债券交易员正严阵以待，准备迎接即将到来的数据洪流，这些数据将明确市场对于美联储将以多快速度 继续降息的预期，而正是这种降息预期，推动美国国债创下了自2020年以来的最大涨幅。 美国政府停摆的结束意味着，各机构将开始发布自10月初以来被推迟的关键报告，其中包括将于本周四 公布的9月非农就业报告。 在停摆期间，官方数据的缺失使得外界难以判断经济走向。不过，来自私营数据源（如薪资处理公司 ADP）的数据持续凸显了就业市场的疲软，正是这种疲软促使美联储在9月和10月的会议上降低了基准 利率，结束了长达九个月的暂停期。 但风险在于，政府公布的数据可能会出人意料地向好，显示企业新增就业的速度超过预期。此外，数据 也可能因停摆而变得不完整或失真。 由于政策制定者仍对高企的通胀保持警惕，这可能导致他们在12月10日的会议上维持利率不变，或打压 市场对2026年的降息预期。 "随着经济数据开始陆续公布，劳动力市场有可能展现出更强的稳定性，"摩根大通投资管理的投资组合 经理Priya Misra表示。"那么市场可能会进一步降低对12月降息的押注，波动性也可能随之上升。" 但美联储主席鲍威尔已表示，央行近期的举措主要是预防性措施， ...

Core Viewpoint - Morgan Stanley strategists predict a rebound in U.S. Treasury bonds in the first half of 2026, with the Federal Reserve potentially implementing a 50 basis point rate cut [1] Group 1 - The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield is expected to decline to 3.75% by mid-next year, before rising to 4.05% in the fourth quarter [1] - For the entire year, the 10-year Treasury yield is anticipated to remain within a fluctuating range [1]

日线图上，黄金价格已形成标准的"空头排列"形态，价格持续运行在5日、10日、20日、60日均线下 方，各均线依次向下发散，对价格形成层层压制。KDJ指标虽处于超卖区间，但尚未出现明显的金叉反 转信号，且J线仍在向下延伸，表明短期下跌动能尚未完全释放。布林带呈现开口向下的扩张态势，价 格沿下轨持续下行，下轨支撑位同步下移至4030附近，上轨压力则位于4150一线，布林带的扩张形态进 一步确认了短期趋势的弱势。此外，日线级别上，前期低点4000一线作为重要心理关口与技术支撑位， 其有效性将成为下周走势的关键看点。 黄金行情分析： 近期黄金价格持续承压下行，核心逻辑在于市场对美联储12月降息的预期显著降温。此前，通胀数据的 阶段性回落与经济增长的温和放缓，让市场普遍押注美联储将启动宽松周期以支撑经济，但最新公布的 美国非农就业数据超预期强劲、核心PCE物价指数仍维持在2%以上的目标区间上方，叠加美联储官员 密集释放"维持高利率以巩固通胀降温成果"的鹰派言论，彻底扭转了市场的宽松预期。降息预期的消退 直接推升美元指数与美国国债收益率走强，而黄金作为无息资产，其吸引力大幅削弱。与此同时，短期 期货交易员在价格持续下挫过 ...

Group 1: Gold Market - Gold prices are attempting to close above $4240 [1] - The market is reacting to rising US Treasury yields, leading to profit-taking after a strong rebound [4] - The relative strength index remains at a moderate level, indicating potential for additional upward momentum in the short term [4] Group 2: Silver Market - The gold-silver ratio has risen above 79.00, causing silver prices to retreat to the $53.00 level [1][7] - Technically, silver needs to stay above the resistance level of $52.60-$52.80 to gain additional upward momentum in the short term [7] Group 3: Platinum Market - Platinum attempted to break through the resistance level of $1620-$1630 but lost momentum and retreated [9] - Platinum remains within the range between support at $1520-$1530 and resistance at $1620-$1630 [9]

本文由 AI 算法生成，仅作参考，不涉投资建议，使用风险自担 【11月13日欧洲上午中段交易时段，美国国债收益率趋稳】此时美国政府即将重新开放，但谨慎情绪蔓 延。金融市场策略师Eric Chia称，市场仍保持谨慎，关注点转向待发布的积压数据，这些数据或显示劳 动力市场和整体需求疲软。 这种不安情绪源于本周疲软的ADP报告，该报告显示截至十月下旬四周 内，美国私营部门平均每周裁员11,250个。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The U.S. Treasury yields experienced an increase on November 10, with the 10-year yield rising to 4.1121% [1] Summary by Category Treasury Yields - The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield rose by 1.55 basis points, reaching 4.1121% [1] - The 2-year Treasury yield increased by 2.92 basis points, now at 3.5908% [1] - The 30-year Treasury yield saw a slight rise of 0.29 basis points, standing at 4.7015% [1]

Core Viewpoint - The U.S. 10-year Treasury yield increased by 0.57 basis points to 4.0889% at the end of trading on November 7, with a total weekly rise of 1.14 basis points [1] Summary by Relevant Categories Treasury Yields - The 10-year Treasury yield rose to 4.0889%, marking a weekly increase of 1.14 basis points [1] - The 2-year Treasury yield remained unchanged at 3.5554%, with a total weekly decline of 2.03 basis points [1]

Group 1 - The yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury bond has decreased to below 4.0850%, fully reversing earlier gains as U.S. consumer confidence hits a three-year low [1] - The yield on the 2-year U.S. Treasury bond has fallen below 3.55% [1] - The yield on the 10-year TIPS has retreated to below 1.8150%, while the 2-year TIPS yield remains temporarily above 1.02% [1] Group 2 - The Bloomberg Dollar Index has reached a new daily low [1] - The S&P 500 index has narrowed its decline to 0.54%, while the Nasdaq Composite index initially dropped by 1.53% but has since reduced its loss to less than 1% [1] - Spot gold remains steady above $3990, with an intraday gain of nearly 0.4% [1] - Bitcoin has turned positive, returning above $101,000 [1]

Group 1: Gold Market - Gold prices are hovering around the resistance level of $3990-$4000, with attempts to break through this level [1][4] - A successful breakthrough of $4000 could push gold prices towards the next resistance levels of $4170-$4180 [4] Group 2: Silver Market - Silver prices are stable around $48.00, with traders focusing on gold market performance and awaiting further catalysts [1][6] - If silver falls below $48.00, it may head towards support levels of $47.00-$47.20 [6] Group 3: Platinum Market - Platinum has retreated to around $1500, with concerns over demand affecting its price [1][8] - If platinum remains below $1520, it could move towards support levels of $1400-$1410 [8]

Core Viewpoint - US Treasury prices have increased, leading to a decline in the yield of the 10-year Treasury note by 3 basis points to 4.13% [1] Group 1 - The price of US Treasury securities has risen, indicating a shift in investor sentiment towards safer assets [1] - The yield on the 10-year Treasury note has decreased, reflecting lower borrowing costs and potential implications for the broader economy [1]