Report Industry Investment Rating - The report recommends a “Firm Hold” rating for the bond futures market [1] Core Viewpoint - The bullish sentiment in the bond futures market is strengthening, and it is recommended to hold positions firmly. The early release of the outright reverse repurchase by the central bank can effectively boost market expectations of monetary easing and confidence in monetary policy. The clear signal of liquidity support from the central bank can support the medium - term upward trend [1][3] Summary by Related Catalogs 1. Disk Review - Bond futures opened higher in the morning and remained strong throughout the day, closing up across the board. The long - end contracts showed more significant catch - up gains than the short - end ones. In the cash bond market, the long - end interest rates declined slightly during the session, but the decline widened around 3 p.m. possibly due to the fermentation of market sentiment [1] 2. Intraday News - On June 5, local time, a U.S. judge blocked Trump's ban on international students at Harvard University from entering the U.S. Harvard filed a lawsuit against the Trump administration's decision [2] 3. Market Judgment - The speculation about the China - U.S. phone call on Thursday evening has settled. The content of the call was far from the rumors. The market's reaction to China - U.S. negotiation news has been weak recently. More importantly, the central bank's early announcement of the outright reverse repurchase can boost market expectations of monetary easing. The central bank's support for liquidity through various means gives a clear signal of protecting liquidity. The trading idea of restarting bond purchases can be compared to the previous interest - rate cut trading. Although the net injection of the outright reverse repurchase and MLF reduces the possibility of restarting bond purchases in the short term, the expectation will be postponed rather than falsified, and the consistent easing expectation can support the medium - term upward trend [3] 4. Data Overview - **Contract Prices and Changes**: On June 6, 2025, compared with June 5, 2025, TS2509 rose 0.014 to 102.448, TF2509 rose 0.065 to 106.125, T2509 rose 0.165 to 108.9, and TL2509 rose 0.36 to 119.72 [4] - **Contract Positions and Changes**: TS contract positions increased by 104 to 121,727, TF contract positions increased by 958 to 169,870, T contract positions increased by 9,149 to 203,694, and TL contract positions increased by 3,512 to 117,782 [4] - **Basis and Changes**: TS basis (CTD) rose 0.0065 to - 0.0721, TF basis (CTD) rose 0.0151 to - 0.0084, T basis (CTD) rose 0.0442 to - 0.0138, and TL basis (CTD) rose 0.0726 to 0.6076 [4] - **Trading Volume and Changes**: TS main contract trading volume decreased by 14,127 to 34,876, TF main contract trading volume decreased by 24,020 to 49,178, T main contract trading volume decreased by 10,218 to 54,263, and TL main contract trading volume increased by 3,627 to 70,269 [4] - **Funding Rates and Changes**: DR001 decreased 0.0013 to 1.412, DR007 decreased 0.004 to 1.5509, and DR014 increased 0.0056 to 1.5892 [4] - **Funding Trading Volume and Changes**: DR001 trading volume increased by 2662.79 billion to 26201.6365 billion, DR007 trading volume decreased by 249.2774 billion to 854.1969 billion, and DR014 trading volume increased by 23.235 billion to 159.745 billion [4]

Core Viewpoint - The bond market is experiencing a strong consolidation, with expectations that the central bank will maintain its current policy on reverse repos to ensure liquidity in the banking system [1][5][7]. Market Performance - Government bond futures closed higher across the board, with the 30-year main contract rising by 0.35% to 119.780, and the 10-year main contract increasing by 0.17% to 108.925 [2]. - The yields on major interbank bonds mostly declined slightly, with the 10-year government bond yield down by 0.25 basis points to 1.6655% [2]. Monetary Policy Actions - The central bank conducted a 1350 billion yuan reverse repo operation at a fixed rate of 1.40%, with a total of 2911 billion yuan in reverse repos maturing on the same day, resulting in a net withdrawal of 1561 billion yuan [5][6]. - The central bank is set to conduct a 10,000 billion yuan buyout reverse repo operation for three months, marking the first public operation of this kind at the beginning of the month [5][7]. Institutional Insights - Citic Securities suggests that the buyout reverse repo operations will continue to be a channel for medium to long-term liquidity, with pricing becoming more market-oriented [7]. - Dongfang Jincheng notes that the central bank's announcement of large-scale buyout reverse repos is likely related to the peak of interbank certificate maturities in June, which amounts to 4.16 trillion yuan [7]. - Huachuang Fixed Income indicates that the central bank's approach to announcing operation scales in advance will help institutions manage liquidity better [7].

上天天基金APP搜索【777】注册即可 领98元券包 ， 优选基金10元起投！限量发放！先到先 得！ 央行6月5日发布公告称，为保持银行体系流动性充裕，2025年6月6日，中国人民银行将以固定数量、利 率招标、多重价位中标方式 开展10000亿元买断式逆回购操作，期限为3个月（91天） 。 央行首次提前公告买断式逆回购 相比以往每月最后一个交易日才发布的公告节奏，本次操作提前一天披露，引发市场广泛关注。东方金 诚首席宏观分析师王青表示，6月央行有5000亿元3个月期和7000亿元6个月期买断式逆回购到期，这意 味着6月6日央行将实施5000亿3个月期逆回购加量操作，6月整体逆回购操作情况要看央行月末是否还有 新的操作公告。 整体来看，6月买断式逆回购到期规模共计1.2万亿元，若仅6日操作1万亿元，预计当月实现净回笼2000 亿元。中信证券首席经济学家明明表示，本次操作在模式上与MLF高度趋同，包括招标方式、定价机 制与公告节奏，预计未来买断式逆回购将与MLF一道，共同构成中长期基础流动性工具的"组合拳"。 从价格机制来看，买断式逆回购与MLF同样采取多重价位中标机制，进一步提升操作的市场化定价程 度。明明认为 ...

Core Viewpoint - The People's Bank of China (PBOC) is maintaining a moderately loose monetary policy despite a net withdrawal of liquidity through reverse repos in May, indicating a stable approach to managing market liquidity [1][4]. Group 1: Reverse Repo Operations - In May, the PBOC conducted a total of 700 billion yuan in reverse repo operations, with 400 billion yuan for 3-month (91 days) and 300 billion yuan for 6-month (182 days) maturities [3]. - The net withdrawal of 200 billion yuan in reverse repos does not imply a tightening of market liquidity, as the PBOC has various channels for injecting liquidity, including Medium-term Lending Facility (MLF) and structural tools [1][4]. Group 2: MLF and Liquidity Management - The MLF has seen a net injection of 375 billion yuan in May, reflecting the PBOC's commitment to maintaining medium-term liquidity [1][4]. - The PBOC's reliance on MLF has increased since the introduction of fixed quantity, interest rate bidding, and multiple price auctions for MLF operations, which helps stabilize expectations for financial institutions [4]. Group 3: Government Bond Transactions - The PBOC has not conducted any government bond transactions since January, with expectations to resume operations in July or August, depending on market conditions [5][6]. - The resumption of government bond transactions is seen as urgent to enhance the PBOC's holdings of government debt and to support the establishment of a sovereign credit model for currency issuance [6].

Group 1 - The article discusses the concept of false breakouts in trading, suggesting that recognizing these can lead to more confident counter-trading actions [1] - It highlights the current macroeconomic environment, indicating a balanced and slightly loose funding situation with a small decline in long-term bond yields [1][3] - The People's Bank of China (PBOC) conducted a 7-day reverse repurchase operation of 291.1 billion yuan, with a net injection of 148.6 billion yuan after 142.5 billion yuan of reverse repos matured [1][2] Group 2 - The U.S. appellate court temporarily reinstated Trump tariffs, contributing to a weak stock market and a slight decline in bond market rates [2][3] - The 10-year government bond yield opened slightly lower and fluctuated, with the lowest rate reaching 1.667% before closing at 1.675% [3][4] - Market participants were closely monitoring the central bank's announcements regarding bond purchases, although no such operations were conducted, leading to a slight rebound in rates [3][4]

央行：5月以固定数量、利率招标、多重价位中标方式开展了7000亿元买断式逆回购操作 智通财经5月30日电，央行数据显示，5月以固定数量、利率招标、多重价位中标方式开展了7000亿元买 断式逆回购操作。 ...

近日，中国人民银行公开市场业务操作室披露4月买断式逆回购操作数据。 为保持银行体系流动性充裕，中国人民银行（以下或称央行）于2025年4月以固定数量、利率招标、多 重价位中标方式开展了12000亿元买断式逆回购操作。其中，3个月（91天）期操作规模为7000亿元，6 个月（182天）期操作规模为5000亿元。 浙商证券宏观联席首席分析师廖博接受《每日经济新闻》记者微信采访时指出，"五一"假期，资金面临 一定的跨节压力，对市场流动性形成一定扰动。因此，无论是4月放量MLF（中期借贷便利）净投放， 还是买断式逆回购操作，或指向对冲后续债券集中在二三季度发行对流动性的压力。 有利于流动性合理充裕 廖博指出，4月的买断式逆回购是在央行每日根据一级交易商需求开展7天期逆回购操作的基础上，额外 投放的资金，有利于保持短、中、长各期限流动性合理充裕，体现央行坚持支持性货币政策的立场。 廖博说，4月买断式逆回购到期规模较大，共有1.2万亿元的3个月期以及5000亿元的6个月期买断式逆回 购到期，而当月MLF加大投放规模也可能是为了配合对冲买断式逆回购的到期。向后看，政府债券供 给高峰即将到来，当下超长期特别国债和注资特别国债 ...

中国人民银行官网4月30日发布消息，为保持银行体系流动性充裕， 2025年4月中国人民银行以固定 数量、利率招标、多重价位中标方式开展了12000亿元买断式逆回购操作 。 其中，期限3个月（91 天）操作量为7000亿元，期限6个月（182天）操作量为5000亿元。 来 源：央视财经（ID：c c t v y s c j） 关注" 新华网财经 "视频号 更多财经资讯等你来看 往期推荐 李开复牵手福建福耀科技大学 | 期限 | 操作量 | | --- | --- | | 3个月 (91天) | 7000亿元 | | 6个月(182天) | 5000亿元 | 淘宝宣布：加入外卖大战！ ...

央行4月开展1.2万亿元买断式逆回购。 为保持银行体系流动性充裕，中国人民银行（下称"央行"）4月30日发布公告称，4月央行以固定数量、利率招标、多重价位中标方式开展了1.2万亿元买断式 逆回购操作，分别为3个月（91天）7000亿元、6个月（182天）5000亿元。当天，央行还发布公告称，在4月未开展公开市场国债买卖操作。 | 期限 | 操作量 | | --- | --- | | 3个月(91天) | 7000亿元 | | 6个月(182天) | 5000亿元 | 鉴于4月分别有1.2万亿元3个月期和5000亿元6个月期买断式逆回购到期，当月3个月期买断式逆回购净回笼5000亿元。结合4月央行中期借贷便利（MLF）净 投放5000亿元，当月结束了去年10月以来央行持续释放中长期流动性的操作过程。 4月买断式逆回购缩量续作，并不意味着央行正在收紧市场流动性。"回顾历史可以看到，降准和央行中期流动管理工具之间存在替代关系。"东方金诚首席宏 观分析师王青向证券时报记者指出，央行将通过多种政策工具组合，引导市场流动性稳中向宽。 公开市场买断式逆回购操作、公开市场国债买卖操作以及MLF操作是在央行每日根据一级交易商需 ...

央广网北京4月30日消息（记者 冯方）4月30日，央行发布公告称，为保持银行体系流动性充裕，2025年4月央行以固定数量、利率招标、多重价位中标方式 开展了12000亿元买断式逆回购操作。其中，3个月期7000亿元，6个月期5000亿元。 2024年10月，为维护银行体系流动性合理充裕，进一步丰富央行货币政策工具箱，央行决定启用公开市场买断式逆回购操作工具。操作对象为公开市场业务 一级交易商，原则上每月开展一次操作，期限不超过1年。公开市场买断式逆回购采用固定数量、利率招标、多重价位中标，回购标的包括国债、地方政府 债券、金融债券、公司信用类债券等。 根据央行公告，2024年10月至2025年4月，央行已开展7次买断式逆回购操作，规模分别为5000亿元、8000亿元、14000亿元、17000亿元、14000亿元、8000 亿元、12000亿元。 东方金诚首席宏观分析师王青对央广财经记者表示："4月，央行分别开展7000亿3个月期和5000亿6个月期买断式逆回购。由于本月分别有1.2万亿3个月期和 5000亿6个月期买断式逆回购到期，因此4月央行买断式逆回购操作缩量5000亿。不过，由于本月MLF净投放量为5 ...