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中信期货晨报:国内商品期货多数上涨,新能源材料涨幅居前-20251126
Zhong Xin Qi Huo· 2025-11-26 00:51
投资咨询业务资格:证监许可【2012】669号 国内商品期货多数上涨,新能源材料涨幅居前 ——中信期货晨报20251126 仲鼎 从业资格号F03107932 投资咨询号Z0021450 重要提示:本报告非期货交易咨询业务项下服务,其中的观点和信息仅作参考之用,不构成对任何人的投资建议。 我司不会因为关注、收到或阅读本报告内容而视相关人员为客户;市场有风险,投资需谨慎。 | 板块 | 品种 | 现代 | | | 日度涨跌幅 周度涨跌幅 月度涨跌幅 季度涨跌幅 今年涨跌幅 | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 股指 | 沪深300期货 | 4473 | 0.85% | 101% | -3.42% | -3.14% | 14.08% | | | 上证50期货 | 2959.2 | 0.50% | Q 43% | -1 88% | -1 00% | 10.50% | | | 中证500期货 | 6900 | THOS | Task | -4 33 | -5.35% | 21.20% | | | 中证1000期货 | 7172 | 1 0 ...
中信期货晨报:国内商品期货涨跌参半,非金属建材涨幅居前-20251125
Zhong Xin Qi Huo· 2025-11-25 02:20
投资咨询业务资格:证监许可【2012】669号 国内商品期货涨跌参半,非金属建材涨幅居前 ——中信期货晨报20251125 中信期货研究所 仲鼎 从业资格号F03107932 投资咨询号Z0021450 重要提示:本报告非期货交易咨询业务项下服务,其中的观点和信息仅作参考之用,不构成对任何人的投资建议。 我司不会因为关注、收到或阅读本报告内容而视相关人员为客户;市场有风险,投资需谨慎。 | 板块 | 品种 | 现代 | | | 日度涨跌幅 周度涨跌幅 月度涨跌幅 季度涨跌幅 | | 今年涨跌幅 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 股指 | 沪深300期货 | 4435.2 | 0.15% | 0.15% | -4.24% | -3.96% | 13.11% | | | 上证50期货 | 2944.4 | -0.07 | -0.07% | -2.35% | -1.49% | d ack | | | 中证500期货 | 6827.6 | 0.85% | 0.85% | -5.735 | -6.25 | 19.93% | | | 中证1000期 ...
广金期货商品日报11.24商品涨跌与资金图谱
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-11-25 01:52
(来源:广金期货) 来源:广金期货 广州金控期货 商品日报 2025.11.24 1 热力图(当日收盘价涨跌幅—成交量) | 数据来源:Wind,广金期货 | | --- | 2 热力图(当日收盘价涨跌幅—成交额) | 图模型 | 最全集 | trê | 加度的 | 11 | 른 | Part | 79 | 1 300 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Nets | 周边 | LC2601 | CUNSU | 12 | CH401 | P/601 | 86083 | 90480 | IC2601 | 8 | 8-4884 | 5778 | 76 | -459% | DAVE | 44739 | | | | | | | | | | | | 17 ...
期货品种周报:多头机会重点关注铁矿石、油脂系;空头可参与生猪、橡胶;关注锌的正套机会
对冲研投· 2025-11-24 02:15
欢迎加入交易理想国知识星球 文 | 交易理想国知识星球 编辑 | 杨兰 审核 | 浦电路交易员 根据《中国期货市场品种属性研究报告(2025-11-24)》,以下是整理出的核心关键内容摘要,包括关键多空品种、量仓变化、交易机会、风险提示与 核心逻辑: | RollSharpeAbs Px Main | 2025/11/23 | Curve + Status = Px CurveLongShort | Market Status 750D Px. M Percentile 750D Ctgo Percentile 750D Ann.Roll Rtn. | Vol/Roll | Dvol | FastMA | SlowMA | Up/DownRatio MaxDD ResPx MaxDU ResPx | Cigo | Ctgoli | CtgoliAnn Facto | 上证50期货 IH.CFE | 94% | 0.76N | 0.19 | 946.40 | 2.993.36 | 3.027.31 | 147,70% | -7.60 | 0.26% | Maybe Curve Long | Short | 27 ...
中信期货晨报:风险偏好持续回落,股指商品多数回调-20251121
Zhong Xin Qi Huo· 2025-11-21 06:11
投资咨询业务资格:证监许可【2012】669号 风险偏好持续回落,股指商品多数回调 ——中信期货晨报20251121 中信期货研究所 仲鼎 从业资格号F03107932 投资咨询号Z0021450 重要提示:本报告非期货交易咨询业务项下服务,其中的观点和信息仅作参考之用,不构成对任何人的投资建议。 我司不会因为关注、收到或阅读本报告内容而视相关人员为客户;市场有风险,投资需谨慎。 | | | | 立 Fran - 7 / 可 / 可 / 人 / 用 | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 板块 | 品种 | 现代 | | 日度涨跌幅 周皮涨跌幅 月度涨跌幅 | | 李度涨跌幅 今年涨跌幅 | | | | 沪深300期货 | 4539.2 | -0.57% | -1.33% | -1.99% | -1 76 86 | 15.77% | | 股指 | 上证50期货 | 3002.6 | -0.28% | -0.92% | -0.42% | 0.46% | 12 124 | | | 中正500期货 | 7000 | -0.78% | ...
广金期货商品日报11.20 商品涨跌与资金图谱
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-11-21 01:13
广州金控期货 商品日报 2025.11.20 1 热力图(当日收盘价涨跌幅—成交量) (来源:广金期货) 来源:广金期货 | 数据来源:Wind,广金期货 | | --- | 2 热力图(当日收盘价涨跌幅—成交额) | 曼金属 | | | 发展时光 | | | | | 19 | | | 深圳市 | | CD | D | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | | | | 48 | | 타 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | BUNGH | | MASSE | 1494 CABDY | | | @19 | | | | | | | | 75 | | 11240 | | 2014 | 1114 | 第1章 Add 214-201 | | 083601 | No | | | | | TL | | 152512 | | 41.27% | | 0.13% | -2.07% | THERS' | | 8050 | SC2604 | | | | | ...
中信期货晨报:贵金属迎来反弹,其他商品涨跌互现-20251120
Zhong Xin Qi Huo· 2025-11-20 06:21
投资咨询业务资格:证监许可【2012】669号 贵金属迎来反弹,其他商品涨跌互现 ——中信期货晨报20251120 中信期货研究所 仲鼎 从业资格号F03107932 投资咨询号Z0021450 重要提示:本报告非期货交易咨询业务项下服务,其中的观点和信息仅作参考之用,不构成对任何人的投资建议。 我司不会因为关注、收到或阅读本报告内容而视相关人员为客户;市场有风险,投资需谨慎。 | | | | 20 10 11 1 | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 板块 | 品种 | 现价 | 日度涨跌幅 | | 周皮涨跌幅 月度涨跌幅 李度涨跌幅 | | 今年涨跌幅 | | 股指 | 沪深300期货 | 4565.2 | 0.22% | -0.77% | -1.43% | -1.14% | 16.43% | | | 上证50期货 | 3011 | 0.45% | -0.64% | -0.14% | 0.74% | 12.43% | | | 中证500期货 | 7054.8 | -0 35% | FINLEW | -2.59% | -3 ...
宏观金融数据日报-20251119
Guo Mao Qi Huo· 2025-11-19 06:13
Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided 2. Core Viewpoints - The central bank will maintain a moderately loose monetary policy, aiming to keep social financing conditions relatively loose and promote a reasonable recovery of prices [4]. - The stock index is expected to continue its volatile pattern with support at the bottom and pressure on the upside. Short - term market differences are expected to be gradually digested during the index's volatile adjustment, and a new driving force is awaited for the index to rise further [6]. 3. Summary by Related Content 3.1 Macro - Financial Data - **Interest Rates**: DR001 closed at 1.53% with a 1.66bp increase, DR007 at 1.52% with a 0.03bp increase, GC001 at 1.69% with a 35.50bp increase, GC007 at 1.56% with a 5.50bp increase, SHBOR 3M at 1.58% unchanged, LPR 5 - year at 3.50% unchanged, 1 - year treasury at 1.40% with a - 0.10bp change, 5 - year treasury at 1.54% unchanged, 10 - year treasury at 1.80% with a 0.05bp increase, and 10 - year US treasury at 4.13% with a - 1.00bp change [3]. - **Open - Market Operations**: Last week, the central bank conducted 1.122 trillion yuan of reverse repurchase operations, with 495.8 billion yuan of reverse repurchases maturing, resulting in a net injection of 626.2 billion yuan. This week, 1.122 trillion yuan of reverse repurchases will mature, and 12 billion yuan of treasury cash deposits will mature on Thursday [3][4]. 3.2 Stock Index Market - **Index Performance**: The CSI 300 fell 0.65% to 4568, the SSE 50 fell 0.3% to 3003, the CSI 500 fell 1.17% to 7151, and the CSI 1000 fell 1% to 7448. The trading volume of the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets was 1.9261 trillion yuan, a slight increase of 15.3 billion yuan from the previous day. Most industry sectors closed lower, with Internet services, cultural media, and education sectors leading the gains, and coal, battery, steel, fertilizer, energy metals, shipping ports, precious metals, and non - ferrous metals sectors leading the losses [5]. - **Futures Contracts**: IF volume increased by 6.6% to 121,863, and its open interest increased by 2.2% to 278,688; IH volume decreased by 4.3% to 54,759, and its open interest decreased by 3.4% to 97,691; IC volume increased by 15% to 134,440, and its open interest increased by 3.3% to 254,019; IM volume increased by 10.4% to 217,767, and its open interest increased by 19% to 362,020 [5]. - **Premium and Discount**: IF's premium and discount rates for the current - month, next - month, current - quarter, and next - quarter contracts were - 3.75%, 3.40%, 2.96%, and 3.43% respectively; IH's were - 2.36%, 2.12%, 0.88%, and 1.07% respectively; IC's were - 3.03%, 11.73%, 10.63%, and 11.05% respectively; IM's were 4.08%, 15.22%, 13.31%, and 12.89% respectively [7].
中信期货晨报:国内期货主力合约涨多跌少,碳酸锂大幅收涨-20251111
Zhong Xin Qi Huo· 2025-11-11 01:41
1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Views of the Report - In November, the macro environment enters a vacuum period, and major asset classes lack further positive drivers. The market needs to digest previous gains, so major assets may enter a short - term shock period. However, the overall allocation strategy for the fourth quarter remains unchanged, and the macro environment is still favorable for risk assets. It is recommended that investors allocate major asset classes evenly in the fourth quarter, hold long positions in stock indices, non - ferrous metals (copper, lithium carbonate, aluminum, tin), and precious metals, and increase positions appropriately if there is a correction in the fourth quarter [8]. 3. Summary by Sections 2.1 Macro Highlights - **Overseas Macro**: This week, the global macro focus is on changes in US dollar liquidity. Although there is a short - term tightening trend, it is not expected to have a significant impact on major asset prices. There are two factors that may improve US dollar liquidity: marginal easing of monetary policy and the normal release of funds in the TGA account once the US government resumes work [8]. - **Domestic Macro**: In October, China's export volume growth was weaker than expected and the previous value, and the month - on - month performance was also weaker than the seasonal average. However, more positive information was found in the October inflation data. Additionally, there is a possibility that the October consumption data may slightly exceed expectations [8]. 2.2 View Highlights Financial - **Stock Index Futures**: Driven by technology events, the growth style is active. With the congestion of small - cap funds, it is expected to fluctuate and rise [9]. - **Stock Index Options**: The overall market trading volume has slightly declined. With the option market liquidity falling short of expectations, it is expected to fluctuate [9]. - **Treasury Bond Futures**: The bond market continues to be weak. Considering factors such as policy, fundamental recovery, and tariffs, it is expected to fluctuate [9]. Precious Metals - **Gold/Silver**: With the easing of geopolitical and trade tensions, precious metals are in a phased adjustment. Affected by the US fundamentals, Fed's monetary policy, and global equity market trends, it is expected to fluctuate [9]. Shipping - **Container Shipping to Europe**: As the peak season in the third quarter fades, there is pressure on loading and a lack of upward drivers. Pay attention to the rate of freight decline in September, and it is expected to fluctuate [9]. Black Building Materials - **Steel**: In the off - season, demand is under pressure, and the futures price has fallen from a high level. Pay attention to the progress of special bond issuance, steel exports, and molten iron production, and it is expected to fluctuate [9]. - **Iron Ore**: The pressure of inventory accumulation is released in advance, and the supply - demand relationship is expected to improve. Affected by overseas mine production and shipment, domestic molten iron production, weather, port inventory, and policy, it is expected to fluctuate [9]. - **Coke**: Three rounds of price increases have been implemented, and a fourth round is proposed. Pay attention to steel mill production, coking costs, and macro sentiment, and it is expected to fluctuate [9]. Non - ferrous Metals and New Materials - **Copper**: Due to the tight US dollar liquidity, the copper price is in a short - term adjustment. Affected by supply disruptions, domestic policies, Fed's policy, and domestic demand, it is expected to fluctuate [9]. - **Aluminum**: With the linkage between stocks and futures, the aluminum price is expected to fluctuate and rise. However, it is affected by macro risks, supply disruptions, and demand [9]. - **Lithium Carbonate**: The resumption of production is uncertain, and there is a risk of significant price fluctuations. Affected by demand, supply, and new technologies, it is expected to fluctuate [9]. Energy and Chemicals - **Crude Oil**: Supply pressure persists, and geopolitical risks remain. Affected by OPEC+ production policies and the Middle East geopolitical situation, it is expected to fluctuate [11]. - **LPG**: Supply is still in surplus. Pay attention to the cost side, such as crude oil and overseas propane, and it is expected to fluctuate [11]. - **Low - Sulfur Fuel Oil**: With the strength of refined oil products, it may run strongly. Affected by crude oil prices, it is expected to fluctuate and rise [11]. Agriculture - **Pig**: There is a game between supply and demand, and the pig price is expected to fluctuate and fall. Affected by breeding sentiment, epidemics, and policies [11]. - **Natural Rubber**: The futures price rebounds strongly, and its sustainability needs attention. Affected by production area weather, raw material prices, and macro changes, it is expected to fluctuate and fall [11]. - **Cotton**: The price fluctuation range is limited. Affected by demand and inventory, it is expected to fluctuate [11].
中信期货晨报:国内商品期货多数下跌,新能源材料跌幅居前-20251106
Zhong Xin Qi Huo· 2025-11-06 01:55
1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - Overseas macro: The Fed cut interest rates by 25 basis points to 3.75%–4.00% in October and announced to end balance - sheet reduction in December, transitioning the liquidity environment from contraction to stability [6]. - Domestic macro: Domestic policy support has been strengthened, and economic resilience has been maintained. The Fourth Plenary Session and the "15th Five - Year Plan Proposal" set the tone of "scientific and technological self - reliance, anti - involution, and expanding domestic demand" [6]. - Asset viewpoints: With policy announcements, market sentiment has improved. It is recommended to maintain a balanced allocation strategy. Non - ferrous metals are relatively strong, black commodities have short - term rebound opportunities, bonds are in a slightly strong oscillation pattern, and precious metals have medium - to - long - term allocation value [6]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs 3.1 Macro Highlights - Overseas: The Fed's interest rate cut and end of balance - sheet reduction aim to manage risks during the economic data vacuum period, balancing growth and liquidity stability [6]. - Domestic: Policy support has strengthened, and the economy has continued to stabilize. Although the manufacturing PMI declined in October, the construction and service industries remained in expansion [6]. - Asset allocation: Policy announcements have improved market sentiment. In the short term, stock indices may oscillate, but in the medium term, the equity market has upward momentum. A balanced allocation strategy is recommended [6]. 3.2 Viewpoint Highlights Financial - Stock index futures: Driven by technology events, the growth style is active, with a short - term forecast of oscillatory upward movement [7]. - Stock index options: Market turnover has slightly declined, with a short - term forecast of oscillation [7]. - Treasury bond futures: The bond market remains weak, with a short - term forecast of oscillation [7]. Precious Metals - Gold/silver: Due to geopolitical and trade easing, precious metals are in a short - term adjustment phase, with a short - term forecast of oscillation [7]. Shipping - Container shipping to Europe: The peak season in the third quarter has passed, and there is no upward driving force, with a short - term forecast of oscillation [7]. Black Building Materials - Steel: The fundamentals provide limited support, and the market is weak, with a short - term forecast of oscillation [7]. - Iron ore: Market sentiment is weak, and prices are falling, with a short - term forecast of oscillation [7]. - Coke: After three rounds of price increases, the market is under pressure and oscillating [7]. - Coking coal: Supply remains tight, and the futures and spot markets have diverged, with a short - term forecast of oscillation [7]. - Glass: Supply is expected to be disrupted, and the market is expected to oscillate [7]. - Soda ash: Spot prices are low, and some manufacturers are under maintenance, with a short - term forecast of oscillation [7]. Non - ferrous Metals and New Materials - Copper: Due to renewed trade frictions, copper prices have declined in the short term, with a short - term forecast of oscillation [7]. - Alumina: The fundamentals are weak, and prices are under pressure, with a short - term forecast of oscillation [7]. - Aluminum: Inventory has decreased, and prices are oscillating upward, with a short - term forecast of oscillatory upward movement [7]. - Zinc: Inventory is expected to be excessive, and prices are oscillating weakly, with a short - term forecast of oscillation [7]. - Nickel: LME nickel inventory has exceeded 250,000 tons, and prices are oscillating weakly, with a short - term forecast of oscillation [7]. - Stainless steel: Warehouse receipts have continued to decline, and the market has rebounded slightly, with a short - term forecast of oscillation [7]. - Tin: Supply constraints remain, and prices are oscillating, with a short - term forecast of oscillation [7]. - Industrial silicon: Supply is abundant, and prices are oscillating in the short term, with a short - term forecast of oscillation [7]. - Lithium carbonate: Warehouse receipts have continuously declined, and prices have strengthened slightly, with a short - term forecast of oscillation [7]. Energy and Chemicals - Crude oil: Supply pressure continues, and geopolitical risks remain, with a short - term forecast of oscillation [9]. - LPG: Supply is still excessive, and attention should be paid to cost - side developments, with a short - term forecast of oscillation [9]. - Asphalt: With the weakening of crude oil and rebar, asphalt futures prices are difficult to support, with a short - term forecast of oscillatory decline [9]. - High - sulfur fuel oil: With the weakening of crude oil, fuel oil futures prices are weak, with a short - term forecast of oscillatory decline [9]. - Low - sulfur fuel oil: It follows the weak oscillation of crude oil, with a short - term forecast of oscillatory decline [9]. - Methanol: After continuous decline, it is not advisable to chase short positions, with a short - term forecast of oscillation [9]. - Urea: High inventory pressure and cost support coexist, with a short - term forecast of narrow - range oscillation [9]. - Ethylene glycol: Cost and fundamentals are in a downward resonance, with a short - term forecast of oscillatory decline [9]. - PX: Supply has not decreased, and profits are supported, with a short - term forecast of oscillation [9]. - PTA: Market sentiment is cautious, and short - term profits are supported, with a short - term forecast of oscillation [9]. - Short - fiber: Downstream factories are digesting previous stocks, with a short - term forecast of oscillation [9]. - Bottle chips: Affected by cost and limited supply - demand drivers, with a short - term forecast of oscillation [9]. - Propylene: Downstream trading has improved limitedly, with a short - term forecast of oscillation [9]. - PP: Cost support still exists, with a short - term forecast of oscillation within a range [9]. - Plastic: Short - term maintenance has decreased, with a short - term forecast of oscillation within a range [9]. - Styrene: There are still concerns about over - inventory, with a short - term forecast of oscillatory decline [9]. - PVC: Market sentiment has cooled, with a short - term forecast of oscillatory decline [9]. - Caustic soda: Supply - demand is under pressure, and cost has increased, with a short - term forecast of oscillation [9]. Agriculture - Fats and oils: The expected increase in palm oil production in Malaysia is strong, with a short - term forecast of oscillatory decline [9]. - Protein meal: The crushing profit has continued to repair, with a short - term forecast of oscillation [9]. - Corn/starch: Downstream orders support port prices, with a short - term forecast of oscillation [9]. - Live pigs: Supply - demand is loose, with a short - term forecast of oscillatory decline [9]. - Natural rubber: The market is oscillating and adjusting, with a short - term forecast of oscillatory decline [9]. - Synthetic rubber: It has rebounded from the bottom, with a short - term forecast of oscillatory decline [9]. - Cotton: The short - term upward momentum has weakened, with a short - term forecast of oscillation [9]. - Sugar: The general direction is to maintain a short - position operation, with a short - term forecast of oscillatory decline [9]. - Pulp: The strong trend has paused, with a short - term forecast of oscillation [9]. - Double - gum paper: Spot prices are stable, with a short - term forecast of oscillation [9]. - Logs: Spot prices are stable, with a short - term forecast of oscillation [9].