美元盘中持续走高，MSCI新兴外汇指数跌至盘中低点。 ...

智通财经6月17日电，美元走高，MSCI新兴外汇指数跌至盘中低点。 ...

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智通财经6月17日电，据美国银行对全球基金经理的调查显示，投资者对美元看空的比例为20年来最 大。 ...

荷兰国际：美元上行潜力有限 金十数据6月16日讯，荷兰国际分析师Francesco Pesole表示，美联储可能在周三会议上对降息持谨慎态 度，但这可能不会对美元提供太多支撑。他在一份报告中表示，美联储可能会利用以色列-伊朗冲突导 致的油价上涨作为抵制特朗普降息呼吁的理由。然而，在以色列和伊朗的袭击开始后，美元未能维持最 初的上涨势头，这是市场不信任美元的一个症状。他说，即使是油价上涨等利好美元的事件，加上地缘 政治紧张局势，也无法阻止卖空者在美元试图复苏时做空美元。 ...

金十数据6月13日讯，据外媒报道，因在以色列对伊朗发动袭击、引发伊朗报复后，投资者重新买入美 元，美元周五有望录得一个月来最大单日涨幅。起初，避险货币瑞郎和日元闻声上涨，但随后被美元收 复失地。美元一直是地缘政治或金融动荡时期的终极避风港。美元兑一篮子主要货币上涨了近0.9%， 欧元、英镑和澳元的跌幅尤为明显。美元指数上涨0.85%，有望录得5月12日以来最大单日涨幅。City Index策略师Fiona Cincotta表示，美元正在回归传统的避险角色，不过，如果周末期间局势有所缓和， 那么这种提振效果可能不会持续太久。 美元有望录得一个月来最大单日涨幅 美元指数 ...

Core Viewpoint - The upcoming U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) data is crucial, with an overall inflation rate expected to rise to 2.5%, which may provide a much-needed boost to the U.S. dollar [1] Group 1 - The market currently holds an optimistic view regarding inflation risks stemming from tariffs, indicating a potential asymmetric reaction to upward surprises in inflation data [1] - A rise in CPI could lead to a stronger performance of the U.S. dollar, particularly against the Swiss franc [1]

市场分析：美元或从CPI数据中寻获支撑 金十数据6月11日讯，据外媒报道，美国5月CPI同比涨幅预计将从4月的2.3%上升至2.5%，路透调查中 的预测范围介于2.2-2.7%之间。CPI如预期加速将降低美联储降息的可能性。目前市场定价，美联储9月 降息可能性下降，预计10月会降息25个基点。如果CPI数据高于预期，导致美联储行动时间推迟，可能 会鼓励美元空头削减风险敞口。 ...

6月9日，沪锌期货盘面表现偏弱，截至发稿主力合约报21905.00元/吨，小幅下跌1.82%。 申银万国期货：周末夜盘锌价收低。近期精矿加工费持续回升。由国家统计局数据来看，国内汽车产销 正增长，基建稳定增长，家电产量增速趋缓，地产持续疲弱。市场预期今年精矿供应明显改善，冶炼供 应可能恢复。短期锌价可能宽幅波动，关注美国关税进展，以及美元、锌冶炼和家电产量等因素变化。 广州期货：美国经济数据疲软，特朗普呼吁美联储降息，但美联储官员发言依旧表示降息态度趋于谨 慎，地缘政治冲突不断，市场交投避险情绪仍存。海内外锌精矿TC价格趋于上涨，锌矿报价走低，周 内新增两家企业复产，贸易市场到货量增加，国内社会库存小幅累增，海内外交易所库存保持低位去 库，下游消费进入淡季，镀锌开工小幅走弱，持货商为出货调低升水，实际成交清淡。锌市库存低位， 供需两弱，短期价格上下有限，保持区间震荡运行，参考震荡区间22000-23500元/吨。 【消息面汇总】 机构观点 6月6日，伦敦金属交易所（LME）：锌注册仓单75100吨，注销仓单61875吨，减少175吨；锌库存 136975吨，减少175吨。 国内外锌矿进口量上升，锌矿加工费持续 ...

Group 1 - The investment environment is characterized as "tricky, uneven but full of opportunities," influenced by rising inflation risks, high long-term interest rates, and strong performance in sectors like nuclear energy and defense [1] - The market has seemingly priced in the rebound of inflation, with Goldman Sachs predicting core PCE to rise from 2.5% to 3.6% by year-end due to tariffs [2][4] - The U.S. 30-year interest rates have shown some easing recently, but Goldman Sachs believes the market will remain vigilant during long-term bond auction cycles [7] Group 2 - The U.S. dollar faces challenges as it remains relatively expensive according to various valuation models, leading to a divergence between the dollar and U.S. Treasury yields [9][10] - The real estate sector presents a complex outlook, with long-term interest rate risks and weak supply-demand dynamics threatening builders' stocks, yet a long-term bullish trend indicates resilience [12] - Defense stocks have performed exceptionally well, with Goldman Sachs' Korean defense stock basket up 127% year-to-date, alongside strong performances from European and Japanese defense stocks [14][16] Group 3 - Global technology companies are showing superior earnings growth compared to non-tech firms, with significant changes in capital expenditure following the emergence of ChatGPT [20][22] - The gap between U.S. AI leaders and laggards continues to widen, with AI deployment following a pattern of "slow, slow, slow, then a rapid acceleration" [23] - Despite a significant increase in new issuance activities, companies are engaging in large-scale buybacks, indicating a strong market pricing dynamic [24][28] Group 4 - Value storage tools like gold and Bitcoin have performed well in terms of total return and Sharpe ratio, while U.S. high-yield bonds have also shown surprising Sharpe ratios [30] - The U.S. stock market has underperformed compared to global peers, with U.S. tech stocks showing unexpectedly slow performance since the beginning of the year [31]