3Q 2025 Earnings Conference Call November 4, 2025 Forward-Looking Statements Statements made during this presentation that set forth expectations, predictions, projections or are about future events are based on facts and situations that are known to us as of November 4, 2025. We believe that our expectations and assumptions are reasonable. Actual results may differ materially, due to risks and uncertainties, such as those described on pages 24-35 of our Form 10-Q filed on May 6, 2025 and other subsequent f ...

Summary of AutoZone Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: AutoZone - **Shares Outstanding**: 16.7 million shares trading around $3,700 - **Market Capitalization**: $64 billion - **Net Debt**: $8.5 billion - **Total Enterprise Value**: Just under $73 billion - **CFO**: Jamere Jackson - **Director of Investor Relations**: Brian Campbell - **Industry**: Automotive aftermarket retail Key Points Consumer Behavior and Market Conditions - The consumer landscape has remained stable over the past year, with high new car prices averaging over $50,000 and monthly payments exceeding $700, leading consumers to maintain their current vehicles [2][3][4] - The average age of vehicles on the road is now 12.8 years, indicating consumers are holding onto their vehicles longer [5] - Despite some volatility and uncertainty in the marketplace, the low-end consumer segment has not deteriorated further [3][4] - Unemployment rates have ticked up to approximately 4.3%, but overall consumer resilience remains strong [4] Pricing Strategy and Inflation - AutoZone operates primarily in the break-fix business, with 85% of its sales in maintenance categories, allowing for disciplined pricing strategies [9][10] - The company has successfully maintained gross profit dollars and margins despite inflationary pressures, benefiting from the inelastic nature of its core products [11] - Inflation is expected to continue impacting pricing, with retail prices rising significantly across the industry [35] Regional Performance - Regional performance varies, with weather conditions affecting sales, particularly in the Rust Belt [12][14] - The company anticipates a good winter, which typically drives higher sales due to increased vehicle failures [15] Growth Initiatives - AutoZone is focusing on expanding its commercial business, which now constitutes about one-third of its U.S. sales mix, up from 19-20% five years ago [17] - The company is investing in inventory and building mega hubs, which carry close to 100,000 SKUs, to improve service levels and market share [18][19] - Expansion in Mexico is a key growth area, with plans to double the number of stores in the next decade [20][21] Sourcing and Supply Chain - AutoZone is diversifying its sourcing capabilities, reducing reliance on China from 85-90% to around 60% [23][24] - The company is working with suppliers to mitigate tariff impacts and maintain margin structures [24] Online Competition and Consumer Behavior - While online competition is growing, many consumers still prefer in-store visits for trustworthy advice and installation services [26][27] - AutoZone is enhancing its online presence and assortment to adapt to changing consumer behaviors [28] Tax Refunds and Economic Factors - Tax refund season is crucial for sales, with expectations of larger refunds potentially boosting business [43] - Weather conditions during tax refund season can significantly impact consumer spending [44] Conclusion - AutoZone remains well-positioned in the automotive aftermarket industry, leveraging its strong market presence, disciplined pricing strategies, and growth initiatives to navigate current economic challenges and consumer behaviors [1][19][20]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Beverage can volumes grew by 4.2% in Q3 2025, comparable operating earnings increased by 5.1%, and comparable diluted earnings per share rose by 12.1% [7][8] - Third Quarter comparable net earnings were $277 million, driven by higher volume and cost management initiatives, partially offset by higher interest expense and lower interest income [8][14] - The company has returned $1.35 billion to shareholders through share repurchases and dividends as of the call [7] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - In North and Central America, segment comparable operating earnings increased by 3.5%, driven by stronger-than-expected volume performance, particularly in energy drinks and non-alcoholic beverages [8][10] - EMEA segment volume growth was mid-single-digit percent, contributing to a 14.8% increase in segment comparable operating earnings [9] - South America saw a 2.6% increase in segment comparable operating earnings, with mid-single-digit percent volume growth supported by strong performance in Argentina [9] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company anticipates 2025 global volume growth to exceed the long-term 2%-3% range, with all reportable segment businesses expected to perform in line with or ahead of long-term targets [10][11] - In EMEA, mid-single-digit percent volume growth is expected in 2025, driven by the competitive advantages of aluminum packaging [11] - North America is expected to exceed the top end of the long-term 1%-3% volume growth range in 2025 [12] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company remains focused on delivering 12%-15% comparable diluted EPS growth for the year, with a strong emphasis on operational excellence and cost discipline [10][17] - The company is actively managing uncertainties related to tariffs and consumer pressures, particularly in the U.S., while maintaining confidence in its ability to navigate these dynamics [8][9] - Long-term contracts and disciplined financial management are seen as key to delivering consistent, high-quality results [17] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the company's ability to sustain momentum and deliver meaningful value to shareholders despite external challenges [10][17] - The geopolitical landscape and tariff developments are being closely monitored, with proactive measures in place to protect the business [9][10] - Management highlighted the importance of operational precision and reliability in meeting customer expectations amid tight capacity conditions [17] Other Important Information - The company anticipates year-end 2025 net debt to comparable EBITDA to be slightly above 2.75 times, with share repurchases expected to reach at least $1.3 billion in 2025 [14] - Full-year 2025 effective tax rate on comparable earnings is expected to be slightly above 22% [14] - The company has made a $47 million investment in ORG Technology, a strategic relationship linked to its beverage can business in China [92][93] Q&A Session Summary Question: How did operational inefficiencies in the Beverage NCA segment play out in Q3? - Management noted that while operating profit improved, the operating leverage remains below historical norms due to a shift towards lower margin categories and a focus on aligning with fast-growing brands [23][24] Question: What are the expectations for volume growth in 2026? - Management indicated confidence in growing global volumes in line with long-term expectations, with more detailed guidance to come in the following weeks [26][27] Question: How are tariff situations affecting volume patterns? - Management stated that current price increases are being passed through to customers, and a reversal of tariffs would positively impact costs, although demand challenges may arise from economic conditions [34][35] Question: What is the outlook for the Oregon plant and its impact on volume? - The Oregon plant is expected to unlock significant volume improvements in 2027, with startup costs anticipated in 2026 [47][48] Question: What are the expectations for CapEx in 2026? - Management indicated that CapEx would likely be in line with depreciation levels, with a focus on maintaining a conservative balance sheet [66][82] Question: How is the company managing inventory levels? - Management explained that increased inventories are a combination of higher aluminum costs and a strategic decision to ensure readiness for customer demand [90][91] Question: What are the main concerns for the company moving forward? - Management expressed confidence in the team's ability to navigate challenges, focusing on operational execution and maintaining a positive outlook despite external uncertainties [106][107]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Beverage can volumes grew by 4.2% in Q3 2025, with comparable operating earnings increasing by 5.1% and comparable diluted earnings per share rising by 12.1% [5][6] - Comparable net earnings for Q3 2025 were $277 million, driven by higher volume and cost management initiatives, partially offset by higher interest expense and lower interest income [6][11] - The company has returned $1.35 billion to shareholders through share repurchases and dividends as of the call [5] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - In North and Central America, segment comparable operating earnings increased by 3.5%, driven by stronger-than-expected volume performance, particularly in energy drinks and non-alcoholic beverages [6][10] - EMEA segment volume growth remained robust, contributing to a 14.8% increase in segment comparable operating earnings [7] - In South America, segment comparable operating earnings increased by 2.6%, supported by strong performance in Argentina, while Brazil's market was slightly below expectations due to weather-related issues [7][9] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company anticipates global volume growth to exceed the long-term range of 2%-3% in 2025, with all reportable segment businesses expected to perform in line with or ahead of long-term targets [8][10] - In EMEA, mid-single-digit volume growth is expected in 2025, driven by the competitive advantages of aluminum packaging [9] - In South America, full-year 2025 volume growth is expected to fall within the long-term range of 4%-6% [9] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company remains focused on delivering 12%-15% comparable diluted EPS growth for the year, emphasizing operational excellence and cost discipline [8][14] - The company is actively managing uncertainties related to tariffs and consumer pressures, particularly in the U.S., while maintaining confidence in its ability to navigate these dynamics [6][10] - Long-term contracts and disciplined financial management are highlighted as key strategies to deliver consistent, high-quality results [14][15] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the company's ability to sustain momentum despite external challenges, with a focus on delivering meaningful value to shareholders [8][10] - The evolving geopolitical landscape and tariff developments are being monitored closely, with proactive measures in place to protect the business [7][12] - Management indicated that the company is well-positioned to capitalize on market opportunities and drive continued performance improvement [7][10] Other Important Information - The company expects year-end 2025 net debt to comparable EBITDA to be slightly above 2.75 times, with a share repurchase target of at least $1.3 billion in 2025 [11] - Full-year 2025 effective tax rate on comparable earnings is expected to be slightly above 22% due to lower year-over-year tax credits [11] - The company has made a $47 million investment in ORG Technology, a strategic relationship linked to its beverage can business in China [89][90] Q&A Session Summary Question: How did operational dynamics play out for the beverage NCA segment in Q3? - Management noted that while operating profit improved, the operating leverage remains below historical norms due to a shift towards lower margin categories and a focus on aligning with fast-growing brands [19][20] Question: What are the expectations for volume growth in 2026? - Management indicated confidence in growing volumes in line with long-term expectations, with a focus on finishing a strong 2025 before providing detailed guidance for 2026 [23][24] Question: How are tariff situations affecting volume patterns? - Management stated that current price increases are being passed through to customers, and a reversal of tariffs would positively impact costs, although demand challenges may arise from broader economic conditions [30][31] Question: What is the outlook for the North American market in 2026? - Management expressed a strong contractual outlook and anticipated that growth would be constrained until the new Oregon facility is operational, with expectations for improved profitability in 2027 [42][45] Question: What are the concerns regarding supply chain and metal supply? - Management confirmed that supply chain challenges have been effectively managed, and while there are ongoing issues with aluminum supply, the medium to long-term outlook remains positive [114][115]

Core Insights - Sales of U.S. light vehicles experienced a decline in October due to the expiration of federal government subsidies, which negatively impacted demand for battery-powered electric cars [1] - The easing labor market and potential price increases from tariffs may further restrict any recovery in vehicle sales for the remainder of the year [1] Industry Summary - The expiration of subsidies has led to a decrease in demand for electric vehicles, indicating a potential shift in consumer purchasing behavior [1] - The labor market conditions are showing signs of easing, which could affect consumer confidence and spending in the automotive sector [1] - Anticipated higher prices resulting from tariffs may pose additional challenges for the automotive industry, limiting sales growth [1]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Order intake grew by 8%, marking the fourth consecutive quarter of improvement, reflecting robust demand and disciplined execution [4][5] - Comparable sales growth increased to 3% year-on-year, with adjusted EBITDA margin expanding by 50 basis points to 12.3% despite tariff impacts [4][5][24] - Year-to-date order book is up 6% compared to last year, with free cash flow expected to be between EUR 0.2 billion and EUR 0.4 billion for the full year [5][30] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Personal Health segment saw an 11% increase in comparable sales, driven by strong demand across grooming, oral healthcare, and childcare [21][22] - Connected Care achieved 5% comparable sales growth, supported by strong monitoring solutions, while Diagnostic Imaging experienced a modest decline [20][21] - Diagnosis and Treatment (D&T) comparable sales improved by 1% year-over-year, with Image-Guided Therapy showing solid growth [18][19] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - North America remains a key growth driver, with strong demand for hospital patient monitoring solutions and a double-digit order intake growth [6][16] - In China, tender activity is gradually increasing, but centralized procurement is causing longer processing times and tougher competition [17][44] - Capital spending remains stable in Europe and Latin America, while India and Saudi Arabia continue to invest in healthcare and digitization [17] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on driving measurable improvements in collaboration with global regulators and reinforcing trust among stakeholders [14] - Continued investment in innovation is expected to fuel growth, with a strong emphasis on AI to enhance productivity across various segments [26] - The company plans to showcase progress under its 2023 to 2025 plan at the upcoming capital markets day in February 2026 [31] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in achieving full-year commitments, with expectations for comparable sales growth in the range of 1%-3% [30][31] - The impact of tariffs is anticipated to be between EUR 150 million and EUR 200 million for the full year, with ongoing mitigation efforts [24][30] - Management remains cautious about the near-term outlook for China but is optimistic about long-term growth potential [17][44] Other Important Information - The company passed six out of nine FDA inspections with no observations, reflecting progress in quality systems [12][13] - Adjusted diluted EPS from continued operations rose to EUR 0.36, up 13% year-over-year, driven by higher earnings [27] - Free cash flow performance improved significantly, with EUR 172 million reported for the quarter [28] Q&A Session Summary Question: Future price hikes and inflation impact - Management indicated that price increases may occur due to inflationary pressures, but growth remains a critical focus [34] Question: Contribution of China to Personal Health sales - Management clarified that there was no restocking effect in China, and broad-based growth was observed across all businesses [35] Question: Maintaining productivity momentum into 2026 - Management expressed confidence in continuing productivity improvements, with a focus on mitigating tariff impacts [36] Question: Order timing in D&T and diagnostic imaging sales outlook - Management noted that order timing is uneven, with expectations for improvement in Q4 [38] Question: Impact of Section 232 on imaging and connected care - Management is actively engaging in discussions regarding tariffs and is preparing to mitigate any potential impacts [40][41] Question: GE's decision to sell its Chinese business - Management highlighted competitive positioning and innovation as key differentiators in the market [49] Question: Currency headwinds for next year - Management expects some currency headwinds in Q4, which will be factored into future guidance [50] Question: Downgrade of D&T sales guidance - Management confirmed that the downgrade is primarily related to China, with longer conversion cycles also impacting sales [54][56]

Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant information provided Core Views Copper - After the expectations of interest rate cuts and tariff benefits are realized, the short - term driving force is weak, and copper prices oscillated yesterday. In the medium - to - long - term, the supply - demand contradiction supports the upward shift of the bottom center of copper prices, but short - term sharp increases restrain demand. The subsequent focus is on marginal changes in demand and Sino - US tariff situations, with the main contract supported at 86000 - 86500 [1]. Aluminum - Cost support shows signs of bottoming, but the industry's profit space has shrunk significantly, and about 30% of production capacity is facing losses. The short - term aluminum price will fluctuate between event - driven factors and weak reality. It is necessary to be vigilant about the risk of a callback to the 20500 - 20800 yuan/ton range [3]. Alumina - It is expected that the alumina price will continue to maintain a weak oscillation. The main contract is expected to be in a weak position. It is necessary to pay attention to the supply in Guinea, domestic environmental policies, and inventory changes [3]. Casting Aluminum Alloy - Casting aluminum alloy prices are expected to maintain a strong oscillation, with the main contract reference range of 20400 - 21000 yuan/ton. The subsequent focus is on scrap aluminum supply, procurement costs, and inventory reduction [5]. Zinc - Against the backdrop of concerns about a squeeze on LME zinc, Shanghai zinc oscillated strongly. In the short - term, zinc prices will oscillate strongly, but the fundamentals provide limited upward momentum. The main contract is expected to oscillate in the range of 22300 - 23000 [9]. Tin - Considering the strong fundamentals, a strategy of buying on dips is recommended. The subsequent focus is on macro changes and the supply recovery in Myanmar in the fourth quarter [11]. Nickel - The nickel price is expected to oscillate in the range of 118000 - 126000. The subsequent focus is on the RKAB approval in Indonesia in 2026 [13]. Stainless Steel - The stainless - steel price is expected to oscillate weakly in the short - term, with the main contract reference range of 12500 - 13000. The subsequent focus is on macro expectations and steel mill supply [14]. Lithium Carbonate - In November, the supply - demand change is expected to be limited. The price is expected to oscillate widely, with the main contract reference range of 80000 - 85000 yuan/ton. The current variable lies in whether there will be new information from the mining end [17]. Summary by Directory Copper Price and Basis - SMM 1 electrolytic copper price was 86840 yuan/ton, down 0.83% from the previous day; the SMM 1 electrolytic copper premium was - 5 yuan/ton [1]. Fundamental Data - In October, the electrolytic copper production was 109.16 million tons, a month - on - month decrease of 2.62%; in September, the electrolytic copper import volume was 33.43 million tons, a month - on - month increase of 26.50% [1]. Aluminum Price and Spread - The SMM A00 aluminum price was 21440 yuan/ton, up 0.75% from the previous day; the SMM A00 aluminum premium was 0 yuan/ton [3]. Fundamental Data - In October, the electrolytic aluminum production was 374.21 million tons, a month - on - month increase of 3.52%; the aluminum profile production rate was 53.50%, a month - on - month decrease of 0.37% [3]. Alumina Price and Spread - The average price of alumina in Shandong was 2790 yuan/ton, unchanged from the previous day; the average price of alumina in Guangxi was 3010 yuan/ton, down 0.17% from the previous day [3]. Fundamental Data - In October, the alumina production was 18.2 million tons, a month - on - month increase of 2.39%; the electrolytic aluminum plant's raw material inventory increased by 2.2 million tons week - on - week [3]. Casting Aluminum Alloy Price and Spread - The SMM ADC12 price was 21400 yuan/ton, up 0.47% from the previous day; the SMM East China ADC12 price was 21400 yuan/ton, up 0.47% from the previous day [5]. Fundamental Data - In September, the production of recycled aluminum alloy ingots was 66.10 million tons, a month - on - month increase of 7.48%; the production of primary aluminum alloy ingots was 28.30 million tons, a month - on - month increase of 4.43% [5]. Zinc Price and Spread - The SMM 0 zinc ingot price was 22350 yuan/ton, up 0.31% from the previous day; the SMM 0 zinc ingot premium was - 30 yuan/ton [9]. Fundamental Data - In October, the refined zinc production was 61.72 million tons, a month - on - month increase of 2.85%; in September, the refined zinc import volume was 2.27 million tons, a month - on - month decrease of 11.61% [9]. Tin Spot Price and Basis - The SMM 1 tin price was 285400 yuan/ton, up 0.35% from the previous day; the SMM 1 tin premium was 500 yuan/ton, unchanged from the previous day [11]. Fundamental Data - In September, the tin ore import volume was 8714 tons, a month - on - month decrease of 15.13%; the SMM refined tin production was 10510 tons, a month - on - month decrease of 31.71% [11]. Nickel Price and Basis - The SMM 1 electrolytic nickel price was 122000 yuan/ton, up 0.04% from the previous day; the 1 Jinchuan nickel premium was 2600 yuan/ton, up 1.96% from the previous day [13]. Fundamental Data - China's refined nickel production was 35900 tons, a month - on - month increase of 0.84%; the refined nickel import volume was 38164 tons, a month - on - month increase of 124.36% [13]. Stainless Steel Price and Basis - The 304/2B (Wuxi Hongwang 2.0 coil) price was 12800 yuan/ton, down 0.78% from the previous day; the 304/2B (Foshan Hongwang 2.0 coil) price was 12900 yuan/ton, down 0.39% from the previous day [14]. Fundamental Data - China's 300 - series stainless - steel crude steel production (43 companies) was 182.17 million tons, a month - on - month increase of 0.38%; Indonesia's 300 - series stainless - steel crude steel production (Qinglong) was 42.35 million tons, a month - on - month increase of 0.36% [14]. Lithium Carbonate Price and Spread - The SMM battery - grade lithium carbonate average price was 81000 yuan/ton, up 0.56% from the previous day; the SMM industrial - grade lithium carbonate average price was 78800 yuan/ton, up 0.57% from the previous day [17]. Fundamental Data - In October, the lithium carbonate production was 92260 tons, a month - on - month increase of 5.73%; the lithium carbonate demand was 126961 tons, a month - on - month increase of 8.70% [17].

交易咨询业务资格：证监许可【2012】1091号 沪铜周报（10.27~10.31） 大越期货投资咨询部:祝森林 从业资格证号：F3023048 投资咨询证号： Z0013626 联系方式：0575-85226759 重要提示：本报告非期货交易咨询业务项下服务，其中的观点和信息仅作参考之用，不构成对任何人的投资建议。 我司不会因为关注、收到或阅读本报告内容而视相关人员为客户；市场有风险，投资需谨慎。 上周回顾 沪铜周评: 上周沪铜冲高回落，沪铜主力合约下跌0.71%，收报于87010元/吨。宏观面看，地缘政治扰动铜价,美 国关税再起波澜，全球不稳定因素仍存，印尼铜矿出险不可抗力和贵金属大涨，刺激铜价大涨。国内 方面，消费旺季，目前来看下游消费意愿一般。产业端，国内现货交易一般，整体还是刚需交易为主。 库存方面，铜库存LME库存134625吨，上周小幅减少，上期所铜库存较上周增11348吨至116140吨。 期货主力 目录 一、行情回顾 二、基本面（库存结构） 三、市场结构 数据来源：博易大师 基本面 1、PMI 2、供需平衡表 3、库存 数据来源：Wind 供需平衡 2024供需紧平衡，2025过剩 PMI ...

1. Report Industry Investment Ratings The document does not provide industry investment ratings. 2. Report's Core View The report presents the market trends and outlooks for various commodities on November 4, 2025, including precious metals, base metals, energy, chemicals, agricultural products, and livestock. It also analyzes the fundamental data and macro - industry news of each commodity, and gives the trend strength ratings for each commodity. 3. Summary by Commodity Precious Metals - **Gold**: Attention should be paid to risks in US banks. The trend strength is 0. The price of Comex gold 2512 was 4013.70 with a 0.01% increase [2][5]. - **Silver**: It is expected to rebound in a volatile manner. The trend strength is 1. The price of Comex silver 2512 was 47.910 with a - 0.70% decrease [2][5]. Base Metals - **Copper**: A decrease in LME inventory restricts price decline. The trend strength is 0. The price of the Shanghai copper main contract was 87,300 with a 0.33% increase [2][9]. - **Zinc**: It is expected to run strongly. The trend strength is 0. The price of the Shanghai zinc main contract was 22,565 with a 0.94% increase [2][12]. - **Lead**: A continuous decrease in overseas inventory supports the price. The trend strength is 0. The price of the Shanghai lead main contract was 17,420 with a 0.17% increase [2][15]. - **Tin**: Attention should be paid to macro - impacts. The trend strength is 1. The price of the Shanghai tin main contract was 285,760 with a 0.65% increase [2][18]. - **Aluminum**: It is expected to fluctuate strongly. The trend strength is 1. The price of the Shanghai aluminum main contract was 21,600 with a 300 increase compared to T - 1 [2][22]. - **Alumina**: There is support at the bottom. The trend strength is 0. The price of the Shanghai alumina main contract was 2789 with a - 4 decrease compared to T - 1 [2][22]. - **Nickel**: Accumulated inventory at the smelting end suppresses the price, while uncertainties at the ore end provide support. The trend strength is 0. The price of the Shanghai nickel main contract was 120,950 with a 360 increase compared to T - 1 [2][26]. - **Stainless Steel**: The steel price is expected to fluctuate in a narrow range at a low level. The trend strength is 0. The price of the stainless - steel main contract was 12,630 with a - 25 decrease compared to T - 1 [2][26]. Energy and Chemicals - **Crude Oil - related**: - **LPG**: Demand improvement is limited, and the futures valuation is high [2][49]. - **Fuel Oil**: It is expected to fluctuate strongly, but weaker than low - sulfur fuel oil in the short term [2][53]. - **Low - Sulfur Fuel Oil**: There was a short - term adjustment in the night session, and the spot high - low sulfur spread in the overseas market continued to rise [2][53]. - **Chemicals**: - **PTA**: Demand is acceptable, but supply pressure still exists, and it is in a high - level volatile market [2][28]. - **MEG**: Supply pressure is large, and the trend is weak [2][28]. - **Rubber**: It is expected to fluctuate [2][30]. - **Synthetic Rubber**: The cost has collapsed, and it is running weakly [2][32]. - **Asphalt**: It fluctuates following crude oil [2][34]. - **LLDPE**: Unplanned maintenance has increased, and attention should be paid to import pressure [2][36]. - **PP**: It is expected to fluctuate in the medium term [2][37]. - **Caustic Soda**: Cost provides support, and it is in a volatile market [2][38]. - **Paper Pulp**: It is expected to fluctuate [2][40]. - **Glass**: The price of the original sheet is stable [2][42]. - **Methanol**: It is expected to run weakly [2][43]. - **Urea**: It is under pressure and fluctuating [2][45]. - **Styrene**: It is expected to fluctuate weakly [2][47]. - **Soda Ash**: There are few changes in the spot market [2][48]. Agricultural Products and Livestock - **Oils and Fats**: - **Palm Oil**: There is a lack of driving factors, and short - term support should be noted [2][61]. - **Soybean Oil**: The price of US soybeans has rebounded, and the spread between soybean oil and palm oil is expected to widen [2][61]. - **Grains and Oilseeds**: - **Soybean Meal**: US soybeans have reached a new high, and the domestic soybean meal may follow the rebound [2][63]. - **Soybean**: The start of state - reserve purchases has stabilized the market [2][63]. - **Corn**: It is expected to fluctuate [2][65]. - **Sugar and Cotton**: - **Sugar**: It is in a range - bound adjustment [2][66]. - **Cotton**: The impact of the price of seed cotton on cotton futures has weakened [2][67]. - **Livestock and Poultry**: - **Eggs**: They are expected to fluctuate and adjust [2][69]. - **Pigs**: The price center has further declined [2][70]. - **Peanuts**: Attention should be paid to the spot market [2][71].

Core Insights - The Federal Reserve Governor Cook indicated that the slowdown in job growth is related to changes in labor supply, and tariffs continue to exert upward pressure on prices, with inflation remaining high and facing upward risks [1] Group 1 - Job growth is slowing down due to changes in labor supply [1] - Tariffs are contributing to increased price pressures [1] - Inflation remains elevated and is subject to upward risks [1]