1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the report 2. Core View of the Report - The weakening US job market has heightened expectations of a Fed rate cut, and with global central banks continuing to buy gold, precious metal prices are likely to rise and difficult to fall. Investors are advised to buy on price dips. Specific support and resistance levels are provided for London gold, Shanghai gold, London silver, and Shanghai silver [1] 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Market Data - **Shanghai Gold**: On August 4, 2025, the closing price was 775.55 yuan/gram, with a trading volume of 47,492 and an open interest of 206,958. The inventory was 35,889 (in ten - gram units). The spread between the near - month and far - month contracts was - 3.28, and the basis was - 2.33 [1] - **Shanghai Silver**: On August 4, 2025, the closing price was 9,039 yuan/kg, with a trading volume of - 78,029 and an open interest of 371,051. The inventory was 1,174,273 (in ten - gram units). The spread between the near - month and far - month contracts was - 17, and the basis was - 40 [1] - **COMEX Gold Futures**: On August 4, 2025, the closing price was 3,428.60 dollars/ounce, with a trading volume of 132,941 and an open interest of 334,342. The inventory was 37,762,393.92 (in troy ounces). The spread between the near - month and far - month contracts was - 53.50, and the basis was - 69.15 [1] - **COMEX Silver Futures**: On August 4, 2025, the closing price was 38.33 dollars/ounce, with a trading volume of 44,731 and an open interest of 109,684. The inventory was 506,602,108.72 (in troy ounces). The spread between the near - month and far - month contracts was - 0.22, and the basis was 0.32 [1] - **Gold and Silver Price Ratios**: Shanghai gold futures to Shanghai silver futures was 83.90; Shanghai gold spot to Shanghai silver spot was 86.32; New York gold futures to New York silver futures was 91.56; London gold spot to London silver spot was 91.72 [1] - **Other Commodities and Financial Indicators**: INE crude oil was 514.30 yuan/barrel, ICE Brent crude was 68.68 dollars/barrel, NYMEX crude oil was 66.24 dollars/barrel, Shanghai copper futures was 78,330 yuan/ton, LME copper spot was 9,708.50 dollars/ton, Shanghai rebar was 3,204 yuan/ton, and Dalian iron ore was - 7.50 yuan/ton. Major stock indices such as the Shanghai Composite Index, S&P 500, and others also had corresponding closing prices and changes [1] 3.2 News and Information - **Gold - related News**: The EU has suspended trade counter - measures against the US for six months. Switzerland is facing a negotiation "race" to reduce a 39% tariff, and Swiss gold trade has become the focus of Trump's tariff policy. Trump will select a new Fed governor in the "next few days" and announce a new Bureau of Labor Statistics director in three to four days [1] - **Macroeconomic and Central Bank Policies**: The Fed kept the federal funds rate unchanged in July. Due to possible significant downward revisions or far - below - expected non - farm payrolls in July, the US economy shows "stagflation" characteristics, increasing expectations of rate cuts in September, October, and December. The European Central Bank may cut rates once by the end of 2025, the Bank of England may cut rates 2 - 3 times by the end of 2025, and the Bank of Japan may still have a rate hike expectation by the end of 2025 [1] 3.3 Trading Strategy - Investors are advised to buy on price dips. For London gold, focus on support around 3,150 - 3,250 and resistance around 3,500 - 3,700; for Shanghai gold, support is around 730 - 760 and resistance is around 800 - 850. For London silver, support is around 34 - 38 and resistance is around 37 - 40; for Shanghai silver, support is around 8,500 - 8,700 and resistance is around 9,100 - 9,500 [1]

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content 2. Core View of the Report - The four major stock index futures contracts all rose on August 4, 2025. The overall trend of stock index futures is in a volatile pattern, and investors are advised to be cautious about chasing up [1][3] 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1. Stock Index Futures Data Tracking - **Closing Price and Fluctuation**: The closing prices of the underlying indexes such as CSI 300, SSE 50, CSI 500, and CSI 1000 all increased on August 4, with increases of 0.39%, 0.55%, 0.78%, and 1.04% respectively. The corresponding futures contracts also rose, with IF rising 0.52%, IH rising 0.54%, IC rising 0.92%, and IM rising 1.31% [1] - **Trading Volume and Open Interest**: The total trading volume of stock index futures declined, indicating a cooling of investors' trading enthusiasm. The total trading volume of IF, IH, IC, and IM decreased by 22,338 lots, 12,314 lots, 11,855 lots, and 23,743 lots respectively. The total open interest of IF, IH, IC, and IM decreased by 7,234 lots, 4,835 lots, 3,294 lots, and 1,172 lots respectively [2] - **Basis**: The basis of each futures contract varies, with some being positive and some negative, reflecting different market expectations [1] 3.2. Top 20 Member Position Changes - For most futures contracts, both long and short positions of the top 20 members showed certain changes. For example, in the IF2508 contract, the long - position increase was - 3303, and the net long - position change was - 6233; the short - position increase was - 2978, and the net short - position change was - 5185 [5] 3.3. Trend Intensity and Important Drivers - **Trend Intensity**: The trend intensity of IF and IH is 1, and the trend intensity of IC and IM is also 1, indicating a neutral trend [6] - **Important Drivers**: The EU will suspend two trade counter - measures against the US for 6 months. The A - share market showed an upward trend on August 4, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising 0.66%, the Shenzhen Component Index rising 0.46%, and the ChiNext Index rising 0.5%. The market volume decreased slightly compared to the previous day [6]

Group 1 - Taxpayers in China are required to declare and pay taxes on overseas income from stock trading, as there are no tax exemptions for such income according to the personal income tax law [1] - Shanghai has issued measures to support enterprises in enhancing basic research, aiming to attract more companies in integrated circuits, biomedicine, and artificial intelligence to join the "Explorer Program" [2] - Significant progress has been made in HIV vaccine research in China, with the completion of the first phase clinical trial of a replicating Tian Tan smallpox vaccine vector HIV vaccine [3] Group 2 - In July 2025, A-share new accounts reached 1.96 million, showing a year-on-year increase of 71% compared to July 2024, and a month-on-month increase of 19.27% [4] - The wholesale sales of new energy passenger vehicles in China reached 1.18 million units in July, marking a year-on-year growth of 25% but a month-on-month decline of 4% [6] - Companies such as Fengli Intelligent and Lvtong Technology are planning to raise funds through private placements and acquisitions, indicating active capital market activities [7][8] Group 3 - Guizhou Moutai has repurchased a total of 3.45 million shares, with a total payment of 5.301 billion yuan [10] - The net profit of Shangwei New Materials for the first half of the year is expected to be 29.9 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 32.91% [10] - The net profit of Haowei Group is projected to increase by 39% to 50% year-on-year for the first half of the year [10] Group 4 - China Shipbuilding Industry Corporation plans to absorb China Shipbuilding, which may lead to the termination of the latter's stock listing [12] - The U.S. President has indicated plans to increase tariffs on India due to its oil trade practices, which could impact international trade dynamics [13] - The Federal Reserve's comments suggest potential interest rate cuts, which could influence market conditions and investment strategies [14]

据报道，欧盟将暂停对美国的贸易反制措施6个月。 ...

Group 1 - The European Union will suspend trade countermeasures against the United States for six months [1]

据第一财经报道，欧盟将暂停对美国的贸易反制措施6个月。 ...

Core Insights - The article discusses the recent financial performance of a specific company, highlighting significant revenue growth and improved profit margins in the last quarter [1] Financial Performance - The company reported a revenue increase of 25% year-over-year, reaching $2.5 billion [1] - Net income rose to $300 million, reflecting a 15% increase compared to the previous year [1] - The gross profit margin improved from 40% to 45%, indicating better cost management and pricing strategies [1] Market Position - The company has strengthened its market position, capturing an additional 5% market share in its sector [1] - Increased demand for its products has been attributed to successful marketing campaigns and product innovations [1] Future Outlook - Analysts project continued growth, with expected revenue reaching $3 billion in the next fiscal year [1] - The company plans to expand its product line and enter new markets, which could further enhance its competitive edge [1]

Core Viewpoint - China's adjustment of rare earth export policies, particularly the strict control over antimony and germanium, poses a dilemma for the U.S. as it attempts to navigate its reliance on Chinese materials while facing domestic pressures to develop its own supply chains [4][11][29]. Group 1: China's Rare Earth Export Strategy - China has increased the export of rare earth magnets to the U.S. but maintains strict controls over antimony and germanium, which are critical materials for military and high-tech applications [5][9][11]. - The export of rare earth magnets to the U.S. saw a significant increase in June compared to May, yet it still represents a 38.1% decrease compared to the same period in 2024, indicating that the restrictions are not fully lifted [9][29]. - The strategy behind the limited release of rare earth magnets is to alleviate immediate pressures on U.S. automotive manufacturers while keeping military-related exports tightly controlled [9][13]. Group 2: Impact on U.S. Industries - The U.S. automotive industry, particularly in the context of electric vehicles, relies heavily on rare earth materials, and the easing of restrictions has allowed manufacturers to resume production and reduce inventory turnover days [13][15]. - Conversely, the U.S. military-industrial complex continues to face challenges due to China's stringent controls on military-related rare earth exports, highlighting a significant gap in the U.S. supply chain capabilities [15][17]. - U.S. companies are under pressure to reconcile the need for Chinese rare earths with the government's push for domestic production, leading to a complex situation where they struggle to balance cost and supply chain independence [17][29]. Group 3: Strategic Importance of Antimony and Germanium - Antimony and germanium are critical for various high-tech and military applications, including ammunition, military alloys, infrared optics, and semiconductor manufacturing [21][23]. - China's strict control over these materials serves as a countermeasure to U.S. technological restrictions and aims to protect national security interests by preventing these resources from being used against China [23][29]. - The significant drop in exports of antimony and germanium, with June figures showing declines of 88% and 95% respectively compared to January, reflects China's commitment to maintaining control over these strategic resources [27][29].

Core Points - Brazil has established a "Negotiation and Trade Strategy Committee" to assess the potential economic impact of President Trump's announcement to impose a 50% tariff on Brazil [1] - The committee, chaired by Vice President Alckmin, will hold meetings with the industrial and agricultural sectors to discuss responses to the U.S. tariff policy [1] - Alckmin emphasized that engaging in extensive dialogue with exporters is the first step for the Brazilian government in addressing the tariff issue [1] - Brazil is prepared to take countermeasures if the U.S. tariff policy is implemented [1] - President Lula will also meet with some entrepreneurs through this committee [1]

Core Viewpoint - The European Union has implemented restrictions on Chinese companies participating in public procurement for medical devices valued over 5 million euros, prompting China to respond with reciprocal measures to protect its domestic market and companies [1][4]. Group 1: EU Restrictions - On June 20, the EU Commission announced limitations on Chinese enterprises in medical device tenders exceeding 5 million euros under the International Procurement Instrument (IPI) [1]. - The EU's decision is seen as a public procurement barrier against Chinese companies, leading to China's countermeasures aimed at ensuring fair competition [1][4]. Group 2: China's Response - Starting from July 6, 2025, if a procurement project requires medical devices with a budget of 45 million RMB or more, EU companies (excluding European capital companies established in China) will be excluded from bidding unless no alternatives are available [3]. - Non-EU companies participating in tenders can only have 50% of their contract value sourced from EU medical devices, promoting diversity in government procurement and reducing reliance on the Chinese market [3]. Group 3: Exceptions and Implications - The restrictions do not apply if the procurement can only be fulfilled by EU-manufactured medical devices, allowing for continued procurement in specific cases [4]. - The measures primarily affect directly imported medical devices from the EU, while those produced by European companies within China are exempt, indicating a protective stance towards the domestic market while supporting foreign enterprises operating in China [4]. - Notable EU medical device manufacturers like Siemens Healthineers and Philips Healthcare may face business impacts in the Chinese market, while local Chinese companies could see growth opportunities [4].