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广州3天内3宗地块终止出让,有何信号?
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-12-23 13:22
短短3天内,广州多宗地块宣布终止出让。 从区位来看,天河金融城地块北临黄埔大道,距离广州地铁4号线车陂南站约300米,高层住宅可实现南 向望江,具备优质的景观与交通优势。 白云增槎路地块规划计容建筑面积约8.36万平方米,起价约15.04亿元,距离在建的广州地铁13号线罗冲 围站约200至300米,定位为TOD上盖项目。 每经记者查询发现,目前白云增槎路地块周边暂无新房在售,次新房保利珑熙的房源挂牌价约为3.6万 元/平方米。 值得注意的是,这两宗地块均具备江景资源。其中,天河地块南向望江、近广州地铁4号线车陂南站; 白云地块为TOD上盖+西南向一线江景。虽然两宗地块均已优化出让条件,但仍未获得任何房企报名, 最终终止出让。 据广州公共资源交易中心、广州市规划和自然资源局公告,12月18日至20日,天河金融城起步区 AT091007-1地块(起拍价约25.08亿元)、白云区增槎路以西AB3804019地块(起拍价约15.04亿元)、 番禺区洛浦街东乡A地块一期(起拍价约16.62亿元)等3宗涉宅地块相继终止出让,总起拍价合计约 56.74亿元。 《每日经济新闻》记者(以下简称每经记者)注意到,上述地块不乏江景 ...
住建部研判未来五年楼市新趋势
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2025-12-23 07:47
Core Viewpoint - The increasing proportion of second-hand housing transactions is recognized as a trend for the future, suggesting that the new housing market and the second-hand housing market should be viewed as a whole [1] Group 1: Market Trends - The national housing and urban construction work conference highlighted the significant changes in the supply-demand relationship in the real estate market, indicating a shift towards a stock development phase where new housing transactions decline while second-hand housing transactions increase [1] - According to a report by KPMG China, residential property sales area and investment completion amounts for the first 11 months of 2025 are only 48% and 62% of the same period in 2021, respectively, indicating an ongoing oversupply in the real estate market [2] - As of November 2025, the new and second-hand housing price indices have decreased by 12% and 21%, respectively, compared to the peak in August 2021 [2] Group 2: Inventory and Supply - The inventory pressure in the housing market has shown signs of marginal improvement, with the National Bureau of Statistics reporting a continuous month-on-month decrease in the area of unsold commercial housing for nine consecutive months [2] - The expected inventory-to-sales ratio for the top ten major cities is projected to remain high at 21 months by the end of 2025, indicating a persistent inventory challenge [2] - The conference emphasized the need to stabilize the real estate market by controlling increments, reducing inventory, and optimizing supply, particularly through the acquisition of existing properties for affordable housing [3] Group 3: Policy Measures - The conference outlined specific measures to revitalize existing housing stock, including urban renewal and the acquisition of existing properties for use as affordable housing, dormitories, and talent housing [3] - Future work will focus on preventing and mitigating real estate company debt risks, better meeting reasonable funding needs of homebuyers, and integrating "stabilizing the market" with "promoting transformation" [3] - The meeting also called for reforms in the housing provident fund system and the establishment of a new model for real estate development, emphasizing the importance of policy support and reform innovation to ensure a smooth transition from old to new models [4][5]
住建部定调2026楼市调控:因城施策控增量、去库存、优供给
Bei Jing Shang Bao· 2025-12-23 04:24
北京商报讯(记者 王寅浩 李晗)12月22日至23日,全国住房城乡建设工作会议在北京召开。 会议明确,因城施策控增量、去库存、优供给,结合城市更新、城中村改造盘活利用存量用地,推动收 购存量商品房用作保障性住房、安置房、宿舍、人才房等。优化和精准实施保障性住房供应,实施房屋 品质提升工程,有序推进"好房子"建设。 ...
楼市即将全面放开限制?房价要开始上涨了?发改委明确表示
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-22 19:00
近日,一则来自高层的政策信号,让沉闷许久的房地产市场再起波澜。先是广东在"十五五"规划中提 出"清理住房消费不合理限制性措施",接着国家发改委也明确发文,要"推动清理汽车、住房等消费不 合理限制性措施"。这被普遍解读为,针对北上深等城市楼市限购政策的"松绑"信号。 消息一出,最受触动的是无数普通家庭。一部分人心中燃起一丝希望,盼着市场回暖;但更多的人,心 中却是一沉,泛起深深的忧虑,一旦全面放开,压抑已久的房价会不会像脱缰野马,迎来一波报复性上 涨? 这种担忧,源于对过去房价飞涨的记忆,也源于对自身财富在不确定性中可能再次被"洗牌"的深 深不安。 信心和购买力的背后,是冰冷的市场数据。当前楼市正面临着巨大的库存压力。数据显示,2025年11 月,35个重点城市的库存出清周期已长达24.54个月,这意味着按目前的销售速度,卖完现有库存需要 超过两年时间,而且这个周期还在环比上升。 广东的市场数据更具代表性。作为经济大省,其楼市现状堪称缩影:2025年前十个月,广东全省新建商 品房销售额同比大幅下降16.7%,房地产开发投资也缩减了20.7%。在这样的市场基础上,政策的首要 目标是"去库存"、"稳市场",而非刺激 ...
大宗商品年末大戏:铂钯银盛宴,碳酸锂疯狂、多晶硅逼空、焦煤纠结、黄金怪象...
对冲研投· 2025-12-20 04:05
Group 1: Double Coke Market Analysis - The current supply side is relatively loose, with high import volumes from Mongolia and increased production rates from domestic coking plants due to improved profit margins from lower raw material prices [2][3] - Demand is weakening as winter sets in, leading to reduced steel production and lower consumption of coking coal, resulting in increased inventory levels for both coking plants and steel mills [2][3] - The market is experiencing a tug-of-war between optimistic policy news and the harsh reality of increased supply, decreased demand, and rising inventories [3] Group 2: Lithium Carbonate Market Dynamics - The recent price surge in lithium carbonate is supported by a solid fundamental basis, with ongoing inventory reduction and stable demand from the electric vehicle and energy storage sectors [6][7] - A significant announcement regarding the cancellation of mining rights in Yichun triggered a strong emotional response in the market, despite its minimal actual impact on lithium supply [9][10] - The price increase was further fueled by short sellers being forced to cover their positions as prices rose, creating a feedback loop that pushed prices higher [11] Group 3: Polysilicon Market Overview - The recent price increase in polysilicon is characterized as a "short squeeze," driven by a combination of regulatory factors, supply scarcity, and market expectations of coordinated price stabilization efforts among major producers [12][13] - Despite the bullish sentiment in the futures market, the actual polysilicon industry faces significant overcapacity, with production utilization rates as low as 35%-40% and high inventory levels [14][15] - The divergence between the thriving futures market and the struggling physical market raises questions about the sustainability of current price levels [15] Group 4: Precious Metals Market Insights - Platinum is experiencing a supply shortage, with projections indicating a continuous deficit until 2029, driven by production challenges in South Africa and its emerging role in hydrogen fuel cells [17] - Silver's price surge is supported by strong industrial demand, particularly from the solar industry, coupled with low inventory levels, while financial market expectations of interest rate cuts further bolster its appeal [18] - Palladium's recent price increase is attributed to its relative underperformance compared to other precious metals, combined with geopolitical factors affecting supply [19] Group 5: Nickel Market Developments - Indonesia's proposed significant reduction in nickel production targets for 2026 has sparked market speculation about future supply tightness, although this remains a draft plan and not yet finalized [29][30] - The global nickel market is expected to face a supply surplus in 2026, with projected production of 4.02 million tons against a demand of 3.77 million tons, indicating ongoing overcapacity [30][31] Group 6: Global Macro Asset Market Trends - The U.S. stock market and the dollar are strengthening due to robust economic data and persistent inflation, which enhances the attractiveness of dollar-denominated assets [32] - Asian markets, particularly Chinese A-shares, are showing signs of undervaluation, suggesting potential long-term investment opportunities as they await catalysts for upward movement [33][34] - Commodity markets are experiencing differentiation, with energy and metals leading the gains, while gold remains in a high volatility phase, awaiting new directional cues [36]
保利发展:积极应对行业变化 落实去库存、调结构的经营策略
Zheng Quan Ri Bao Wang· 2025-12-17 11:12
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article is that Poly Developments (600048) acknowledges that its stock performance is influenced by multiple factors and emphasizes its commitment to operational strategies to enhance shareholder value [1] Group 2 - The company plans to continue focusing on its operations while actively responding to industry changes [1] - The company aims to implement strategies for destocking and structural adjustments to improve operational quality [1] - The company is dedicated to creating value for its shareholders through these efforts [1]
保利发展:公司自2022年起坚定“去库存”,推进存量项目销售去化
Zheng Quan Ri Bao· 2025-12-17 09:38
(文章来源:证券日报) 证券日报网讯 12月17日,保利发展在互动平台回答投资者提问时表示,公司市值变化受多种因素综合 影响,公司立足持续经营,自2022年起坚定"去库存",推进存量项目销售去化,在保障经营安全基础 上,不断优化资源结构。面对行业新发展模式,公司积极提升产品品质、推进租赁住房业务发展,加强 核心竞争力建设,有信心持续改善经营质量,努力为股东创造价值。 ...
政策“加减法” 中国多城楼市成交走稳
Zhong Guo Xin Wen Wang· 2025-12-17 08:24
Core Viewpoint - The real estate market in several core cities in China is stabilizing through supply and demand adjustments, with new and second-hand housing transactions showing growth in the first 11 months of the year [1] Group 1: Supply-Side Adjustments - Cities are implementing "reduction" strategies by controlling new supply to alleviate inventory pressure and stabilize prices, with national real estate development investment down 15.9% and new construction area down 20.5% year-on-year [2] - In Guiyang, the focus has shifted from large-scale projects to smaller, high-quality land parcels, resulting in a 1.9% year-on-year increase in new housing sales over the first ten months [2] Group 2: Cost Reduction Measures - Various regions are reducing housing costs by adjusting restrictive purchasing policies and expanding the use of housing provident funds, such as Shenzhen's new regulations allowing for the withdrawal of funds for down payments and taxes [3] - Yangjiang in Guangdong has introduced tax incentives for housing transactions, which contributed to the sale of 6,260 units [3] Group 3: Policy Innovations - Innovative use of "housing vouchers" is being implemented in several areas, with Quzhou issuing 3,150 vouchers that generated nearly 2 billion yuan in sales and reduced the sales cycle for residential properties [4] - Xiamen has also adopted housing vouchers to channel demand into the primary housing market, resulting in the purchase of 8,743 units from January to October [4] Group 4: Focus on Housing Quality - Enhancing housing quality is a key focus for many regions, with a push for high-quality residential projects that meet market demand, as seen in Wuhan where over 40 premium projects were launched, selling more than 15,000 units [6] - In Dezhou, Shandong, 11 high-quality residential projects sold over 2,800 units, accounting for 20% of the city's total housing sales [6]
控增量、去库存,11月末商品房库存环比再减301万平方米
Bei Ke Cai Jing· 2025-12-15 15:08
Core Viewpoint - The national real estate market in China is experiencing significant declines in investment and sales, but a reduction in unsold housing inventory is seen as a positive sign for future market stabilization [1][2][11]. Group 1: Investment and Sales Data - From January to November, national real estate development investment reached 7.86 trillion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 15.9% [5]. - New residential property sales amounted to 7.51 trillion yuan, down 11.1% year-on-year, with sales area decreasing by 7.8% [10]. - The construction area for real estate projects fell to 6.56 billion square meters, a decline of 9.6% year-on-year, with new construction area down 20.5% [5]. Group 2: Inventory and Market Dynamics - As of the end of November, the unsold housing inventory was 7.53 billion square meters, a reduction of 301 million square meters from the end of October, marking nine consecutive months of decline [1][11]. - The reduction in unsold inventory is viewed as a sign of improving supply-demand dynamics, which may eventually benefit the second-hand housing market [2][11]. - The ongoing decline in new construction and investment is seen as a necessary adjustment to alleviate inventory pressure and stabilize prices [6]. Group 3: Policy and Future Outlook - Local governments are implementing policies to revitalize existing resources, such as optimizing housing usage and improving loan conditions [10]. - The central economic work conference emphasized controlling new supply and reducing inventory, indicating a tightening supply signal [11]. - Projections for 2026 suggest a continued decline in new housing sales and construction, but at a slower rate, indicating potential structural opportunities in favorable markets [11].
11月上海、沈阳等8城新房价格上涨,商品房库存实现九连降
2 1 Shi Ji Jing Ji Bao Dao· 2025-12-15 11:20
Core Viewpoint - The real estate market in November continues to show fluctuations, but the effectiveness of policies aimed at stabilizing the market is becoming evident, with some major cities experiencing increased transaction activity [2] Group 1: Market Performance - In November, the overall housing prices in 70 major cities continued to adjust, with new residential prices in first-tier cities decreasing by 0.4% month-on-month, while second and third-tier cities saw declines of 0.3% and 0.4% respectively [3] - The number of cities with rising new home prices increased to 8, including Shanghai, Shenyang, and Nanjing, indicating a positive signal for the market [3] - New home sales area from January to November reached 78,702 million square meters, down 7.8% year-on-year, with sales revenue at 75,130 billion yuan, a decline of 11.1% [4] Group 2: Inventory and Supply - The inventory of unsold residential properties has decreased for nine consecutive months, with a total of 75,306 million square meters remaining unsold at the end of November, down by 301 million square meters from October [5] - The supply of new homes in key cities is expected to increase, with a projected new supply of 669 million square meters in November, a 16% month-on-month increase [4] Group 3: Policy and Market Support - Various regions are intensifying support policies for home purchases, including subsidies and tax reductions, to boost market activity as the year-end purchasing window approaches [8] - The Central Economic Work Conference emphasized stabilizing the real estate market as a top priority for next year, focusing on controlling increments, reducing inventory, and improving supply [9] Group 4: Future Outlook - Analysts predict that the market will see a gradual recovery, with a focus on "de-inventory" policies and the resolution of existing policy bottlenecks [10] - The market is expected to show a trend of stability in both transaction volume and prices for second-hand homes, with core cities likely to see a release of rigid demand [10]