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港股大宗商品行情爆发,对A股节后走势有何参照?
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2026-02-23 12:35
Group 1 - The Hong Kong stock market experienced a strong performance on February 23, with the Hang Seng Index rising by 2.53% and the Hang Seng Tech Index increasing by 3.34%, indicating a significant recovery in market sentiment [2][3] - There was a clear divergence in sector performance, with technology and semiconductor stocks generally rising, while the commodity sector, particularly gold and oil stocks, showed remarkable strength, with several gold stocks rising over 6% [2][3] - The recent surge in the commodity sector is attributed to strong international commodity prices, with gold futures increasing by 1.66% from February 16 to 20, and Brent crude oil futures rising by 5.62% during the same period [3][4] Group 2 - Analysts suggest that the fluctuations in commodity-related stocks during the Spring Festival are closely linked to recent geopolitical developments, particularly the tensions between the U.S. and Iran, which have historically led to better oil price performance [4] - The performance of the Hong Kong market may serve as a reference for the upcoming A-share market, as there is a close correlation in capital flow and market sentiment between the two markets [5][6] - Historical data indicates a significant "Spring Festival effect" in the A-share market, with an 80% probability of the Shanghai Composite Index rising in the five trading days before the festival and a 75% probability in the five days after [5] Group 3 - From a funding perspective, the market shows support, with a net inflow into existing equity ETFs and a potential halt in major fund reductions, suggesting that the current market trend may continue [6][7] - Analysts expect that sectors such as technology manufacturing, resource products, and infrastructure chains will perform well post-Spring Festival, driven by increased risk appetite and seasonal demand [7] - The market may see a blend of growth and dividend strategies post-festival, rather than a simple switch in investment style, as both growth and high-dividend assets remain attractive [7]
节后“红包行情”会否继续?券商分析师假期“连轴转”,关注这些方向
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2026-02-23 11:43
炒股就看金麒麟分析师研报,权威,专业,及时,全面,助您挖掘潜力主题机会! 每经记者|王海慜 每经编辑|赵云 2026年马年春节假期,虽然A股休市,但资本市场却热度不减。 各大券商分析师们开启"加班模式",以高频路演、专题研报填补假期信息真空。从兴业证券策略团队的 连续七天新春专题路演,到中信证券聚焦AI(人工智能)大模型的系列电话会,再到多家机构跟踪春 节消费动态,头部与中小券商均紧抓假期窗口输出市场观点。 港股马年开市两天呈现结构性行情,2月20日开市首日AI大模型、机器人板块逆势大涨,创新药、氢能 概念股表现亮眼。2月23日,港股大涨。截至收盘,恒生指数涨2.53%,恒生科技指数涨3.34%。 此外,业内预计,美国最高法院关税裁定利好非美市场资产,叠加A股春节效应的历史正向表现,市场 对马年春节后"红包行情"的延续抱有较高期待。 机器人、创新药大热 这场名为"新春专题系列"的直播,内容涵盖港股情绪研究框架、2026年十大产业趋势、全球估值比较、 全球产业映射、出海深度报告等多个维度。张启尧及其团队试图在春节假期这一A股市场"空窗期",通 过高频的观点输出,抢占投资者的注意力高地。 这并非行业个例。多家机构 ...
港股市场情绪回暖,恒生科技指数涨超3%,汇添富恒生科技ETF联接发起式(QDII)C(013128)紧跟科技板块修复机遇
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-02-23 10:24
截至2026年2月23日14:55,恒生科技指数(HSTECH)上涨3.58%,美团-W上涨5.63%,中芯国际上涨 5.10%,华虹半导体、蔚来-SW跟涨。 截至2026年2月13日,恒生科技ETF汇添富近11天获得连续资金净流入,最高单日获得4184.83万元净流 入,合计"吸金"4.18亿元,日均净流入达3796.13万元。 截至2026年2月13日,汇添富恒生科技ETF联接发起式(QDII)C(013128)近2年夏普比率为1.14,在可比基 金中排名6/26,风险收益比较高。 截至2026年2月13日,汇添富恒生科技ETF联接发起式(QDII)C(013128)近今年以来最大回撤9.85%,相对 基准回撤0.07%。 汇添富恒生科技ETF联接发起式(QDII)C是汇添富基金旗下的一只其他型基金,成立于2022年10月31 日。通过投资于恒生科技ETF汇添富(513260),紧密跟踪标的指数表现,追求跟踪偏离度和跟踪误差的 最小化。现任基金经理乐无穹,具有11.7年证券从业经验,自2022年10月31日任职以来回报达66.33%。 汇添富港股科技配置观测工具箱: 【港股科技宽基·经典载体】汇添富恒生科 ...
重要信号!港股集体大涨
Shang Hai Zheng Quan Bao· 2026-02-23 09:23
2月23日,丙午马年港股开市后的第二个交易日,港股三大指数集体大涨。截至收盘,恒生指数涨2.53%,报27081.91点;恒生科技指数涨3.34%,报 5385.35点;国企指数涨2.65%,报9197.38点。 中银证券发布研报称,进入2026年,随着市场进入"盈利驱动上涨阶段",在"反内卷"和扩内需驱动下,国内再通膨叙事强化,有色金属的强周期属性有望 体现,而金融属性及产业趋势将为行业带来重估机遇。配置上,建议以工业金属与战略小金属为矛,贵金属为盾;工业金属方面,在中期供需格局紧平衡 的状态下,铜价有望获得坚实支持,弱美元周期亦有望为铜价带来产业趋势的增强;战略小金属方面,投资主线正由事件推动的题材炒作,转换至基于长 期战略价值的系统性重估;贵金属方面,黄金中长期价格有望维持高位,短期波动提供布局机会。 $\boxed{\sqrt{\frac{\sqrt{2}}{4}}}$ 盘面上,贵金属板块走强。其中,潼关黄金领涨,赤峰黄金、紫金黄金国际、招金矿业、灵宝黄金等跟涨;半导体板块集体走高,中芯国际涨5.02%,华 虹半导体涨4.51%;科网股普涨,美团-W涨超5%,京东集团-SW、阿里巴巴-W、小米集团-W ...
港股收盘(02.23) | 恒指收涨2.53% 科网股全线回暖 有色概念股走强
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2026-02-23 09:01
Market Overview - The Hong Kong stock market has rebounded, with the Hang Seng Index closing at 27,081.91 points, up 2.53% or 668.56 points, and a total trading volume of 172.96 billion HKD [1] - The technology sector is experiencing increased scrutiny and differentiation, with domestic technology valuations remaining relatively low compared to the U.S. [1] Blue-Chip Performance - Zijin Mining (02899) saw a significant increase of 5.35%, closing at 44.95 HKD, contributing 22.03 points to the Hang Seng Index [2] - Other notable blue-chip stocks include Meituan-W (03690) up 5.26%, SMIC (00981) up 5.02%, while New Oriental Energy (02688) and Chow Tai Fook (01929) experienced slight declines [2] Sector Highlights - Large technology stocks showed a strong recovery, with Meituan-W rising over 5% and other major players like JD, Alibaba, Xiaomi, and Baidu increasing by over 3% [3] - The precious metals sector, particularly gold and copper, performed well, with Zijin Gold International (02099) rising 6.82% [5] - The AI sector is expected to see significant advancements, with Alibaba Cloud launching a new model at competitive pricing, indicating a potential shift in the global AI landscape by 2026 [4] Lithium and Battery Sector - The lithium and battery sectors are experiencing strong growth, with companies like Ruipu Lanjun (00666) increasing by 15.42% and CATL (03750) up 3.14% [7] - UBS has raised its price forecasts for lithium products, indicating a third super cycle for lithium prices and predicting a significant increase in China's market share in the global electric vehicle sector by 2030 [8] Optical Communication Sector - The optical communication sector is seeing notable gains, with companies like Yangtze Optical Fibre and Cable (06869) rising 14.43% due to strong production and demand for high-speed optical modules [6]
香港恒生科技指数收涨超3%,AI大模型、机器人板块回落
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-02-23 08:22
港股今日情绪回暖,恒生指数收涨2.53%,恒生科技指数收涨3.34%。盘面结构分化明显,黄金股涨幅 居前,赤峰黄金涨约8%,紫金黄金国际涨约7%。半导体概念、互联网科技股走高,中芯国际、美团涨 超5%,华虹半导体涨超4%。AI大模型、机器人板块回落,智谱跌超22%,MiniMax跌超13%,优必选 跌超2%。 ...
中国银河策略:地缘风险叠加关税风险,港股节后行情怎么看?
Jin Rong Jie· 2026-02-23 07:57
Market Performance - During the week from February 16 to February 20, the Hong Kong stock market experienced fluctuations with the Hang Seng Index declining by 0.58% to 26,413.25 points, the Hang Seng Tech Index falling by 2.78% to 511.50 points, and the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index decreasing by 0.81% to 8,959.56 points [1][6][30] - Among the primary sectors, 8 sectors saw gains while 3 sectors experienced losses. The energy, materials, and industrial sectors had the highest increases, rising by 3.65%, 2.27%, and 1.03% respectively. Conversely, the consumer discretionary, consumer staples, and communication services sectors faced the largest declines, dropping by 1.86%, 1.50%, and 0.13% respectively [1][7][30] Market Liquidity - Due to the Spring Festival holiday, the Hong Kong stock market only operated for half a day on February 16, with a trading volume of HKD 850.56 billion. On February 20, the trading volume was HKD 1,654.61 billion, which is lower than the previous week's average daily trading volume of HKD 2,406.43 billion. The short-selling amount was HKD 237.27 billion, accounting for 14.43%, significantly higher than the previous week's average of 12.56% [2][13][15] Valuation and Risk Premium - As of February 20, 2026, the PE and PB ratios of the Hang Seng Index were 12.09 times and 1.23 times, respectively, placing them at the 79% and 55% percentiles since 2010. The Hang Seng Tech Index had PE and PB ratios of 21.51 times and 2.83 times, respectively, at the 18% and 49% percentiles since 2010 [3][17][22] - The risk premium of the Hang Seng Index was calculated at 4.19%, which is at the 5% percentile since 2010, while the risk premium based on the 10-year Chinese government bond yield was 6.48%, at the 42% percentile since 2010 [3][19][21] Investment Outlook - The geopolitical risks in the Middle East are rising, which may lead to increased volatility in energy and precious metals sectors. The U.S. is exerting pressure on Iran, with potential military actions being considered [4][9][30] - The consumer sector is currently valued relatively low, and with increasing consumer promotion policies, there is potential for growth in this sector [4][30] - The technology sector remains a long-term investment focus, with reduced valuation pressure following recent corrections, and is expected to rebound due to accelerated AI model updates and applications [4][30]
港股全线大涨!恒生指数涨2.29%,科技、互联网领涨
2 1 Shi Ji Jing Ji Bao Dao· 2026-02-23 05:46
科技、互联网、消费电子、锂电池板块领涨。成交额居前的个股中,美团涨近7%,紫金矿业涨5%,腾 讯控股、阿里巴巴涨3%。AI大模型概念股逆势下跌,智谱跌23%,Minimax跌10%。 2月23日,港股全线大涨!截至午间收盘,恒生指数涨2.29%,报27019.21点;恒生科技指数涨3.32%, 报5384.52点;国企指数涨2.41%,报9175.91点。市场情绪明显回暖。 0:00 ...
地缘风险叠加关税风险,港股节后行情怎么看?
Zhong Guo Yin He Zheng Quan· 2026-02-23 05:45
Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly state an investment rating for the industry [1]. Core Insights - Geopolitical risks and tariff risks are impacting the Hong Kong stock market, with a focus on how these factors will influence market performance post-holiday [1]. - The report highlights that the U.S. GDP growth rate for Q4 2025 was 1.4%, significantly below the expected 2.5%, indicating a slowdown in the U.S. economy [2][44]. - The report suggests that the recent increase in U.S. tariffs from 10% to 15% on global goods may lead to heightened investor risk aversion, benefiting sectors like precious metals and energy [2][46]. - The consumption sector is currently at a relatively low valuation, with potential for growth as consumer policies increase [2][46]. - The technology sector remains a long-term investment focus, with reduced valuation pressure and potential for rebound due to advancements in AI [2][46]. Market Review - During the week of February 16 to February 20, 2026, the Hong Kong stock market saw declines, with the Hang Seng Index down 0.58% to 26,413.25 points, the Hang Seng Tech Index down 2.78% to 511.50 points, and the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index down 0.81% to 8,959.56 points [4][6]. - Among the primary sectors, 8 sectors increased while 3 sectors decreased, with energy, materials, and industrial sectors showing the highest gains [6][14]. - The trading volume was affected by the Spring Festival, with a total turnover of HKD 850.56 billion on February 16 and HKD 1,654.61 billion on February 20, lower than the previous week's average [14][18]. Valuation and Risk Premium - As of February 20, 2026, the PE and PB ratios for the Hang Seng Index were 12.09 and 1.23, respectively, placing them at the 79% and 55% percentiles since 2010 [22][29]. - The risk premium for the Hang Seng Index was calculated at 4.19%, indicating a low-risk environment compared to historical data [29][31]. - The report notes that the dividend yields for the energy and communication services sectors are above 5%, suggesting stable income opportunities for investors [36][41]. Investment Outlook - The report recommends focusing on sectors that may benefit from geopolitical tensions and tariff adjustments, particularly precious metals and energy [46]. - The consumption sector is expected to gain momentum as consumer policies are implemented, while the technology sector is anticipated to rebound due to advancements in AI [46].
港股全线大涨!恒生指数涨2.29% 科技、互联网领涨
2 1 Shi Ji Jing Ji Bao Dao· 2026-02-23 05:42
科技、互联网、消费电子、锂电池板块领涨。成交额居前的个股中,美团涨近7%,紫金矿业涨5%,腾 讯控股、阿里巴巴涨3%。AI大模型概念股逆势下跌,智谱跌23%,Minimax跌10%。 (文章来源:21世纪经济报道) 2月23日,港股全线大涨!截至午间收盘,恒生指数涨2.29%,报27019.21点;恒生科技指数涨3.32%, 报5384.52点;国企指数涨2.41%,报9175.91点。市场情绪明显回暖。 ...