日本央行行长植田和男：由于关税措施和经济增长放缓，通胀率和工资增长预计将放缓。 ...

智通财经5月1日电，日本央行行长植田和男表示，贸易政策带来的不确定性显著增加；日本经济增长可 能会放缓。 ...

日本央行：日本经济增长可能放缓。 ...

Group 1: Market Overview - The report highlights that despite uncertainties in the Singapore real estate market, there are positive factors supporting its development [1][2] - Global economic conditions and geopolitical tensions are identified as significant external challenges impacting the market [2][9] - Singapore's position as a regional financial hub and government policies are seen as stabilizing factors for the real estate market [2][10] Group 2: Economic Outlook - Singapore's GDP growth is projected to decelerate to 1-3% in 2025, down from 4.0% in 2024 [5][9] - Inflation is expected to ease to 1.5-2.5% in 2025, following a decline from 4.8% in 2023 [5][19] - Interest rates in Singapore are anticipated to follow a downward trend, with projections suggesting a decrease to 3.75%-4.00% by the end of 2025 [5][21] Group 3: Office Market - The office market saw a net absorption of 1.91 million sq. ft. in 2024, the highest since 2017, driven by new Grade A office developments [28] - Vacancy rates for Core CBD (Grade A) offices decreased to 4.9% by the end of 2024, indicating a flight to quality among occupiers [30] - Core CBD (Grade A) rents are expected to grow modestly by around 2% in 2025, supported by limited supply and continued demand for high-quality spaces [39] Group 4: Industrial & Logistics Market - E-commerce and logistics sectors accounted for 39% of leasing demand in 2024, indicating resilience despite challenges [46] - An estimated 4.92 million sq. ft. of logistics supply is expected in 2025, which is about 3.9% of existing warehouse stock [53] - Average prime logistics rents rose by 1.1% to $1.87 psf per month in 2024, with expectations of stability in 2025 [54] Group 5: Retail Market - Tourism recovery is projected to continue in 2025, with visitor numbers expected to rise due to new attractions and events [62][63] - Approximately 0.50 million sq. ft. of retail space is expected to complete in 2025, significantly lower than previous years, which should support retail rents [70] - Overall average retail prime rents are expected to grow by 2-3% in 2025, recovering to pre-pandemic levels [74]

智通财经4月22日电，IMF世界经济展望报告显示，由于政策不确定性和贸易紧张局势，预计2025年美 国经济增长将放缓至1.8%，比1月份的预测下降0.9个百分点。 ...

高盛CEO所罗门：随着特朗普贸易政策的实施，经济增长已放缓。 ...

Group 1: Impact of Tariffs on Small Businesses - The U.S. government's high tariff policy has severely impacted small businesses, with some owners experiencing tax payments that have increased over 1000% [1][4] - A stationery store owner in Omaha reported that her recent import tax reached $1,108, a significant increase from the usual $70 to $100 [4] - The high tariffs are expected to lead to business closures, job losses, and economic downturns, as many businesses rely on imports [5] Group 2: Effects on Specific Industries - The tariff policy is projected to affect 90% of core baby care products in the U.S., which are produced in Asia, including items like baby bottles and strollers [5] - An American baby products company has halted some orders from Asia due to the new tariffs, leading to potential stock shortages in three months [5] - U.S. automakers, including Ford and General Motors, are also facing price increases on vehicles due to the tariffs, with GM's profit expectations for 2025 being cut by 40% [6] Group 3: Economic Outlook and Earnings Expectations - Analysts at Morgan Stanley are downgrading corporate earnings expectations due to significant risks of economic slowdown [2][8] - The expected earnings growth for S&P 500 companies has been reduced from 11.4% to 6.9% for the first quarter [8] - The breadth of earnings expectation adjustments is at an unusual level, indicating heightened uncertainty in the market [9] Group 4: Market Reactions and Predictions - Major investment banks have collectively lowered their year-end targets for the S&P 500 index, with Citigroup reducing its target from 6,500 to 5,800 [10] - The recent market downturn may be the first bear market triggered directly by U.S. presidential policies, according to analysts [11] - Investors are increasingly looking for opportunities outside the U.S., as the MSCI index for developed countries excluding the U.S. has risen over 6% this year, while the S&P 500 has dropped by 10% [9]

Group 1: Tariff Policy Overview - Trump signed an executive order imposing a 10% "minimum baseline tariff" on all trade partners, with an additional 34% tariff specifically on China[1] - This is the largest new tariff policy announced since Trump took office in January 2025, affecting numerous countries and regions[1] - Certain goods, including copper, pharmaceuticals, semiconductors, and energy, are exempt from these tariffs[1] Group 2: Economic Implications - The tariffs are expected to significantly exceed market expectations, potentially leading to a collapse of the global trade order and a slowdown in economic growth[2] - The U.S. economy may face short-term stagflation, while a mid-term global economic slowdown is increasingly likely[3] - China's reliance on exports has increased since 2018, making it vulnerable to the pressures from Trump's tariffs[3] Group 3: Domestic Policy Response - In response to the tariffs, domestic policies may shift towards monetary easing, including potential interest rate cuts and liquidity measures[4] - The focus will be on managing expectations rather than fiscal stimulus, with a priority on maintaining market confidence[4] Group 4: Investment Strategy - Investment strategies should shift from high-risk tech stocks to defensive and safe assets, such as bonds and utilities[5] - Key sectors to focus on include gold, non-ferrous metals, and military industries due to the geopolitical instability caused by the tariffs[5]

翁富豪：3.25晚间双线操作精准布局 黄金交易需严守风控纪律 美联储政策立场边际调整与地缘政治谈判进展正对贵金属市场形成双向施压。亚特兰大联储主席博斯蒂克最新表态将年内降息预期由两次修正为一次，叠加 关税政策对通胀进程形成的掣肘效应，而美联储主席鲍威尔强化"按兵不动"政策定力，强调美国经济基本面保持韧性，系列鹰派信号显著施压黄金多头动 能。 但经济数据显示潜在矛盾：3月标普全球制造业PMI终值录得49.8，较前值下降0.6个点，创三个月新低，显示制造业收缩压力加剧。该数据强化市场对经济 增长放缓的预期，为避险资产提供潜在支撑。 从4小时图自新高出现了一轮回调，但目前似乎在3000美元大关出现心理支撑，技术指标低位金叉并向上运行。介于早盘黄金短线突破3015一线短线冲高， 黄金继续维持底部看多思路。综合来看，今日黄金短线操作思路上翁富豪建议反弹做空为主，回调做多为辅，上方短期重点关注3033-3035一线阻力，下方 短期重点关注3000-3002一线支撑，各位一定要跟上节奏。要控制好仓位及止损问题、严格设止损，切勿抗单操作。具体点位以盘中实时为主，欢迎前来体 验，交流实时行情，关注实时单。 操作策略： 1.黄金 ...

以下文章来源于懒猫的丰收日 ，作者懒猫的丰收日 作者：懒猫的丰收日 来源：雪球 说说印度，小伙伴讨论比较多，主要集中在"能不能抄底"上。 看行情，2024年9月见顶后，印度股市已经跌了5个多月，最大回撤是15%，跌到了去年上半年平台震荡的位 置，也难怪有人想去抄底。 能不能抄呢？从几个角度来了解下~ 01 懒猫的丰收日 . 手把手教你看懂基金的门道 长按即可免费加入哦 风险提示：本文所提到的观点仅代表个人的意见，所涉及标的不作推荐，据此买卖，风险自负。 估值 问问DeepSeek，印度股市为什么跌？ 估值高是一个重要原因。 外资从印度股市撤离是出于两方面的担忧，一是印度经济增速放缓；二是估值高，即使按2025财年的预期收 益估算，MSCI印度指数的PE也有24倍。 24倍PE？ 看到这个数字，我的第一反应是印度股市估值太高了。同为新兴市场，我大A和越南都只有10倍左 右好吧，差了一倍，这么高的估值，难怪你下跌... 然后，我去拉了"印度SENSEX30指数"的历史估值，就是这张图，嗯？过去10年，印度股市的平均PE是24.25 倍，2022年6月上涨之前是21.47倍。 和自身历史数据对比，印度股市估值这也不 ...