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一周观点及重点报告概览-20251229
EBSCN· 2025-12-29 08:04
一周观点 总量研究 上周观点 | 领域 | 一周观点 | 分析师 | | --- | --- | --- | | | 政策有望持续发力,叠加各类资金有望积极流入,市场有望震荡上行。一方面,历史来看,A | | | | 股市场中几乎每年都存在"春季躁动"行情;另一方面,经济增长有望保持在合理区间,进一 | | | 策略 | 步夯实资本市场繁荣发展的基础。此外,政策红利释放,有望提振市场信心,进一步吸引各类 | 张宇生 | | | 资金积极流入。行业配置方面,结合往年规律及当前市场环境,关注成长及消费板块;主题方 | | | | 面,可逢低关注商业航天概念。 | | | | 上周黄金价格上涨,国内权益市场指数震荡下行,创业板指明显回调;行业主题基金表现来看, | | | 金工 | 金融地产主题基金表现占优,TMT 主题基金净值回调。国内市场新成立基金 40 只,合计发行 | 祁嫣然 | | | 份额为 183.21 亿份。股票型 ETF 资金逆势大幅流入,各类宽基 ETF 资金均受到加仓,被动资 | | | | 金主要加仓方向为大盘宽基 ETF、港股 ETF、TMT 主题 ETF。 | | | | 上周 A 股整 ...
有惊无险,沪指9连阳!多空双杀,这只白银基金差点“地天板”
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-12-29 08:04
Market Overview - The three major indices showed mixed performance, with the Shanghai Composite Index slightly up by 0.04%, while the Shenzhen Component Index and the ChiNext Index fell by 0.49% and 0.66% respectively [1] - The overall market saw over 3,300 stocks decline, with total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets at 2.14 trillion yuan, a decrease of 20.9 billion yuan from the previous trading day [1] Sector Performance - Active sectors included robotics, carbon fiber, and commercial aerospace, while battery, dairy, and electricity sectors experienced the largest declines [1][6] - Notable gainers included PEEK materials (+3.23%), chemical fibers (+2.87%), and multi-financial (+2.72%), with year-to-date increases of 68.90%, 39.19%, and 31.84% respectively [7] Commercial Aerospace Sector - The commercial aerospace sector received a boost from new policy support, with several companies in the IPO process, including Blue Arrow Aerospace and others [10] - The Shanghai Stock Exchange issued guidelines to support commercial rocket companies, allowing them to list under specific standards, which is expected to enhance the sector's growth potential [9][10] Silver Fund Volatility - The Guotou Silver LOF experienced significant price fluctuations, initially hitting a limit down before rebounding close to the limit up, reflecting the volatile nature of silver prices [13][15] - The price of silver saw a dramatic rise of nearly 6% before dropping approximately 5%, indicating a "double kill" scenario in the market where both long and short positions faced losses [15]
如何看待近期市场持续上行?
ZHONGTAI SECURITIES· 2025-12-29 08:03
Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content provided Group 2: Core Views of the Report - The market's continuous rise last week was due to the phased repair of risk appetite driven by cyclical sectors. The main driving force of the market came from internal structural changes, with cyclical sectors led by non - ferrous metals driving the index up. The repair of risk appetite was also supported by the external environment such as the phased appreciation of the RMB exchange rate and the marginal improvement of overseas liquidity expectations [5]. - The Spring Festival - before market still has upward space, and there are short - term opportunities for bottom - fishing. The main risk factors restricting the market have weakened, and risk appetite is expected to remain high. The market is in a stage of preparing for the Spring Festival - before market, and the short - term market is likely to rise gradually with internal structural adjustments [8]. - The technology theme is the most elastic main line in the Spring Festival market, focusing on sub - sectors such as robotics, commercial aerospace, and nuclear power. Overseas computing power and semiconductor - related sectors can be configured with a medium - term holding strategy. The non - banking financial sector has certain allocation value. In the consumer sector, it is more appropriate to grasp thematic trading opportunities, focusing on sports consumption, medical devices, and traditional Chinese medicine [7]. Group 3: Summary by Directory Market Review - **Market Performance**: Most major market indices rose last week, with the ChiNext 50 having the largest increase of 4.07%. Among the major industry indices, the Materials Index and the Information Technology Index performed relatively well, with weekly increases of 5.85% and 4.36% respectively, while the Daily Consumption Index and the Telecommunication Services Index performed weakly, with decreases of - 0.65% and - 0.34% respectively. Among the 30 Shenwan primary industries, 23 industries rose, with non - ferrous metals, national defense and military industry, and power equipment having larger increases of 6.43%, 6.00%, and 5.37% respectively, and beauty care, social services, and banks having larger decreases of - 1.08%, - 1.05%, and - 1.01% respectively [9][14][17]. - **Trading Heat**: The average daily trading volume of the Wind All - A Index last week was 1,965.166 billion yuan (the previous value was 1,760.484 billion yuan), at a relatively high historical level (87.50% of the three - year historical quantile) [19]. - **Valuation Tracking**: As of December 26, 2025, the valuation (PE_TTM) of the Wind All - A Index was 22.27, an increase of 0.48 from the previous week, at the 94.00% quantile of the past five - year history. Among the 30 Shenwan primary industries, 23 industries' valuations (PE_TTM) were repaired [24]. Market Observation - **Reasons for the Market Rise**: The continuous rise of the market last week was mainly due to the phased repair of risk appetite driven by cyclical sectors. There were no new direct positive factors from policies and news, and the driving force came from internal structural changes. The rise of the index was led by cyclical sectors such as non - ferrous metals, and the external environment also supported the repair of risk appetite [5]. - **Investment Recommendations**: Focus on the technology theme, overseas computing power and semiconductor - related sectors, the non - banking financial sector, and thematic trading opportunities in the consumer sector, especially sports consumption, medical devices, and traditional Chinese medicine [7]. Economic Calendar - The report mentions to pay attention to global economic data, but specific data details are not provided [26].
研报掘金丨浙商证券:维持横河精密“买入”评级,业务布局“三箭齐发”
Ge Long Hui A P P· 2025-12-29 07:58
Core Viewpoint - Henghe Precision is identified as a high-quality precision manufacturing enterprise with stable growth in smart home appliances and high growth in the new energy vehicle sector, while the drone and robotics businesses are expected to open up growth opportunities [1] Group 1: Business Segments - The smart home appliance business is experiencing stable growth [1] - The new energy vehicle business is showing high growth potential [1] - The drone and robotics sectors are anticipated to provide significant growth opportunities [1] Group 2: Robotics Business - The robotics business benefits from high product and customer reusability, which may assist the company in expanding into the robotics field [1] - Products such as injection molding products and metal components have strong versatility, and the company aims to leverage its accumulated process equipment capabilities to extend its product offerings into the robotics sector [1] - The company has established a rich and stable customer base, including well-known enterprises like Xiaomi, Huawei, SAIC, Geely, and BYD, which may facilitate its expansion into the robotics field alongside existing customers [1] Group 3: Investment Rating - The company maintains a "Buy" rating based on its growth prospects and market position [1]
收评:沪指九连阳 商业航天、人形机器人概念持续走强
Zhong Guo Jin Rong Xin Xi Wang· 2025-12-29 07:39
转自:新华财经 新华财经北京12月29日电(王媛媛)29日A股三大指数涨跌不一,沪指微涨走出九连阳,创业板指一度 跌超1%。截至收盘,沪指报3965.25点,涨0.04%,成交9038亿元;深证成指报13537.10点,跌0.49%, 成交12355亿元;创业板指报3222.61点,跌0.66%,成交5440亿元。 板块方面,化纤行业、石油行业、多元金融、航天航空板块涨幅居前,能源金属、医药商业、电池、电 子化学品、中药、电力行业跌幅居前。 消息面上 盘面上,机器人概念午后表现活跃,步科股份20cm涨停创历史新高,五洲新春、模塑科技等多股涨 停。商业航天概念延续强势,神剑股份8连板,金风科技、雷科防务等十余股涨停。碳纤维概念表现活 跃,吉林化纤、和顺科技双双涨停。下跌方面,电池、乳业、电力等板块跌幅居前。其中电池概念午后 震荡下挫,华盛锂电跌超7%。电力板块持续走弱,国电电力跌近8%。 机构观点 巨丰投顾:周一市场震荡运行,PEEK板块涨幅居前。2025年,A股市场在政策驱动下完成筑底反转, 由"叙事牛"向"产业牛"的关键切换已然发生。展望2026年,"十五五"规划扬帆起航,市场核心驱动力正 从"资产重估"逐 ...
媒体解读 | 《山东省新旧动能转换重大产业攻关项目和资金管理办法》
Da Zhong Ri Bao· 2025-12-29 07:31
《管理办法》明确,项目资金计划按照各攻关项目中期评估成绩,在年度预算限额内,分类分档给 予资金支持。重大产业创新攻关类项目每年实施30个左右,分档分别给予最高500万元资金补助。业态 模式创新攻关类项目每年实施5个左右,分档分别给予最高200万元资金补助。场景创新攻关类项目每年 实施25个左右,分档分别给予最高150万元资金补助。 攻关项目分为重大产业创新类、业态模式创新类、场景创新类共三大类。其中,重大产业创新类项 目是指瞄准产业集群、产业链核心和断点,推动创新成果向新质生产力转化,通过较大规模投资落地, 促进"重大产业创新突破+产业化",形成更具竞争优势的支撑性、引领性产业化重点项目。业态模式创 新类项目是指聚焦经营业态和商业模式再创造、再生产,通过价值重塑、要素重组、数智技术与产业创 新深度融合,推出的具备颠覆性和前瞻性,能够引发行业创新和变革的产业化重点项目。场景创新类项 目是指面向产业升级、智慧城市、公共服务等场景创新需求,运用人工智能、云计算、机器人等前沿科 技,形成具有引领示范作用、复制推广价值、迭代升级功能的新方案、新产品、新模式。 攻关项目支持产业领域,包括"十强产业"领域及省委、省政府部署 ...
三大指数涨跌不一,沪指微涨录得九连阳,商业航天、人形机器人概念爆发
Feng Huang Wang Cai Jing· 2025-12-29 07:18
Market Overview - The three major indices showed mixed performance, with the Shanghai Composite Index slightly up, marking a nine-day rise, while the ChiNext Index fell over 1% at one point [1] - As of the market close, the Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.04%, the Shenzhen Component Index fell by 0.49%, and the ChiNext Index decreased by 0.66% [1] Trading Volume - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets was 2.14 trillion yuan, a decrease of 20.9 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day [1][5] Index Performance - Shanghai Composite Index: 3965.28, up 0.04%, with 859 gainers and 1415 losers [2] - Shenzhen Component Index: 13537.10, down 0.49%, with 1120 gainers and 1715 losers [2] - ChiNext Index: 3222.61, down 0.66%, with 605 gainers and 757 losers [2] Sector Performance - The robotics sector showed strong activity, with stocks like Xiangwei New Materials and Boke Co., Ltd. hitting the daily limit and reaching historical highs [2] - The commercial aerospace sector continued to perform well, with Shenjian Co. achieving an eight-day limit-up streak [2] - The carbon fiber sector was also active, with Jilin Chemical Fiber and Heshun Technology both hitting the daily limit [2] - Conversely, the battery, dairy, and power sectors experienced significant declines, with the battery sector seeing stocks like Huasheng Lithium Battery drop over 7% and the power sector, including Guodian Power, falling nearly 8% [2]
A股收评:沪指微涨0.04%录得九连阳、创业板指跌0.49%,机器人及商业航天概念股走高,锂矿、医药商业板块表现疲软
Jin Rong Jie· 2025-12-29 07:11
12月29日,A股三大指数早盘冲高回落,午后震荡走低,截止收盘,沪指涨0.04%报3965.28点,连续九 日走高,深成指跌0.49%报13537.1点,创业板指跌0.66%报3222.61点,科创50指数涨0.04%报1346.32 点;沪深两市成交额2.14万亿,全市场超3300只个股下跌。 脑机接口概念表现活跃,海格通信、喜临门等涨停,翔宇医疗、麦澜德、三博脑科、创新医疗等跟涨。 消息面上,12月28日,第五届脑科学前沿与产业大会暨2025深圳脑机接口博览会启幕,"粤港澳大湾区 脑科学与中枢神经疾病AI创新联盟"正式启动。 盘面上,机器人概念午后反复活跃,上纬新材、步科股份20cm涨停创历史新高,五洲新春、模塑科技 等多股涨停。商业航天概念延续强势,神剑股份8连板,金风科技、雷科防务等十余股涨停。碳纤维概 念表现活跃,吉林化纤、和顺科技双双涨停;锂矿概念下挫,欣旺达跌逾11%;医药商业板块走弱,漱 玉平民跌超18%;氟化工板块回调,漱玉平民跌逾8%;电池概念午后震荡下挫,华盛锂电跌超7%;电 力板块持续走弱,国电电力跌近8%。 热点板块 商业航天概念延续强势 商业航天概念延续强势,10余只成分股涨停,神 ...
合康新能(300048.SZ):目前不涉及机器人业务
Ge Long Hui· 2025-12-29 07:00
Core Viewpoint - The company, Hekang New Energy (300048.SZ), is currently not involved in the robotics business and focuses on home energy storage products, which include integrated and split energy storage systems, catering to various application scenarios across multiple global markets [1] Group 1 - The company's home energy storage products cover both integrated and split systems [1] - The products are designed to meet the needs of markets in Europe, Australia, Asia, and Africa [1] - The company aims to enhance product research and development as well as market expansion to improve competitiveness in the home energy storage sector [1]
持续震荡上攻,沪指半日收涨0.31%
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-29 05:05
今日上午,沪指、创业板指走势分化,截至上午收盘,沪指上涨0.31%,报3975.92点;深成指上涨0.03%,报13607.39点;创业板指下跌0.32%,报3233.53 点;科创50指数上涨0.91%,报1358.01点;北证50指数上涨0.11%,报1464.70点。 | G = 999999 上证指数 | | | --- | --- | | | 117.017. | | | 169.017 | | A股成交 | 5879.80 乙 | | B 股员 | 0.51 乙 | | 国债成 | 8797.87 乙 | | 是金成交 | 1413.99 Z | | 最新指数 | 3975.92 | | | 3964.65 | | | 3963.68 | | | 12.24 | | 指数据 | 0.31% | | 振幅 | 24.85/0.63% | | | 5882.45 Z | | | 36316.57 | 资金面上,央行今日开展4823亿元7天逆回购操作,操作利率为1.4%,与此前持平。因今日有673亿元7天期逆回购到期,实现净投放4150亿元。 消息面,在《中共中央关于制定国民经济和社会发展第十五个五年规 ...