Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of HKD 7.19 and RMB 7.46 [7][5]. Core Insights - The company has shown a steady increase in total assets, loans, and deposits, with year-on-year growth rates of 8.0%, 8.3%, and 8.9% respectively [2]. - Credit growth has accelerated, primarily supported by infrastructure projects, with new loans in Q2 reaching RMB 20.8 billion, significantly higher than the RMB 9.9 billion in the same period last year [2]. - The net interest margin has narrowed slightly to 1.60%, benefiting from improved funding costs, while non-interest income has seen a decline [3]. - The overall asset quality remains stable, with a non-performing loan (NPL) ratio of 1.17% and a provision coverage ratio of 356% [4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For H1 2025, the company reported a net profit of RMB 12.2 billion, a 4.6% increase year-on-year, and a revenue growth of 0.5% [1]. - The annualized ROA and ROE for H1 2025 were 1.01% and 11.94%, reflecting slight declines from the previous year [1]. Credit and Asset Quality - The company has maintained a stable NPL ratio of 1.17% with a slight decrease in the provision coverage ratio [4]. - The retail loan segment has shown some volatility, with an increase in the NPL ratio to 2.04% [4]. Valuation and Forecast - The forecast for net profit from 2025 to 2027 is RMB 12.2 billion, RMB 13.0 billion, and RMB 14.0 billion, with expected growth rates of 6.2%, 6.6%, and 7.5% respectively [5]. - The report suggests a price-to-book (PB) ratio of 0.63 for A shares and 0.56 for H shares in 2025 [5].

Core Viewpoint - Jiangsu Bank reported a revenue growth of 7.8% in the first half of 2025, with a net profit growth of 8.0, indicating stable financial performance amidst expanding asset scale and improving capital adequacy [1][2]. Revenue Growth - The bank's net interest income increased significantly by 19.1%, driven by rapid asset scale expansion, while non-interest income saw a decline of 14.6%, although the drop was less severe due to stabilization in the bond market in Q2 [2]. - The bank's total assets grew by 21% compared to the beginning of the year, positioning it as the largest city commercial bank in terms of asset size [2]. Loan and Deposit Performance - Loans increased by 16.0% compared to the beginning of the year, with a notable 23.3% growth in corporate loans, particularly in infrastructure and manufacturing sectors [2]. - Deposits surged by 20.2%, with a rise in the proportion of demand deposits to 29.3%, primarily driven by corporate settlement deposits [2]. Cost and Profitability - The net interest margin was reported at 1.78%, a decrease of 8 basis points from the previous year, influenced by declining asset yields [3]. - The bank's credit impairment charges rose significantly, but a substantial reduction in the effective tax rate by 10.5 percentage points supported stable net profit growth [2][3]. Asset Quality and Risk Management - The non-performing loan (NPL) ratio improved to 0.84%, down 5 basis points from the beginning of the year, with a provision coverage ratio of 331% [4]. - The net NPL generation rate decreased to 1.10%, reflecting improved risk management and a reduction in retail loan delinquency rates [4]. Investment Outlook - The bank is characterized as a dividend growth bank, with a projected dividend yield of 5.0% for 2025, making it an attractive investment option following a price correction [4]. - Current valuations stand at a price-to-book (PB) ratio of 0.80x and a price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of 6.4x, maintaining a "buy" rating [4].

Core Viewpoint - Multiple banks in China have recently announced reductions in RMB deposit rates, affecting various types of deposits, with the highest cut reaching 20 basis points [1][2][3]. Group 1: Deposit Rate Adjustments - Jiangsu Bank has lowered its 3-year personal fixed deposit rate from 1.85% to 1.75%, effective from August 20, while other terms remain unchanged [2]. - Shen Zhou Rui Feng Village Bank has announced comprehensive rate cuts for personal fixed deposits, with 3-month rates dropping to 0.8% and 5-year rates to 1.3%, with reductions ranging from 10 to 20 basis points [2][3]. - Jilin Longtan Huayi Village Bank has adjusted its rates, with the 3-month and 6-month rates down to 1.15% and 1.35%, respectively, and 3-year and 5-year rates down to 1.75% and 1.7% [3]. Group 2: Reasons for Rate Cuts - The primary motivation for small and medium-sized banks to lower deposit rates is to alleviate the pressure from narrowing net interest margins and optimize their liability cost structure [4]. - The Loan Prime Rate (LPR) has been reduced multiple times, leading to a decline in loan yields, while deposit rates have lagged behind, creating a "margin squeeze" effect [4]. Group 3: Future Outlook - The banking sector's net interest margin was reported at 1.42% as of the end of Q2, down 0.01 percentage points from Q1, indicating ongoing downward pressure on deposit rates [5]. - Experts predict that the downward trend in deposit rates will continue in the short term, as banks seek to stabilize their net interest margins and improve overall profitability [5]. - Strategies for small and medium-sized banks to enhance core competitiveness include product innovation, refined asset-liability management, accelerated digital transformation, and focusing on local markets [5][6].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for Ping An Bank is "Buy-A" with a 6-month target price of 14.17 CNY, compared to the current stock price of 12.06 CNY [5][12]. Core Insights - The report highlights that Ping An Bank's performance in the first half of 2025 shows a marginal recovery, driven by reduced provisioning pressure and growth in non-interest income, despite a decline in overall revenue and net interest margin [2][10]. - The bank's asset expansion remains sluggish, with a year-on-year decrease of 1.61% in interest-earning assets, indicating challenges in maintaining growth momentum [2][10]. - The report notes a shift in credit structure, with corporate loans showing growth while retail loans, particularly credit cards and consumer loans, continue to decline [3][10]. - The net interest margin has narrowed to 1.76% in Q2 2025, reflecting a decrease in asset yields and a slight reduction in funding costs [4][8]. - Non-interest income has shown signs of recovery, with a year-on-year decline of only 3.3% in Q2 2025, driven by a rebound in fee income from wealth management services [8][10]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - Revenue for 2025 is projected to decline by 7.79%, while net profit is expected to grow by 0.82% [12]. - The bank's net profit for the first half of 2025 increased by 3.9% year-on-year, supported by lower provisioning and improved non-interest income [2][10]. Asset Quality - The non-performing loan (NPL) generation rate has decreased to 1.64% in the first half of 2025, indicating a gradual easing of credit risk [9][10]. - The NPL ratio for retail loans has improved, while the corporate loan NPL ratio has slightly increased due to exposure in the real estate sector [9][10]. Retail Banking - Retail customer growth remains stagnant, with a slight increase in the number of retail clients but overall asset under management (AUM) growth showing signs of slowing down [10][36]. - The bank's wealth management fees have rebounded, with a 13.1% year-on-year increase in Q2 2025, reflecting a positive trend in non-interest income [8][10]. Market Position - Ping An Bank's market capitalization stands at approximately 234 billion CNY, with a circulating market value nearly equal [5]. - The bank's valuation metrics indicate a price-to-book ratio of 0.60X, suggesting it is trading at a low valuation relative to its book value [12].

文 | WEMONEY研究室，作者 | 王彦强 近日，第二家上市农商行——江阴银行（002807.SZ）披露了上半年业绩报告。 据中报显示，2025年上半年，江阴银行实现营业收入24.01亿元，同比增长10.45%；实现归母净利润8.46亿元，同比增长16.63%。 从资产质量来看，2025年上半年，江阴银行的不良贷款率为0.86%，与上年末持平；而拨备覆盖率为381.22%，较上年末增加11.9个百分点。 整体来看，江阴银行业绩实现双增，但净息差依然承压，2024年上半年，该行的净息差为1.54%，同比下降0.22个百分点。 而值得注意的是，江阴银行上半年的投资净收益为8.82亿元，同比大增81.44%，占营收的36.72%。同期，该行经营活动产生的现金流净额为-58.50亿元，同 比下降621.51%。 WEMONEY研究室注意到，近年来，江阴银行的利息净收入占营收的比重在不断下降，而投资净收益占营收的比重却在持续攀升。 数据显示，2022年—2024年，江阴银行的利息净收入分别为31.93亿元、29.82亿元、28.03亿元，占营收的比重分别为84.49%、77.15%、70.75%。投资净收益 分别为 ...

Core Viewpoint - Multiple banks in China have recently announced reductions in RMB deposit rates, affecting various types of deposits, with the highest cut reaching 20 basis points [1][2][3] Group 1: Deposit Rate Adjustments - Jiangsu Bank has lowered its 3-year personal fixed deposit rate from 1.85% to 1.75%, effective from August 20, while other terms remain unchanged [2] - Shen Zhou Rui Feng Village Bank has announced comprehensive rate cuts for personal fixed deposits, with 3-month rates dropping to 0.8% and 5-year rates to 1.3%, with reductions ranging from 10 to 20 basis points [2][3] - Jilin Longtan Huayi Village Bank has adjusted its rates, with the 3-month and 6-month rates down to 1.15% and 1.35% respectively, and 3-year and 5-year rates down to 1.75% and 1.7% [3] Group 2: Reasons for Rate Cuts - The primary motivation for small and medium-sized banks to lower deposit rates is to alleviate the pressure from narrowing net interest margins and optimize their liability cost structure [4] - The Loan Prime Rate (LPR) has been reduced multiple times, leading to a decline in loan yields, while deposit rates have lagged behind, creating a "margin squeeze" effect [4] Group 3: Future Outlook - The banking sector's net interest margin was reported at 1.42% as of the end of Q2, down 0.01 percentage points from Q1, indicating ongoing downward pressure on deposit rates [5] - Experts predict that the downward trend in deposit rates will continue in the short term, as banks seek to stabilize net interest margins and improve overall profitability [5] - Strategies for small and medium-sized banks to enhance core competitiveness include product innovation, refined asset-liability management, digital transformation, and focusing on local markets [6]

Group 1 - Goldman Sachs reported that East Asia Bank's (00023) first-half revenue met expectations, but net interest income and fee income were below forecasts, offset by trading gains [1] - Earnings per share exceeded Goldman Sachs' expectations by 14%, with a dividend payout ratio of 45%, slightly below the forecast of 47% [1] - The interim dividend was set at 39 HKD cents, approximately 10% higher than Goldman Sachs' estimate of 35 HKD cents [1] Group 2 - Goldman Sachs raised its earnings per share estimates for East Asia Bank for the fiscal years 2025 to 2027 by 8%, 11%, and 24%, respectively, and increased the target price by 12% from 10.5 HKD to 11.8 HKD, maintaining a "sell" rating [1] - The management of East Asia Bank anticipates headwinds for net interest margin in the second half of 2025 and maintains a conservative outlook on loan growth [1] - Loan growth is projected to be 2.1%, 2.8%, and 4% year-on-year for the fiscal years 2025 to 2027, with deposit growth estimates adjusted to 5.5%, 3.9%, and 2.9% [1] Group 3 - Goldman Sachs assumes a net interest margin sensitivity (NIM beta) of 0.16 for the current interest rate cut cycle, slightly lower than the previous period [2] - Net interest margin forecasts for East Asia Bank for fiscal years 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 1.78%, 1.8%, and 1.75%, with corresponding net interest income expected to decline by 15%, increase by 5%, and increase by 0.4% [2] - Non-interest income estimates for fiscal years 2025 to 2027 have been raised by 11%, 8%, and 6% due to better-than-expected trading income performance [2] Group 4 - Credit costs for East Asia Bank are expected to be 97 basis points this year, normalizing to 80 and 55 basis points in 2026 and 2027, respectively [2] - Projected dividend payout ratios for fiscal years 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 46%, 49%, and 51%, indicating an average payout ratio of 49% over the next three years, compared to an average of about 40% over the past five years [2]

Group 1 - Goldman Sachs reported that East Asia Bank's (00023) first-half revenue met expectations, but net interest income and fee income fell short, offset by trading gains [1] - Earnings per share exceeded Goldman Sachs' expectations by 14%, with a dividend payout ratio of 45%, slightly below the forecasted 47% [1] - The mid-term dividend was set at 39 HKD cents, approximately 10% higher than Goldman Sachs' estimate of 35 HKD cents [1] Group 2 - Goldman Sachs raised its earnings per share forecasts for East Asia Bank for the fiscal years 2025 to 2027 by 8%, 11%, and 24%, respectively, and increased the target price by 12% from 10.5 HKD to 11.8 HKD, maintaining a "sell" rating [1] - The bank's management anticipates headwinds for net interest margin in the second half of 2025 and maintains a conservative outlook on loan growth [1] - Loan growth forecasts for 2025 to 2027 were adjusted to 2.1%, 2.8%, and 4%, while deposit growth estimates were raised to 5.5%, 3.9%, and 2.9% [1] Group 3 - Goldman Sachs assumed a net interest margin sensitivity (NIM beta) of 0.16 times for the current interest rate cut cycle, slightly lower than the previous period [2] - Net interest margin forecasts for 2025 to 2027 are projected at 1.78%, 1.8%, and 1.75%, with corresponding net interest income expected to decline by 15%, increase by 5%, and increase by 0.4% [2] - Non-interest income estimates for 2025 to 2027 were raised by 11%, 8%, and 6% due to better-than-expected trading income performance [2] Group 4 - Credit costs for East Asia Bank are expected to be 97 basis points this year, normalizing to 80 and 55 basis points in 2026 and 2027, respectively [2] - Projected dividend payout ratios for 2025 to 2027 are 46%, 49%, and 51%, indicating an average payout ratio of 49% over the next three years, compared to an average of about 40% over the past five years [2]

Group 1 - Several banks have recently announced reductions in deposit rates, with some term products decreasing by 20 basis points, as a strategy to alleviate pressure on the liability side amid declining loan rates and narrowing net interest margins [1][2] - Jiangsu Bank has lowered its 3-year deposit rate from 1.85% to 1.75%, while other terms remain unchanged at 1.5% for 1-year and 1.6% for 2-year deposits [1] - Other banks, such as Shengzhou Ruifeng Rural Bank, have also adjusted their deposit rates, with rates for various terms reduced by 10 to 20 basis points [1] Group 2 - The banking industry is experiencing significant pressure on net interest margins, with the average net interest margin for commercial banks reported at 1.42% in Q2 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 0.12 percentage points [2] - Analysts suggest that the high proportion of fixed-term deposits in small and medium-sized banks leads to higher interest costs compared to demand deposits, necessitating a reduction in deposit rates to manage liability costs [2] - The recent stability in the Loan Prime Rate (LPR) indicates potential for further declines to stimulate domestic demand and stabilize the real estate market [2] Group 3 - Banks are adopting proactive measures to manage both asset and liability sides, with Changshu Bank emphasizing cost control and optimization of deposit structures to reduce overall interest expenses [3] - Despite facing challenges from competition and regulatory pressures, small and medium-sized banks maintain unique advantages due to their geographical and relational strengths [3]

Group 1 - The president of the American Soybean Association, Caleb Lagrange, expressed that U.S. soybean farmers are facing significant financial pressure due to ongoing trade disputes with China, urging President Trump to prioritize soybean issues in trade negotiations [2] - The Federal Reserve decided to maintain the federal funds rate target range at 4.25%-4.5%, citing economic uncertainty and a slowdown in economic activity during the first half of the year [3] - The People's Bank of China announced that the Loan Prime Rate (LPR) remained unchanged for three consecutive months, with the one-year LPR at 3.0% and the five-year LPR at 3.5%, aligning with market expectations [4] Group 2 - The State Council of China issued guidelines for the construction and operation of government and social capital cooperation projects, emphasizing the prioritization of projects with certain returns [5] - The Ministry of Finance and the State Taxation Administration announced that childcare subsidies will be exempt from personal income tax starting January 1, 2025, establishing a mechanism for information sharing among relevant departments [5] - The China Securities Regulatory Commission reported that there are currently 131 listed commodity futures and options in China, with 84 being industrial products, which account for 64% of the total [7] Group 3 - Several small and medium-sized banks in China have announced reductions in deposit rates by 10 to 20 basis points, in response to ongoing pressure on net interest margins [8] - In June, the domestic smartphone market saw a shipment of 22.598 million units, a year-on-year decline of 9.3%, with 5G smartphones accounting for 81.6% of total shipments [9] - The Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport has expanded its "one-minute boarding" service to flights from Guangzhou to Shanghai, allowing passengers without checked luggage to board shortly before departure [10] Group 4 - The Guangxi region in China has launched a free HPV vaccination program for eligible girls, aiming to provide vaccinations to approximately 960,000 girls over three years [11] - The Hong Kong Stock Exchange is considering a 24-hour trading mechanism, following the example of Nasdaq, with plans to study the feasibility based on local market conditions [12][13] - The UK inflation rate rose to 3.8% in July, the highest level in 19 months, exceeding the Bank of England's target of 2% [15]