛 ↓ ↓ ↓ 5 月 14 日消息，今天早些时候美国商务部出台了新规，其中就包含封锁华为昇腾 AI 芯片。 美国商务部发布的指导意见中指出，在世界任何地方使用华为昇腾芯片违反了美国的出口管制。 现在上述新规的一些细节也被披露，细则中要求使用华为昇腾 910B、910C 和 910D 等中国先进计算芯片的 企业，可能违反美国出口管制规定，并有可能受到美国商务部的处罚。 ***************END*************** 半导体公众号推荐 半导体论坛百万微信群 加群步骤： 第一步：扫描下方二维码，关注国芯网微信公众号。 美国商务部下属的工业与安全局（BIS）管控的芯片为先进的高算力的芯片，包括三类： 1、" 总处理性能 "（TPP）大于等于 4800TOPS，或总处理性能大于等于 1600TOPS 并且性能密度 ( performance density ) 达到 5.92 及以上的芯片。性能密度是指总处理性能除以适用的芯片单元 ( DIE ) 的面 积； 2、总处理性能在 2400TOPS 至 48 ...

特朗普政府的新规大框架既不符合技术逻辑，也在破坏市场规则，细则未出的情况下，中国产业界其实已经具备极限 思维 文｜《财经》研究员 吴俊宇 编辑｜谢丽容 美国东部时间5月13日，美国商务部宣布撤掉拜登政府遗留的《人工智能扩散暂行最终规则》（Interim Final Rule on Artificial Intelligence Diffusion，下称"最终规则"），并同时宣布采取额外措施加强全球芯片出口管制。 "最终规则"在拜登政府卸任前最后一周的2025年1月13日出台，原计划5月15日执行。曾有多位中国科技企业人士对 《财经》表示，一旦通过，这将是有史以来最严格的出口管制规则（文章详见）。 "最终规则"被认为是覆盖全球市场的AI芯片出口管制。因为其中最突出的一项内容是，把全球市场划分为三个等级。 英国、法国、日本、中国台湾地区等18个盟友和合作伙伴属于第一等级，AI芯片采购不受限制；新加坡、以色列、墨 西哥、巴西等其他120多个国家或地区是第二等级，AI芯片采购受限制，甚至每个季度都严格规定了采购量；中国、 俄罗斯、伊朗、朝鲜属于第三等级，无法获得先进AI芯片。 美国商务部工业安全局主导了先进AI芯片的 ...

稀土（资料图） 4月初，特朗普无视国际社会的强烈反对，一意孤行地签署所谓"对等关税"行政令，4月9号该措施正式落地。为了应对特朗普的所谓"对等关税"，我国在4月 4号直接"祭出"7记"重拳"反制美国，其中就包括对钐、钆、铽、镝、镥、钪、钇等7类中重稀土相关物项实施出口管制。而这已经不是我国第一次为反制美 国，对稀土以及稀有金属进行出口管制，在这之前，我国就曾对钨、碲、铋、钼、铟相关物项实施了出口管制。 而中国的这招反制直击美国七寸，因为中国目前就是全球最大的稀土生产和储量国。按照美国地质调查局公布的报告：截至2023年底中国稀土储量高达4400 万吨，占全球总量的40%左右。中国稀土年产量达到了24万吨，占全球总产量的65%以上。并且中国的精炼稀土产能也位于全球第一。所以自从中国开始加 强稀土出口管制后，全球稀土价格迅速飙升。截止到5月1日欧洲镝价格已上涨两倍，达到了850美元每公斤。 而美国军工巨头诺斯罗普・格鲁曼公司财报显示，B-21隐身轰炸机项目因稀土价格飙升巨亏4.77亿美元，F-35战斗机的稀土供应链更是命悬一线，而这种困 境源于美国对中国稀土的深度依赖。稀土矿产断供给美国造成的影响，上述这些还只是 ...

Group 1 - Malaysia's Prime Minister Anwar has engaged in talks with AMD, indicating a strategic partnership that aims to enhance the country's semiconductor industry ecosystem [1][3] - Malaysia is currently the sixth largest semiconductor exporter globally, accounting for 23% of U.S. chip production and holding approximately 13% of the global semiconductor packaging and assembly market [3][5] - The semiconductor sector contributes 40% of Malaysia's total manufacturing exports and represents a quarter of the country's GDP, with exports exceeding $120 billion in 2023 [3][5] Group 2 - Major companies like Intel, Infineon, and Micron have increased investments in Malaysia, solidifying its position in the global semiconductor packaging industry [5][8] - The "Flexible New Economy Zone" initiative aims to enhance collaboration with Singapore to leverage capital and advanced technology, moving Malaysia towards higher-value chip design [8][9] - Malaysia's semiconductor industry faces challenges in attracting higher-tier industries, despite having a mature technology sector compared to neighboring countries [9][10] Group 3 - Malaysia's reliance on foreign labor is significant, with expatriates making up about 25% of the total population, as local workers are reluctant to accept low-paying jobs in the semiconductor sector [12][10] - The U.S. export controls have made Malaysia a critical "chip transit point," with significant imports of GPUs, indicating its growing role in the semiconductor supply chain [13][14] - Recent U.S. tariffs on Malaysian goods could impact the competitiveness of Malaysian exports, potentially leading to reduced orders and market fluctuations [16][14] Group 4 - Malaysia aims to transition from a "chip packaging factory" to a "smart manufacturing hub," facing challenges such as insufficient R&D investment and a shortage of high-end talent [16][17] - The country seeks to avoid being trapped in low-end manufacturing while establishing competitive advantages in high-end sectors [16][17] - Malaysia's semiconductor industry is encouraged to learn from China's experience in building a regional innovation ecosystem [17]

黄金市场 | 招商评论 | | | --- | --- | | 贵 | 【市场表现】 | | 金 | 隔夜贵金属价格震荡，略有走强。 | | 属 | 【消息面】特朗普表示股票市场还会涨得高的多，同时在通胀数据公布后继续对美联储施压要求必须降息； | | | 但"新美联储通讯社"表示 4 月 CPI 没反映关税冲击，此后几个月将显现通胀压力；美国商务部发布公告称， | | | 撤销拜登政府的《人工智能扩散规则》，同时宣布采取额外的措施加强全球半导体出口管制。 | | | 【经济数据方面】 | | | 美国通胀降温，4 月 CPI 同比 2.3%，核心 CPI 同比增长 2.8%，为自 2021 年春季通胀爆发以来的最低水平， | | | 其中住房成本依旧是通胀关键，机票、二手车、食品价格出现下降。 | | | 【库存数据方面】 | | | 国内黄金 ETF 前一交易日流出 3.9 吨，COMEX 黄金库存 1215 吨，与前一交易日相比减少 1 吨，上期所黄 | | | 金库存 15 吨，维持不变，伦敦 4 月黄金库存 8536 吨，小幅增加；上期所白银库存 931 吨，增加 7 吨，金交 | | | 所白银库 ...

Industry Overview and Outlook - Tungsten, tellurium, bismuth, molybdenum, and indium are classified as strategic minor metals and are widely used in industrial manufacturing, national defense, new materials, and semiconductor industries [2] - China holds over 50% of the global reserves for metals such as tungsten and indium, and its production accounts for more than 50% of tungsten, indium, gallium, rare earths, magnesium, and germanium [2] - According to USGS statistics, global tungsten resources reached 3.8 million tons in 2022, with China being the richest in tungsten reserves and production, holding 47.37% of the world's tungsten reserves and over 80% of its production [2] - Major tungsten resources in China are concentrated in Jiangxi, Hunan, and Inner Mongolia, with Jiangxi being the most significant, often referred to as the "Tungsten Capital of the World" [2] - The number of companies engaged in tungsten mining and processing in China is substantial, with leading firms including Xiamen Tungsten, Jiangxi Tungsten Holding Group, and China Tungsten High-tech [2] Supply and Demand Dynamics - The Ministry of Natural Resources announced a control indicator for tungsten mining in 2025, setting the total mining quota at 58,000 tons, a decrease of 6.45% from 2024 [3] - The main tungsten-producing region, Jiangxi, will see a reduction of 2,370 tons in its mining quota, exceeding a 10% decline [3] - Demand for tungsten remains stable due to the continuous growth of global manufacturing, particularly in high-end sectors such as aerospace, new energy vehicles, and electronic information [3] - Domestic tungsten concentrate prices have risen to 156,000 yuan per ton, nearing the historical high of 157,000 yuan per ton recorded in May of the previous year [3] - The overall supply growth of tungsten is expected to lag behind demand growth due to national mining quota controls, stricter environmental regulations, and natural declines in resource grades [3] Related Companies - China Tungsten High-tech serves as the operational management platform for the tungsten industry under China Minmetals, managing a complete tungsten industry chain from mining to processing and trading [5] - The company plans to complete the acquisition of Shizhu Garden Company by the end of 2024, which will significantly enhance its asset portfolio, as it holds over 30% of the national tungsten resource reserves [5] - Xiamen Tungsten focuses on tungsten, molybdenum, and rare earths, establishing a complete industry chain that includes mining, smelting, production of tungsten and molybdenum powders, and deep processing applications [5]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint indicates that the rare earth industry is experiencing positive momentum, with the China Rare Earth Industry Index rising by 0.89% and the Rare Earth ETF Fund showing a significant increase of 5.94% over the past two weeks, leading among comparable funds [1][4] - The Rare Earth ETF Fund has seen a notable increase in trading volume, with a turnover rate of 1.69% and a total transaction value of 30.82 million yuan, ranking first among comparable funds in terms of average daily trading volume over the past year [4] - The fund's scale has grown significantly, with an increase of 63.04 million yuan in the past week, also ranking first among comparable funds, and a growth of 42 million shares in the same period [4] Group 2 - In terms of exports, China exported 58,100 tons of rare earth permanent magnet materials in 2024, with the export volume accounting for approximately 24% of the total production of neodymium-iron-boron [5] - The export control on medium and heavy rare earths is expected to tighten supply overseas, potentially driving up prices both internationally and domestically [5] - The top ten weighted stocks in the China Rare Earth Industry Index account for 57.42% of the index, indicating a concentrated investment landscape [5]

Group 1: Commodity Market Insights - Citigroup has lowered its short-term gold price target to $3,150 per ounce, expecting gold to consolidate in the $3,000-$3,300 range in the coming months [1] - Goldman Sachs indicates that mid-term risks for oil prices are skewed to the downside, predicting Brent and WTI crude prices to average $60 and $56 per barrel respectively in 2025, based on strong global supply growth and demand slowdown [2] - Goldman Sachs also forecasts that OPEC+ will stop increasing oil production starting in August due to slowing economic activity and weak oil demand [3] Group 2: Trade and Currency Implications - Nomura has upgraded Chinese stocks to "tactical overweight" following an unexpected U.S.-China tariff agreement, which is expected to support positive risk sentiment in global markets [1] - Deutsche Bank notes that the recent easing of the global trade war has an unclear impact on the U.S. dollar, suggesting that positive trade news benefits global economic growth more than the U.S. itself [4] - CICC suggests that if tariffs are further reduced, the Federal Reserve may have the opportunity to cut interest rates in the latter half of the year to alleviate growth pressures [5] Group 3: Domestic Market Developments - CITIC Securities expects that the issuance of new special bonds will exceed 1 trillion in both the second and third quarters of 2025, driven by a more accommodative monetary policy [10] - CITIC Securities maintains a positive outlook on the U.S. internet sector over the next 6-12 months, anticipating strong performance from major internet companies despite potential adjustments due to tariff policy changes [11] - Deutsche Bank's chief economist emphasizes a bullish outlook on A-shares, focusing on three main lines: domestic demand, trade recovery, and technology [12]

以下文章来源于东不压桥研究院 ，作者南极土著 东不压桥研究院 . 关注地缘政治竞争中的科技政策与数字治理，仅代表个人观点，与作者所在的组织无关。 申请入围"中国IC独角兽" 半导体高质量发展创新成果征集 今天BIS宣布了三项"指导意见"（guidance），等了半天也没见到具体的文本，先基于现有的信息谈谈看法。 首先，BIS很不严谨，这么重要的通知竟然会有错别字：把"推理"（inference）写成了"interference"(似乎奠定 了相关规则很不科学的基调？) 之所以先发这个通知，主要是因为5月15号"AI扩散规则"正式生效了，美国公司都在问：我们还要不要遵守拜 登政府当时定的这套规定？受控芯片还能不能卖给Tier 2国家？ BIS在这个通知里明确说了：拜登的AI扩散规则要废除，而且BIS的副部长凯斯勒已经指示，不要再执行这个 规则。 当然最重要的还是三项"指导意见"： 此外，美国商务部工业与安全局今日宣布了加强海外人工智能芯片出口管制的行动，包括： 第一条"指导意见"确实挺霸道的，等于是在全球范围内逼大家在华为H卡和英伟达N卡之间选边站。BIS（美 国商务部工业与安全局）直接说：你要是用了华为的昇腾 ...