Core Viewpoint - JEDI Group (08313) has issued a profit warning, expecting a net loss of approximately 730,000 Singapore dollars for the six months ending June 30, 2025, which represents an improvement compared to a net loss of about 1.42 million Singapore dollars in the same period last year, reflecting a reduction of approximately 690,000 Singapore dollars or 48.6% [1] Financial Performance - The expected financial performance improvement is primarily attributed to a fair value gain of financial derivatives amounting to approximately 670,000 Singapore dollars, an increase of 970,000 Singapore dollars compared to a prior loss of 290,000 Singapore dollars [1] - Employee costs have decreased by approximately 230,000 Singapore dollars, and income tax expenses have reduced by about 150,000 Singapore dollars [1] Revenue Analysis - Revenue has declined from approximately 1.76 million Singapore dollars in the previous period to about 1.39 million Singapore dollars in the current reporting period [1] - The revenue decrease is mainly due to a reduction in dividend income by approximately 130,000 Singapore dollars, a decrease in management fees from special purpose companies and real estate funds by about 300,000 Singapore dollars, and a reduction in performance fees from managed real estate funds by approximately 590,000 Singapore dollars [1] - This revenue decline was partially offset by a one-time bidding fee of about 500,000 Singapore dollars paid by Media Circle Fund and Laserblue for the successful acquisition of residential projects, along with an increase in company expenses of approximately 110,000 Singapore dollars [1]

Core Viewpoint - The company expects a net loss of approximately SGD 730,000 for the six months ending June 30, 2025, which represents an improvement of about SGD 690,000 or 48.6% compared to a net loss of SGD 1.42 million in the same period last year [1] Financial Performance - The improvement in financial performance is primarily attributed to a fair value gain of financial derivatives amounting to approximately SGD 670,000, an increase of SGD 970,000 compared to a prior loss of SGD 290,000 [1] - Employee costs decreased by approximately SGD 230,000, and income tax expenses were reduced by about SGD 150,000 [1] Revenue Analysis - Revenue decreased from approximately SGD 1.76 million in the previous period to about SGD 1.39 million during the reporting period [1] - The decline in revenue is mainly due to a reduction in dividend income by approximately SGD 130,000, a decrease in management fees from special purpose companies and real estate funds by about SGD 300,000, and a reduction in performance fees from real estate funds by approximately SGD 590,000 [1] - This revenue decline was partially offset by a one-time bidding fee of approximately SGD 500,000 paid by Media Circle Fund and Laserblue for the successful acquisition of residential projects, along with an increase in company expenses of about SGD 110,000 [1]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Views of the Report - The overall sentiment of stock index futures is positive, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising nearly 1% and financial stocks leading the gain, indicating signs of large - scale capital inflow. It is advisable to continue holding IM long positions [1][7]. - The stock index option market maintains a view of moderate growth. It is recommended to continue holding covered options to maintain positive delta and negative gamma exposures and obtain time - value decay benefits [2][7]. - The bond market shows differentiation. Short - term bonds may perform better, and there is a higher odds of steepening the yield curve in the medium term [3][9]. 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 Market Views Stock Index Futures - The basis of IF, IH, IC, and IM current - month contracts are - 8.45, - 1.33, - 37.84, and - 33.08 points respectively, with a month - on - month change of - 2.95, - 2.14, - 6.70, and - 5.19 points [7]. - The spreads between current - month and next - month contracts of IF, IH, IC, and IM are 13.0, - 1.6, 66.8, and 72.4 points respectively, with a month - on - month change of 0.6, - 1.4, 5.2, and 3.2 points [7]. - The total open interest of IF, IH, IC, and IM changes by 1005, 660, - 1806, and - 7110 lots respectively [7]. - The market continues to rise, and there are positive factors for the August market, such as pre - parade risk - preference support, limited impact of the earnings season, and potential benefits from a weaker US dollar [1][7]. Stock Index Options - The trading volume of the option market is 4.72 billion yuan, a decrease of 8.06% from the previous day. The liquidity continues to decline, but the trading volume of the broader market increases marginally [2][7]. - Most varieties' open - interest PCR continues to rise, and the skewness mainly declines, indicating that the market starts to trade the upward expectation again after a short consolidation [2][7]. - The implied volatility of varieties such as 50ETF, 300ETF, and MO fluctuates at a low level, and that of Shanghai 500ETF rises slightly. The low - level implied - volatility fluctuation may continue [2][7]. Treasury Futures - The trading volume and open interest of T, TF, TS, and TL current - quarter contracts change to varying degrees. The spreads between current - quarter and next - quarter contracts, cross - variety spreads, and basis also change [8]. - The central bank conducts 16.07 billion yuan of 7 - day reverse repurchases, with 44.92 billion yuan of 7 - day reverse repurchases maturing, resulting in a net withdrawal of 28.85 billion yuan from the open market [8]. - The long - end of treasury bonds performs better than the short - end, and the yield curve flattens. The loose funding situation is beneficial to the bond market, while the strong equity market and the release of pro - growth policies are negative factors for the bond market [3][8][9]. - Operation suggestions include being cautiously optimistic about trends, paying attention to short - selling hedging at low basis levels, appropriately paying attention to basis widening, and having a higher odds of steepening the yield curve in the medium term [9]. 3.2 Economic Calendar - The economic data to be released this week include the US factory orders month - on - month rate in June, the US ISM non - manufacturing PMI in July, China's trade balance in July, the UK central bank's benchmark interest rate in August, the US initial jobless claims for the week ending August 2, and China's M2 money supply annual growth rate in July [11]. 3.3 Important Information and News Tracking - 16 departments including the National Disease Control Bureau jointly issued the Implementation Plan for the Health Environment Promotion Action of the Healthy China Initiative (2025 - 2030) to promote the construction of a beautiful and healthy China [12]. - Seven departments including the central bank jointly issued the Guiding Opinions on Financial Support for New - style Industrialization, aiming to promote the deep integration of the digital economy and the real economy [12]. - Fed's Daly said that the time for interest - rate cuts is approaching, and two interest - rate cuts this year are still an appropriate adjustment. There may be fewer than two cuts, but more cuts are more likely [12]. - On the afternoon of August 5, the power load of the Chongqing power grid reached 30.28 million kilowatts, a new high this summer, an increase of 6.7% compared to last year's highest load [13]. - The World Semiconductor Trade Statistics Organization (WSTS) announced that the global semiconductor market size from January to June this year reached $346 billion, a year - on - year increase of 18.9% [13].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The report comprehensively explores the fundamentals, trading strategies, and price characteristics of stock index futures in the Chinese market. It analyzes the development, trading mechanisms, and influencing factors of stock index futures, aiming to provide investors with a detailed understanding and practical strategies for investment and risk management [18][167][204]. - It emphasizes the importance of basis in stock index futures research, as it is a key indicator for many hedging and arbitrage strategies. The report also highlights the impact of factors such as market sentiment, dividends, and macro - economic indicators on the basis [89][138][109]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Stock Index Futures Preliminary Exploration - **Definition and Characteristics**: Stock index futures are standardized financial futures contracts with stock indices as underlying assets. They have features like standardized contract design, margin - leveraged trading, T + 0 trading, and daily mark - to - market settlement. They play functions such as hedging, speculation, and arbitrage [18][19]. - **Differences from Stock Indices**: Stock indices are used to measure market trends and cannot be directly traded, while stock index futures are tradable contracts with expiration dates, allowing for long and short positions. Their price fluctuations are affected by different factors [18]. - **Contract Design**: There are four listed stock index futures varieties in China. Each variety has four contracts with different expiration dates. The contract value is calculated by multiplying the contract price by the contract multiplier. The naming, switching, and characteristics of contracts are also introduced [27][37]. - **Market Development**: The development of China's stock index futures market has gone through stages of initial exploration, suspension, policy research, and gradual relaxation. The number of varieties has gradually increased, and market liquidity has gradually recovered [38][39][42]. - **Trading Groups**: The participants in the stock index futures market include hedgers, speculators, and arbitrageurs. Different types of institutional investors have different participation purposes and restrictions [52]. - **Seat Data**: Seat data in the stock index futures market reflects the behavior and confidence of investment entities. By analyzing seat characteristics, seats can be classified, which helps in understanding market trends [66][82]. 3.2 Stock Index Futures Basic Research - **Basis Overview**: Basis is defined as the difference between the stock index futures price and the index price. It has characteristics such as converging to zero as the expiration date approaches and showing mean - reversion. The annualized basis rate is used for comparison between different contracts [88][89]. - **Basis and Market Conditions**: The basis can act as a market sentiment indicator and has a leading relationship with the market. It can also show trend divergence from the index, providing insights into market trends [95][98]. - **Basis Distribution Characteristics**: Stock index futures are often in a state of contango, mainly due to hedging demand. The basis is related to factors such as macro - economic indicators (e.g., treasury bond yields), shows seasonality, and has a certain convergence speed [102][109][114]. - **Basis Modeling**: Building a basis prediction model requires identifying relevant factors, quantifying them with appropriate factors, and combining them through mathematical models. The influencing factors are divided into those from the spot market and the futures market [124]. - **Stock Index Futures and Index Dividends**: Index dividends affect the basis of stock index futures. The price index will decline with dividends, and the basis needs to be adjusted according to dividend expectations. Methods for calculating index dividend points and predicting ex - dividend dates are also provided [138][142][148]. 3.3 Stock Index Futures Trading Strategies - **Hedging Strategies**: Hedging aims to reduce investment risks by establishing opposite positions. The four elements of hedging are variety selection, contract selection, hand - number selection, and timing. Different methods can be used for each element to optimize the hedging effect and reduce costs [167][170][175]. - **Cash - and - Carry Arbitrage Strategies**: Cash - and - carry arbitrage takes advantage of the price difference between the spot and futures markets. When the futures are at a premium, a long - spot and short - futures strategy is used; when at a discount, the opposite is done. Setting appropriate opening thresholds can help balance risk and return [204]. - **Calendar Spread Arbitrage Strategies**: Calendar spread arbitrage exploits the price difference between contracts with different expiration dates. The influencing factors of the spread include market sentiment, basis, and trading behavior. When the market is expected to rise, a long - far - short - near strategy can be used; when it is expected to fall, a long - near - short - far strategy is appropriate [208][214].

Group 1 - The core concept of stock index futures and options is that they are essential derivative tools for equity markets, complementing each other to form a complete risk management system [3][4] - Stock index futures allow investors to short the market and provide a hedging tool, with a T+0 trading system enabling same-day buy and sell transactions [4][5] - Stock index options grant investors the right, but not the obligation, to buy or sell a stock index at a predetermined price, offering lower risk and higher potential returns compared to stock options [5][8] Group 2 - "IPO plus stock index futures options" is not a standard financial term but can be understood as the relationship between IPOs and stock index futures options, where IPOs are crucial for companies transitioning to public status [7][9] - Stock index futures are typically cash-settled, while stock index options can be settled either in cash or through physical delivery, depending on the contract design [8] - Both IPOs and stock index futures options can influence market sentiment and pricing, with stock index futures options providing risk management tools for companies post-IPO [9]

Core Insights - The global cryptocurrency market is experiencing significant changes, with SHIB's token burn rate soaring to 5762.9%, while Bitcoin's network transaction volume has dropped to 317,000, marking a two-year low. Additionally, BlackRock's IBIT holdings have surpassed $69.5 billion, with over 660,000 Bitcoins held [1] Group 1: Leverage and Derivatives - SHIB's open interest weighted funding rate has turned positive at 0.0048%, indicating a slow shift of funds towards long positions. This change highlights the fundamental differences between leverage and contract systems [3] - The OKX liquidation heatmap reveals a significant number of vulnerable short positions between $0.0000132 and $0.0000133, illustrating the distinct impacts of leverage and contract functionalities on market dynamics [3] - XBIT decentralized trading platform utilizes advanced risk management algorithms to help users find an optimal balance between leverage and contract tools [3] Group 2: Political Economy and Market Psychology - The political fallout from the Trump-Musk alliance has emerged as a critical variable affecting the cryptocurrency market, influencing investor preferences for leverage and contract tools through market sentiment [4] - Increased uncertainty leads to higher emotional sensitivity in leverage trading, while contract trading offers a more refined risk pricing mechanism, allowing investors to construct robust hedging strategies during market volatility [4] - As SHIB's deflationary pressure increases and address activity rises, market sentiment is transitioning from panic to rationality, reflecting investors' macroeconomic outlook [4] Group 3: Decentralized Financial Infrastructure - XBIT is exploring the integration of biometric technology with blockchain to enhance the security model of derivative trading, utilizing zero-knowledge proof technology and multi-signature transaction architecture [6] - The non-custodial model of XBIT ensures users maintain complete control over their assets, mitigating platform risks while providing enhanced trading privacy [6] - Investors are encouraged to understand the intrinsic logic of various trading tools and align them with their risk preferences and investment goals to achieve sustainable investment success in the evolving cryptocurrency market [6]

Core Insights - The surge in gold prices over the past year has led to increased interest in gold ETFs, which allow investors to hold gold in a more accessible manner compared to traditional methods [2][4] - Gold ETFs are essentially a financial product that securitizes physical gold, enabling small investors to participate in gold investment with minimal capital [2][5] - The popularity of gold ETFs reflects a broader trend of investor anxiety amid declining deposit rates and increased stock market volatility [4] Group 1: Gold ETF Characteristics - Gold ETFs allow for the securitization of physical gold, breaking it down into smaller units for easier trading [5] - They offer low-cost advantages, with management fees ranging from 0.3% to 0.6%, eliminating the need for physical storage costs [6] - The products come with dual risks, including counterparty risk and potential issues with the underlying gold reserves [6] Group 2: Market Dynamics and Risks - In Q1 2025, global gold ETF holdings surged by 226.5 tons, indicating a significant increase in demand [4] - The volatility of gold ETFs is highlighted by their average return of 15% in Q1 2025, but with a high volatility rate of 12%, which poses risks to investors [3] - The emergence of inverse gold ETFs introduces additional risk, as they can lead to losses even when the investor correctly predicts market direction due to compounding effects [3][6] Group 3: Investor Behavior and Recommendations - The growing interest in gold ETFs among retail investors, including those with limited financial knowledge, raises concerns about potential market bubbles [4] - Experts recommend that gold ETFs should be used as a stabilizing asset in a diversified portfolio, suggesting a maximum allocation of 5%-10% of total assets [4]

Core Viewpoint - Sinopec reported a significant decline in investment income, with a year-on-year decrease of 69.9% to 1.647 billion yuan, resulting in a loss of 3.825 billion yuan in the first quarter of 2025, primarily due to the accounting performance of derivative settlements and the impact of downstream joint venture company performance [1] Group 1 - Sinopec's financial derivatives business aligns with regulatory requirements and aims to stabilize price fluctuations and mitigate market risks [1] - The company's derivative business operations were reported to be healthy and stable in the first quarter [1] - The changes in profit and loss from hedging activities are attributed to the accounting representation of derivative business settlements [1] Group 2 - The performance of Sinopec's joint ventures, primarily focused on downstream operations, experienced a year-on-year decline in the first quarter [1]

无锡双象超纤材料股份有限公司 关于开展以套期保值为目的的金融衍生品业务的公告 本公司及董事会全体成员保证信息披露内容的真实、准确和完整， 没有虚假记载、误导性陈述或重大遗漏。 重要内容提示: 1、交易目的、交易品种、交易工具、交易场所和交易金额:随着 无锡双象超纤材料股份有限公司（以下简称"双象股份"、"公司"） 业务的不断拓展，日常经营中涉及的外汇收支规模日益增长，汇率和 利率波动将对公司经营业绩产生一定影响。为有效规避和防范汇率、 利率风险，公司及全资子公司拟开展以套期保值为目的的金融衍生品 业务，增强公司财务稳健性及外汇风险管控能力。公司将合理安排资 金，不会影响公司主营业务的发展；交易品种为金融机构提供的远期 结售汇、外汇期权、利率掉期、外汇掉期等衍生品。公司不涉及境外 或场外衍生品交易。公司及全资子公司预计任一交易日持有的最高合 约价值不超过4,000万美元(含等值外币)，预计动用的交易保证金和权 利金上限（包括为交易而提供的担保物价值、预计占用的金融机构授 信额度、为应急措施所预留的保证金等）为350万美元（含等值外币）。 以上额度的使用期限自公司第七届董事会第十六次会议审议通过之日 起至2026 ...