Core Viewpoint - The overall economic climate in China continues to show signs of expansion, with key indices indicating a recovery in both manufacturing and non-manufacturing sectors in August 2025 [1][11]. Manufacturing Sector Summary - The Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) rose to 49.4%, indicating a slight improvement in economic conditions compared to the previous month [3]. - Production Index reached 50.8%, up by 0.3 percentage points, marking the fourth consecutive month above the critical point, suggesting accelerated manufacturing production [5]. - New Orders Index increased to 49.5%, reflecting a minor rise of 0.1 percentage points, with notable performance in the pharmaceutical and computer communication sectors [5]. - The Purchasing Volume Index climbed to 50.4%, indicating increased procurement activities among enterprises [5]. - Price indices for raw materials and factory output prices rose to 53.3% and 49.1%, respectively, showing a continuous improvement in market price levels [5]. - Large enterprises reported a PMI of 50.8%, up by 0.5 percentage points, while medium and small enterprises showed mixed results [6]. - High-tech manufacturing and equipment manufacturing sectors maintained expansion with PMIs of 51.9% and 50.5%, respectively [6]. - The production and business activity expectation index rose to 53.7%, indicating increased confidence among manufacturing firms regarding future market conditions [6]. Non-Manufacturing Sector Summary - The Non-Manufacturing Business Activity Index increased to 50.3%, reflecting ongoing expansion in the sector [8]. - The Services Business Activity Index reached 50.5%, marking a significant recovery and the highest point of the year, with strong performance in capital market services and transportation sectors [8]. - The Construction Business Activity Index fell to 49.1%, influenced by adverse weather conditions, indicating a slowdown in construction activities [9]. - The business activity expectation index for the service sector rose to 57.0%, suggesting optimism among service industry firms regarding future market developments [8]. Comprehensive PMI Summary - The Comprehensive PMI Output Index rose to 50.5%, indicating an overall acceleration in production and business activities across sectors [11].

Summary of Key Points Core Viewpoint - In August, China's manufacturing sector showed slight improvement in economic sentiment, while non-manufacturing activities accelerated expansion, indicating a general trend of economic growth [1][2]. Manufacturing Sector - The Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) rose to 49.4%, an increase of 0.1 percentage points from the previous month, indicating a slight improvement in manufacturing sentiment [3][5]. - The production index and new orders index both showed recovery, with the production index at 50.8%, up 0.3 percentage points, suggesting accelerated manufacturing production [5][7]. - The new orders index improved to 49.5%, reflecting a slight enhancement in market demand [5][6]. - Large enterprises reported a PMI of 50.8%, while medium and small enterprises had PMIs of 48.9% and 46.6%, respectively, indicating varying levels of economic activity across different enterprise sizes [5]. Non-Manufacturing Sector - The Non-Manufacturing Business Activity Index increased to 50.3%, up 0.2 percentage points, indicating continued expansion in the non-manufacturing sector [1][18]. - The service sector's business activity index reached 50.5%, marking a year-to-date high, with significant growth in sectors like capital market services and transportation [2][13]. - The construction sector's business activity index fell to 49.1%, indicating a decline in activity [13][16]. Price Indices - The main raw material purchase price index rose to 53.3%, and the factory price index increased to 49.1%, both showing a continuous upward trend for three months [1][2]. - The input price index for non-manufacturing remained stable at 50.3%, indicating a general increase in operational costs [16]. Future Expectations - The production and business activity expectation index for manufacturing was reported at 53.7%, suggesting increased confidence among manufacturers regarding future market conditions [2][17]. - The business activity expectation index for non-manufacturing reached 56.2%, indicating optimism about market prospects [17][18].

Group 1 - The manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for August is 49.4%, showing a slight increase of 0.1 percentage points from the previous month, indicating an improvement in manufacturing sentiment [1][2] - The production index stands at 50.8%, up 0.3 percentage points, marking the fourth consecutive month above the critical point, suggesting accelerated manufacturing production [1] - The new orders index is at 49.5%, reflecting a 0.1 percentage point increase, with significant performance in sectors like pharmaceuticals and computer communication electronics, while textiles and furniture industries remain below the critical point [1] Group 2 - The price index has been rising, with the main raw material purchase price index at 53.3% and the factory price index at 49.1%, both showing increases of 1.8 and 0.8 percentage points respectively, indicating an overall improvement in manufacturing market prices [1] - High-tech manufacturing PMI is at 51.9% and equipment manufacturing PMI is at 50.5%, both showing increases, which indicates sustained support and leading roles in the manufacturing sector [2] - The production and business activity expectation index is at 53.7%, up 1.1 percentage points, suggesting increased confidence among manufacturing enterprises regarding future market conditions [2]

Core Viewpoint - In August 2025, China's Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) showed a slight recovery in the manufacturing sector and an accelerated expansion in the non-manufacturing sector, indicating an overall improvement in economic conditions [2][6]. Manufacturing PMI Summary - The manufacturing PMI rose to 49.4%, an increase of 0.1 percentage points from the previous month, indicating a slight improvement in the manufacturing sector's economic climate [2][7]. - The production index reached 50.8%, up by 0.3 percentage points, marking the fourth consecutive month above the critical point, suggesting accelerated production expansion [3][10]. - The new orders index increased to 49.5%, up by 0.1 percentage points, indicating a slight improvement in market demand [10]. - Large enterprises reported a PMI of 50.8%, up by 0.5 percentage points, while medium and small enterprises showed PMIs of 48.9% and 46.6%, respectively, indicating varying levels of economic activity across different enterprise sizes [3][10]. - The price indices for major raw materials and factory prices were 53.3% and 49.1%, respectively, both showing increases, suggesting an overall improvement in market price levels [3][10]. Non-Manufacturing PMI Summary - The non-manufacturing business activity index was 50.3%, an increase of 0.2 percentage points, indicating continued expansion in the non-manufacturing sector [2][24]. - The service sector's business activity index rose to 50.5%, up by 0.5 percentage points, reaching a yearly high, with sectors like capital market services and transportation showing strong growth [4][17]. - The construction sector's business activity index fell to 49.1%, down by 1.5 percentage points, reflecting a slowdown due to adverse weather conditions [5][17]. - The business activity expectation index for the non-manufacturing sector was 56.2%, indicating optimism among businesses regarding future market conditions [23][24]. Comprehensive PMI Summary - The comprehensive PMI output index was 50.5%, an increase of 0.3 percentage points, indicating an overall acceleration in production and business activities across both manufacturing and non-manufacturing sectors [6][26].

Core Insights - The non-manufacturing business activity index for August is reported at 50.3%, indicating a 0.2 percentage point increase from the previous month, and remains above the critical point, suggesting continued expansion in the non-manufacturing sector [1] Industry Summary - The non-manufacturing sector continues to show signs of growth, as evidenced by the increase in the business activity index, which is a positive indicator for economic activity [1]

Group 1 - The manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for July is 49.3%, a decrease of 0.4 percentage points from the previous month, indicating a contraction in manufacturing activity [1] - The non-manufacturing business activity index and the comprehensive PMI output index are at 50.1% and 50.2%, respectively, both down by 0.4 and 0.5 percentage points from last month, but still above the critical point, suggesting overall economic expansion [1] - The production index remains in expansion at 50.5%, with manufacturing production activities continuing to grow [1] Group 2 - The main raw materials purchasing price index and the factory price index are at 51.5% and 48.3%, respectively, increasing by 3.1 and 2.1 percentage points from last month, indicating an improvement in manufacturing market price levels [1] - The high-tech manufacturing PMI is at 50.6%, indicating continued expansion and strong resilience against shocks, driven by robust market demand and policy support [1] - The equipment manufacturing PMI is at 50.3%, showing that high-end equipment manufacturing is also maintaining expansion [1] Group 3 - Large enterprises show a good production and operational status, with production index and new orders index at 52.1% and 50.7%, respectively, both remaining in the expansion zone for three consecutive months [2] - The production and business activity expectation index for July is at 52.6%, up by 0.6 percentage points from last month, indicating increased confidence among manufacturing enterprises regarding market development [2] - The non-manufacturing business activity index also remains in expansion, with the business activity expectation index rising by 0.6 percentage points from last month, reflecting optimism among service industry enterprises [2]

Economic Overview - In July, the manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) dropped to 49.3%, a decrease of 0.4 percentage points from the previous month, influenced by seasonal production slowdowns and extreme weather conditions [1] - The non-manufacturing business activity index and the comprehensive PMI output index were 50.1% and 50.2%, respectively, both down by 0.4 and 0.5 percentage points, yet remaining above the critical point [1] - Despite short-term fluctuations due to extreme weather, production activities maintained expansion, indicating a solid foundation for economic recovery [3] Manufacturing Sector - The manufacturing new orders index fell to 49.4%, down 0.8 percentage points from last month, while the production index was at 50.5%, still in the expansion zone for three consecutive months [1] - The equipment manufacturing PMI and high-tech manufacturing PMI were 50.3% and 50.6%, respectively, both above the critical point, indicating ongoing expansion in high-end equipment manufacturing [1] - The consumer goods industry PMI was 49.5%, down 0.9 percentage points, while the high-energy-consuming industries PMI improved slightly to 48%, up 0.2 percentage points [1] Price Trends - The main raw materials purchasing price index rose to 51.5%, and the factory price index was at 48.3%, increasing by 3.1 and 2.1 percentage points, respectively, indicating an overall improvement in manufacturing market prices [2] - The purchasing price index for major raw materials in sectors like petroleum and coal processing, as well as black metal smelting, showed significant recovery [2] Business Activity by Company Size - In July, the PMI for large enterprises was 50.3%, down 0.9 percentage points, with production and new orders indices at 52.1% and 50.7%, respectively, indicating sustained good operational conditions [2] - The PMI for medium-sized enterprises increased to 49.5%, up 0.9 percentage points, showing continued improvement in business sentiment [2] - The PMI for small enterprises was 46.4%, down 0.9 percentage points, reflecting weaker business conditions [2] Non-Manufacturing Sector - The non-manufacturing business activity index was 50.1%, down 0.4 percentage points, with construction activity slowing due to adverse weather conditions [4] - The business activity index for the service sector was 50%, slightly down by 0.1 percentage points, while sectors related to travel and consumption showed strong performance with indices above 60% [4] - Non-manufacturing enterprises maintained stable optimism, with a business activity expectation index of 55.8%, up 0.2 percentage points, indicating positive outlooks for the second half of the year [4]

Group 1 - In July, the manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) was 49.3%, a decrease of 0.4 percentage points month-on-month, indicating a slight contraction in manufacturing activity [1] - The non-manufacturing business activity index and the composite PMI output index were 50.1% and 50.2%, respectively, both showing a month-on-month decline of 0.4 and 0.5 percentage points, but remaining above the critical point, suggesting overall economic expansion [1] - The production index and new orders index were 50.5% and 49.4%, respectively, with declines of 0.5 and 0.8 percentage points, indicating continued expansion in manufacturing production but a slowdown in market demand [1][2] Group 2 - Extreme weather conditions in July, including heatwaves and floods, hindered outdoor construction and daily life, impacting market demand [2] - The main raw materials purchasing price index rose to 51.5%, and the factory price index was 48.3%, reflecting a month-on-month increase of 3.1 and 2.1 percentage points, respectively, indicating an improvement in overall market price levels [2] - The equipment manufacturing PMI and high-tech manufacturing PMI were 50.3% and 50.6%, respectively, both above the critical point, while the consumer goods industry PMI was 49.5%, showing a month-on-month decline of 0.9 percentage points [2] Group 3 - The production and business activity expectation index was 52.6%, an increase of 0.6 percentage points month-on-month, indicating enhanced confidence among manufacturing enterprises regarding market development [3] - The service industry business activity index was 50.0%, slightly down by 0.1 percentage points, but still within the expansion range, indicating overall stability [3] - The summer holiday effect positively impacted sectors related to consumer travel and spending, with indices for railway transport, air transport, postal services, and cultural and sports entertainment exceeding 60.0%, indicating rapid growth in business volume [3]

Core Viewpoint - Despite a decline in China's manufacturing PMI in July, the overall economic output remains in the expansion zone, supported by non-manufacturing indices above 50% [1][2]. Manufacturing PMI Analysis - The manufacturing PMI for July is reported at 49.3%, a decrease of 0.4 percentage points from the previous month, marking the first decline in four months [1][2]. - The non-manufacturing business activity index and the composite PMI output index are at 50.1% and 50.2%, respectively, both still indicating expansion despite slight declines [1]. - The decline in manufacturing PMI is attributed to seasonal factors, including the traditional off-peak season during the flood season and high temperatures [1][2]. Demand and Supply Dynamics - In July, the new orders index for manufacturing fell into the contraction zone, primarily due to short-term factors such as extreme weather conditions [3]. - The new export orders index decreased by 0.6 percentage points to 47.1%, reflecting weakened overall demand due to various factors including previous over-exporting and tariff uncertainties [3]. - Despite weak demand, the production index remains in the expansion zone, indicating resilience in manufacturing activity [3]. Price Trends - The purchasing price index and the factory price index increased to 51.5% and 48.3%, respectively, with the purchasing price index rising above the critical point for the first time since March [3]. - The recent "anti-involution" policies are believed to have positively influenced price recovery, although they may cause temporary production slowdowns [4]. Sector Performance - The equipment manufacturing PMI and high-tech manufacturing PMI, while showing a decline, remain in the expansion zone, indicating ongoing structural optimization and high-quality development [4]. - Large enterprises reported a PMI of 50.3%, while medium-sized enterprises improved to 49.5%, and small enterprises saw a decline to 46.4% [5]. Business Expectations - The production and business activity expectation index rose to 52.6%, suggesting increased confidence among manufacturing enterprises despite overall PMI weakness [5]. - The "anti-involution" actions are expected to positively impact business expectations, although the sustainability of these effects depends on demand recovery [5]. Economic Outlook - The central government emphasizes the need for stable and flexible policies to support economic growth, aiming for a 5.0% growth target for the year [6].

Core Viewpoint - The manufacturing PMI in July showed a short-term fluctuation, dropping to 49.3%, while the overall economic output remains in an expansion phase, supported by non-manufacturing indices above 50% [1][2]. Manufacturing Sector - In July, the manufacturing PMI was 49.3%, a decrease of 0.4 percentage points from the previous month, influenced by seasonal production slowdowns and extreme weather conditions [1]. - The new orders index for manufacturing was 49.4%, down 0.8 percentage points, and the new export orders index was 47.1%, down 0.6 percentage points [1]. - Despite weak market demand, the production index was at 50.5%, indicating continued expansion for the third consecutive month [1]. Key Industries - The equipment manufacturing PMI was 50.3%, down 1.1 percentage points but still in the expansion zone; high-tech manufacturing PMI was 50.6%, maintaining expansion for six months [2]. - Large enterprises showed stable expansion with a PMI of 50.3%, while medium-sized enterprises improved to 49.5%, and small enterprises decreased to 46.4% [2]. Price Indices - The raw material purchase price index for manufacturing was 51.5%, up 3.1 percentage points, returning to the expansion zone after four months below 50% [2]. - The factory price index was 48.3%, up 2.1 percentage points, marking the second-highest point this year [2]. Market Expectations - The manufacturing production and operation activity expectation index rose to 52.6%, indicating increased confidence among manufacturers [3]. - The non-manufacturing business activity index was 50.1%, with the service sector at 50% and construction at 50.6%, both remaining in the expansion zone [3]. - The non-manufacturing business activity expectation index was 55.8%, reflecting optimism among most non-manufacturing enterprises [3]. Future Outlook - It is anticipated that construction activities will rebound as the rainy season ends, supported by policies aimed at boosting investment and consumption [4].