▲ 戳蓝 色字关注我们！ "科学技术是第一生产力，创新是引领发展的第一动力。" 你知道吗？就在今天，我们又迎来了DeepSeek时刻！ 一家中国公司刚刚干翻了硅谷明星公司Physical Intelligence，拿下了全球具身智能模型第一名，而且——完全开源。这个事比你想象的更炸 裂。 这个全球榜单有多硬核？ RoboChallenge Table30，是全球首个大规模真机评测榜单，这不是在电脑里跑仿真，是让真机器人去干30项实实在在的活儿——包括插花、 叠衣服、开水龙头、整理果篮。 你想啊，以前那些榜单都是各家自己发文章自己吹，但RoboChallenge不一样，它是由Hugging Face发起的第三方测评，统一任务、统一标 准、统一硬件环境，你的模型好不好，拉出来溜溜就知道。 千 寻 智 能 的 Spirit 1.5 这 次 拿 了 总 分 66 分 ， 成 功 率 超 过 50% ， 直 接 把 之 前 排 第 一 的 Pi0.5 给 超 了 （ 就 是 那 个 拿 了 4 亿 美 金 融 资 的 Physical Intelligence）。 更关键的是，英伟达的高级研究科学家Jim Fan——在 ...

—— 吴晓波 点击按钮▲立即收听 " 在过去的很多年里，我们先是实现了 ' 后发跟进 ' ，继而展开 ' 弯道超越 ' ，如今我们有可能完成第三个任务，那便是 ' 升级领跑 ' 。 " 文 /巴九灵（微信公众号：吴晓波频道） "AI硬件的未来铁定在中国。"看完了这场智能硬件展后，吴老师愈发坚定了他的看法。 这两天，全球最大的消费电子展 CES在美国"赌城"拉斯维加斯热热闹闹开幕了，而在美国的另一端，几乎同一时间， 中国的阿里云也在深圳举办 了一场智能硬件展，它被外界称为 "第一届中国版CES"，似有"打擂"之意。 阿里云通义智能硬件展现场 整个展馆 5000多平米，不算大，但总共超1500件AI硬件新品亮相，都是从和通义多模态大模型家族合作的15万家智能厂商严格挑选出来的，其中 180件在美国CES展同步首发。从Z世代到银发族，从办公软件到家庭娱乐，几乎涵盖了3C数码、家电、卫浴、玩具、乐器、健身器材、机器人、 电动车、飞行器等所有消费领域。 区别于传统意义上的科技展台，我们对这届智能硬件的第一印象是 "很强的摊位感"： 功能不一的智能眼镜就像在眼镜店里一样，密集地摆在一起，随意试用，成为展馆最拥挤的地方；各 ...

Core Viewpoint - AI glasses are transitioning from smartphone accessories to independent smart terminals, driven by the integration of eSIM technology and multimodal AI capabilities, marking a significant shift in the industry towards standalone functionality [3][4]. Group 1: Industry Trends - The introduction of eSIM technology allows AI glasses to operate independently from smartphones, enabling functionalities such as calls, real-time AI conversations, and online streaming without needing a mobile connection [6]. - The global shipment of smart glasses is projected to see a 110% year-on-year increase in the first half of 2025, with AI glasses accounting for 78% of this growth [4][16]. - Major tech companies, including ByteDance and Alibaba, are accelerating their entry into the AI glasses market, with new products expected to launch soon [8][10]. Group 2: Product Innovations - Rayneo's X3 Pro Project eSIM, the first AI glasses with eSIM support, showcases the ability to function independently, enhancing user experience [6]. - Rokid's new AI smart glasses, Rokid Style, emphasize an open ecosystem, supporting various AI models and maintaining a lightweight design [6]. - ByteDance's "Doubao" AI glasses are set to enter the market with a focus on user-friendly features and competitive pricing [8]. Group 3: Market Dynamics - The market for AI glasses is expected to benefit from government policies, including subsidies for consumers purchasing smart glasses, which will stimulate demand [18]. - The report indicates that Meta holds a leading market share of 73% in the smart glasses sector, with a significant increase in the proportion of AI-enabled glasses [16].

智能眼镜：多厂商发力，走向规模化应用 [Table_Industry] 批发零售业 智能眼镜行业跟踪报告 | [姓名table_Authors] | 电话 | 邮箱 | 登记编号 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 刘越男(分析师) | 021-38677706 | liuyuenan@gtht.com | S0880516030003 | | 范佳博(研究助理) | 021-38053328 | fanjiabo@gtht.com | S0880125120019 | 本报告导读： CES 2026 定调物理 AI，指向 AI 与硬件深度融合。智能眼镜新品百货齐放，大厂加 速布局，行业仍处成长期维持高景气。 投资要点： [Table_Report] 相关报告 批发零售业《即时零售亮眼，电商品类表现分 化》2025.11.22 批发零售业《老铺黄金大幅涨价，恒隆广场店开 业》2025.10.26 批发零售业《风格切换下，新消费再迎布局良 机》2025.10.19 批发零售业《7 月社零增速环比略降，金银珠宝 稳健》2025.08.16 批发零售业《WAIC 大会再现智能眼镜盛宴》 20 ...

Global Capital Markets - The global market is characterized by a simultaneous rise in risk appetite and demand for safe-haven assets, with A-shares experiencing a strong start to the year, as the Shanghai Composite Index returns to the 4000-point mark, driven by technology themes [2][3] - The US stock market sees the Dow Jones and S&P 500 indices reaching historical highs, supported by expectations of interest rate cuts and a rally in technology stocks [5][6] A-Share Market - The A-share market shows a strong performance with the ChiNext 50 Index surging nearly 10%, indicating a significant increase in risk appetite among investors [2][3] - The brain-computer interface concept emerges as a major highlight, with related stocks experiencing substantial gains, driven by technological breakthroughs and domestic industry acceleration [3][4] US Stock Market - The US stock market indices collectively rise, with the Dow Jones and S&P 500 achieving record closing highs, driven by expectations of a stable labor market and potential interest rate cuts [5][6] - Technology stocks, particularly semiconductor companies, are at the forefront of this rally, with significant gains observed in major players like Intel and Micron Technology [7] Commodity Markets - The international precious metals market sees significant price increases, with gold and silver prices rising sharply, driven by geopolitical tensions and expectations of liquidity easing [8][9] - Global official gold reserves surpass the value of overseas US Treasury bonds for the first time in 30 years, indicating a shift in the global reserve asset landscape [9][10] Semiconductor Industry - The semiconductor sector experiences a boom, particularly in storage chips, driven by surging demand from AI servers, with significant price increases reported [16][17] - Advanced process technology sees progress, with Qualcomm and Samsung discussing 2nm chip foundry cooperation, marking a new phase in the semiconductor industry's competitive landscape [18] AI Technology and Applications - The CES 2026 showcases significant advancements in AI technology, with major companies like NVIDIA and AMD unveiling new products that enhance AI capabilities [19][20] - Chinese manufacturers actively participate in the AI wearable sector, demonstrating technological strength and innovation, contributing to the global proliferation of AI devices [21][22] Commercial Space Industry - The commercial space sector witnesses intensified competition for frequency resources, with SpaceX receiving approval for additional Starlink satellites and China submitting large-scale satellite applications [23][24] - The rapid development of the space economy is anticipated, with projections indicating that the market could exceed $1 trillion in the coming years [25] Consumer Electronics - Rising storage chip prices are beginning to impact consumer electronics, leading to increased costs for smartphones, PCs, and electric vehicles, prompting companies to adjust their product strategies [26][27] - The smartphone market exhibits signs of "covert price increases," with manufacturers reducing configurations or shrinking discounts to offset rising costs [27][28] Global Market Interconnectivity - The global market shows enhanced interconnectivity, with the performance of the technology sector influencing asset allocation strategies across different markets [29] - The expectation of US Federal Reserve interest rate cuts is becoming a core variable in global asset pricing, affecting capital flows and investment strategies [29][30]

风险提示： 原材料价格波动风险；终端需求不及预期；行业竞争加剧。 报告导读： CES 2026 定调物理 AI ，指向 AI 与硬件深度融合。智能眼镜新品百货齐 放，大厂加速布局，行业仍处成长期维持高景气。 CES 2026 ：定调物理 AI ，指向 AI 与硬件深度融合。 1 月 6 日， 2026 年 CES 展于美国拉斯维加斯开幕，共有约 4300 家企业参展，来自 160 多个国 家。其中，中国参展商共有 942 家，约占参展企业总数的 22% ，参展数量仅次于美国，领先于韩国。英伟达 CEO 黄仁勋演讲指出， AI 的发展重心正从 " 数字智能 " 迈向能够理解并作用于物理世界的 " 物理 AI" ，由原先的技术展示逐步转向 AI 与硬件的深度融合。 多家中国智能眼镜企业参展，展外大厂动作频出。 根据品牌方舟， CES AI 眼镜相关的参展商约为 23 家，其中来自中国的企业达 16 家，包括雷鸟创新、 Rokid 、影目、 VITURE 、 XREAL 等品牌。 ① 雷鸟：达成运营商战略合作，推出首款支持 eSIM 智能眼镜 X3 Pro Project eSIM ，可独立完成包括通 话、实时 A ...

随着多模态大模型的发展，物理AI成为科技巨头角逐的关键阵地。日前在深圳举办的阿里云通义智能 硬件展上，阿里云发布多模态交互开发套件，集成了千问、万相、百聆三款通义基础大模型，预置十多 款Agent和MCP工具，丰富硬件设备与物理世界的智能交互能力。 降低开发门槛 "2026年我们特别看好智能硬件，应该会看到很多新的品类，绝对不光是手机、汽车和眼镜。"阿里云通 义大模型业务总经理徐栋在展会期间接受媒体采访时预计，把模型从"云上"向"云下"落地，提高易用 性，有利于生态繁荣，商业模式也可能会形成闭环；作为重要趋势，当前一些新型应用围绕小型化、碎 片化的刚需开展，厂商通过模型去定义硬件，提高用户黏性，模型能力逐渐提升，品牌效应逐步形成。 但是，AI硬件的普及仍然面临多重障碍。 徐栋指出，很多AI硬件的形态成本仍未达到大众普及水平，而且存在隐私顾虑。另外，开发范式转型 滞后，很多厂商还停留在传统Coding(编程)思维，没意识到IDR(需求定义)的价值越来越重要，且模型能 力在泛化调用工具等方面仍有提升空间。此外，硬件厂商自建模型面临的延时、效果与安全问题，进一 步制约了产业发展。 本次阿里云多模态交互开发套件为硬件 ...

2025年，人形机器人的火爆贯穿全年，在资本市场也备受关注，万得行业指数年度涨幅超过60%。 近期，在云深处启动上市辅导、优必选收购事项等催化下板块再度爆发。随着特斯拉Optimus 03将于一季度亮相，优必选、宇树科技等相继迈入万台产能 时代，均指向产业将迎来规模化量产跃迁。 01 量产拐点临近 2025年被称为人形机器人商业化元年，从春晚舞台到比赛竞技，再到文娱商演、工业智造、物流分拣、安防巡检等，产业加速落地。 进入2026年，产品的快速迭代和商业化逐步验证，量产成了行业关键词。 去年，马斯克说公司未来80%的市值将来自机器人，2026年将建成年产百万台的专用生产线，2026年计划对外交付5-10万台。Figure计划在2026年实现1.2 万台产能，并计划在四年内具备年产10万台的生产能力。 国内方面，2026年宇树科技、智元机器人和优必选的产能也将达到万台以上。 此外，终端需求起量也是行业即将步入量产阶段的一大印证。2025年头部玩家的销售额从千万级跃升至十亿级，其中优必选全年的订单总额逼近14亿，宇 树科技总额近12亿，越疆、智元、云深处均在10亿级别。 这得益于成本的下降。一直以来，成本始终是制 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the emergence of "Physical AI," which signifies the integration of AI into various hardware products, moving beyond traditional mobile applications to interact with the physical world [1][4][22]. Group 1: AI Hardware Development - The CES (Consumer Electronics Show) is highlighted as a global technology trendsetter, where the focus is shifting from conceptual displays to practical, mass-produced AI hardware products [2][6]. - The AI hardware showcased at the Aliyun Tongyi Intelligent Hardware Exhibition includes over 1,500 diverse products, indicating a significant shift towards practical applications of AI in everyday devices [1][2]. - Companies are now focusing on integrating AI capabilities into their products to enhance user experience, rather than just showcasing hardware specifications [2][6]. Group 2: Innovations in AI Applications - New AI hardware products, such as AI translators and health monitoring devices, are being developed to provide real-time insights and recommendations based on user data [7][9]. - The article mentions the introduction of AI hardware that can operate independently without the need for mobile applications, showcasing a trend towards more user-friendly designs [9][10]. - The integration of AI into various sectors, including automotive and health, is transforming how users interact with technology, making it more intuitive and responsive [16][17]. Group 3: Market Dynamics and Competitive Landscape - The article discusses how the Chinese hardware industry is leveraging its supply chain advantages to rapidly innovate and bring AI products to market [6][19]. - The shift from traditional business models to a more open-source approach with the Tongyi Qianwen model is enabling smaller companies and individual developers to participate in the AI hardware ecosystem [15][19]. - The competitive landscape is evolving, with companies focusing on practical applications of AI that address specific user needs, rather than just competing on technical specifications [13][21]. Group 4: Future of AI in Physical World - The article posits that the future of AI lies in its ability to seamlessly integrate into everyday objects, enhancing their functionality and user interaction [22][23]. - The concept of "AI as the new electricity" is introduced, suggesting that AI will become a fundamental part of various industries, similar to how electricity transformed society [19][22]. - The ongoing development of AI hardware is expected to lead to a significant transformation in productivity and user experience across multiple sectors [17][22].

Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided in the report. Core Viewpoints of the Report - In the first week of 2026 (01.05 - 01.09), the A - share market continued its upward trend, with the Shanghai Composite Index achieving 16 consecutive positive days and standing above 4100 points. The market trading remained highly active, with Friday's turnover reaching 3 trillion and the margin trading balance exceeding 2.6 trillion. The market was mainly driven by bottom - up growth themes, with technology - related sectors like AI applications, commercial space, and brain - computer interfaces rotating. The small and medium - cap style was dominant [3][12]. - In the short term, the overseas US employment market has resilience but also structural pressure. Inflation data is not expected to have a strong rebound, and the market has digested the possibility of the Fed not cutting interest rates in January. Overseas markets may experience high - level volatility in the short term, with limited impact on the domestic market. The overall supply - demand of market funds is neutral to optimistic, and with the profit - making effect, off - market funds may continue to flow in, and the market is expected to continue its upward trend [3][14]. - Last week (01.05 - 01.09), the bond market showed a "V - shaped reversal", with long - term yields generally weakening. The short - term sentiment in the bond market has stabilized slightly, but the possibility of interest rate cuts in the medium and short term is still low. The bond market lacks positive catalysts, and it may have a short - term rebound but is likely to remain neutral in the medium term, with a dominant wait - and - see sentiment [4][15]. Summary According to Relevant Catalogs 1. Weekly Market Observation 1.1. Equity Market Review and Observation - Market Performance: In the first week of 2026 (01.05 - 01.09), the A - share market continued to rise, with major broad - based indices generally increasing and reaching new stage highs. The trading volume on Friday returned to the peak of 3 trillion, and the margin trading balance exceeded 2.6 trillion. The market was driven by growth themes such as AI applications, commercial space, and brain - computer interfaces, with the small and medium - cap style being dominant [12]. - Sector Analysis: The brain - computer interface sector was active this week. Expectations of Neuralink's mass production, the establishment of Gestalt Technology in China, and market expectations for the "14th Five - Year Plan" drove the sector's sentiment. The sector may maintain its popularity with the upcoming "2026 Brain - Computer Interface Developers Conference" and other positive news. The aerospace sector had a continuous rally, driven by factors such as the IPO boom in the commercial space field, policy support, and satellite constellation plans. The growth of the growth sector was also related to the CES 2026 exhibition, with the intelligent vehicle and robot sectors being catalyzed by the "physical AI" concept and the focus on the autonomous driving ecosystem and mass production plans at the CES 2026 [12][13]. - Outlook: Overseas markets may experience high - level volatility in the short term with limited impact on the domestic market. The market funds' supply - demand is neutral to optimistic, and off - market funds may continue to flow in. However, the establishment of a fundamental one - sided trend still needs the verification of better - than - expected domestic demand. It is recommended that funds that missed the previous rally wait patiently for policy clues during the "Two Sessions" to seek more certain allocation opportunities [14]. 1.2. Pan - Fixed - Income Market Review and Observation - Bond Market: Last week (01.05 - 01.09), the bond market showed a "V - shaped reversal", with the 1 - year Treasury yield falling 4.35BP to 1.29%, the 10 - year yield rising 3.55BP to 1.88%, and the 30 - year yield rising 4.95BP to 2.30%. The short - term sentiment in the bond market has stabilized slightly, but the possibility of interest rate cuts in the medium and short term is low, and it may have a short - term rebound but remain neutral in the medium term [4][15]. - US Treasury Bonds: The US Treasury yield curve flattened last week, with short - term yields rising and long - term yields falling. The 1 - year yield rose 5BP to 3.52%, the 2 - year yield rose 7BP to 3.54%, and the 10 - year yield fell 1BP to 4.18%. The market believes the probability of the Fed cutting interest rates in the short term is small [15][16]. - REITs: The CSI REITs Total Return Index rose 1.89% last week, closing at 1028.93 points. Four new public REITs made progress in the primary market [16]. 2. Fund Index Performance Tracking 2.1. Equity Strategy Theme - Based Index - **Active Stock Fund Selection Index**: The index selects 15 funds in each period, with equal - weight allocation. It selects active equity funds based on performance competitiveness and style stability in value, balanced, and growth styles, and matches the style distribution of the CSI Equity - Oriented Fund Index. The performance benchmark is the CSI Equity - Oriented Fund Index (930950.CSI) [20]. 2.2. Investment Style - Based Index - **Value Stock Fund Selection Index**: It includes both deep - value and quality - value styles. It selects 10 funds of deep - value, quality - value, and balanced - value styles based on multi - period style classification. The performance benchmark is the CSI 800 Value Index (H30356.CSI) [20]. - **Balanced Stock Fund Selection Index**: Balanced - style fund managers balance stock valuation and growth. The index selects 10 relatively balanced, value - growth style funds based on multi - period style classification. The performance benchmark is the CSI 800 (000906.SH) [22]. - **Growth Stock Fund Selection Index**: The growth style aims to capture the double - click opportunities of performance and valuation. It selects 10 funds of active - growth, quality - growth, and balanced - growth styles based on multi - period style classification. The performance benchmark is the 800 Growth Index (H30355.CSI) [24][26]. 2.3. Industry Theme - Based Index - **Pharmaceutical Stock Fund Selection Index**: It selects funds based on the intersection market value of fund equity holdings and the constituent stocks of the representative index (CITIC Pharmaceutical). The average purity in the past 3 years/inception should be no less than 60%. It constructs an evaluation system and selects 15 funds. The performance benchmark is the pharmaceutical theme fund index (fitted by Huabao Securities) [28]. - **Consumer Stock Fund Selection Index**: It selects funds based on the intersection market value of fund equity holdings and the constituent stocks of representative indices (CITIC Automobile, Home Appliances, etc.). The average purity in the past 3 years/inception should be no less than 50%. It constructs an evaluation system and selects 10 funds. The performance benchmark is the consumer theme fund index (fitted by Huabao Securities) [31]. - **Technology Stock Fund Selection Index**: It selects funds based on the intersection market value of fund equity holdings and the constituent stocks of representative indices (CITIC Electronics, etc.). The average purity in the past 3 years/inception should be no less than 60%. It constructs an evaluation system and selects 10 funds. The performance benchmark is the technology theme fund index (fitted by Huabao Securities) [34]. - **High - end Manufacturing Stock Fund Selection Index**: It selects funds based on the intersection market value of fund equity holdings and the constituent stocks of representative indices (CITIC Construction, etc.). The average purity in the past 3 years/inception should be no less than 50%. It constructs an evaluation system and selects 10 funds. The performance benchmark is the high - end manufacturing theme fund index (fitted by Huabao Securities) [37]. - **Cyclical Stock Fund Selection Index**: It selects funds based on the intersection market value of fund equity holdings and the constituent stocks of representative indices (CITIC Petroleum & Chemicals, etc.). The average purity in the past 3 years/inception should be no less than 50%. It constructs an evaluation system and selects 5 funds. The performance benchmark is the cyclical theme fund index (fitted by Huabao Securities) [41]. 2.4. Money - Market Enhancement Index - **Money - Market Enhancement Strategy Index**: It aims at liquidity management, pursuing a curve that exceeds money - market funds and is smooth and upward. It mainly allocates money - market funds with relatively good performance and inter - bank certificate of deposit index funds in passive index - bond funds. The performance benchmark is the CSI Money - Market Fund Index (H11025.CSI) [44]. 2.5. Pure - Bond Index - **Short - Term Bond Fund Selection Index**: It aims at liquidity management, pursuing a smooth and upward curve while ensuring drawdown control. It mainly allocates 5 funds with stable long - term returns, strict drawdown control, and significant absolute - return ability. The performance benchmark is 50% * Short - Term Pure - Bond Fund Index + 50% * Ordinary Money - Market Fund Index [46]. - **Medium - and Long - Term Bond Fund Selection Index**: It invests in medium - and long - term pure - bond funds, pursuing stable returns while controlling drawdowns. It selects 5 funds with both return and drawdown control, and adjusts the duration and the ratio of credit - bond funds and interest - rate - bond funds according to market conditions. [48] 2.6. Fixed - Income + Index - **Low - Volatility Fixed - Income + Selection Index**: The equity center is 10%. It selects 10 funds with an equity center (considering convertible bond and stock holdings) within 15% in the past three years and recently. The performance benchmark is 10% CSI 800 Index+90% ChinaBond New Composite Full - Price Index (CBA00303.CS) [49][52]. - **Medium - Volatility Fixed - Income + Selection Index**: The equity center is 20%. It selects 5 funds with an equity center between 15% - 25% in the past three years and recently. The performance benchmark is 20% CSI 800 Index+80% ChinaBond New Composite Full - Price Index (CBA00303.CS) [52]. - **High - Volatility Fixed - Income + Selection Index**: The equity center is 30%. It selects 5 funds with an equity center between 25% - 35% in the past three years and recently. The performance benchmark is 30% CSI 800 Index+70% ChinaBond New Composite Full - Price Index (CBA00303.CS) [56]. 2.7. Other Pan - Fixed - Income Index - **Convertible Bond Fund Selection Index**: It selects bond - type funds with the average proportion of convertible bond investment in bond market value no less than 60% in the latest period and no less than 80% in the past four quarters as the sample space. It constructs an evaluation system and selects 5 funds [59]. - **QDII Bond Fund Selection Index**: It selects 6 funds with stable returns and good risk control based on credit and duration conditions, with underlying assets being overseas bonds [61]. - **REITs Fund Selection Index**: It selects 10 funds with stable operation, reasonable valuation, and certain elasticity based on the underlying asset type [62].