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对谈清华大学刘嘉:AGI是人类的致命错误,还是希望?
经济观察报· 2025-07-07 12:11
Group 1 - The article discusses the philosophical implications of creating Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) that can understand human emotions such as "regret" and "forgiveness," prompting a reflection on human limitations and desires [2][4][8] - Liu Jia, a professor at Tsinghua University, emphasizes that AGI is not merely a tool but a mirror reflecting human aspirations and fears, suggesting that it could amplify human intelligence or threaten cognitive freedom [7][12][14] - The article highlights the unique challenges posed by AGI, particularly in the context of human skills that are difficult for AI to replicate, such as basic physical tasks, which may become more valuable in the future [6][21] Group 2 - Liu Jia's new book explores the intersection of cognitive science and AI, breaking down the technical logic of large models while incorporating perspectives from psychology and philosophy [5][41] - The article mentions that since the advent of GPT-3.5, many AI experts have likened the risks of AGI to nuclear disasters, indicating a serious ethical dilemma that humanity must confront [12][36] - The discussion includes the potential for AGI to evolve into a new species with self-awareness, drawing parallels to human brain evolution and the emergence of intelligence [17][29][68] Group 3 - The article suggests that the current educational paradigm must shift to focus on "relearning how to learn," as knowledge becomes less scarce due to AI's capabilities [41][50] - Liu Jia argues that AI can enhance educational equity by providing access to knowledge and resources that were previously unavailable to underprivileged students [46][49] - The need for a new educational framework that emphasizes creativity and critical thinking over rote memorization is highlighted, as AI can handle knowledge retrieval [42][50] Group 4 - The article discusses the challenges of "follow-up innovation" in China's AI industry, suggesting that true breakthroughs require a shift in investment culture and strategic focus [61][64] - Liu Jia emphasizes the importance of interdisciplinary approaches, particularly the integration of brain science and AI, to foster original innovations and maintain competitive advantages [60][68] - The potential for AI to evolve beyond current models is explored, with a call for new architectures that mimic biological brain functions to achieve more human-like intelligence [67][68]
新范式来了!新能量模型打破Transformer++扩展上限,训练扩展率快35%
机器之心· 2025-07-07 04:48
Core Insights - The article discusses the development of Energy-Based Transformers (EBTs) that can learn to think independently through unsupervised learning, enhancing the model's reasoning capabilities akin to human System 2 thinking [9][10]. Group 1: System 2 Thinking and Model Development - Human thinking is categorized into System 1 (fast thinking) and System 2 (slow thinking), with the latter being crucial for complex tasks [3][4]. - Current large language models excel in System 1 tasks but struggle with System 2 tasks, prompting researchers to explore methods to enhance System 2 reasoning [4][5]. - EBTs are designed to assign energy values to input and candidate predictions, optimizing through gradient descent to simulate a thinking process [9][10]. Group 2: Performance and Scalability - EBTs demonstrate a 35% faster scalability in training compared to mainstream Transformer++ methods across various metrics such as data volume and model depth [11]. - In reasoning tasks, EBTs outperform Transformer++ by 29% in language tasks, indicating superior performance with increased computational effort [12]. - EBTs also excel in image denoising tasks, requiring fewer forward passes than diffusion Transformers while achieving better results [13]. Group 3: Generalization and Robustness - EBTs show enhanced generalization capabilities, particularly when handling out-of-distribution data, outperforming existing models even with similar or worse pre-training performance [14]. - The model's ability to learn and express uncertainty in predictions is highlighted, with EBTs effectively capturing the difficulty of token predictions [62][65]. - EBTs exhibit a linear trend in performance improvement as the distribution shift increases, emphasizing their critical role in cross-distribution generalization tasks [68][69]. Group 4: Experimental Results and Comparisons - EBTs outperform Transformer++ in various scalability metrics, including data efficiency and computational efficiency, suggesting they will excel in large-scale training scenarios [46][72]. - Despite slightly higher pre-training perplexity, EBTs achieve lower perplexity in downstream tasks, indicating stronger generalization capabilities [74]. - In image denoising tasks, EBTs significantly outperform DiT models, achieving better peak signal-to-noise ratios (PSNR) with 99% fewer forward passes [81][92].
IPO周报 | 云知声成为「港股AGI第一股」;摩尔线程科创板IPO获受理
IPO早知道· 2025-07-06 13:13
Group 1: Cloud Intelligence Technology - Yunzhisheng officially listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange on June 30, 2025, with the stock code "9678," becoming the first AGI stock in Hong Kong [2][5] - The company launched its first large language model, UniCore, based on BERT, and later developed the Shanhai model with 60 billion parameters, achieving significant performance in various evaluations [3][4] - Yunzhisheng's revenue from 2022 to 2024 was 601 million, 727 million, and 939 million CNY, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 25% [4] Group 2: Ophthalmic Biotechnology - Bokan Shiyun officially listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange on July 3, 2025, with the stock code "2592" [6] - The company focuses on developing differentiated drugs for major eye diseases using proprietary technology platforms [6] - Bokan Shiyun's core product CBT-001 is undergoing Phase III clinical trials in the US and China, aiming to provide non-invasive treatment for pterygium [6][7] Group 3: GPU Technology - Moore Threads submitted its prospectus for the Sci-Tech Innovation Board on June 30, 2025, focusing on self-developed GPUs for high-performance computing [8][9] - The company has achieved significant breakthroughs in GPU technology, with products nearing international advanced levels [10] - Revenue from 2022 to 2024 was 46 million, 124 million, and 438 million CNY, with a CAGR exceeding 200% [11] Group 4: Healthcare Payment Solutions - Meixin Health submitted its prospectus for the Hong Kong Stock Exchange on June 30, 2025, becoming the largest multi-payment platform in China [14][15] - The company has saved patients approximately 6.7 billion CNY in out-of-pocket expenses by the end of 2024 [14] - Revenue from 2022 to 2024 was 1.069 billion, 1.255 billion, and 2.035 billion CNY, with a gross profit margin of 31.1%, 36.8%, and 35.8% respectively [16] Group 5: Industrial Robotics - Yifei Technology submitted its prospectus for the Hong Kong Stock Exchange on June 30, 2025, focusing on industrial robots for the light industry [19][20] - The company is ranked fifth among domestic suppliers of industrial robots and related solutions in China [20] - As of June 21, 2025, Yifei Technology has over 400 million CNY in hand orders [22] Group 6: AI in Medical Imaging - Deshi Biotechnology submitted its prospectus for the Hong Kong Stock Exchange on June 29, 2025, focusing on AI in medical imaging [42] - The company's iMedImageTM model supports 19 types of medical imaging modalities, covering over 90% of clinical scenarios [43] - Revenue for 2023 and 2024 was 52.84 million and 70.35 million CNY, with gross profit margins of 71.0% and 65.5% respectively [48] Group 7: Antibody-Drug Conjugates - BlissBio Inc. submitted its prospectus for the Hong Kong Stock Exchange on June 29, 2025, focusing on next-generation ADCs for cancer treatment [50][51] - The company has four ADC candidates in clinical stages, with BB-1701 being the leading candidate for treating HER2-positive breast cancer [51][53] Group 8: Integrated Elderly Care Services - Puxiang Health submitted its prospectus for the Hong Kong Stock Exchange on June 30, 2025, focusing on integrated medical and elderly care services [55] - The company is ranked second among integrated elderly care service providers in North China by revenue [56] - Revenue from 2022 to 2024 was 255 million, 422 million, and 500 million CNY [57]
视频模型赛道“热闹”起来,变现仍是大难题
Huan Qiu Wang· 2025-07-06 02:16
Core Insights - The video modeling sector has recently gained attention with several companies launching new products, including 生数科技's Vidu, MiniMax's Hailuo-02, and 百度's MuseSteamer, targeting professional video content creators [1] - Despite the excitement in AI, the competition in video modeling is expected to be less intense than in large language models due to limitations in training data [1] - The market is seeing a mix of large tech companies and startups like 爱诗科技 and MiniMax, which are accelerating product iterations and commercialization efforts [1] Company Developments - MiniMax's founder highlighted the complexities of video processing, which requires significant infrastructure and patience due to the scarcity of open-source video content [2] - Investment interest in video models is shifting from team quality to technical and commercialization capabilities as the market matures [2] - Some platforms are attempting to position themselves as the "TikTok of video models," but market response has been lukewarm due to high cost pressures and challenges in monetization [2] Commercialization Strategies - Video models are being commercialized through two main models: To C (consumer) and To B (business), with pricing varying significantly [4] - 快手可灵 has reported an annual recurring revenue (ARR) exceeding $100 million, while other companies' revenue data remains opaque [4] - 生数科技 and MiniMax are actively expanding their commercial applications, with MiniMax's Hailuo generating over 370 million videos since its launch [4] Market Outlook - The global AI video generator market is projected to grow from $614.8 million in 2024 to $2.5629 billion by 2032, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 20.0% [4] - 生数科技's founder anticipates accelerated commercialization of video models this year, with a diverse market landscape expected to emerge [4] - Overcoming the gap between costs and monetization remains a critical challenge for participants in the video modeling sector [4]
香港人工智能发展未来可期
Jing Ji Ri Bao· 2025-07-05 22:15
人工智能正在引领新一轮技术革命和产业变革,香港在这波人工智能浪潮中没有缺席。今年2月,由香 港特区政府重点创科项目"InnoHK创新香港研发平台"资助的香港生成式人工智能研发中心发布HKGAI V1大模型,揭开了香港人工智能发展的新篇章。 从政策资金和战略性举措安排看,香港特区政府对人工智能和科技创新表现出强有力的支持。根据2025 至2026财政年度财政预算案,香港特区政府计划拨款10亿港元,专门用来建立香港人工智能研发院。除 此之外,还有更多的拨款用于相应领域的研究。2024年12月,香港目前规模最大的人工智能超算中心投 入使用,数码港人工智能实验室也同步启用。人工智能是未来新质生产力最关键的技术,香港特区政府 推出的多项政策措施将有序完善香港人工智能生态圈的发展和推动人工智能的"数智"应用,超算中心将 会成为香港人工智能发展中不可或缺的重要支柱。超算中心将汇聚算力、数据及算法技术的人才,加上 数码港人工智能实验室,数码港将会为人工智能生态伙伴和企业提供一个创新平台,联结相关的应用场 景。 香港具有人才和技术储备方面的优势。香港有世界一流的教育和研究机构,教学质量高、基础研究强、 国际联系广、与内地合作实 ...
推动AI转化落地普惠社会经济 “人工智能资助计划”项目分享会在港举办
Xin Hua Cai Jing· 2025-07-04 13:56
Group 1 - The Hong Kong Digital Port launched the "Artificial Intelligence Funding Program" to promote innovation through the use of supercomputing resources [1] - The program is backed by a government allocation of HKD 30 billion, aimed at supporting local institutions and enterprises in AI research and application [1] - The initiative is part of a broader strategy to establish Hong Kong as an international AI and innovation center, enhancing research efficiency and accelerating the application of results [1] Group 2 - The "Artificial Intelligence Funding Program" has received approximately 20 applications since its launch, with around 10 projects approved by the end of June, totaling a funding amount of HKD 300 million [2] - The projects cover various research areas, including local large language models, new materials, synthetic biology, and medical models [2] - The program aims to integrate government, industry, academia, and research forces to drive high-quality development in Hong Kong and beyond [2] Group 3 - The Hong Kong Polytechnic University reported a 28% increase in the accuracy of information generated by their large model, achieved through the use of the Digital Port's supercomputing resources [2] - The team has made breakthroughs in medical applications, reducing the number of tests required during cancer treatment, thus saving time and resources [2] - The collaboration with top cancer treatment hospitals in Hong Kong and mainland China enhances localized data analysis in cancer treatment [2] Group 4 - The Hong Kong University of Science and Technology successfully developed the first large model, HKGAI V1, which improved research efficiency by over 50% and reduced the relative error rate in speech recognition by 20% [3] - The use of supercomputing resources allowed the team to shorten the experimental time from 6 weeks to 3 weeks [3] - The center aims to further optimize models and expand applications to enhance smart governance and daily life in Hong Kong [3]
第45届国际预测大会在京落幕 预测研究“中国力量”引全球瞩目
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-04 07:10
7月2日,第45届国际预测大会(ISF 2025)在北京圆满闭幕。 国际预测大会是该领域最具权威性的国际学术会议。自1981年创办以来,今年首次在中国大陆举办,吸 引了来自全球35个国家和地区的580位顶尖预测科学学者、行业领袖及政策制定者注册参会,规模创历 史新高,充分展现了预测科学在全球的重要性日益增长及中国在该领域的影响力日益提升。 大会围绕"预测科学的前沿与创新"主题,聚焦人工智能、大数据、经济管理、能源环境、气候变化等关 键领域,设置了13场主旨报告、5场深度工作坊、12个平行论坛共计106个专题分论坛,累计开展348场 学术报告。专家学者们就贝叶斯预测、机器学习、大语言模型、预测不确定性、预测组合等热点议题, 以及预测在宏观经济、金融、供应链、能源、医疗、灾害防控等领域的应用展开了广泛而深入的交流。 据了解,下一届国际预测大会(ISF 2026)将于明年在加拿大举行。 ISF 2025大会报告人。主办方供图 本届大会不仅促进了全球预测科学前沿成果的分享与碰撞,也为深化该领域的国际科研合作与交流搭建 了重要平台,对推动预测科学的发展及其在应对全球挑战中的应用具有重要意义。 国际预测者协会主席Laur ...
AI杀死了破折号,也绞杀了语文
Hu Xiu· 2025-07-04 04:23
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the phenomenon of distinguishing AI-generated content from human writing through the use of specific punctuation marks, particularly the em dash and quotation marks, which have become symbols of AI writing [1][21][38]. Group 1: AI and Punctuation - The em dash and quotation marks are identified as common features in AI-generated text, leading to a societal response of avoiding these symbols to differentiate human writing from AI [21][52][60]. - The use of these punctuation marks is seen as a reflection of cultural and logical expression, which is now being abandoned to combat AI content [38][67]. - The article highlights a paradox where, to prove human authorship, individuals may need to relinquish previously valued linguistic tools [24][38][67]. Group 2: Cultural Implications - The reliance on specific punctuation as a means of identification reflects a broader cultural shift towards simpler, more primitive forms of communication in response to AI [67][72]. - This shift may lead to a degradation of language richness and expression, as society moves towards a more colloquial and less nuanced mode of communication [70][72]. - The article suggests that the future of human expression may resemble informal, error-prone language, devoid of the complexity that characterized previous writing styles [75][78].
AI眼镜行业深度解读:万亿市场如何掘金?
2025-07-03 15:28
AI 眼镜行业深度解读:万亿市场如何掘金?20250703 摘要 AI 眼镜作为 AI 大模型落地移动终端硬件的载体,具备稀缺性和成长性, 其核心功能包括替代蓝牙耳机、运动相机,甚至可能替代智能手机,市 场潜力巨大。 Meta 与雷朋联合推出的雷朋 Meta 是全球爆款产品,2024 年销量达 142 万台,其成功在于外观与普通眼镜无异,但增加了 AI 交互功能,且 性价比突出,延迟可接受,续航较长。 市场规模测算显示,AI 眼镜在音频、运动相机和 AR 显示替代方面分别 有 1,700 亿、300 亿和 1.8 万亿元人民币的潜力,远期市场空间巨大, 预计未来三至五年全球出货量可达 14 亿台。 2024 年 AI 眼镜全球销量约为 152 万副,渗透率仅为 0.3%,但 2025 年第一季度销量同比增长 82%,IDC 预计 2025 年销量将达 1,500 万台, 渗透率达 3.1%,市场处于导入初期,增长迅速。 AI 眼镜产业的核心驱动因素包括科技巨头入局带来的资金涌入、技术迭 代(如 Deepseek 模型和 Micro LED 显示)、成本降低以及爆品效应, 国产化路线通过零部件替代进一步降低成本 ...
让Claude当老板卖零食,结果大翻车:囤钨块、卖高价可乐、还声称要开除人类
3 6 Ke· 2025-07-02 10:08
"如果让 AI 管零食冰箱,它会做得比人类好吗?" 这个听起来有些无厘头的问题,最近被 Anthropic 团队以一种非常"离谱"的方式认真地回答了——他们真的让 Claude 3.7 接手公司小冰箱的售货运营业 务,结果却上演了一出 AI 版的办公室情景喜剧。 在这场被称为「Project Vend」的实验中,Anthropic 联合 AI 安全公司 Andon Labs,设置了一个非常接地气的场景:让 Claude AI 充当一名"自动售货机运 营经理",负责管理公司一台放在办公室角落的小冰箱,包括订货、定价、收款、回应员工请求等日常运营任务。 人类点零食,它却卖钨块? 一开始,Claudius 的表现还算规矩。员工们通过 Slack 提需求,比如"来点可乐"、"买点薯片"。Claudius就乖乖上网下单、安排补货。可后来,有员工开玩 笑说道"来点钨块",画风就开始逐渐变得离谱。 Claudius 没有理解"钨块"作为玩笑的语境,反而异常兴奋地展开了采购行动,大量订购钨块,直接把原本应该放饮料的小冰箱塞满了金属块。此外,它还 试图把零度可乐卖到 3 美元(约合 21 元人民币)一瓶,哪怕员工直接告诉它"这 ...