Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Outperform" rating to several companies in the new energy sector, including 阳光电源 (Sunlight Power), 天合光能 (Trina Solar), TCL 中环 (TCL Zhonghuan), 大金重工 (Daikin Heavy Industries), and others, with target prices ranging from 8.54 to 129.78 [1]. Core Insights - Solid-state batteries are emerging as a solution to the dual challenges of energy density and safety, with energy density potentially reaching 500 Wh/kg, significantly higher than traditional lithium-ion batteries [4][21]. - The global market for solid-state batteries is expected to grow rapidly, with shipments projected to reach 36 GWh in 2025 and over 600 GWh by 2030, indicating a significant increase in market penetration from approximately 0.2% in 2024 to an expected 10% by 2030 [38][39]. - China is positioned as a leader in the solid-state battery industry, supported by a comprehensive policy framework and significant market demand, with major companies like 宁德时代 (CATL) and 比亚迪 (BYD) making substantial advancements in production timelines [5][39][50]. Summary by Sections 1. Solid-State Battery Development - Traditional lithium-ion batteries face limitations in energy density and safety, with energy density nearing theoretical limits and safety concerns due to flammable electrolytes [13][19]. - Solid-state batteries utilize solid electrolytes, eliminating flammability risks and enhancing energy density, thus addressing key industry concerns [22][25]. 2. Global Policy Landscape - The development of solid-state batteries has become a strategic priority for major economies, with diverse approaches: Japan focuses on technological leadership, China on rapid commercialization, South Korea on industry integration, and the U.S. on capital-driven innovation [32][33]. - Various countries are implementing supportive policies to foster the growth of the solid-state battery sector, with significant investments in research and development [68]. 3. China’s Market Position - China dominates the global lithium battery market, accounting for 59% of the total installed capacity in 2024, with a strong focus on solid-state battery technology as a key growth area [39][42]. - The Chinese government has elevated solid-state battery research to a strategic level, aiming to secure technological leadership in the next generation of power batteries [50][49]. 4. U.S. Market Dynamics - The U.S. solid-state battery sector is characterized by a focus on startup companies and significant capital investment, with policies aimed at reducing reliance on foreign supply chains and fostering domestic innovation [62][68]. - Major players like QuantumScape and Solid Power are leading the charge in technology validation and partnerships with automotive manufacturers [69][78]. 5. Japan and South Korea’s Strategies - Japan is leveraging its material innovation capabilities to regain leadership in the battery sector, with a focus on solid-state technology as a critical component of its national strategy [83]. - South Korea is enhancing its production capabilities through collaboration among major companies like Samsung SDI and LGES, aiming for accelerated commercialization of solid-state batteries [83].

Core Insights - The lithium battery industry is entering a major upward trend, with the battery index significantly outperforming the market by 64.5% as of November 14, 2025, driven by surging demand for energy storage, advancements in solid-state batteries, and tariff disruptions [1] - The industry is expected to return to an upward cycle, with energy storage becoming a core growth driver, leading to new capital expenditures in battery cells and improved profitability due to price increases [1] Industry Outlook - The growth in energy storage is anticipated to be a key driver for the lithium battery sector, with a stable growth expectation for 2026 [1] - Solid-state batteries are gaining momentum, with ongoing developments in capacity bidding, vehicle validation, and material breakthroughs [1] Market Dynamics - Leading battery cell manufacturers are experiencing full order books and steadily increasing capacity utilization, which enhances their pricing power and positions them to lead the industry recovery [2] - Material segment strategies include prioritizing electrolyte solutions due to limited future supply and significant price increase potential, followed by copper foil, lithium iron phosphate, and negative electrode materials [2] Technological Advancements - Solid-state battery technology is advancing, with policy support and emerging industries driving its adoption, leading to potential changes in industry dynamics [2] - Key challenges in solid-state battery production include material interfaces and mass production engineering, with a focus on dry processing and composite materials [3] Investment Recommendations - Companies such as CATL and Tianci Materials are recommended for investment, along with a watchlist of other firms like EVE Energy, Huasheng Lithium, and others in the lithium battery supply chain [3]

Group 1: Market Performance - The battery and solid-state battery sectors experienced significant gains, with the battery index rising over 2.8% and the solid-state battery index increasing by more than 2% on November 27 [1] - Individual stocks such as Jin Yinhe and Penghui Energy surged over 10%, while several stocks in the solid-state battery sector hit the daily limit up, including Lian De Equipment and Yi Shi Tong [1] Group 2: Industry Developments - Bloomberg New Energy Finance reported that semi-solid batteries are expected to begin mass production in 2026, while full solid-state batteries are projected to start mass production after 2028 [2] - LG Chem announced the successful development of core technology that significantly enhances the performance of solid-state batteries, achieving a basic capacity increase of approximately 15% and a high-rate discharge capacity increase of about 50% compared to existing batteries [3] - GAC Group has established the first large-capacity solid-state battery production line in China, capable of mass production of automotive-grade solid-state batteries with energy density nearly double that of current batteries [3] Group 3: Supply Chain and Pricing - As of November 27, the spot price of battery-grade lithium carbonate rose to 90,600 to 96,000 yuan per ton, averaging 93,300 yuan per ton, driven by inventory depletion and increased demand [5] - The lithium market is currently in a structural adjustment phase, with tight supply and demand dynamics expected to continue, potentially leading to price increases [5] - Citic Securities anticipates that the lithium industry chain will maintain a de-inventory trend, with lithium prices possibly exceeding expectations due to strong demand from energy storage batteries [5] Group 4: Company Initiatives - Tianqi Lithium is constructing a pilot line for lithium sulfide, expected to be completed in the second half of 2026, which will provide a crucial foundation for the scale-up of solid-state batteries [7] - Penghui Energy has completed its solid-state battery pilot line, which is currently operational, and aims to optimize its performance for mass production [7] - Shengyang Co. has successfully completed safety verification and cycle stability testing for its self-developed solid-state batteries, which are now entering market application stages [8]

Group 1 - The solid-state battery sector is experiencing accelerated industrialization, moving from laboratory experiments to large-scale production, creating new investment opportunities [1] - The solid-state battery market is expected to see significant developments, with semi-solid batteries projected to exceed 10 GWh in shipments by 2025, and full solid-state batteries anticipated to enter the market between 2027 and 2030 [1][2] - The technological roadmap for solid-state batteries indicates that the impact on the supply chain will be greatest for electrolytes, followed by separators, anode materials, and cathode materials [1] Group 2 - Solid-state batteries are recognized as the core technology direction for the next generation of lithium batteries, with major automotive companies planning to launch solid-state battery vehicles around 2027 [2] - The low-altitude economy and humanoid robots are emerging as significant markets for solid-state batteries, with expectations for commercial applications in eVTOL and robotics [2] - Recent industry movements include companies like Fospower Technology and EVE Energy forming strategic partnerships and investing in solid-state battery production capabilities [2][3] Group 3 - Key players in the equipment and battery manufacturing sector include CATL, Lead Intelligent, and Liyuanheng, which are expected to benefit from the upcoming solid-state battery pilot lines in 2026 [3][4] - In the materials sector, companies such as Enjie, Xiamen Tungsten, and Tianqi Lithium are developing sulfide electrolytes, which are crucial for solid-state batteries [3][4] - The average cost analysis of lithium iron phosphate materials has been published, providing transparency and regulatory guidance for the industry [2]

Core Insights - The A-share market indices opened higher on November 27, with the ChiNext New Energy ETF (Hua Xia, 159368) rising by 2.76%, driven by significant gains in its holdings such as Penghui Energy, which increased over 12% [1] - Solid-state batteries are expected to be a leading application in the coming years, with full commercialization anticipated between 2026 and 2027, as companies are currently in the sample delivery phase to battery manufacturers [1] - CITIC Securities believes that solid-state batteries, as the next generation of high-performance battery technology, are accelerating from laboratory development to industrialization, supported by policy incentives, market demand upgrades, and continuous technological advancements [1] Company Insights - The ChiNext New Energy ETF (Hua Xia, 159368) is the largest ETF tracking the ChiNext New Energy Index, which encompasses various sectors within the new energy and electric vehicle industries, including batteries and photovoltaics [2] - The ETF has the highest elasticity, with a potential increase of up to 20%, and the lowest fee structure, with a combined management and custody fee of only 0.2% [2] - As of October 31, 2025, the ETF's scale reached 829 million, with an average daily trading volume of 90.05 million over the past month, and it has a storage capacity of 59% and solid-state battery content of 32%, aligning with current market trends [2]

Group 1: Industrial Profit Trends - From January to October 2025, the profit growth rate of industrial enterprises decreased to 1.3%, down from 1.9% in the previous month[1] - In October 2025, the profit of industrial enterprises fell by 5.5%, a decline of 27.1 percentage points compared to September[1] - The cumulative profit growth rate varied by enterprise type, with state-owned enterprises showing improvement while private and foreign-invested enterprises experienced a decline, though still maintaining positive growth[1] Group 2: Economic Indicators and Future Outlook - The industrial added value growth rate for October was 4.9%, a decrease of 1.6 percentage points from September[1] - The operating revenue growth rate for industrial enterprises fell by 0.6 percentage points to 1.8% in the same period[1] - The profit margin for January to October was 5.25%, down 0.8 percentage points year-on-year, indicating a widening decline compared to the first nine months[1] Group 3: Sector Performance and Investment Opportunities - Among 41 industrial sectors, 17 sectors achieved positive profit growth from January to October, a reduction of 4 sectors compared to the previous month[1] - High-tech manufacturing, particularly in computer and communication equipment, showed accelerated profit growth, driven by ongoing capital investment and domestic substitution trends[1] - Future investment opportunities are anticipated in sectors like TMT and robotics, driven by AI capital expansion and domestic demand stimulation[4]

Group 1 - The solid-state battery industry is gaining significant investor interest, with companies in the supply chain from battery manufacturing to upstream materials and equipment suppliers actively engaging with investors during Q3 earnings calls [1] - Semi-solid batteries are already in market application, while all-solid-state batteries are expected to enter a critical pilot testing phase between 2026 and 2027 [2][4] - Companies like Guoxuan High-Tech and Zhuhai Guanyu have reported advancements in semi-solid battery production, with Guoxuan's G-Yuan semi-solid battery nearing mass production and Zhuhai Guanyu starting to ship semi-solid batteries [2][3] Group 2 - The foundation for solid-state battery commercialization lies in innovations in battery materials, with companies currently in the sample submission phase and some achieving small batch shipments [4] - Key materials such as high-nickel and lithium-rich manganese-based cathodes are becoming mainstream to meet the higher energy density requirements of solid-state batteries [4] - Companies like Better Ray and New Zobang have reported small batch applications of solid electrolytes in semi-solid batteries, while companies like Greeenmei have achieved ton-level shipments of solid-state battery materials [4] Group 3 - Equipment manufacturers are seizing opportunities in the solid-state battery sector, with significant differences in production processes compared to traditional liquid batteries [7] - Companies like Lianying Laser and Delong Laser are already producing equipment for semi-solid and all-solid-state batteries, with expectations of increased orders in the coming year [7][8] - Overall, the solid-state battery industry is transitioning into a phase where semi-solid batteries are being applied, and all-solid-state batteries are moving towards pilot testing, with material and equipment companies accelerating their engagement with downstream partners [8]

Core Viewpoint - The lithium battery industry is expected to experience a dual drive from energy storage explosion and solid-state battery industrialization by 2026, initiating a new capital expenditure cycle [1] Group 1: Market Trends - As of November 14, 2025, the battery index has significantly outperformed the market with a 64.5% increase, driven by surging energy storage demand, solid-state batteries, and tariff disruptions [2] - The energy storage explosion is identified as a core driving force, leading the industry back into an upward cycle with new capital expenditures in battery cells [3] Group 2: Battery Cell and Material Insights - Battery cell leaders are experiencing full order books and steadily increasing capacity utilization, showcasing strong pricing power and leading the industry recovery [4] - Material layout priorities include: 1) Electrolytes with limited future supply and high price increase potential, 2) Copper foil with full operational rates and low profit margins poised for recovery, 3) Lithium iron phosphate with strong price increase certainty due to storage and overseas substitution trends, 4) Anode materials focusing on fast charging and silicon-based applications, 5) Membranes with ongoing price increase trends, 6) Nickel-rich materials driven by low-altitude economy and embodied intelligence [4] Group 3: Solid-State Battery Developments - Solid-state batteries are gaining momentum with policy support and emerging industry demands, leading to significant changes in the industry landscape [5] - Progress in semi-solid production is expected to exceed 10 GWh in shipments by 2025, with a focus on leading battery cell companies and materials firms capable of rapid scaling [5] - The window for full solid-state battery development is anticipated between 2027 and 2030 [5] Group 4: Investment Recommendations - Key investment opportunities include companies like CATL and Tianci Materials, with additional focus on Yiyuan Lithium Energy, Hunan Youneng, Longpan Technology, and others [6]

Group 1: Market Trends and Developments - The solid-state battery industry is experiencing significant interest from investors, with companies in the battery manufacturing, upstream materials, and equipment sectors actively engaging in discussions about technological advancements and industry trends [2] - Semi-solid batteries have begun market applications, while all-solid-state batteries are entering a critical testing phase expected between 2026 and 2027 [3] - Companies like Guoxuan High-Tech and Zhuhai Guanyu have reported that their semi-solid batteries are in mass production and gaining customer recognition, indicating that these products are no longer just concepts but are entering the market [3] Group 2: Material Innovations and Production - The foundation of solid-state battery commercialization lies in innovations in battery materials, with companies currently in the sample submission phase and some achieving small-scale shipments [5] - Companies such as Better Ray and New Zobang have reported small-scale applications of solid electrolytes in semi-solid batteries, while high-nickel and lithium-rich manganese-based materials are becoming mainstream for solid-state batteries [5] - The performance of high-nickel materials in solid-state batteries is approaching that of liquid batteries, with energy densities exceeding 400 Wh/kg, significantly surpassing current liquid battery levels [5] Group 3: Equipment and Supply Chain Opportunities - Equipment manufacturers are seizing opportunities in the solid-state battery sector due to the distinct production processes compared to traditional liquid batteries [7] - Companies like Lianying Laser and Delong Laser are already producing equipment for semi-solid and all-solid-state batteries, with expectations of increased orders in the coming years [7] - Dayun Technology is also focusing on solid-state battery testing equipment, indicating a growing market for detection solutions in the solid-state battery industry [8] Group 4: Future Outlook - The solid-state battery industry is currently in a phase where semi-solid batteries are being applied, and all-solid-state batteries are moving into testing, with significant advancements expected by 2026 to 2027 [8] - Material and equipment companies are accelerating their engagement with downstream manufacturers to position themselves for future growth opportunities in the solid-state battery market [8]

2025年11月25日，由中国有色金属工业协会主办、天齐锂业（002466）特邀协办的"2025年第二届中国 国际锂业大会"在四川成都举行。 大会以"锂聚全球，链动未来"为主题，围绕"稳供给、强链条、促创新、谋共赢"四大核心，深入探讨新 形势下如何通过技术创新与全球协作，增强产业链供应链韧性与安全，推动锂电产业迈向高质量、可持 续发展新阶段。 会议当天，来自中国有色金属工业协会、广州期货交易所、国际锂业协会，以及天齐锂业、中国盐湖等 400余名锂电产业人士，共同就碳酸锂供需格局、固态电池的产业化应用等热点话题进行探讨。 2026年供需预期向好 对于过去五年国内锂行业的发展，中国有色金属工业协会会长葛红林指出，"中国锂产业实现了历史性 跨越，从'跟跑'迈入部分领域'领跑'阶段。" 资源勘探方面，在青藏高原、川西地区、华南等地相继发现多个大型、超大型锂矿，中国锂资源储量大 幅提升，跃居全球第二位。 资源开发方面，江西宜春、湖南鸡脚山等锂云母资源开发有序推进，新疆、川西地区锂辉石资源开发全 面启动，形成"盐湖、锂辉石、锂云母"三大资源开发并举的新格局。 产业规模方面，今年1—9月锂盐产量占全球70%以上，支撑动力电 ...