1、港股半导体代工厂大涨——利好国产设备 2、OpenAI与AMD百亿美元合作——利好AMD产业链 3、存储芯片涨价——利好生产商、设备长和经销商 4、贵金属大涨——利好金、银和铜的公司 5、核聚变BEST项目取得关键突破——利好产业链公司 6、固态电池技术攻关——有望提前装车 7、OpenAI发布Sora 2——利好AI视频软件 8、腾讯混元3.0超硬谷歌——利好AI图形软件 二、国庆节期间的利空消息 1、算力租赁合同停止 2、新易盛减持 3、英伟达压价1.6T光模块 三、海外看点——还有两次降息？ 一、国庆节期间的利好消息： ...

智通财经APP获悉，招商证券发布研报称，展望10月，市场将会继续延续9月的趋势，保持震荡上行且 低斜率的走势。十月将会进入三季报窗口，由于去年基数较低，今年三季报预计多数行业盈利增速都会 出现一定程度的反弹，也将会在基本面强化市场信心。因此总体来看市场上行趋势的概率较大。综合盈 利、行业景气和交易等维度，10月份建议行业配置方面重点围绕高景气有望持续和困境反转的方向布 局，推荐重点关注：有色金属、电力设备、机械、汽车、电子、传媒等。 招商证券主要观点如下： 大势研判和核心逻辑 展望10月，市场将会继续延续9月的趋势，保持震荡上行且低斜率的走势。目前市场处在牛市第二阶段 的判断没有发生变化，增量资金持续流入的态势没有发生变化，而指数上行速度放缓后，增量资金更加 平稳，是驱动市场稳健上行的关键力量。公募私募融资余额均呈现净流入的态势，也使得市场风格更加 均衡。 10月下旬将会召开四中全会，四中全会将提出的十五五规划，成为市场预期和交易的重要方向。重要规 划的提出也使得市场风险偏好在10月有望维持高位。而十月将会进入三季报窗口，由于去年基数较低， 今年三季报预计多数行业盈利增速都会出现一定程度的反弹，也将会在基本面 ...

Market Overview - Hong Kong stocks experienced a familiar pattern during the National Day holiday, with the Hang Seng Index dropping by 0.48% after one day of increase followed by three days of adjustment [1] - The U.S. government faced a shutdown starting October 1, affecting over 100,000 federal employees, with potential long-term negative impacts if the shutdown persists [1] - China's gold reserves increased to 7,406 million ounces by the end of September, marking the 11th consecutive month of accumulation [1] Gold and Silver Market - Ray Dalio, founder of Bridgewater, suggested that gold is a better hedge than the dollar and recommended a 15% allocation in investment portfolios as gold approaches $4,000 per ounce [2] - Chinese gold stocks such as Zijin Mining and Shandong Gold saw significant price increases, with Zijin rising over 13% and Shandong over 7% [2] - Silver prices also rose, with spot silver reaching $48.32 per ounce, reflecting a daily increase of 1% [2] Automotive Industry - The U.S. automotive sector is facing challenges, particularly after a fire at Novelis' Oswego plant, which supplies 40% of aluminum sheets for the industry, leading to production halts expected to last until early next year [2] - Tesla launched a "simplified" version of the Model Y at a lower price, but market reception appears lukewarm due to reduced features [2] Electric Vehicle Market - Chinese electric vehicle manufacturers are showing strong performance in Europe, with a 35% year-on-year increase in sales across nine major countries in September [3] - Companies like Xpeng, Geely, and BYD are expected to maintain positive trends as new models are set to launch in Q4 [3] Battery Technology - Advances in solid-state battery technology are being reported, with new materials developed that significantly enhance energy density [3] - Production rates are expected to increase by 5-10% in October, with a projected year-on-year growth of 30-50% [3] AI and Semiconductor Industry - OpenAI announced a partnership with AMD to deploy 6 GW of AMD GPU computing power, indicating continued investment in AI technology [4] - Nvidia is expected to play a significant role in a $20 billion funding round for Elon Musk's AI startup, xAI, highlighting the ongoing collaboration in the AI sector [4] Nuclear Fusion Developments - The BEST project in Anhui, China, achieved a key breakthrough, marking progress in nuclear fusion technology [5] - Germany plans to invest €2 billion in building the world's first nuclear fusion power plant by 2029 [5] Pharmaceutical Sector - Innovent Biologics announced a licensing agreement with Zenas Bio Pharma for the development and commercialization of its product, with potential total payments exceeding $2 billion [6] - Other companies in the sector may see increased activity due to potential milestone payments related to this agreement [6] Mining and Materials - China Metallurgical Group reported a decrease in new contract amounts but an increase in overseas contracts, indicating a shift in focus towards international operations [7] - The company is advancing projects in Afghanistan and Pakistan, which are expected to yield significant profits upon completion [8] - The company also has a strong position in silicon-based semiconductor materials, indicating long-term investment potential [9]

Market Performance - During the National Day holiday (October 1-7, 2025), the Nasdaq, S&P 500, and Dow Jones Industrial Average increased by 0.57%, 0.39%, and 0.44% respectively[3] - The Nasdaq China Technology Index rose by 1.59%, while the Hang Seng Index increased by 0.38% during the same period[3] Bond Market - U.S. Treasury yields primarily decreased, with the 10-year yield falling by 2 basis points to 4.14% as of October 7, 2025[4] - The yield curve steepened, with all maturities except for the 30-year remaining unchanged or decreasing during the holiday[4] Currency Trends - The U.S. Dollar Index increased by 0.78%, with the dollar appreciating against the Euro, Pound, and Yen by 0.65%, 0.17%, and 2.70% respectively[5] - The offshore RMB depreciated against the U.S. dollar, rising to 7.1458, a 0.24% increase[5] Gold Market - Gold prices surged, with London spot gold rising by 4.02% to $3979.00 per ounce, and COMEX gold futures increasing by 3.40% to the same price[6] - A rebound in domestic gold prices is anticipated post-holiday due to the significant rise in international prices[6] Economic Uncertainty - The U.S. government shutdown began on October 1, 2025, due to budget disagreements, which may lead to increased unemployment and reduced consumer spending, negatively impacting GDP growth[7] - The delay in non-farm payroll data release adds to economic uncertainty, affecting market predictions[8] Political Developments - Japan's political landscape may shift with the election of the first female president of the Liberal Democratic Party, which could escalate geopolitical tensions in East Asia due to her conservative stance[9] Monetary Policy - The central bank plans to conduct a 1.1 trillion yuan reverse repo on October 9, 2025, to maintain liquidity, despite a net withdrawal in October due to maturing repos[10] Consumer Spending - The fourth batch of 690 billion yuan in special bonds for consumer goods has been allocated, expected to boost retail sales in the fourth quarter[10] Investment Strategy - The market may present structural investment opportunities in sectors such as AI, energy storage, and gold, while the bond market remains attractive despite short-term risks[11]

Group 1: AI Computing Power - The AI sector is experiencing a surge in investment driven by significant collaborations, including OpenAI's agreements with Samsung and SK Hynix to enhance data center capabilities, with demand for high-bandwidth memory (HBM) expected to exceed current production capacity by more than double [3][4] - OpenAI's recent product launches, including the Sora2 model, are anticipated to have a profound impact on the commercialization of AI applications, with the SoraApp achieving top rankings on the App Store [4] - The semiconductor export from South Korea saw a year-on-year increase of 22% in September, reaching a record high of $16.6 billion, indicating strong demand in the AI hardware market [3] Group 2: Gold Market - International gold prices reached a historic high, surpassing $4,000 per ounce during the holiday period, driven by political uncertainties in the U.S. and strong demand from central banks [5][6] - Central banks, including China, have been increasing their gold reserves, with China's reserves rising to approximately 7.406 million ounces, marking the 11th consecutive month of increases [6] - Goldman Sachs raised its gold price forecast for December 2026 from $4,300 to $4,900 per ounce, citing strong inflows into Western market ETFs and ongoing central bank purchases [5][6] Group 3: Solid-State Batteries - Significant advancements in solid-state battery technology were reported, with a new anion regulation technique developed to enhance the contact between electrolytes and lithium electrodes, paving the way for practical applications [8] - During the holiday period, the charging volume for new energy vehicles reached a historical high, with a total of 43.81 million kilowatt-hours charged from October 1 to October 3, representing a year-on-year increase of 51.33% [9] Group 4: Nuclear Fusion - China's nuclear fusion device, BEST, achieved a critical milestone with the successful installation of its heavy base, marking the beginning of its main construction phase [10] - Stocks related to nuclear fusion in the Hong Kong market saw significant gains during the holiday period, reflecting investor optimism [10] Group 5: Travel and Consumption - The total number of domestic trips during the holiday period reached 2.068 billion, a year-on-year increase of approximately 5.2%, exceeding earlier forecasts [11] - The domestic airline industry experienced a surge in bookings, with over 8.71 million tickets reserved, reflecting a 13% increase compared to the previous year [11] Group 6: Film Market - The total box office for the year has already surpassed the entire box office for 2024, indicating a strong recovery in the Chinese film market [12] Group 7: Market Performance - Global stock markets showed a bullish trend during the holiday, with major indices in the U.S. and Europe experiencing gains, while the Hong Kong market saw sector-specific rallies, particularly in technology and materials [12][16] - The top-performing sectors in the U.S. and Hong Kong markets included healthcare, utilities, and information technology, with notable individual stock performances in the technology and materials sectors [16][17]

Group 1 - The market is expected to continue the upward trend observed in September, maintaining a low-slope oscillation, with the current phase identified as the second stage of a bull market, driven by continuous inflow of incremental capital [2][3][25] - Key sectors to focus on include AI computing and applications, semiconductor self-sufficiency, solid-state batteries, commercial aerospace, and controllable nuclear fusion, along with "anti-involution" related directions [3][17][25] - The upcoming Fourth Plenary Session and the anticipated 15th Five-Year Plan are expected to influence market expectations and trading directions, with a high probability of maintaining a favorable risk appetite in October [3][22][25] Group 2 - The industry configuration strategy suggests a focus on high-growth sectors, particularly in large-cap styles, with recommendations for indices such as CSI 300, ChiNext 50, and 300 Quality Growth [4][20][21] - Recommended industries include non-ferrous metals (industrial metals, precious metals, minor metals), power equipment (photovoltaic equipment, batteries, wind power equipment), machinery (automation equipment), automotive (passenger cars, auto parts), electronics (semiconductors, consumer electronics), and media (gaming) [4][20][21] - The liquidity outlook indicates continued net inflow of incremental capital, with a strong emphasis on the role of public and private funds, as well as industry and thematic ETFs [5][7][24] Group 3 - The third-quarter earnings reports are expected to show a rebound in profitability across most industries due to a low base from the previous year, reinforcing market confidence [19][23][26] - High-growth areas anticipated for improvement include mid-to-high-end manufacturing, AI industry chain, and resource sectors benefiting from price increases [8][33][36] - The report highlights the importance of monitoring the performance of sectors such as electronic devices, power equipment, and machinery, which are expected to show significant growth [8][33][36]

倒计时29天 CINE2025固态电池展暨固态电池行业年会 主办单位： 起点固态电池、起点锂电、SSBA固态电池联盟 协办单位及固态年会总冠名： 茹天科技 活动时间： 2025年11月6-8日 活动地点： 广州南沙国际会展中心（2楼船厅及广州厅） 活动规模： 展商规模200+、参会企业2000+、专业观众20000+ 同期活动： 2025起点固态电池金鼎奖颁奖典礼、SSBA固态电池产业联盟理事会 第一批展商及赞助商： 金钠科技/茹天科技/海四达钠星/融捷能源/易事特钠电/泰和科技/隐功科技/科迈罗/国科炭美/晟钠新能/中钠能源/乔岳智能/津工能源/科达新能 源/时代思康/富钠能源/极电特能/华普森/瑞扬新能源/亮见钠电/叁星飞荣/珠海纳甘新能源/皓升新能源/扬广科技/银川苏银产业园/兆钠新能源/精诚模具/儒特股份/希倍 动力/先导干燥/瓦时动力/博粤新材料/苏州翼动新能/亿隆能源/钠创新能源/瑞森新材料/海裕百特/凯德利/长篙新材/清研电子 /孚悦科技 等 9月28日，从江西赣锋锂电科技股份有限公司获悉，该公司所属子公司——江苏赣锋动力科技有限公司自主研发生产的24V启驻锂电池近日在 苏州正式发布，是赣锋电池 ...

固态锂电池因其高安全性和高能量密度，被视为下一代储能技术的重要发展方向。 公司一：半年报增长+固态电池+偏光片+重整概念：公司正在开发针对固态电池用的负极材料相关产品及固态电解质复合型负极材料，其中部分产品已 在客户处进行多轮测试；同时，公司正在自主建立固态电池负极材料评测体系，加速固态电池专用新型负极材料研发。 公司产品市占率全球第一，目 前股价才十几块钱，稳步拉升，或有主升浪！ 公司二：固态电池+储能+六氟磷酸锂+回购 ：六氟磷酸锂市占率全球前二，国内首家商业化量产六氟磷酸钠的企业。公司对固态电池保持关注，半固 态电池正在进行研发工作；固态电池需要用固态电解质，公司有一些前瞻性研究和储备。同时公司产品替代进口，成为半导体芯片行业合格供应商， 已经批量供货。股价已经完成有效突破，资金抢筹明显！ 全球各大巨头都在抢占固态电池的量产商用的先机。然而，传统固态电池中电极与电解质之间的固-固界面接触不良，导致离子传输阻力大、效率低， 严重制约其实际应用。 公司三：固态电池+虚拟电厂+小金属+储能：公司自2017年开展固态电池的研制工作，并于2020年承担浙江省固态电池重点研发计划，目前固态电池产 品已通过热箱、短路 ...

值得注意的是，截至9月30日收盘，兆易创新股价上涨8.2%，药明康德上涨6.42%。Wind数据显示，除兆易创新、药明康德、立讯精密以外， 大金重工、海康威视、中航沈飞、紫金矿业、华友钴业等也获2到3家券商推荐。 【环球网财经综合报道】10月交易即将开市，券商陆续公布10月"金股"组合。据统计，有标的同时获5家券商推荐，行业集中于电子、电力设 备等板块。 具体来看，兆易创新、立讯精密、药明康德等获多家券商推荐。其中，兆易创新获中泰证券、东海证券、中原证券、中航证券、华金证券5家 机构共同推荐。中原证券认为，展望10月，美联储降息，提升了市场对央行降息的预期，进而带动风险偏好上升。同时，助力经济复苏的政策 相继出台，为股市信心提供了有力支撑。然而，当前科技板块拥挤度的提升，也使得市场波动有所加大。在此背景下，建议投资者继续兼顾成 长与价值风格的配置，重点关注TMT、医药、证券等行业。 招商证券认为，无论是从政策预期还是业绩表现，以AI算力、半导体自主可控、固态电池、商业航天、可控核聚变为代表的八大赛道依然是 当前的重点。 申万宏源认为，科技产业催化仍在趋势中，海外AI产业趋势向上，尚未触及边界，国内AI产业趋势 ...

从基本面看，三季度锂价波动剧烈，受供给面与资金面影响，呈现"急涨急跌"的特征。海通期货新能源 组分析师王博隆表示，长期来看，碳酸锂需求改善更值得关注：8月碳酸锂需求环比增超7%，储能板块 表现突出，预计2026年储能电池需求仍有40%~50%的增长空间，为锂盐需求提供支撑。同时，正极材 料价格回暖，反映下游产业链正在逐步修复。 近日，工业和信息化部等部门联合印发的《汽车行业稳增长工作方案（2025—2026 年）》与《电子信 息制造业2025—2026年稳增长行动方案》（下称《行动方案》），为汽车、新能源等国家重点产业注入 政策"强心剂"。作为锂电池关键原料的碳酸锂，未来存在哪些交易机会？ 市场人士普遍认为，目前的政策信号已十分明确，既要推进传统消费与制造业持续发展，也要推动新能 源产业链深度转型。 齐盛期货新能源分析师杜崇睿表示，汽车是稳增长的重点领域，政策明确支持新能源汽车的推广与产 销。作为新能源汽车核心部件，锂电池需求将随汽车市场增长而提升，进而顺畅传导至上游碳酸锂。与 此同时，电力装备领域政策亦利好锂电，锂电池在储能领域应用潜力大，政策有望加速推进，提振正极 材料企业订单。此外，《有色金属行业稳增长 ...