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稳定币立法风暴引爆港股!XBIT成最大赢家,最新数据揭示惊人趋势
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-21 10:21
Core Insights - The article highlights a significant surge in Hong Kong's stablecoin concept stocks, driven by the dual breakthroughs in global stablecoin regulatory frameworks, specifically the enactment of the U.S. GENIUS Act and the upcoming Hong Kong Stablecoin Regulation [1][2]. Group 1: Regulatory Developments - The U.S. GENIUS Act, signed by Trump on July 18, establishes the first national regulatory framework for stablecoins, requiring issuers to hold 100% legal reserves and undergo regular audits by the Federal Reserve, while prohibiting the payment of explicit interest [2]. - Concurrently, Hong Kong's Stablecoin Regulation, published on May 30, mandates that issuers must obtain approval from the Securities and Futures Commission (SFC) and store reserve assets in licensed banks [2]. Group 2: Company Developments - Yunfeng Financial, as the first Hong Kong stock to explicitly engage in Web 3.0, is extending its strategy into real-world assets (RWA), digital currencies, and ESG zero-carbon assets, complementing its insurance technology ecosystem with XBIT's decentralized exchange technology [5]. - Huajian Medical has established a U.S. subsidiary, IVDGROUP INC., to initiate a stablecoin license application, aiming to create the world's first compliant trading platform for innovative medical drugs using RWA [5]. Group 3: Technological Innovations - XBIT's decentralized trading platform has gained attention due to three major technological breakthroughs: a smart contract auditing system ensuring compliance with regulatory requirements, a cross-chain clearing network enabling seamless conversion between major stablecoins and fiat currencies, and a decentralized reserve proof system providing quarterly on-chain asset audit reports [6]. - On July 19, XBIT's daily stablecoin trading volume exceeded $1.5 billion, with institutional clients accounting for 68% of the transactions [6]. Group 4: Industry Applications - Huajian Medical's strategy exemplifies the integration of medical innovation assets with stablecoins, attracting both traditional medical capital and crypto-native funds [8]. - A New York importer successfully completed a cross-border transaction using USDC through XBIT, demonstrating a cost reduction to 1.8% of traditional wire transfer fees and a significant decrease in transaction time from three days to 47 seconds [8]. Group 5: Future Outlook - XBIT is prepared for potential regulatory changes regarding stablecoin capital requirements, with a modular architecture that can quickly detach compliance risk modules if regulations tighten, while also planning to connect to the Federal Reserve's instant payment system if policies become more open [10]. - The platform currently supports over 150 mainstream and emerging meme coins, utilizing an automated market maker (AMM) model with a slippage rate below 0.5%, attracting 20 million global users [10].
新世纪期货交易提示(2025-7-21)-20250721
Xin Shi Ji Qi Huo· 2025-07-21 02:26
Report Industry Investment Ratings - Iron ore: Upward [2] - Coking coal and coke: Upward [2] - Rolled steel and rebar: Oscillating strongly [2] - Glass: Upward [2] - Soda ash: Oscillating [2] - CSI 50: Rebound [2] - CSI 300: Oscillating [2] - CSI 500: Upward [4] - CSI 1000: Upward [4] - 2-year Treasury bond: Oscillating [4] - 5-year Treasury bond: Oscillating [4] - 10-year Treasury bond: Rebound [4] - Gold: High-level oscillation [4] - Silver: Strong operation [4] - Pulp: Oscillating [6] - Logs: Strongly oscillating [6] - Soybean oil: Oscillating more [6] - Palm oil: Oscillating more [6] - Rapeseed oil: Oscillating more [6] - Soybean meal: Oscillating more [6] - Rapeseed meal: Oscillating more [6] - Soybean No. 2: Oscillating more [6] - Soybean No. 1: Oscillating more [6] - Live pigs: Oscillating weakly [7] - Rubber: Oscillating [9] - PX: Wait-and-see [9] - PTA: Wait-and-see [9] - MEG: Short at high prices [9] - PR: Wait-and-see [9] - PF: Wait-and-see [9] Core Views of the Report The report analyzes the market trends of various commodities and financial products on July 21, 2025. It is believed that the "anti-involution" policy has boosted the sentiment of the black market, the iron ore market is temporarily stable in the short term but oversupplied in the long term, the coking coal and coke market is expected to be strong in the short term, and the steel market is affected by policies and demand and may fluctuate strongly. In the financial market, with the improvement of China's economic data and the implementation of positive policies, the stock index is expected to rise, and the bond market may be volatile. Precious metals are affected by factors such as interest rates, geopolitics, and central bank purchases and are expected to maintain high-level oscillations. In the agricultural and light industrial product markets, the prices of logs and some oils and meals are expected to be strong, while the prices of live pigs are expected to be weak. The rubber market is in a state of supply and demand adjustment and is expected to oscillate widely. Summaries by Relevant Catalogs Black Industry - **Iron ore**: The "anti-involution" policy has boosted market sentiment, and the iron ore price has risen significantly. The end-of-season impulse of mines is basically over, and global iron ore shipments have declined to some extent. The near-term arrivals have increased month-on-month due to the previous high shipments, and the supply remains loose. In the off-season of the industry, the output of five major steel products has decreased, but the molten iron output has increased by 26,300 tons to 2.4244 million tons month-on-month, and the iron ore port inventory has slightly increased. In the long term, the supply of iron ore is expected to gradually increase, the demand will remain relatively low, and the port inventory will enter the accumulation channel, with the pattern of oversupply remaining unchanged. Due to short-term sentiment disturbances, the iron ore price has risen significantly and broken through the 750 yuan/ton mark, and it is expected to be strong [2]. - **Coking coal and coke**: After the first round of price increases, the cost of coke still faces pressure, and the market's expectation of future price increases has strengthened. With the molten iron output remaining high, the current fundamentals of coke are relatively healthy, and the futures price is expected to oscillate strongly in the short term. The overall operation of coking plants is stable, with smooth shipments, and the enthusiasm of traders to purchase goods remains high, resulting in a slightly tight supply of spot goods. With the arrival of high temperatures and the rainy season in various regions, downstream demand has weakened, but the current profitability is still acceptable, and the overall enthusiasm for operation is good, with the molten iron output continuing to rise. Currently, steel mills' enthusiasm for purchasing coke has slightly increased. The current supply of coke spot goods is tight, and the price of upstream coking coal still has support. It is expected that the coke price will remain strong in the short term. Attention should be paid to the trends of molten iron and the supply side of coking coal and coke in the later stage [2]. - **Rolled steel and rebar**: The "anti-involution" has triggered a rise in the positive sentiment on the supply side. Although the Central Urban Work Conference did not meet expectations, the expectation of stable growth in the steel industry has continued to boost market sentiment, and the futures price has continued to rise. In the off-season, the demand for building materials has declined month-on-month. The profits of five major steel products are acceptable, and the output has declined month-on-month. The pressure on the total steel inventory is not obvious, and the supply-demand contradiction is not prominent. In June, infrastructure was weak, real estate was stable, and exports were strong, basically in line with previous expectations. External demand exports were overdrawn in advance, and real estate investment continued to decline. Total demand is unlikely to show an anti-seasonal performance. On the basis of no increase in total annual demand, an obvious pattern of high in the front and low in the back will be formed. In the short term, the expectation of stable growth in the steel industry has improved market sentiment. Attention should be paid to whether more policies will be introduced at the Politburo meeting at the end of July. Finished steel products are currently supported by the macro and policy aspects [2]. - **Glass**: The "anti-involution" trading may continue, and the Politburo meeting is approaching, with the macro situation being neutral and strong. On the demand side, the glass deep-processing orders have weakened slightly month-on-month, but the speculative demand brought by the rising futures price is relatively strong. On the supply side, the output is expected to increase after the glass produced by the previously ignited production lines comes out, and the pressure on the supply side still exists. To meet the seasonal destocking of glass, the daily melting volume needs to be reduced to below 154,000 tons. There are many disturbances in market sentiment. The inventory of glass in the middle and lower reaches is low, with room for replenishment, but the rigid demand has not recovered. In the long term, the real estate industry is still in the adjustment cycle, and the year-on-year decline in the completed floor area of houses is relatively large, making it difficult for the glass demand to rebound significantly. In the short term, continuous observation is needed to see if the actual demand can improve [2]. Financial Market - **Stock index futures/options**: On the previous trading day, the CSI 300 index rose by 0.60%, the CSI 50 index rose by 0.74%, the CSI 500 index rose by 0.28%, and the CSI 1000 index rose by 0.25%. Funds flowed into the basic metals and fertilizer and pesticide sectors, while funds flowed out of the electronic components and automobile parts sectors. The G20 Finance Ministers and Central Bank Governors Meeting was held in Durban, South Africa. China will implement a more proactive fiscal policy and expand high-level opening up in the second half of the year. The Ministry of Commerce responded to the US approval of the sale of NVIDIA H20 chips to China, emphasizing that cooperation and win-win results are the right path. The market's risk aversion sentiment has eased, and it is recommended to hold long positions in stock index futures [2][4]. - **Treasury bonds**: The yield to maturity of the 10-year Chinese government bond remained unchanged, FR007 decreased by 4 basis points, and SHIBOR3M remained unchanged. The central bank conducted 187.5 billion yuan of 7-day reverse repurchase operations at a fixed interest rate, with a net investment of 102.8 billion yuan on the day. The market interest rate is consolidating, and the Treasury bond price has rebounded slightly. It is recommended to hold long positions in Treasury bonds with a light position [4]. - **Precious metals**: - **Gold**: In the context of a high-interest rate environment and the reconstruction of globalization, the pricing mechanism of gold is shifting from being centered on real interest rates to being centered on central bank gold purchases. The actions of central banks to purchase gold are crucial, reflecting the concentration of "decentralization" and risk aversion needs. In terms of monetary attributes, Trump's "Make America Great Again" bill has been successfully passed, which may exacerbate the US debt problem and lead to cracks in the US dollar's currency credit. In the process of de-dollarization, the de-fiat currency attribute of gold is prominent. In terms of financial attributes, in the global high-interest rate environment, the substitution effect of gold as a zero-yield bond for bonds has weakened, and its sensitivity to the real interest rate of US Treasury bonds has decreased. In terms of risk aversion attributes, although the geopolitical risk has weakened marginally, Trump's tariff policy has intensified global trade tensions, and the market's risk aversion demand remains strong, which has become an important factor in boosting the gold price in stages. In terms of commodity attributes, the demand for physical gold in China has increased significantly, and the central bank has restarted gold purchases since November last year and has increased its holdings for eight consecutive months. Currently, the logic driving the rise of the gold price has not completely reversed. The Fed's interest rate policy and tariff policy may be short-term disturbing factors. It is expected that the Fed's interest rate policy will be more cautious this year, and the evolution of the tariff policy and geopolitical conflicts will dominate the change in market risk aversion sentiment. According to the latest US data, the non-farm payrolls data shows that the labor market is relatively resilient, with the non-farm employment population exceeding market expectations and the unemployment rate dropping to 4.1%. The PCE data in May shows that the inflation data has slowed down, with the core PCE rising by 2.7% year-on-year, exceeding market expectations, and the PCE rising by 2.3% year-on-year, in line with market expectations, indicating the resilience of core inflation. The CPI in June rose by 2.7% year-on-year, in line with market expectations and rebounding from the previous month, indicating the resilience of inflation. With the progress of trade negotiations, the impact of tariffs on inflation is expected to weaken. In the short term, the weakening of the US dollar, combined with the uncertainty of geopolitics and tariff policies, and the debate over the Fed's independence have boosted the demand for risk aversion funds, but some funds have shifted to alternative assets such as silver. It is expected that the gold price will maintain high-level oscillations [4]. - **Silver**: It is expected to operate strongly [4]. Light Industry and Agricultural Products - **Pulp**: On the previous trading day, the spot market price of pulp was strong. The price of some coniferous pulp in the spot market rose by 20 - 70 yuan/ton, and the price of some broadleaf pulp in the spot market rose by 70 yuan/ton. The latest FOB price of coniferous pulp decreased by 20 US dollars to 720 US dollars/ton, and the latest FOB price of broadleaf pulp decreased by 60 US dollars to 500 US dollars/ton. The decline in the cost price has weakened the support for the pulp price. The profitability of the paper industry is at a low level, and the inventory pressure of paper mills is relatively large, with low acceptance of high-priced pulp. The demand is in the off-season, and raw materials are purchased on a rigid basis, which is negative for the pulp price. The pulp market presents a pattern of weak supply and demand, and it is expected that the pulp price will oscillate mainly under the game between long and short positions [6]. - **Logs**: Last week, the average daily shipment volume of logs at the port was 58,800 cubic meters, a decrease of 8,100 cubic meters month-on-month. The downstream demand was poor, the orders of processing plants declined significantly, the utilization rate of the sawing machine capacity of processing plants decreased, and the average daily outbound volume dropped below 60,000 cubic meters. In June, the volume of logs shipped from New Zealand to China was 1.406 million cubic meters, an increase of 0.3% from the previous month. The expected arrival volume this week is 192,000 cubic meters, a decrease of 44% month-on-month. As of last week, the log port inventory was 3.22 million cubic meters, a decrease of 10,000 cubic meters month-on-month. The spot market price is relatively stable. The spot market price in Shandong is stable at 740 yuan/cubic meter, a decrease of 10 yuan from the previous week, and the price in the Jiangsu market is stable at 750 yuan/cubic meter, a decrease of 10 yuan from the previous week. The latest CFR quote in July is 114 US dollars/cubic meter, an increase of 4 US dollars from the previous month, with a maximum of 117 US dollars, and the cost-side support has increased. In the short term, the arrival volume of logs has decreased again, the supply pressure has eased, and the sudden hurricane in the key ports of New Zealand's logs has affected the log shipments, stimulating the rise of the log price. Although the average daily outbound volume is below 60,000 cubic meters, the "anti-involution" policy in China has boosted market sentiment, and the shortage of the 6-meter medium A, the mainstream delivery product in the Taicang area, has promoted the price increase. It is expected that the log price will maintain a strong oscillation [6]. - **Oils and meals**: - **Oils**: In June, the production of Malaysian palm oil was 1.692 million tons, a decrease of 4.5% month-on-month, while the inventory increased to 2.03 million tons, the fourth consecutive month of growth, mainly due to the unexpected decline in exports. The increase in the export tariff in July may further slow down the export pace. The production activity of US biodiesel is increasing, which supports the demand for soybean oil as the main raw material, and is also boosted by Indonesia's B40 policy. Affected by the large arrival of South American soybeans and the high-pressure crushing of oil mills, the domestic soybean oil inventory has accelerated the growth, the palm oil inventory has rebounded, and the rapeseed oil inventory has continued to decline, but the year-on-year inventory pressure is still high. The inventory of the three major oils has continued to rise, with sufficient supply and a demand off-season, lacking its own driving force. However, it benefits from the expectation of biodiesel, and the oils are expected to oscillate more in the short term. Attention should be paid to the weather in the US soybean-producing areas and the production and sales of Malaysian palm oil [6]. - **Meals**: The estimated output of US soybeans has been reduced, but the increase in the crushing volume cannot offset the decrease in the export volume, and the final increase in the year-end inventory exceeds expectations. The growth of US soybean crops is good, and the improvement of the US crop rating has strengthened the expectation of a bumper autumn harvest. However, the expected consumption of US soybean crushing is continuously driven by the favorable biofuel policy, which supports the US soybean futures price. The agricultural trade agreement reached between the US and Indonesia has increased the market's confidence in future soybean export demand, and the US soybean price has risen. The expected arrival volume of imported soybeans in China in July is about 10 million tons, and the operating rate of oil mills remains relatively high. Some oil mills in certain regions are facing the pressure of full storage of soybean meal, and the phenomenon of oil mills urging提货 has increased, with the提货 volume of soybean meal at a high level. It is expected that soybean meal will oscillate more in the short term under the boost of cost and the expectation of US soybean exports. Attention should be paid to the weather of US soybeans and the arrival situation of soybeans [6]. - **Live pigs**: The average trading weight of live pigs continues to show a downward trend. The average trading weight of live pigs across the country has dropped to 124.91 kilograms. From a regional perspective, the average trading weights of live pigs in various provinces have risen and fallen, but the overall trend is downward. Recently, the increase in temperature has slowed down the weight gain rate of live pigs. In addition, after the price difference between fat pigs and standard pigs turned positive, the price of large pigs was relatively high, and slaughtering enterprises increased their procurement efforts for low-priced standard pigs to relieve the procurement pressure, resulting in a decline in the overall average procurement weight. However, some large-scale farms in certain regions have chosen to hold back pigs for weight gain based on the bullish expectation of the large pig market, driving a slight increase in the average trading weight of live pigs in the local area. Looking forward to the future, as the breeding end may continue to adopt the weight loss strategy, and slaughtering enterprises will still focus on purchasing standard pigs, it is expected that the average trading weight of live pigs in most regions still has room to decline. However, considering the continuous phenomenon of holding back pigs for weight gain in some regions, it is expected that the average trading weight of live pigs across the country may continue to decline slightly. The average settlement price of live pigs of key slaughtering enterprises has risen slightly to 15.55 yuan/kg, a slight increase of 0.98% month-on-month. From the price trend, the settlement price shows an oscillating downward trend. Affected by factors such as the accelerated slaughtering rhythm of the breeding end and the impact of high temperatures on terminal consumption, although the overall average price has increased slightly compared with last week, the price has fallen from the high level due to the price reduction and procurement by slaughtering enterprises. At the same time, the average operating rate of key slaughtering enterprises this week has dropped to 31.97%, a decrease of 0.97 percentage points month-on-month. The decline in the operating rate is mainly due to two factors: on the one hand, the supply of live pigs is sufficient, and the procurement difficulty of enterprises has decreased
比特币破120.000千,美股今日价格行情配合XBIT梳理Genius法案监管机遇
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-20 07:11
Core Insights - The cryptocurrency market experienced a significant breakthrough with Bitcoin's price surpassing $120,000, driven by regulatory developments and market expectations [1][8] - The "Genius Act" stablecoin regulation, signed by President Trump, establishes new rules for stablecoin issuance, enhancing market confidence in stablecoins and decentralized platforms [1][3] Market Performance - The S&P 500 ETF (SPY) showed slight adjustments, trading around $627.6, while the Invesco QQQ ETF remained stable at approximately $561, indicating a cautious investor sentiment [1][3] - Bitcoin's price fluctuated between $118,000 and $120,000 after reaching a new high, with trading volume increasing, reflecting a combination of regulatory optimism and technical corrections [1][5] Regulatory Developments - The "Genius Act" was passed by Congress with a vote of 308 to 122, marking the first comprehensive federal legislation on stablecoins in the U.S., which includes provisions for issuance qualifications and consumer protections [3][6] - The act mandates that foreign stablecoin issuers must comply with U.S. regulations or seek exemptions, with detailed rules expected within 180 days and full implementation in 18 months [3][6] Market Sentiment and Trends - The overall cryptocurrency market capitalization surpassed $4 trillion, with notable increases in Ethereum (ETH) and Ripple (XRP), indicating a positive market sentiment driven by regulatory policies and capital influx [5][6] - The trading activity on decentralized platforms like XBIT is increasing, with a 50% rise in new user registrations, suggesting a growing interest in decentralized finance (DeFi) solutions [5][8] Future Outlook - The implementation of the "Genius Act" is expected to reshape the stablecoin trading ecosystem, potentially enhancing the use of stablecoins in payments and cross-border transactions [6][8] - Investors are advised to monitor the upcoming regulatory details and market conditions, as the next few months will be critical for the stablecoin framework's transition from legislation to practical application [8]
天才法案背后的“天才”之处
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-18 18:34
Core Viewpoint - The discussion around stablecoins is gaining traction, with varying interpretations of their purpose and implications, particularly in the context of U.S. debt management and financial strategy [1][2]. Group 1: Purpose of Stablecoins - Stablecoins are designed to address the limitations of traditional cryptocurrencies by being pegged to real assets, specifically the U.S. dollar, at a 1:1 ratio, enhancing their liquidity and payment functionality [3]. - The introduction of stablecoins is not merely a hasty response to U.S. debt issues but part of a broader strategy to reclaim monetary authority and strengthen the U.S. government's financial management capabilities [2][3]. Group 2: Impact on U.S. Debt and Financial Leadership - Stablecoins aim to mitigate the risk of U.S. debt defaults and increase demand for both the dollar and U.S. Treasury securities, although they do not resolve long-term debt challenges [3]. - The U.S. seeks to reinforce its financial leadership position globally, which has been somewhat weakened in recent decades, by leveraging stablecoins and their inherent financial attributes [3][4]. Group 3: Competitive Dynamics - The decentralized nature of cryptocurrencies is utilized to undermine the competitiveness of rival sovereign currencies, reflecting the intensifying competition in international trade and finance [4]. - The trend towards stablecoins is becoming irreversible, as evidenced by the increasing adoption of existing stablecoins like Tether and Circle, prompting other nations to reconsider their stance on cryptocurrencies [4].
新世纪期货交易提示(2025-7-17)-20250717
Xin Shi Ji Qi Huo· 2025-07-17 02:37
Report Industry Investment Ratings - Iron Ore: Upward [2] - Coking Coal and Coke: Upward [2] - Rolled Steel: Sideways [2] - Glass: Upward [2] - Soda Ash: Sideways [2] - Shanghai Stock Exchange 50 Index: Rebound [2] - CSI 300 Index: Sideways [4] - CSI 500 Index: Upward [4] - CSI 1000 Index: Upward [4] - 2 - year Treasury Bond: Sideways [4] - 5 - year Treasury Bond: Sideways [4] - 10 - year Treasury Bond: Rebound [4] - Gold: High - level Sideways [4] - Silver: Strong - trending [4] - Pulp: Sideways [5] - Logs: Sideways [5] - Soybean Oil: Sideways with an Upward Bias [5] - Palm Oil: Sideways with an Upward Bias [5] - Rapeseed Oil: Sideways with an Upward Bias [5] - Soybean Meal: Wide - range Fluctuation [5] - Rapeseed Meal: Wide - range Fluctuation [5] - Soybean No. 2: Wide - range Fluctuation [5] - Soybean No. 1: Wide - range Fluctuation [5] - Live Pigs: Rebound [7] - Rubber: Sideways [9] - PX: Wait - and - see [9] - PTA: Short on Highs [9] - MEG: Short on Highs [9] - PR: Wait - and - see [9] - PF: Wait - and - see [9] Core Viewpoints - The black industry is affected by supply - side reform news and production restrictions in Tangshan, with short - term price fluctuations. The iron ore market has short - term strength but a long - term oversupply situation. The coking coal and coke market may see increased supply, and downstream demand is weakening. The rolled steel market has limited supply - demand contradictions in the short term, and the glass market has short - term supply contraction expectations [2]. - In the financial sector, the stock index shows different trends, and the bond market has a narrow - range rebound. Gold is affected by multiple factors and is expected to maintain high - level sideways movement [4]. - The pulp and log markets have a supply - demand dual - weak pattern. The oil and fat market is supported by biodiesel expectations, while the粕类 market is affected by US soybean production and trade policies [5]. - The live pig market has a downward trend in transaction weight and a possible decline in the weekly average price due to increased supply and weak demand. The rubber market has tight supply and weak demand, with inventory adjustments [7][9]. - The PX, PTA, MEG, PR, and PF in the polyester sector have different supply - demand and price trends, with some suggesting short - selling opportunities on highs [9]. Summary by Category Black Industry - **Iron Ore**: Season - end impulse of mines is basically over, global iron ore shipments decline, proximal arrivals increase, and the supply is still abundant. The iron ore price is strong in the short term due to sentiment disturbances but has a long - term oversupply pattern [2]. - **Coking Coal and Coke**: Supply may increase as some coal mines and coke enterprises are expected to resume production. Coke enterprises' profits shrink, downstream demand weakens, and inventory pressure increases [2]. - **Rolled Steel**: The "anti - involution" policy boosts supply - side sentiment, but the market is affected by the less - than - expected central urban work conference. The supply - demand contradiction is not prominent in the short term [2]. - **Glass**: Spot prices decline slightly, inventory decreases, and the long - term demand is difficult to recover significantly. The short - term price is supported by policies [2]. - **Soda Ash**: The short - term valuation is relatively low, and the price is sideways with a slightly upward bias, depending on downstream demand recovery [2]. Financial Sector - **Stock Index**: Different stock indices show various trends, with capital flowing in and out of different sectors. The economic data reflects certain resilience [4]. - **Treasury Bond**: The central bank conducts reverse repurchase operations, and the bond market has a narrow - range rebound [4]. - **Gold and Silver**: Gold is affected by multiple factors such as currency, finance, safety - hedge, and commodity attributes, and is expected to maintain high - level sideways movement. Silver is strong - trending [4]. Light Industry - **Pulp**: The cost price drops, the papermaking industry's profit is low, and the demand is in the off - season, resulting in a supply - demand dual - weak pattern [5]. - **Logs**: The arrival volume is expected to decrease, the daily shipment volume is low, and the market is in a supply - demand dual - weak pattern, while the impact of futures delivery needs attention [5]. Oil, Fat, and Oilseed Meal - **Oils and Fats**: The production of Malaysian palm oil decreases, but inventory increases. The domestic oil inventory rises, and the market is supported by biodiesel expectations [5]. - **Oilseed Meal**: The US soybean production and trade policies affect the market, and the domestic soybean import volume is large, with the price showing wide - range fluctuations [5]. Agricultural Products - **Live Pigs**: The transaction weight may decline slightly, the slaughter enterprise's settlement price is volatile, and the opening rate may continue to decline, with the weekly average price possibly falling [7]. Soft Commodities - **Rubber**: The supply is tight due to weather conditions, the demand is weak, and the inventory is in the adjustment stage, with the price expected to be in wide - range fluctuations [9]. Polyester Sector - **PX**: The supply is tight in the short term, and the price follows the oil price [9]. - **PTA**: The supply increases, the downstream load decreases, and the medium - term supply - demand weakens, with the price following the cost in the short term [9]. - **MEG**: The port inventory decreases slightly, but the supply pressure may appear in the medium term, and the price is under pressure [9]. - **PR**: The cost support weakens, and the market is in a weak - stable pattern [9]. - **PF**: The terminal demand is weak, and the price may continue to be weak and sideways [9].
关于比特币,你可能不知道的(一)
Hu Xiu· 2025-07-16 04:42
比特币到底是什么? 不只是郎咸平,中国很多名人也非常讨厌比特币。 "炒房教父"欧成效:比特币只值一美金。 财经作家陈思进:比特币是一场史无前例的庞氏骗局。 "校长"王思聪:XX才玩比特币。 当比特币刚诞生的时候,人们无法将其归类。它不符合任何一种金融资产的定义。在传统分类里,资产要么有上市公司背书(股票),要么有主权信用兜 底(外汇),要么是看得见摸得着的大宗商品,再不济也是基于其他资产的期货或期权。 什么都不是,比特币就只能是传销、诈骗。也就有了Professor郎咸平的惊天一拒: 2014年郎咸平拒绝了100个比特币,现价约等于他从缪空姐处追讨房款的16倍。 他们并不蠢,反而都是各个领域非常聪明的人。只是比特币过于新奇。直到今天,我们依然在苦寻一个足够优雅的框架来定义它。好比 1900 年开尔文所 描述的,它是漂浮在已经无懈可击的理论大厦上空的乌云。 一、为什么是货币? 在教科书里,货币只有两种类别:商品货币和信用货币。比特币没有使用价值,也从未得到过任何强力机构的背书,自然不属于这两类。但如果金银天然 不是货币,货币天然是金银,那么货币之所以是货币就可以与它的使用价值完全无关。 一个简单的对比:所有人都 ...
TRUMP迷因币为加密交易所带来1.72亿美元收入,XBIT最新解析meme币
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-15 20:28
Core Insights - The TRUMP meme coin has gained significant attention in the cryptocurrency market, generating $172 million in trading fees for major exchanges like Binance, Coinbase, and OKX [1][3] - The TRUMP coin's supply is highly concentrated, with 80% held by the Trump family and partners, raising concerns about its decentralization and associated risks [3][6] - XBIT decentralized exchange platform offers a contrasting model, emphasizing user control over assets and a transparent trading environment, which mitigates risks associated with centralized exchanges [5][6] Group 1 - The TRUMP meme coin has created a buzz in the cryptocurrency market, leading to substantial trading fee revenues for major exchanges [1][3] - The rapid listing of TRUMP on exchanges, taking only 4 days compared to an average of 129 days for similar coins, raises questions about the risk management practices of these platforms [3][6] - XBIT's decentralized platform operates on blockchain technology, ensuring that transactions are executed via smart contracts, reducing the potential for manipulation [5][6] Group 2 - XBIT allows users to fully control their assets, managing their private keys and avoiding issues related to centralized exchanges, such as account freezes [5][6] - The platform's cost structure is advantageous, with many basic transactions having no fees, appealing to frequent traders [5][6] - XBIT employs a rigorous asset screening process, contrasting with the hasty listing of high-risk coins like TRUMP by other exchanges, thereby providing a more reliable trading environment [6][7]
孙宇晨:波场TRON亮相EthCC,推动区块链技术融合与创新
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-14 16:13
Core Insights - TRON's participation in EthCC 2025 as a WAGMI sponsor highlights its commitment to decentralized technology and global strategy [1][3] - The event showcased TRON's technological advancements and its vision for a collaborative ecosystem in the blockchain industry [3][4] Group 1: TRON's Strategic Positioning - TRON aims to promote internet decentralization and views its sponsorship of EthCC as a milestone in its global strategy [3] - The platform's booth became a focal point, demonstrating its high-performance blockchain architecture and decentralized finance (DeFi) innovations [3] - TRON's mainnet has achieved an average daily transaction volume exceeding 9 million, with over 315 million on-chain accounts and a total value locked (TVL) of $22 billion [3] Group 2: Collaborative Initiatives - TRON announced strategic partnerships with several EthCC participants, focusing on technology development, application expansion, and talent cultivation [4] - A notable collaboration with Consensys aims to develop cross-chain interoperability tools, simplifying the deployment process for developers [4] - TRON launched a "Web3 Infrastructure Developer Incentive Program," investing tens of millions to support innovative projects within the TRON and Ethereum ecosystems [4] Group 3: Technological Achievements - TRON showcased its advancements in cross-border payments, achieving near-instant settlement times and transaction fees below 0.1% for thousands of businesses in emerging markets [6] - The partnership with APENFT introduced a new version of a blockchain art platform, enhancing revenue transparency for creators through AI-generated technology [6] - TRON's practical applications across various sectors, including stablecoins and creator economies, serve as replicable models for the industry [6] Group 4: Vision for the Future - TRON positions itself as a "bridge" connecting different ecosystems and empowering diverse groups, aiming to make blockchain technology a foundational element for global change [8]
新世纪期货:美联储9月降息预期下降 预计黄金维持高位震荡
Jin Tou Wang· 2025-07-14 06:12
Group 1: Gold Market Performance - On July 14, the Shanghai gold futures contract reported a price of 778.16 CNY per gram, with an increase of 0.64% [1] - The opening price for the day was 777.62 CNY per gram, reaching a high of 781.18 CNY and a low of 776.24 CNY [1] Group 2: Macro Economic Factors - Trump's "big and beautiful" plan has passed, potentially exacerbating the U.S. debt issue and leading to cracks in the dollar's monetary credibility, highlighting gold's de-dollarization attributes [2] - In a global high-interest rate environment, gold's role as a zero-yield asset is diminishing, and its sensitivity to U.S. Treasury real interest rates is decreasing [2] - Geopolitical risks have slightly decreased, but Trump's tariff policies are intensifying global trade tensions, maintaining market demand for safe-haven assets, which is a significant factor in driving up gold prices [2] - There has been a notable increase in physical gold demand in China, with the central bank resuming gold purchases since November last year, continuing for eight consecutive months [2] Group 3: Institutional Perspectives - In the context of high interest rates and global restructuring, the pricing mechanism of gold is shifting from being centered on real interest rates to being driven by central bank purchases, reflecting a decentralized and risk-averse demand [3] - The logic behind the current rise in gold prices has not completely reversed, with the Federal Reserve's interest rate and tariff policies acting as short-term disturbances; a more cautious interest rate policy is expected this year [3] - The evolution of tariff policies and geopolitical conflicts will dominate changes in market risk sentiment, with recent U.S. labor market data showing resilience, as non-farm employment exceeded expectations and the unemployment rate fell to 4.1% [3] - Core PCE inflation data indicates resilience, with a year-on-year increase of 2.7%, surpassing market expectations, while overall PCE inflation matched expectations at 2.3% [3] - The latest tariff measures by Trump have escalated the trade war, leading to a resurgence in market risk sentiment, which supports gold prices [3]
比特幣創新高、以太幣暴漲 25%!行情已經過度貪婪,還是根本還沒開始?
腦哥 Chill塊鏈· 2025-07-13 10:45
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