Core Viewpoint - Shenzhen is positioning itself as a leader in the new track of "new quality productivity," focusing on hard technology innovations such as artificial intelligence, drones, and new energy vehicles, which are crucial for the global industrial landscape transformation [1][3]. Group 1: Technological Advancements - Shenzhen's R&D investment reached 223.66 billion yuan, growing by 18.9%, marking nine consecutive years of double-digit growth, which supports breakthroughs in hard technology [3]. - Major technological showcases at recent exhibitions included BYD's "megawatt flash charging" technology, allowing for a one-minute charge to achieve a 100-kilometer range, addressing user concerns about range anxiety [3]. - Huawei unveiled significant products like the HUAWEI MateBook Fold and HUAWEI MateBook Pro at the global AI terminal exhibition, while DJI showcased the new Matrice 4 series drones with advanced AI detection capabilities [4]. Group 2: Application of Technology - The trend of technology rapidly transitioning from exhibition to real-life applications is evident, with AI and drones being integrated into various sectors such as smart homes, logistics, and emergency services [5][6]. - Shenzhen plans to open 100 application scenarios annually to enhance the matching of supply and demand, facilitating product development and technology iteration [6]. Group 3: Ecosystem Development - The exhibitions reflect a shift from merely showcasing products to presenting an entire ecosystem, highlighting the collaboration between technology and industry [7]. - The establishment of the Shenzhen AI Glasses Industry Alliance aims to integrate resources across the AI glasses sector, promoting innovation and scaling [8][9]. - Policies supporting the development of these industries include the launch of investment funds for AI terminals and robotics, indicating a strong commitment to fostering long-term capital investment [9]. Group 4: Future Outlook - The combination of hard technology breakthroughs, accelerated application scenarios, and efficient industrial ecosystem collaboration forms the "innovation triangle," which is central to Shenzhen's new quality productivity strategy [9].

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Accumulate" rating to Xiaomi Group [1][9]. Core Insights - Xiaomi's FY25Q1 revenue reached 111.3 billion RMB, marking a 47.7% year-on-year increase, with adjusted net profit surpassing 10.7 billion RMB, a 64.5% growth [3][7]. - The company has launched its self-developed 3nm mobile SoC chip, Xuanjie O1, and plans to invest 200 billion RMB in R&D over the next five years [7][9]. - Xiaomi's smartphone revenue in FY25Q1 was 50.6 billion RMB, up 8.9% year-on-year, regaining the top market share in mainland China at 18.8% [7][9]. Financial Summary - Revenue projections for FY2025E-FY2027E are adjusted to 483.5 billion, 602.3 billion, and 715.9 billion RMB respectively, with adjusted net profit forecasts of 42.2 billion, 55.2 billion, and 68.6 billion RMB [3][9]. - The company reported a gross profit of 25.4 billion RMB in FY25Q1, with a gross profit margin of 22.8% [10]. - The adjusted PE ratio for FY2025 is projected at 28.7, reflecting a premium valuation due to Xiaomi's hardware synergy and AI positioning [9][14].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [7] Core Views - The company held its 2025 Investor Day on June 3, where it discussed its high-end strategy and new retail format, emphasizing that its moat lies in the core of the Xiaomi model. The company will focus on "chips, AI, OS" as the three foundational pillars of hard technology, continuing to deepen its engagement in the underlying hard technology sector. Through the integration of software and hardware, it aims to empower the entire ecosystem of people, vehicles, and homes [4][8] Summary by Relevant Sections Smartphone and Consumer Electronics - According to the company's president, Xiaomi is expected to see a net inflow of over 13 million users in the Chinese market in 2024, with a market share increase of 5.3 percentage points from 2020 to 2024. In Q1 2025, global smartphone sales reached 41.8 million units, a year-on-year increase of 3.0%, with a global market share of 14.1%, up 0.3 percentage points. In mainland China, sales reached 13.3 million units, a year-on-year increase of 40.0%, reclaiming the top position after 10 years. The average selling price of Xiaomi smartphones in Q1 2025 was 1,210.5 yuan, up 5.7% year-on-year, with a market share of 24.4% in the 4k-5k yuan price range, ranking first [8] IoT Business - In Q1 2025, the company's IoT and lifestyle consumer products business achieved revenue of 32.3 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 58.7%, with a gross margin of 25.2%, up 5.4 percentage points year-on-year. The revenue from major appliances doubled, indicating initial success of the high-end strategy. In smart home appliances, revenue grew by 113.9% year-on-year, with air conditioning shipments exceeding 1.1 million units (up over 65%), refrigerators over 880,000 units (up over 65%), and washing machines over 740,000 units (up over 100%) [8] Automotive Business - The automotive business is gradually narrowing its losses, with a Q1 2025 loss of 500 million yuan, a significant reduction of 50.2% quarter-on-quarter. The company is advancing new model launches, with the YU7 model expected to launch in July. The YU7 is designed to balance aesthetics and performance while offering exceptional value, potentially becoming a bestseller. With the YU7's launch, the automotive business is entering a strong model cycle, and profitability is expected to improve further, with a forecast of achieving profitability in Q3 to Q4 of this year [8] Overall Ecosystem Development - The comprehensive development of Xiaomi's "people, vehicles, and homes" ecosystem, along with steady growth in smartphones and rapid growth in IoT appliances and automotive business, leads to projected net profits of 42.39 billion yuan, 55.75 billion yuan, and 70.08 billion yuan for 2025-2027, respectively, maintaining a "Buy" rating [8]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for Xiaomi Group-W (1810.HK) is "Buy" and is maintained [7]. Core Insights - Xiaomi's moat is built on its core model, focusing on high-end strategies and new retail formats. The company aims to strengthen its foundation in "chips, AI, and OS" while continuing to delve into core technology sectors. The integration of software and hardware will empower the entire ecosystem of people, vehicles, and homes [2][4]. Summary by Sections Event Description - On June 3, Xiaomi held its 2025 Investor Day, where the founder Lei Jun and President Lu Weibing discussed the company's high-end strategy and new retail formats. Xiaomi's moat is attributed to its core model, with a focus on "chips, AI, and OS" as the three foundational pillars of hard technology [2][4]. Smartphone and Consumer Electronics - Xiaomi is entering a balanced development year, with a projected net user inflow of over 13 million in China for 2024. From 2020 to 2024, the market share is expected to increase by 5.3 percentage points. In Q1 2025, global smartphone sales reached 41.8 million units, a year-on-year increase of 3.0%, with a global market share of 14.1% [8]. - In mainland China, sales reached 13.3 million units, a year-on-year increase of 40.0%, reclaiming the top position after 10 years. The average selling price of Xiaomi smartphones in Q1 2025 was 1,210.5 yuan, up 5.7% year-on-year, with a market share of 24.4% in the 4k-5k price range [8]. IoT Business - In Q1 2025, the IoT and lifestyle consumer products segment generated revenue of 32.3 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 58.7%, with a gross margin of 25.2%, up 5.4 percentage points. The revenue from major appliances doubled, indicating the initial success of the high-end strategy [8]. Automotive Business - The automotive segment's losses narrowed significantly, with a loss of 500 million yuan in Q1 2025, a reduction of 50.2% quarter-on-quarter. The new YU7 model is expected to launch in July, continuing the product positioning logic of the SU7 series. The automotive business is anticipated to achieve profitability in Q3 to Q4 of this year [8]. Overall Outlook - Xiaomi's comprehensive ecosystem is advancing, with steady growth in smartphones, rapid growth in IoT appliances, and the automotive business. The projected net profits for Xiaomi Group from 2025 to 2027 are 42.39 billion, 55.75 billion, and 70.08 billion yuan, respectively, maintaining a "Buy" rating [8].

Core Insights - Xiaomi reported its strongest quarterly earnings in history during the Q1 2025 earnings call, with a commitment to invest 200 billion yuan in R&D from 2026 to 2030, focusing on hard technology as a competitive advantage [2][3] - The company aims to enhance its position in the high-end smartphone market and expand its automotive business, despite facing challenges in brand perception and profitability [2][4] R&D Investment Strategy - Xiaomi plans to invest 300 billion yuan in R&D by 2025, totaling over 1,020 billion yuan from 2021 to 2025 [2] - The new five-year plan (2026-2030) includes a projected R&D investment of 200 billion yuan, emphasizing the importance of AI and chip technology [3][5] Market Position and Challenges - Xiaomi holds a strong position in the mid-to-low-end smartphone market but struggles to penetrate the high-end segment, where it faces stiff competition from Apple and Samsung [2][4] - The automotive sector is still in its early growth phase, with challenges related to production capacity and profitability, particularly in the context of low margins and high R&D costs [2][4] Global Expansion and Ecosystem Development - The company aims to leverage its experiences in China to expand globally, focusing on emerging markets like Southeast Asia and Latin America, while also targeting mature markets in Europe and the Middle East [4] - Xiaomi is working on creating a unified ecosystem that integrates smartphones, home appliances, and vehicles to enhance user engagement and ecosystem value [4] AI and Chip Development - Xiaomi is advancing its AI capabilities with the release of the Xiaomi MiMo model, which has shown strong performance in mathematical reasoning and coding competitions [5] - The company launched its first self-developed 3nm flagship smartphone SoC, the Xiaomi玄戒O1, which features 19 billion transistors and is positioned among the top tier in the industry [5][6] Long-term Commitment to Chip Development - Since restarting its chip project in 2021, Xiaomi has committed to a long-term investment plan of at least 500 billion yuan over ten years, with over 135 billion yuan already invested in the chip department [6] - The chip R&D team has grown to over 2,500 members, making it one of the largest in China, with a focus on maintaining strategic patience and continuous investment [6]

Core Viewpoint - Xiaomi's ambition in chip development and automotive manufacturing reflects a long-term strategy, with the recent launch of the 3nm flagship processor "玄戒O1" and the SUV "YU7" marking significant milestones in its journey towards becoming a leading technology company [2][3][25]. Group 1: Chip Development - Xiaomi has pursued its "chip dream" for 11 years, with the establishment of its subsidiary Pinecone Electronics in 2014, indicating a long-term commitment to chip development [7][11]. - The first chip, "澎湃S1," took 28 months to develop and was launched in 2017, making Xiaomi the fourth smartphone manufacturer with self-developed chip capabilities [8]. - Despite initial setbacks with the 澎湃S1, Xiaomi's experience laid the groundwork for the development of the玄戒O1, which has seen over 135 billion RMB invested in R&D and a team of over 2,500 people [11][12]. - The玄戒O1 chip utilizes TSMC's second-generation 3nm process, featuring 19 billion transistors and a compact area of 109mm², showcasing Xiaomi's technological advancements [12]. - Although the玄戒O1 has competitive specifications, it still trails behind Apple's A18 Pro in several areas, indicating that Xiaomi is still in a catch-up phase [13][15]. Group 2: Automotive Development - The launch of the SU7 has been a significant success, with over 25.8 million units delivered, establishing it as a market leader in its price segment [17]. - The upcoming YU7 is positioned as a luxury high-performance SUV, with a focus on long-range capabilities and advanced features, aiming to compete directly with Tesla's Model Y [19][20]. - The YU7's pricing strategy will be crucial for its success, with expectations of a starting price in the range of 26-30 million RMB, while offering superior features compared to competitors [20][21]. Group 3: Long-term Strategy - Xiaomi's strategy emphasizes the importance of having its own "core" (chips) and "wheels" (vehicles) to maintain a competitive edge in the smartphone and automotive markets [23][25]. - The company has committed to a long-term investment plan of at least 500 billion RMB over the next decade for its chip business, alongside significant investments in automotive development [11][25]. - Xiaomi's approach reflects a patient and steady commitment to building its technological capabilities, with both chip and automotive projects seen as integral to its future success [25][28].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" investment rating for Xiaomi Group [1][6] Core Views - The launch of the self-developed chip "Xuanjie O1" marks a significant milestone for Xiaomi, enhancing its high-end product strategy and ecosystem integration [5][6] - Xiaomi's various business segments, including smartphones, IoT, and internet services, are expected to experience sustained growth, driven by high-end product offerings and international expansion [5][6] - The upcoming release of the Xiaomi YU7 SUV is anticipated to strengthen the company's position in the automotive market, with advanced features and performance metrics [5][6] Summary by Sections Financial Data and Valuation - Total revenue projections for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are estimated at 517.9 billion, 701.4 billion, and 895.6 billion CNY respectively, with adjusted net profits of 43.8 billion, 67.6 billion, and 89.3 billion CNY [7] - The current market capitalization corresponds to a PE ratio of 27.7, 18.0, and 13.6 for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [7] Product Launches - The Xiaomi 15S Pro features the Xuanjie O1 chip, with a starting price of 5499 CNY, and is positioned as a high-end smartphone [5][20] - The Xiaomi Pad 7 Ultra, also equipped with the Xuanjie O1 chip, is priced from 5699 CNY and represents Xiaomi's entry into the high-end tablet market [5][38] - The Xiaomi Watch S4, featuring the Xuanjie T1 chip, is priced at 1299 CNY and offers advanced connectivity and health monitoring features [5][52] Automotive Sector - The Xiaomi YU7 SUV is set to launch in July, featuring a luxurious design, advanced safety features, and a maximum range of 835 km [5][61][73] - The YU7 will be equipped with cutting-edge technology, including NVIDIA Thor chips and laser radar, enhancing its performance and safety [5][61][84] Research and Development - Xiaomi has invested approximately 102 billion CNY in R&D over the past five years, with plans to invest an additional 200 billion CNY from 2026 to 2030 [5][6]

Core Insights - Xiaomi's automotive division is evolving, with the recent launch of the YU7 SUV reflecting a shift towards a more traditional automotive presentation style, focusing on rationality and objectivity rather than emotional appeal [2][4][5] - The company has achieved significant milestones, with cumulative deliveries exceeding 258,000 units and the SU7 model becoming a sales champion in the 200,000 yuan price segment [5][6] - Xiaomi's CEO Lei Jun acknowledges the challenges of being a latecomer in the automotive industry, emphasizing the need for perseverance and the belief that opportunities will arise for challengers [5][6] Product Development - The YU7 is positioned as a luxury high-performance SUV, featuring advanced technology such as a panoramic display, high-level driving assistance capabilities, and superior comfort [7][9] - Comparisons with Tesla's Model Y highlight the YU7's competitive advantages, including faster acceleration and longer battery range, which analysts predict will make it a formidable competitor in the market [9][10] Production Capacity - Xiaomi's production capacity is currently at 32,000 units per month, with plans to increase this to over 500,000 units annually by 2025, although current capacity constraints may limit sales growth in the short term [10][11] - The company is focused on solidifying its position in the Chinese market before considering international expansion, which is expected to begin in 2027 [11] Future Outlook - Xiaomi aims to address public trust and brand loyalty, which are critical for long-term success in the automotive sector, as it continues to navigate challenges and opportunities in a rapidly changing market [10][11] - The company's ambition to rank among the top five global automotive brands reflects its commitment to growth and improvement over the next five years [11]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" investment rating for Xiaomi Group [1][6] Core Views - The launch of the self-developed chip "Xuanjie O1" marks a significant milestone for Xiaomi, enhancing its high-end product strategy and ecosystem integration [5][6] - Xiaomi's various business segments, including smartphones, IoT, and internet services, are expected to experience sustained growth, driven by high-end product offerings and international expansion [5][6] - The upcoming release of the Xiaomi YU7 SUV is anticipated to strengthen the company's position in the automotive market, with advanced features and performance metrics [5][6] Summary by Sections Financial Data and Valuation - Total revenue projections for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are estimated at 517.9 billion, 701.4 billion, and 895.6 billion CNY respectively, with adjusted net profits of 43.8 billion, 67.6 billion, and 89.3 billion CNY [7] - The current market capitalization corresponds to a PE ratio of 27.7, 18.0, and 13.6 for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [7] Product Launches - The Xiaomi 15S Pro features the Xuanjie O1 chip, with a starting price of 5499 CNY, and is positioned as a high-end smartphone [5] - The Xiaomi Pad 7 Ultra, also equipped with the Xuanjie O1 chip, is priced from 5699 CNY and represents Xiaomi's entry into the premium tablet market [5] - The Xiaomi Watch S4, featuring the Xuanjie T1 chip, is priced at 1299 CNY and offers advanced connectivity and health monitoring features [5] Automotive Sector - The Xiaomi YU7 SUV is set to launch in July, featuring high-performance specifications, including a maximum power of 690PS and a range of up to 835 km [5][61] - The YU7 will include advanced safety features and a luxurious interior, aiming to compete in the high-performance SUV market [61][72] Technology Development - Xiaomi has invested approximately 102 billion CNY in R&D over the past five years, with plans to invest an additional 200 billion CNY from 2026 to 2030 [5] - The Xuanjie O1 chip utilizes a second-generation 3nm process, integrating 190 billion transistors and achieving a benchmark score exceeding 3 million on AnTuTu [5][8]

Core Viewpoint - The launch of Xiaomi's self-developed SoC chip "Xuanjie O1" marks a significant milestone for China's technology industry, showcasing the rise of domestic chips and the company's ambition in the global tech arena [2][4]. Group 1: Chip Development - "Xuanjie O1" is the first self-developed 3nm chip in mainland China, filling a gap in advanced chip design and development [4]. - Xiaomi becomes the fourth smartphone manufacturer globally, after Apple, Samsung, and Huawei, to possess self-developed SoC chip capabilities [4]. - The chip's development journey began in 2014, with the first chip "Panghu S1" released in 2017, but was paused until 2021 when Xiaomi resumed its SoC chip development [4][5]. Group 2: Investment and R&D - Xiaomi has committed to a long-term investment plan of at least 500 billion RMB over the next ten years, with over 135 billion RMB already invested in the "Xuanjie" project as of April this year [5]. - The R&D team for the "Xuanjie" chip has grown to over 2,500 people, with an expected investment of over 6 billion RMB in R&D this year [5]. - The launch of the Xiaomi 15S Pro and Xiaomi Pad 7 Ultra, both featuring the "Xuanjie O1," signifies a technological leap from 28nm to 3nm chips [5]. Group 3: Industry Context - The development of the "Xuanjie O1" chip reflects a broader trend in China's technology and manufacturing sectors, where companies are increasingly focusing on self-innovation and long-term investment strategies [7]. - Xiaomi's strategy includes a comprehensive ecosystem approach, integrating automotive, chip, and smart factory developments, positioning itself as a leading global tech company [7]. - The competitive landscape in the semiconductor field shows that Chinese companies are not deterred by external pressures but are instead making steady progress to close the gap with global leaders [8]. Group 4: Future Outlook - Xiaomi's 15th-anniversary product launch theme "New Starting Point" indicates readiness to face future challenges and continue its growth trajectory [8]. - The ongoing shift from "sweat-driven" to "innovation-driven" development among Chinese tech firms is expected to inject vitality and confidence into the economy [8][10].